Take the Suns Money Line across the board. It's a game of balances and adjustments. Spot for Lakers to disappoint.

PHO 1st Half PK +109 for 1 unit(P)
PHO ML +109 for 1 unit(L)
What a classical moose job and to think I had the ATS option.

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I was supposed to update my MLB plays this morning, but watching the Heat vs Bulls game, sorry couldn't help myself. I liked the UNDER at United Center too late talking about it now.
I also like the UNDER at Sacramento.
Kings know they got the lucky bounce many followers of the zig zag theory may look heavy to Spurs, but Kings will not lack motive. Big public play on Spurs, but I'm not giving +4.5 to Kings at Arco. The game will play out tight and low for regulation below 188. I'm buying the 1.5 points.

Here are couple of late additions.

SAS/SAC UNDER 189.5 at -123 for 2 units(W)
SAS/SAC 1st Half UNDER 93 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
SAC +1.5 1st Quarter at -102 for 1 unit(W)

I tried adding SAC +5.5 2nd Half and UNDER 94.5 2nd Half, but it would not post. Late game surge in NBA making it break even with loss in MLB.
2-2-1 +0.95 units

Half time windows don't give much time for write ups.
Mavs at Grizz. Grizzlies playing for their playoff lives making an statement in the first half. I don't think the Mavs are going quietly in the 2nd.

DAL -2.5 2nd Half -102 for 1 unit(W)

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Detroit at Milwaukee coming to half time.
Pistons are getting dominated in the paint and ah, Big Ben Wallace has been used sparingly in the first with Hunter and McDyess getting a good load.
Flip did say something about being able to run in the open, but this is not Detroit basketball. They will take away the paint and if the Bucks shooting cools watch out.

Looking for Detroit 2nd half line.

Even if they start locking up the Total at 95 seems reachable, but Under is still the call and I would of taken it at 98. No play on 2nd half total keep in mind the second half juiced plays gets moosed at pretty high clip making the +money plays very profitable. I would say Under and Detroit ATS are good value.
I will go against the grain with Detroit -7 which is saying Piston to take the game. I expect nothing less.

My expectation was too high? Bucks are driving at will this play has no chance.

DET -7 2nd Half +105 for 1 unit(L)

I'm stuck on these splits.
1-1 Even

Denver will show some urgency today back home with series 0-2.
There is also an strong 1st quarter Over trend which was broken in last game.
Look for the 1st quarter scoring to surge and Nuggets to run the floor with their tempo.

LAC/DEN 1st Quarter Over 49 points -118 for 2 units(L)
DEN -2.5 -111 for 2 units(W)
DEN -4 at -125 for 3 units(W)

Are we not entertained? Not a pretty game, but money maker still the same.
2-1 +2.64 units

What's happening with the NBA Playoffs?
Lakers tradition and Los Angeles deep pocket is undermining Phoenix Suns today. I give credit to Lakers defense in their last game to take ATS, but Suns are pretty good value to take the First Half

PHO 1st Half -3 +100 for 1 unit(L)
Could not have been any more wrong the ATS play for the Suns lost 1st Quarter, 1st Half and the Game only 2nd Half won. Excellent work by the Lakers to slow the game which has now spanned 7 out of 8 quarters since the series kicked off in Phoenix. Keep in mind is the lack of Matrix slashing to the inside against the Lakers and the overall inside pressure by the Suns.
How will DiAntoni adjust? Was the Suns regular season smoke & mirrors? They really need to raise the tempo to get this thing started.
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I'll make this quick as the Dallas clamp is coming down for the 2nd half.

MEM/DAL 2nd Half Under 92 -105 for 1 unit(W)
Saw that coming in the 2nd quarter Mavs been doing it all season since the All Star Break. History holds the Unders to be the trend in post season plays, but keep watch on shaded numbers.

1-1 even

NBA regular season comes to an end tonight.
Lets speculate on meaningless game with slew of regulars getting some rest.
The match up I like is North West leader Denver Nuggets visiting the Seattle Sonics. Nuggets will suit up 8 and play only 7. Melo, Camby, KMart are all expected to rest and Miller will get limited minutes. Denver simply are not considering this game their practice scheme was all plays against the 1st round opponent Clippers.
The Sonics look to close their last home game strong. The last game against the must win Kings at Arco was Sonics ATS win & 2nd Half ATS win and the Total went Over with Sonics like tempo.
Seattle across the board.

