YTD 24-29-1 -0.20 units
Orlando at Philadelphia
Powerful Magic team comes to town and line makers have this just about tight as you can put the Sixers at +1.5 slight home dogs. You figure the books are thinking Sixers have a good chance to beat the Magic outright at home.
I agree.
76ers +1.5 +100 for 1 unit(L)
Couldn't hold that lead!
0-1 -1.00 unit
Saturday, February 28, 2009
Monday, February 09, 2009
NBA Tuesday
YTD 23-29-1 -1.28 units
Hello gang. Today I will follow Denver into Miami in what looks to be a tight contest. Miami Heat is D Wade & company which can hold their own especially in their home floor, but this Nuggets team is moving without much notice and they look the most dangerous. Denver Nuggets to take this away would not surprise me.
NUGGETS -1.5 at +108 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.08 units
Hello gang. Today I will follow Denver into Miami in what looks to be a tight contest. Miami Heat is D Wade & company which can hold their own especially in their home floor, but this Nuggets team is moving without much notice and they look the most dangerous. Denver Nuggets to take this away would not surprise me.
NUGGETS -1.5 at +108 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.08 units
Sunday, February 08, 2009
NBA Monday
YTD 23-28-1 -0.23 units
Clippers at Bobcats.
What can you say about a team with it's flagship radio station, 710 ESPN, dumping them in the middle of their season. ESPN is promoting the Lakers coming next season. Marred with injuries there's not much fight in the "Play it Loud" campaign, but return of Randolph has been a impact. Sure the raining 3's are a bit of anomaly, but Randolphs inside threat gives the shooters open looks. Yes, this game is winnable for the home team who are thirsting for one and they have beat the Clippers before, but Gordon and Throton has grown with the battles and Randolph's making it interesting.
Clippers +2.5 for -105 for 1 unit(L)
What a no-show for B.Davis!
0-1 -1.05 units
Clippers at Bobcats.
What can you say about a team with it's flagship radio station, 710 ESPN, dumping them in the middle of their season. ESPN is promoting the Lakers coming next season. Marred with injuries there's not much fight in the "Play it Loud" campaign, but return of Randolph has been a impact. Sure the raining 3's are a bit of anomaly, but Randolphs inside threat gives the shooters open looks. Yes, this game is winnable for the home team who are thirsting for one and they have beat the Clippers before, but Gordon and Throton has grown with the battles and Randolph's making it interesting.
Clippers +2.5 for -105 for 1 unit(L)
What a no-show for B.Davis!
0-1 -1.05 units
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
NBA Tuesday
YTD 20-27-1 -2.25 units
Milwaukee Bucks at New Jersey Nets.
Like the Bucks getting points and keeping it close
MIL. BUCKS +4.5 at -105 units(L)
BUCKS/NETS UNDER 196 at 100 for 1 unit(W)
Toronto at Cleveland
Going against my underdog nature.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS -10 at 103 for 1 unit(W)
BOSTON/76ERS OVER 191 at +102 for 1 unit(W)
3-1 +2.02 units
Milwaukee Bucks at New Jersey Nets.
Like the Bucks getting points and keeping it close
MIL. BUCKS +4.5 at -105 units(L)
BUCKS/NETS UNDER 196 at 100 for 1 unit(W)
Toronto at Cleveland
Going against my underdog nature.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS -10 at 103 for 1 unit(W)
BOSTON/76ERS OVER 191 at +102 for 1 unit(W)
3-1 +2.02 units
Monday, February 02, 2009
NBA Monday
YTD 19-27-1 -3.25 units
Looking to stop the slide tonight with L.A. Clippers at Miami Heat.
Haven't put this play down on blog, but its something I've been following for awhile and I'm riding the game Over.
CLIPPERS & HEAT OVER 191.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Yeah it takes a total play to stop the slide.
1-0 +1.00 unit
Looking to stop the slide tonight with L.A. Clippers at Miami Heat.
Haven't put this play down on blog, but its something I've been following for awhile and I'm riding the game Over.
CLIPPERS & HEAT OVER 191.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Yeah it takes a total play to stop the slide.
1-0 +1.00 unit
Saturday, January 31, 2009
NBA Saturday
YTD 18-26-1 -3.27 units
Somethings got to give with this continuing run of losers.
Utah Jazz at Portland Trailblazer.
I'm sure Blazers -9.5 suggests Jazz as the play for cover and normally I would invert the suggestions, but there has been too many of these.
