NBA Monday

YTD 4-2-1 +3.03 units
It's one of those Dog day monday, as my Russian friend would say, and Grizzlies looking very interesting at +12 on one of those let down home court return for the Suns. Matter of fact Griz seems to be a popular service pick pushed by the touts. I'll look for poor shooting.

MEN/PHO UNDER 197 ar +105 for 1 unit(L)

Here's one for Batis on the 2nd Half.

GRIZZLIES +7.5 SECOND HALF at -101 for 2 units(W)

1-1 +1.00 unit

NBA Sunday

Took a beat yesterday YTD 4-2 +1.96 units.
Today we're back on Atlanta at Oklahoma City. Looking to stay strong even without Josh Smith Oklahoma will have their hand full tonight.

HAWKS -4 at +103 for 1 unit(Push)

Rockets at Lakers 2nd Half. T-Mac twisted his ankle and Yao is a no show. Lakers climb back from 16 point back to take the lead. Going with the home team in 2nd half.

LAKERS -4.5 2ND HALF at +107 for 1 unit(W)

1-0-1 +1.07 units

NBA Saturday

YTD 4-1 +3.01 units
I'm still here. No need to ignore me I've given you winners. So Football's got you all tied up? NBA a crap shoot? Well allow me to roll the dice. NBA line movement no#4. Playing the Total on First Half O/U 99 Suns at Bucks. This Total comes on the heels of Bucks missing their star player Redd from tonight's line up. A situation where home team will come out to rise above their level. Declined Total at 196 and 2 point differential 99 at Half predicting a pace which will shift slower as this game moves along. Do not underestimate Bucks, but Suns are coming off a decisive loss.

PHO/MIL FIRST HALF OVER 99 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

Can't get'em all. Be back.
0-1 -1.05 units

NBA Wednesday

won last selection. YTD 3-1 +2.01 units
Sorry for lack of enthusiasm starting up in the Association. It's not lack of will I love speculating on NBA with knack for taking down Totals better than Sides, but I'll wager quarters, halves, second halves whatever the game offers. It's just been busy and it's not my nature to force wins, it usually back fires.

On this Wednesday I'll back one of the strongest home court in Utah Jazz. I know many are waiting for teams like Blazers to start mixing it up, but Jazz are knocking out unlikely Western contenders. Looking for surge to continue with maybe stronger defense.

UTAH -6.5 at -101 for 1 unit(W)

Well earned win with home court edge.
1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Friday

Tracking Hornets at Suns right now with a bit of interest on the visitors, but today's taking was on NHL with not much NBA.
The last pick was a winner bring our early record to 2-1 +1.00 unit

Clippers fell apart after the first quarter and had a full melt down in the 2nd half. This is very concerning and at the same time build some value if they can show something. Tonight I'll take the road favorite Nuggets.

DENVER -2 at +101 for 1 unit(W)

Scary Halloween winner in OT!
1-0 +1.01 units

NBA Wednesday Late Game

1-1 to start the season, but lost the bigger of 2 so -1.00 unit.

Here we go Lakers on back to back, but off to a impressive start with Blazers amounting to less than a speed bump. We will ride the momentum with Laker 1st half facing the incomplete Clippers across the hall.

LAKERS FIRST HALF -5.5 at -115 for 2 units(W)

Lakers too much in the First Half for Clippers!
1-0 +2.00 units

Couple of Changes

I've added two new links and axed NBX (no longer around). If your a player than you know Matchbook (we worked out our issues) it'll work well for most recreational players and it's a player to player exchange. Good to spread your eggs and still the top is Pinnacle you just can do it directly from U.S. (where there's a will there's a way) I'm thinking about adding Bookmaker, but haven't got around to it.

One Season is real money fantasy exchange. You must of heard of them this site is exploding and for some strange reason you don't know go to their web and check it out for yourself. They'll even give you US$10 for signing up. Get it and buy Kobe or LBJ or D Howard or Nash or some other predictable pro player (it doesn't have to be NBA) and watch your money grow. What the hell, just fund the damn thing and make money. Keep the mantra "buy low sell high" the bulls are running at One Season right now.