SEA 1st Quarter -2 -105 for 2 units(W)
SEA 1st Half -3.5 -108 for 2 units(W)
SEA -7 -107 for 1 unit(W)

Meaningless to some, but gold mine to cappers.
3-0 +5.00 units

Little rest to clear my mind. Set my MLB plays on the early lines to avoid cross-over thinking.

This is what I came up with for NBA.
Nets are not closing out the regular season strong like they had hoped, 3 losses out of last 5 and 5 losses of last 8. To coincide with their ATS losses are the numbers going Over 5 out of last 6 and Nets defense giving up +99 points 4 out of last 5. Keep in mind NJN will focus on this very point and their defensive scheme gives them the winning chance.
Boston alternating O/U with last game against the Pacers going 112-117 (SU loss/ATS win & Over 188.5) blow out over by margin of 40.5 points.
This is a spot for the score to drop and I would calculate in the mid 190's, but given the situation for Nets to notch up their defense and Boston's last game lacking so much on the board (out rebounded 25-42) this should be a game where the scores will not come easy.

Buy the 1.5 on current exchange. 193 looks Under and this would be my normal 2 unit play, but just getting back.

NJN/BOS UNDER 194.5 -123 for 1 unit(W)
Solid Under at 153. How do you like them apples.
1-0 +1.00 unit

Never say never, but I'm taking a break from NBA.
Can't seem to chew gum and walk at the same time.
Not having any balance analyzing two sports in NBA to MLB transition.
Wish I had another head or more time in a day. Had similar troubles before Batis came along with his Math Stat algorithm on MLB and he'll be back when enough data is collected.
I will wait for playoffs to publish my NBA speculation and concentrate on value play in MLB.

Pick made at season's start, Suns to win Pacific Division, will give me some ammo.

Cleveland and New Jersey in early game. It's almost game time, my thoughts are Cavs will trail this match up, but they will stalk the Nets in striking range.
I'm think Cavs will have value going into the second half.
If you have not noticed/experienced the 2nd half value plays the selections have been money. Just watch the money flow the wrong way and take the plus money. It's been happening over and over. Cleveland is running low in depth
and LBJ wants it to be a team thing, not him taking over scoring 40+ points, but he'll do what he needs to do.

Lets start with Nets leading the first quarter with couple of baskets.

NETS -1.5 1st Quarter -114 for 1 unit(L)
*Just watched this line go to -124

Nets are letting the pace get away, where's the interior defense? I'm sure it's coming back.
CLE/NJN 2nd Half UNDER 92 -117 for 2 units(L)
Touted the Cavs 2nd half and took the bad total instead.
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I hope my plays climb like the Cavs today.
OK, battle worn Wizards are back home to take on the shaky Miami team.
Can the Heat turn it on when they need it? I think they need it now and must set the tone of this game in out of the gate.

MIA -1 1st Quarter -107 for 2 units(L)
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This one goes down it'll be the last play of the day.
PHL/CHI 1st Quarter Over 50 -105 for 2 units(L)
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I think I pulled my hammy, better go on DL.... Done for the day, hitting the showers. I'll study the videos, see what I did wrong Hopefully the coach will let me back on the floor. Got to hit better percentage than that.

No more money plays, but you guys want some plays to fade here you go....
These are what I like so go the other way.....
76er 2nd half +6
DAL 2nd half PK
DAL/NOH 2nd half Under 93.5

Infukcrediable, no money plays all win so even the faders got burned.
I even liked UTA 2nd half -6, but didn't bother to write that one in as the 2nd half was bit later than the rest.

I know, I need to update the season record....been putting it off.

0-4 -7.72 units

Friday is here and we will try to combine payday with winday to double your pleasure.

Orlando Magic is surging at home, note the scoring surge, and they have taken out some tough foes. Pistons make the short trip from Miami on their second of B2B after playing their usual defense and pulling away in the end.
Going back to my old playbook I will back the game going Over.
Buying the 1.5 points to take it down to 186 and the key to this play will require the Magic to stay hot from the field and keep up the energy on the board.