UTAH JAZZ +9.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
This game total looks too high, but it's deceiving
NYK/IND OVER 226 at +107 for 1 unit(W)
1-1 +0.02 units
Somethings got to give with this continuing run of losers.
Utah Jazz at Portland Trailblazer.
I'm sure Blazers -9.5 suggests Jazz as the play for cover and normally I would invert the suggestions, but there has been too many of these.
UTAH JAZZ +9.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
This game total looks too high, but it's deceiving
NYK/IND OVER 226 at +107 for 1 unit(W)
1-1 +0.02 units
Friday, January 30, 2009
NBA Friday
YTD 18-25-1 -2.27 units
Last game on board tonight. I know Kings at Arco doesn't come close to the fortress it once was and Bulls are licking their chops to take the Kings down on their home court. Very likely scenario to break Bulls out of their norm and that's the public play. The line has reversed since opening which is always a precursor to a upset.
SACRAMENTO KINGS ML +100 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Last game on board tonight. I know Kings at Arco doesn't come close to the fortress it once was and Bulls are licking their chops to take the Kings down on their home court. Very likely scenario to break Bulls out of their norm and that's the public play. The line has reversed since opening which is always a precursor to a upset.
SACRAMENTO KINGS ML +100 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Thursday, January 29, 2009
NBA Thursday
YTD 18-24-1 -1.22 units
San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns.
In the valley of the Suns Spurs roll in on the Rodeo road trip. You know the story of this annual bonding event for the San Antonio group, but taking out the Jazz and coming here on second of back to back Spurs are a marked team.
SUNS -1.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.05 units
San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns.
In the valley of the Suns Spurs roll in on the Rodeo road trip. You know the story of this annual bonding event for the San Antonio group, but taking out the Jazz and coming here on second of back to back Spurs are a marked team.
SUNS -1.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.05 units
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
NBA Wednesday
YTD 18-23-1 -0.22 units
Bulls at Clippers Second Half.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS +0.5 at +100 for 1 unit(L)
Not feeling it.
0-1 -1.00 unit
Bulls at Clippers Second Half.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS +0.5 at +100 for 1 unit(L)
Not feeling it.
0-1 -1.00 unit
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
NBA Tuesday
YTD 18-21-1 +1.83 units
Charlotte Bobcats at Los Angeles Lakers.Look for Lakers out of the gate. Not much for motavation, but L.A. to set the tone early.
L.A. LAKERS FIRST HALF -6.5 at +100 for 1 unit(L)
Taking more of the same.
L.A. LAKERS SECOND HALF -7.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.05 units
Charlotte Bobcats at Los Angeles Lakers.Look for Lakers out of the gate. Not much for motavation, but L.A. to set the tone early.
L.A. LAKERS FIRST HALF -6.5 at +100 for 1 unit(L)
Taking more of the same.
L.A. LAKERS SECOND HALF -7.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.05 units
Sunday, January 25, 2009
NBA Monday
YTD 18-20-1 +2.90 units
New Jersey Nets at Oklahoma Thunder.
Nets end their 5 game losing skid at Grizzlies expense and comes to Oklahoma to meet up with the bottom dweller Thunder. First thought with these Nets taking the road on Jan. 21 played 3 games in 4 days, improving 3 games, than takes a breather and back on on Monday. Looking like a downer on Monday against the Thunder? Could happen, Oakies are playing much better as of late. Odds makers think so too with home team favored -3.5 points, but Thunders decline is immanent. It maybe already happening coming into this game. I'm taking the points.
NETS +3.5 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
Got in early before the line move, but it was still the wrong side.
0-1 -1.07 units
New Jersey Nets at Oklahoma Thunder.
Nets end their 5 game losing skid at Grizzlies expense and comes to Oklahoma to meet up with the bottom dweller Thunder. First thought with these Nets taking the road on Jan. 21 played 3 games in 4 days, improving 3 games, than takes a breather and back on on Monday. Looking like a downer on Monday against the Thunder? Could happen, Oakies are playing much better as of late. Odds makers think so too with home team favored -3.5 points, but Thunders decline is immanent. It maybe already happening coming into this game. I'm taking the points.
NETS +3.5 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
Got in early before the line move, but it was still the wrong side.
0-1 -1.07 units
NBA Sunday
YTD 17-20-1 +1.90 units
Dallas at Boston.
