NBA Thursday

Taking another over night line with Clippers at Seattle. These two teams are playing right now and they will play again tomorrow. I think the game will sink Under in L.A. and sink Under in Seattle, but I will watch the line thru the morning and take a small position now.

I got a good spot with 199 and no use getting greedy at this point with 196.5, besides the trend is only good as players falter and Ray Allen playing 7 points under his average on the first leg should be factored for tonight. I'd still think Under on 2nd of back to back, but playing it careful.

LAC/SEA Under 199 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

No overtime, easy winner!
1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Wednesday

Didn't like anything Tuesday, but I do like the match up in New Orleans. Hawks at Hornets are both in position for scoring increase. Hornets come in on 2nd of back to back with Chris Paul dropping way below his scoring average inside game by Hornets big men did most of the damage, but perimeter shooting was a dud I think they will hit the mark against the Hawks.
Hawks on the other hand got schooled in Dallas with no excuse only attempted 66 shots and 3 tries from downtown making one! But they did run the court 23 fast break points and Joe Johnson did get 29 points in losing cause. The rest of Hawks will need to respond and both teams have been taking the number Over (ATL 7-3) (NO 8-1-1) last 10 games.

ATL/NOH OVER 190 at -110 for 3 units(W)

This one came in right on mark.
1-0 +3.00 units

NBA Monday

Will the fader plays keep coming? We shall see. The game I'm playing today is Portland at Seattle. Both teams get a nice Total at 203 and the nature of the game is Under. I know the Blazers defense is giving up triple digits and Sonics are scoring triple digits, but Blazers on the road gives a bit of a twist on low percentage offense.

POR/SEA Under 203 at -110 for 2 units(W)

About time!
1-0 +2.00 units

NBA Sunday

I don't think I'm lacking effort, but maybe time. It's been a busy February and March will be more of the same. I've also strayed away from playing the numbers and it's human nature to want to take the sides. With help of will power I'll take the Under with Kings at Pacers.
It just does not deserve total this high, but what the hell do I know about NBA?

SAC/IND Under 202.5 at -122 for 3 units(L)

Am I surprised? No....110-93 for total of 203

0-1 -3.66 units

NBA Friday

Trying to follow the bouncing ball. I have not been well at all, but all will be well if I can get out of this slump.

Boston will be in L.A. and maybe I would of attended this game if I was home. I just know Lakers are not clicking and Celtics are keeping their game close. I'll take the 8 points.

BOS +8 at -110 for 2 units(L)

0-1 -2.20 units

It's late Febuary Lets high Pick & Roll

I've neglected NBA for awhile, but baseball's been on my mind. Matter of fact all bets have been off the table for sometime. Don't really have anything smart to say, not that my picks been sharp before, just that I will be backing Cleveland at home. Yes, taking the favorite at home not the Under for a small spot.

CLE -3 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

Still no love from NBA? Should of stuck with the Under.
0-1 -1.10 units

NBA Sunday

It's Superbowl Sunday boys and girls. If you still have the basketball Jones you can follow along and preview the L.A. Clippers at Toronto Raptors. Raptors are good they remind me of last years Clippers. Clippers are getting better though +3 points may not be enough. I do like the defensive nature of this match up with both teams trending lower in scoring for their past two games. 194 Total with recent performance landing between 189~197.5, but front court looks to play tough as the middle will be clogged up with bodies.

LAC/TOR Under 194 at -110 for 3 units(L)

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Playing the Under trend with Detroit at Cleveland.

DET/CLE Under 184 at -110 for 3 units(W)

NBA Friday

Thank God it's Friday. I was sure, sure, sure, Spurs would cover with +7 points last night in Phoenix. Glad I didn't publisher another losing side. I need to keep pounding into my head "STAY WITH TOTALS"

GSW Team Total Over 105 at -110 for 2 units

Coming off two road blow out games both games while averaging about 95 points -10 below their season average, while shooting just 42 percent from the field and 8 percent from beyond the 3-point arc. Do you feel the urgency? I do.

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LAKERS Team Total Over 98.5 at -110 for 2 units

Maybe their not going to pour in 111 points against Pacers, but good chance exceeding 99 points.
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TOR/ATL Over 190 at -110 for 3 units

Bit of the old 10 point rule. If both teams scored 10 points or more above their average in their last games deduct 10 points from their last offensive score and compare to given total. It's still Over 200 points.

NBA Tuesday

It's raining in L.A. not a good day to go out. I'm sure the Freeways will be screwed for rush hour. If you can't leave early mind as well stay late.
I was looking at two games and narrowed it to one. The game I passed was Seattle at Dallas -12 which I like Mavs laying points, but remembered the sides were killing me.
So I'll go with Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers Total 188.5 O/U. Boston will have Wally Szczerbiak, but he will play on short leash. Boston showed no energy getting out boarded 51-38 against Wizards and bench scored only 12 points. So I expect better effort from C's. The current roster just does not have the fire power to out score their opponents. They will need to narrow their attempts and get high percentage conversions. Indy after loosing to Detroit should be eager to get back to winning and that means defending the home court.