DET/ORL OVER 186 -126 for 1 unit(L)
Are you kidding me, two missed FT that would of sent this to OT and missed lay up that would of sent it to OT.
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Mavericks at Spurs in the Texas Holdem Down game. Dallas needs to focus and bring back their defense to get things back on track. Spurs big man, Duncan - stomach virus maybe slow and Udrih is questionable with ankle problem, but thats going to hinder offense more than defense. Buy the 1.5 points

DAL/SAS UNDER 188.5 -123 for 2 units(W)
I should of posted the 2nd Half Under as both teams clamp down.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
My short game on sides today. Washington making the playoff push.
Wiz are on the road, but they should come out pumped.
Hawks some how pull out the win and these hard fought wins seems to dissipate on the following game.

WAS -1.5 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(W)
This was a good call.

2-1 +1.74 units

I'm looking at a interesting game coming up.
I guess the early money likes Koby and Company getting +4.5 points at Pinny, but consensus at Covers/Wagerline is on Denver. Maybe the case of Sharps vs Public. But I can't believe Anthony gave away that last game with time remaining, punching the ball in frustration 25 rows into the seats, costing the Nuggets a technical, which Sam hit, and Clippers got to call the Nuggets player to shoot the FT since Anthony was ejected from the game. Evans got the call and promptly missed both costing another 2 points, so 3 points Denver gave to Clippers for free and outcome was LAC by 2 points. Don't forget Nuggets had 20 points advantage at the half and they let Clippers come back.
Now Clippers responded well against the Suns dominating the 2nd half and crushing the rested Suns at home, Clips playing 2nd of B2B.
How will Denver respond returning home with a open day to soak?
I think they come out running and gunning.
How about the Lakers? Their last game, home against Yao and the Rockets was all Lakers. On this particular night at Staples was free Tacos for everyone attending. The deal was, Lakers hold opponent, Rockets, below 90 points you get a free Taco. So with time running out the crowd was chanting "We Want Tacos!" and with each Rockets stop the crowd was going wild. Koby was laughing telling his team mates, everyone wants Tacos. They got the Taco, funny stuff.
As for this match up I like Denver/Lakers to run up the score out of the gate.
Predicting 1st Quarter line at 53.

Check back in the morning.

Not quite morning yet, but the game total 205 which opened at 206 is recovering at 205 Over -122 at Pinny and see many books at 205.5 so Pinny is taking in Over money with this number you can buy down to 203.5
Does this mean anything? Maybe the book is balancing the money flow, maybe the early sharp money came in at 206 plus 1.5 points on buy to get Under 207.5 in either case, Lakers have not allowed 100+ points in last 10 games and Nuggets play their best game when holding opponents below -100 points and they failed to do so on last two games with the last one surging to 111 points.
This may not be pure offense as it first appears. Nuggets might adjust their defense. If I decide on going Under I want much points as possible.

Now it's past noon PST, 12:22 to be exact, looking back at what I wrote this is leading to conflicting wager a very basic no no in betting. If offsetting was the reasoning it's different, but to back both Over & Under in the same match is not good. Having said all this the play will probably win with my NBA luck right now. So what am I doing? I'm staying with 1st Quarter to play out Over 53. Public has pushed the game total back to 206, but I will consider 2nd Half play after concluding my 1st Quarter pick and watching the 1st Half.

LAL/DEN 1st Quarter OVER 53 -105 for 1 unit(W)
Yeah the game played out just as I thought (sailing Over out of the gate and slowing down to 99-99 in regulation), but I didn't have the mind to put more on this play considering I spent more time capping NBA over MLB and I made the bigger bet on baseball, mistake.
1-0 +1.00 unit

If you have been fading the New York Knicks, plays have been money.
But did you know Knicks fade gets better if you are playing the early game.

KNICKS 1st Half have lost 8 out of last 10
KNICKS 1st Quarter have lost 9 out of last 10, just as good as fading NYK SU.
KNICKS ATS have lost 7 out of last 10

Beside Cavs on B2B off 124 scoring, way over the regulation norm, I rather take the early game and take the game to go Under.

CAVS -2 1st Quarter -105 for 2 units(L)
CAVS -4 1st Half -105 for 1 unit(L)

CAVS/KNICKS UNDER 205 -111 for 1 unit(W)
*Sorry, line is from last night

Even the Under almost got moosed just missing the OT.
1-2 -2.15 units

I'm back from watching the Dodger at Angels Freeway Series exhibition game.
Didn't put anything on the game, kinda rooted for both teams and ended in 0-0 tie in 10 innings.

Once upon a time I was shooting hotter than hell in NBA, it was not that long ago, but now mediocre selections are piling up and I've been considering moving on to MLB. But old habits die hard.