NBA Opening Night

Looking foward to Cleveland Boston match up. Cavs look very interesting with Mo Williams addition and should of grabed it with 7 points, but still take it at 6.5 points. On this opening Celtics will most likely lack locking defense and added offense on Cavs side should push this low number Over as well.

CLEVELAND +6.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
OVER 179.5 at +101 for 2 units(L)

I knew the Total was in trouble after the 1st quarter and C's defense picked up big in 3rd quarter to sink the Total Under. Follow the bouncing ball.

1-1 -1.00 units

Get Ready NBA 2008~09

Welcome back handicappers! We are counting the days and preseason games are almost over.
Hope every one's keeping their eyes and ears open because I don't do headlines. If it's obvious public info there's no need to get into it, but it can also be a deterrent to secondary news which may have value and I will bring that up.

If your not familiar with our game we play Dogs or near money and Totals, but look back at some past plays and you'll see Quarters, 1st, 2nd Halves so there's no limitation. We will try to keep it easier for everyone to get their position this year.

Start with last seasons ATS/ML leaders.
Boston
Orlando
New Orleans
Houston
These top 4 teams have 52 or more wins.

Lakers
Washington
Utah
Detroit
Second tier 4 teams Washington has better ATS then Moneyline.

Sacramento
Philly
Denver
Portland
Third tier 4 teams Kings, Sixers and Blazers have better ATS then Moneyline.

Oklahoma Thunder formerly Seattle Supersonics were very tough ATS 39-40-3 teams while going 20-62.
Minnesota ATS 39-42-1 while going 22-60. Both of these teams rank better than San Antonio ATS.

Bottoms feeders.
Clippers
New Jersey
Golden State
Milwaukee
Miami
Memphis
Chicago
Charlotte
Representing 10 games or worse under .500 last season. Warriors despite playing 14 games over .500 their ATS record is 14 games under .500 some elite teams just missed the losers list
Dallas, Clevelnad and San Antonio was not too far off.

NBA Thursday

NBA Playoff New Orleans at San Antonio.
Much discussed Old School vs New Generation. Experience, athleticism, discipline, and all that's been said Spurs are down 2-0 and have not covered since @PHO 4/25. Spurs 37-7 SU at home cover only 23-18-3 ATS, but still dangerous and Hornets did show weakness on the road in Dallas series. What I like here is the Over 182.5 not because of Hornets, but more so because of Spurs. Spurs have shown ability to score something they could not do in New Orleans. Spurs have strung 4 poor offensive games, but it has steadily improved and coming back home maybe just what they need. Hornets offense also climbing steadily 5 games in a row and that's against Dallas and San Antonio.

OVER 182.5 at -115 for 2 units(W)
Game's not over, but Total is.
1-0 +2.00 units

NBA Playoff Tuesday

Even with Rockets flashing skills I feel Jazz are the team to move on. Alston has been the key for Houston making the T Mac one two combo, but Jazz are built for playoffs.

Utah Jazz +2 at -112 for 1 unit(L)

Been watching this and this is going to come back in 2nd half. It's been that kind of game throughout this series. Best first round match up is one of the toughest contested match with dog taking these games. Down by 10 I don't think Suns are going to fade away to drop out of this race, but will put up a dog fight ending much closer than what it is at the Half. This gives me equal to Suns +9.5 for the game.

Phoenix Suns -0.5 Second Half at -102 for 1 unit(W)

1-1 -0.12 units

NBA Playoff Monday

Back at you on the Association match up Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets. The talk of sweep fills the L.A. air waves, but Nuggets ATS +4.5 has moved to +4 and money is even at -105 at Pinny. So what gives? Cappers have tagged Denver with points and moneyline. But the similar take I see is the Over coming down from 227.5 to 225.5 or 225 and given the high scoring anticipation the lofty numbers have been broken on twice this season O/U 4-2 and lately the Under is looking like easy money. But keep in mind the books are still holding the big number as the total in this series continued to drop. I think the trend will break with scoring burst fitting of 230's and if Lakers sweep they will not cover tonight.