BOS/IND Under 188.5 at -110 for 2 units(L)

Sorry for late publishing.
See if I can crunch another game for make up.
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Lakers at Knicks Over 204 at -110(OFF LOAD)

I don't care if Kobe's out.
Forget the Over in New York. Let's just stay with my other choice with Dallas -12 and Sonics/Mavericks Over 100 First Half and 199 Game.

DAL -12 at -110 for 2 units(W)
SEA/DAL First Half Over 100 at -110 for 2 units(W)
SEA/DAL Over 199 at -110 for 2 units(W)

3-1 +3.80 units

NBA Monday

It's back to Monday.
Portland Trailblazer at New Orleans Hornets.
This game Total will play out with two different halfs. Hornets are keeping the scoring low, but breaking 179~180 mark can be reached with good FT's.
Looking for First Half to fall below.

POR/NOH First Half Under 90 at -110 for 2 units(L)
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Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves Over across the board.
-110 at 2 units each.
First Quarter 52.5(W)
First Half 105.5(W)
Game 210(W)
3-1 +3.80 units

NBA Sunday

Indiana Pacers at Detroit Pistons.
I like the game in Detroit to go Under. Yes, the Pacers have been giving up points (1/12, 1/15, 1/18, 1/20 four straight Overs with opponents pouring in triple digits) than the tide shifted with 3 straight Unders, one game was a OT Under. The Palace has always been tough for Pacers to score and the books have shaded the number. I'll still go for the Under.

IND/DET Under 185.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

The number is higher now and I understand the dynamics have changed. Current form on both teams looks to take this Over easy, but nothing is easy. Oddsmakers made this call expecting Over action and I should of been smarter to wait on this Total. I'll increase the size at 187.5 or better and take First Half Under.

IND/DET Under 187.5 at -110 for 2 units(W)
IND/DET First Half Under 94 at +100 for 1 unit(W)
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San Antonio Spurs at Los Angeles Lakers.
Have to take the Spurs. Lakers have given up triple digits in 8 of last 10 games, dropping 8 of last 10 ATS. Spurs are tough pick ATS, but I think they get it done.

SAS -3 at -110 for 3 units(L)

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Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics.
Washington to come out of the gate.

WAS -1.5 First Quarter at -110 for 2 units(L)

Both losses come at single possession! I'm beating myself after vowing to take the numbers and sides kill the day.
3-2 -1.50 units

NBA Saturday

Utah Jazz at New Orleans Hornets.
Hornets are keeping it close and last 10 ATS record is 8-2. Books are all over from 2.5 to 6.5 and taking the middle looks pretty good.
Considering Hornets scored only 88 points in their last two games increased scoring will be likely and Jazz in second of back to back their production may go down, but adjusted scoring looks to higher than any of their previous match up. The Under just looks luring.

UTA/NOH Over 191.5 at -110 for 2 units(L)
This game is going nowhere.
UTA/NOH 2nd Half Under 95.5 -110 for 2 units (L)
I've been making some bad calls, but this one tops the list.
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New Jersey Nets at Denver Nuggets.
I'll take this one Under. Nets are not playing their game.

NJN/DEN Under 210.5 at -105 for 2 units(L)
Can't believe Nets scored so many points.
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LAC First Quarter -1.5 at -110 for 3 units(L)
MIN/LAC First Quarter Under 46.5at -110 for 3 units(W)
MIN/LAC First Half Under 93 at -110 for 3 units(W)

MIN/LAC 2nd Half Over 94 at -110 for 3 units(W)

Bobcats/Warriors Over across the board 2units each at -110
54.5(W)
108(W)
210(W)

Guess I got bit heated. Will stay on the Totals.
6-4 +5.2 units

NBA Friday

Be back later on these two likely plays.

Cleveland at Philadelphia
PHL

Boston at Toronto
BOS

OK, I'll back Boston in Toronto facing the red hot Raptors. It's a bit of buy low sell high play and Raptors giving -8.5 or more is just no value.
Boston is a bottom feeder having lost 9 out of last 10, but ATS 3 out of last 5. Those ATS wins have come against San Antonio, Washington, Atlanta and Detroit.

BOS +9 at -110 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units

NBA Wednesday

Some early thoughts, but not pulling the trigger yet.

Detroit Pistons at Charlotte Bobcats.
First impression I like the Cats at home getting +6.5 and the Under 187.

76ers at Cleveland. I like the Under 188.

Houston at San Antonio. I like the Over 180.5 and final selection will come in the morning.

My Wednesday selection has nothing to do with thoughts from last night.
Taking the late night game Nets at Golden State Warriors. Don't like East coast team making the trip West. It's the nature of time zone moving forward and Warriors at home coming off a loss in L.A. with ATS cover.