NBA on ABC Sunday will feature Suns at Pistons.
When I look at this match up I see Suns coming off 140 - 126 Milwaukee romp, prior to that win over Indy in another triple digit scoring (114-104), all ofcourse without Amare, but to say all is now well is just foolish especially with Suns high flying on extended road trip (5 games in 7 days with 2 B2B with one open day in between) you never now how much gas is in the tank.
Suns upcoming opponent has viewed how Nets, Kidd neutralized Nash and showed it can be done. Amare did complicate matters in that game, but the focus was Nash. Your all thinking this is leading to Detroit or maybe even Detroit 1st Half well it's not. Call me foolish, call me crazy, you can even fade this play, but I'm thinking this game goes Under.
I actually think this is a pretty good situation Suns 140 points is a scoring peak and Pistons 112 points, come from behind, to beat Bucks 105 is another peak.
Pistons showed they can pick up the pace, but at home after a game where Bucks led most of the way and willed the up tempo style Pistons will force their will to keep the next opponent below 100+ points.
I'll hit this for a unit, most likely just before the game or if the total moves up sharply. If you ask me, why not Pistons? I'd say I do like Pistons and I may take them in the 2nd Half, but I'm playing my strong suit and that's the totals.
Good luck Players.

Sorry for my late return.
Had to get to the Airport this morning, but hit the game Under with 1.5 point buy to take PHO/DET UNDER 211.5 and second half was golden with UNDER 206, I was looking to recover game going Over, all ended good.

Thinking of taking Sixers ATS First Half -5.5 *buy the point at -113

Early line anyone?
Not pulling the trigger yet, but I will wait for the Half Game lines to take my play. Dallas at Orlando, I see players like the recent Over trend with both of these teams. I don't see it that way. Here are two teams with strong defensive tendencies coming off losing games allowing opponents to score in triple digits respectively. I see both teams stepping up the "D", nothing easy will be a give me in the paint. With that said I think 188 is a very sharp line, I would of taken the Under at 190 or better, but at this Total I'm going to need the Public to help push to the number higher, I think there's a good chance.
The half game line will be shaded Over, take the Under 95 or better.
Also consider 1st Quarter at Under 48 or better.
Keep in mind Public money will go Over so pick your entry point carefully.

Lines are out.
DAL/ORL 1st Quarter Under 48.5 -108 for 1 unit(L)

DAL/ORL 1st Half Under 96 -108 for 1 unit(L)

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MIL at DET is another game Total I will be watching at 189.5
This is a spot for the score to drop, Bucks are not going to get close to 132, but that doesn't make this game Under 189.5. The Pistons with 4th quarter close out of Dallas, wire-to-wire win against 76ers seems to lead to schooling of Bucks, but Bucks are brimming with scoring confidence which has produced +99 points scoring 4 out of last 5 with Over cashing all 4 times, opponents have also scored +99 points in 4 of last 5

I'll be back.

OK, this is what I'm going with.

MIL/DET 1st Half Over 94 -109 for 1 unit(W)

1-2 -1.16 units

I know, I've never published a Prop. wager, but here is one I'm backing tonight. Here is a spot for Suns offense to correct it's flaws. Specifically the offense out of the gate should improve with Amare out of the play scheme.
Now Suns can refocus on Matrix slashing to the basket with no regards to who's doing what in the paint. Let's look for good spacing and patented ball movement by the Suns.

PHO/IND GAME
SHAWN MARION TO SCORE OVER 20.5 -110 for 1 unit(W)
*Holy cow the price has moved to -150 !

How about 29 points.
1-0 +1.00 unit

Simple bounce back play on the Suns out of the gate. I didn't study too hard on this one.

PHO -1.5 1st Quarter -111 for 1 unit(L)
That what I get for not doing any homework.

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Last game of the night. Spurs vs Clips in Half time.
Home team adjustment to close the score.

LAC -1 2nd Half -107 for 2 units(L)

0-2 -3.25 units

BetCrimes still having problems posting stats? I may have to try and catch him in public forum. His charts are great forecast indicator, it's like going fishing and he tells you where the fishes are biting. Regardless of your fishing success or failure, you're fishing in the right spot.