LAKERS/NUGGETS OVER 225.5 at +111 for 1 unit(L)

I reversed to 2nd Half Under 111.5, but had no time to post.
0-1 -1.00 unit

NBA Playoff Sunday

Looking at the Cleveland/Washington total it opened at 190 ~ 190.5 range which compares tad lower to last game total which closed at 191.5 and went Under that number by 11.5 The playoff series in Cleveland 4/21 closed 188.5, over by +13.5, and 4/19 187.5 was Under by 8.5 so this match for Totals have shown classic zig zag pattern with Over coming up.
Over call with Cavs are hard as they are strong Under trending team who peeled off 6 straight Unders finishing their regular season and they can get low 70's like they showed in last effort, but I expect Cavs scoring to go up today. Defensive numbers for Cavs tend to group 2 or more consecutive games giving +96 or more and Washington is same in offensive numbers grouping +96 points or more.

CLEVELAND/WASHINGTON OVER 190.5 at +105 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.05 unit

NBA Playoff Wednesday

Playing a little hardcourt tonight with Nuggets at Lakers. You guys read all the hype, but you know it ain't all that. Lakers, Koby and Co., are going to bring it on at Staples and Denver can't get stops they're not going to win. I think that simple analogy will play out.

LAKERS -7.5 at -116 for 2 units(W)

1-0 +2.00 units

NBA Friday

New York Knicks are playing good ball in April, 5-1 ATS, and they are going to be trouble for Hawk backers tonight in MSG. The situation maybe critical and Atlanta has zig zaged this month, but this team loses more than twice as much on the road and giving up this type of number is a play I will take on the home team.

NY KNICKS +6 at +100 for 1 unit(L)

1-0 -1.00 unit

NBA Tuesday

NBA plays have been cold, but I just like these two games I going to put money on them.

I have no faith in Miami and have them on cruise control fade.
Chicago Bulls -9.5 for +100 at 1 unit(L)

I think Hornet will get it home against Utah Jazz at home and I will give the points.
Hornets -4.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -2.05 units

NBA Sunday

This number has come down and yet it's still a very high number as Kings will need to help out reaching this number. Still Laker full squad in place the pace looks to be high and Kings love to take on top contenders at Arco.

Los Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings
OVER 220.5 at -109 for 1 unit(L)

Lost my touch 0-1 -1.09 units

NBA Saturday

Hawks at Sixers. This game just played out in tightly contested game April 4th and on the second leg of back to back with venue moving to the city of brotherly love. Both teams have been playing hard, Hawks 5 game win streak came to an end at the hands of 76ers, and will there be a revenge on this Saturday game? I don't think the revenge situation weighs as much as the fact Hawks have struggled on the road and they are not a good back to back team. I'll give the point here.

76ers -6 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.05 units

NBA Friday

It's been awhile since I wrote anything on the Association, but you know I've been doing my homework. Tonight I will back Memphis at home getting hefty +9.5 against the must win Warriors. Golden State needs the wins no doubt and they can roll with the right mind set. The only problem with these late season games are clubs out of the race with a bit of a bounce, Grizz strung 2 wins back to back. The Warriors have been killing the sub .500 teams, but obvious surface only covers the 50% ATS wins. I'm taking a shot the win will fall short of Warrior's cover with Grizzlies showing some skills.

MEMPHIS +9.5 at -108 for 1 unit(L)

In the dust.
0-1 -1.08 units

NBA Monday

Had a thought on San Antonio slipping at Phoenix making two losses in a row and three losses in a row ATS. May not be any concern as they head back to the cozy confines back home where they are solid 26-5 & 13-4 in revenge situation. Of course both are SU records and ATS will paint a different picture, but I do like the Under here and I think Denver's points will come at a premium. Watching this one for now.

What the hell? Wasn't this Total somewhere like 204? Yes, it was high as 204.5 waited bit too long and it's probably a good thing to lay off this puppy. I mean 204 was OK, just OK, not great and going under this number wouldn't surprise me, but the value has been sucked out and everyone is on it. Moving on to something else.

Dallas will host the depleted Knicks and there is a guideline about wounded team, but this is going to be one of those early knock out type of game. I do fear Dallas taking a big lead and coasting the 2nd half so here goes a rare short game.

DAL -7.5 First Half at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Easy 1-0 +1.00 unit