GSW -5 at -110 for 2 units(L)
NJN/GSW Under 205.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

2nd Half Minnesota at Portland Under 91 at -110 for 2 units(L)

0-3 -5.50 units

NBA Tuesday

It's a big game day, the battle of the Cappers. Money players are split and of course the NBA viewers have high expectation for tonight's match up in the North West......Denver Nuggets at Seattle Supersonics.
High octane dynamic duo Mello and AI make their second appearance and the Nuggets are expected to go all the way. Critical point here is the 4th game in 5 days for Nuggets playing on the road, second of back to back. The wagering public has shrug off such notion with 75.27% backing Denver giving up points. In combination the line is showing reverse movement from +3 to +2.5 Sonics. Once again fading the public on +75% team with reverse line movement on the spread.


SEA +3 for 1 unit(L)
Much closer than box score, but loss.
0-1 -1.10 units

NBA Monday

Took a day off Basketball and watched NFL with some friends.
No money selection on Football and had fun. I must of been the only one in the room with nothing riding. It's kind of funny observing people biting their nails. Pats vs Colts was a classic with everyone crammed in front of the TV and we had quite of few people with Pats +3 or +3.5 getting moosed at the end.

Moving on to NBA and fresh off the drawing board.
Chicago Bulls at Indiana Pacers.
I view the Bulls as a streaky team this season much more than a zig zag team. Bulls off of 10 point home loss (-16.5 ATS) to Utah are now on the road (6-12 ATS). Indy is in good form even with season high 4 consecutive SU losses, three of those losses were one possession, and O'neal is going to will this revenge match.

IND -1 at -110 for 3 units(W)
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New York Knicks at Miami Heat.
Where are the books looking to get all the points from? I think this is a ugly game.

NYK/MIA Under 197.5 at -110 for 2 units(W)

Good day at last! I was thinking of thousands of angles before I settled for the two winners above, but I also had thoughts on Batis's play from last season, the old Monday Dog play with Boston home dog, which would of cashed. Ride the Toronto ATS play, which would of cashed. Oh yeah I had Magic & Cavs and Nets & Kings circled to go Under, both would of cashed. Selections and Leans perfect for Monday.
2-0 +5.00 units

NBA Saturday

Orlando Magic at New Jersey Nets.

Nets coming off a rare triple digit scoring for and against at New York.
Orlando giving up 2nd highest home scoring 114 and getting out boarded badly. Adjustments are coming.

NJN/ORL UNDER 180.5 at -110 for 2 units(L)
Not feeling these games lately. The game turn tides in 2nd half taking this Over by a mile.
0-1 -2.20 units

NBA Friday

Raptors are playing again. Why not take the hot team at home? Jazz are not playing quality ball at all, but this is a scary match where the books have placed ATS -1 for the Home team Toronto. If I had to guess Raptors are a bit square play and Jazz may have some chase money riding.
Whatever the case Raptors are on auto pilot for now. I had them pegged to be a top tier ATS team this season and they are still regarded in low ranking. Raptors are not making any headlines, but closing out games.

TOR -1 at -110 for 2 units(L)
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Crooked number for the day is Heat at 76ers. Don't you see Sixers rag tag team getting crushed by Miami riding 5 out of 6 ATS and SU?
Everyone and their grandmother is on Heat so why is the line still 2.5? There are some 3, but that does not look right.

PHL +3 at -115 for 2 units(W)
1-1 -0.20 units

NBA Thursday

Lakers at Mavericks.
Lakers playing 2nd leg of road back to back. Taking out San Antonio Spurs at home SU and ATS. Are the Lakers real contenders? We will see tonight. Lakers are a excellent ATS team much better than Dallas. Sure they have the best home record, but ATS is 10-9-2 and they have tendencies to not cover after a big margin win. 5.5 points over -7.5 for 13 point win margin, maybe not as big as 25 point against Portland, better than 10 point ATS against Spurs and first game of 2007 24 point margin win against Supersonics. All following games Dallas did not cover, one push. Lakers are known for their back to back woes dating back to last season, but when they are brimming with confidence and getting 10 points they look pretty good.

LAL +10 at -110 for 2 units(L)
0-1 -2.20 units

NBA Wednesday

Sacramento at Toronto.
Needless to say I will ride the Raptors even though the Kings are due for a win. If a win is in Sacramento's future I look forward to Boston.

TOR -4.5 at -110 for 2 units(W)
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Phoenix at Houston.
Rockets playing 2nd leg of back to back with another set back, loss of T-Mac at the closing minutes against Dallas. Houston lost by largest margin this year which was held before by loss against Phoenix. T-Mac is listed day to day, but his performance has been dominant when he is on the floor and if he can't get it going, watch out. Suns to come out of the gate.

PHO -1.5 First Quarter -110 for 1 unit(L)
1-1 +0.90 units