Well we are back to Monday Dog Day which has failed to cash in the past two tries. Last night's NBA had Nets upsetting Pistons at home and Sonics at the buzzard to take out San Antonio at home must of hit the wallets of Fav backers.
Nets are the home dogs today playing the second leg of B2B, road - home game. It's the final stretch, Nets are pulling ahead in the Atlantic and they are hot right now 8-2 with 8 win streak in their last 10 games. How are they in B2B?
This year Nets have not lost 2nd of B2B on which they won the 1st game.
But this is not a easy dog, Suns are very tough on winning teams with 21-8 ATS and they are catching the Nets who toppled Detroit at home with no rest.
Public and Sharps backing the Suns, ATS opened Suns -2 moving to -3.5/-4
Total opened 209.5 dropped 3 points to 206.5, even this number looks pretty high. Books are expecting big numbers on the scoring bounce back spot, still looks too high.

NJN +3 1st Half -104 for 1 unit(W)

PHO/NJN Under 2nd Half 101.5 +103 for 1 unit(W)
Win by the hook

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I also have a short game with WAS/GSW.

WAS/GSW 1st Half OVER 103 -116 for 1 unit(L)

Having posting issues. Publishing is not appearing with first entry.
How do I fix this? Is it the size? I don't think it's that big.
2-1 +0.84 units

Something about the Hawks makes Mavs a tough pick today. We have the Sharps backing Atlanta line has moved from Home dog Atlanta +8 to +6.5
This is a case of Mavericks NOT covering speculation. Dallas as good as they are, 7-3 SU wins last 10 games, but ATS are 4-6 last 10. Looks pretty good.
I'm not biting. I like Dallas to cover ATS for the first quarter. Atlanta has failed to cover 1st quarter ATS 7-3. Numbers are good as taking opponents SU.

DAL -2 First Quarter -105 for 2 units(W)

I like this game to go Under. Dallas score peaked with 121-122 loss to Golden State with Avery Johnson steaming about no defense for the Mavs.
Dallas have not recorded back to back Over in past 10 games.
Atlanta coming off 106-115, another high regulation number especially the score they gave up.

DAL/ATL UNDER 197 -116 for 2 units(W) *buy 1 point

Good day.
2-0 +4.00 units

Working on turn around at the Association.
I think my best advise of the day is take XMLB or NHL on the other blog link.
But if you have some money just burning a hole in your pocket and insist on playing the hardcourt you've come to the right place.

Here we go.

The Nets scoring surge topped by 41 point 4th quarter, 112 points against 100 for the home team Wizards.
Minny scored 100 points against 96 for the home team Heats.
Without getting into the details of my number breakdown, I will simply say
both teams peaking in score and this match up will go Under.
I think the number will go my way, waiting to pull the trigger.
Right now the number is 184, open was 181.5 and you can buy 1.5 points at Pinny.

Got it.
NJN/MIN UNDER 185.5 -133 for 2 units(W)

The game went accordingly.
1-0 +2.00 units

Back on the short game.

SAC/LAL 1st Quarter Over 51 -115 for 1 unit(L)

The picks are becoming "fade's"
0-1 -1.15 units

Big card tomorrow and though I'm staying off the early lines here are some that stands out for deeper look.

NJN/WAS UNDER 195
Bias on strength of Nets defense and rarely does Nets match up end in both teams scoring 99+ in regulation. Nets are rolling which means defense is working. Money flowing Over and worth watching.

HOU/DAL
Mavs will play up tempo against opponent coming in 2nd of back to back.
I'd speculate 1st half Over and 2nd half Under, maybe Game Over 176~177.
I'm thinking the numbers are sinking too low when Yao's game has improved .

MIA/MIN UNDER 198
This is a high number for these two teams.

PHO -6, the public play?

I'll be back.

It's late morning, 11:30 PST, and looking at what I liked early has nothing jumping out.
NJ at Washington Under play has moved 1 point down.
Miami at Minny Under dropped to 195
Phoenix is -5.5 and I'm starting to think Jazz will cover.

I still like early scoring in Houston at Dallas. Yao dominant inside, Rockets out scored Clips in the paint and beat them on the glass. Offensive rebounds for 2nd chance shots made up 42% shooting to improve scoring output over 90+ team points. Dallas owns the match up, 12 win out of 15 games, and at home Mavs have won 6 out of 7.
This looks to be another Mavs signature game with Dallas scoring over 99+ points holding opponents below 99- points.

HOU/DAL 1st Quarter Over 44 -105 for 2 units(L)
HOU/DAL 1st Half Over 88.5 -105 for 1 unit(L)
Come back from a nice day at the ball park only to find my NBA plays were crap.
0-2 -3.15 units