Times have changed and so have these two teams, Dallas owns 16-6 record with 7-4 in Boston against the C's running far back to 96'. This season does not reflect that track record Boston back on track and Mavs are still searching to make a run. Dallas dropped the last 5 out of 6 meetings against Cs, but they were 6 points or less differential in 4 out of last 5 meet within range of generous +9.5 in any body's house. However this game looks to expose the growth of gap between these two teams. Boston Celtics double digit wins goes back 5 games in a row and this game should have higher offensive number than last one against Orlando.
BOSTON -9 at -106 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Dallas at Boston.
Times have changed and so have these two teams, Dallas owns 16-6 record with 7-4 in Boston against the C's running far back to 96'. This season does not reflect that track record Boston back on track and Mavs are still searching to make a run. Dallas dropped the last 5 out of 6 meetings against Cs, but they were 6 points or less differential in 4 out of last 5 meet within range of generous +9.5 in any body's house. However this game looks to expose the growth of gap between these two teams. Boston Celtics double digit wins goes back 5 games in a row and this game should have higher offensive number than last one against Orlando.
BOSTON -9 at -106 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Sunday, January 11, 2009
NBA Sunday
YTD 16-20-1 -0.10 units
Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers
Clippers are sliding, but I'm not here to advise a fade or a home dog play.
Playing the TOTAL points also known as OVER/UNDER.
Current number as of this writing stands at 201.5 dropping from opening 202.
Relatively low number from Suns perspective and high for short handed Clippers.
These two matched up 1/02/2009 at Phoenix with 199 Total which was eclipsed 106-98, that was the second game of 6 consecutive OVERS for LAC.
Not that consecutive Overs have much weight considering the odds makers have not been far off, but Clippers are capable of scoring in the 70s with opponent dropping triple digits and still going Under anytime. So I'm looking at the line with latter scenario to to drive down the number a bit more. This angle gauging the high and low range of scoring rates Suns coming off a peak scoring. I think Suns are likely not going to exceed what they scored last game, 128, but good chance to hit into triple digits and Clips coming off close or at bottom scoring is likely to improve from 80 points. Will it be enough? That's the question. I think the key is Clippers scoring and their 2 past clunker games they just ran out of gas. Look for recharged Clips and jubilant Suns to push this score Over
OVER 201.5 at -105 for 2 units (W)
Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers
Clippers are sliding, but I'm not here to advise a fade or a home dog play.
Playing the TOTAL points also known as OVER/UNDER.
Current number as of this writing stands at 201.5 dropping from opening 202.
Relatively low number from Suns perspective and high for short handed Clippers.
These two matched up 1/02/2009 at Phoenix with 199 Total which was eclipsed 106-98, that was the second game of 6 consecutive OVERS for LAC.
Not that consecutive Overs have much weight considering the odds makers have not been far off, but Clippers are capable of scoring in the 70s with opponent dropping triple digits and still going Under anytime. So I'm looking at the line with latter scenario to to drive down the number a bit more. This angle gauging the high and low range of scoring rates Suns coming off a peak scoring. I think Suns are likely not going to exceed what they scored last game, 128, but good chance to hit into triple digits and Clips coming off close or at bottom scoring is likely to improve from 80 points. Will it be enough? That's the question. I think the key is Clippers scoring and their 2 past clunker games they just ran out of gas. Look for recharged Clips and jubilant Suns to push this score Over
OVER 201.5 at -105 for 2 units (W)
Thursday, January 08, 2009
NBA Thursday
YTD 15-20-1 -2.10 units
To say Clippers are raising their level of play may sound sarcastic with 8-26 record, but 16-18 ATS puts them on equal footing with 16-17-1 ATS San Antonio Spurs. Clippers recent 4-1 last 5 comes in with 3 road ATS wins while Spurs with 8-2 last 10 SU are 2-3 last 5 ATS and giving double digit point spread at home has failed last 2 tries, 3 times if you count -9.5 to 76ers, last 4 situations is 2-1-1 so Clippers playing tight may not be such a fantasy. However you have to feel something out of norm when Eric Gordon is putting in 32 points followed by Al Thornton's 25 against Dallas at home, Gordon's second 30 plus point game in a row with 31 against Pistons, playing well beyond expectation with most of their main players hurt. This game looks to expose how hurt this Clippers team really is.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS -12.5 at -105 for 2 units(W)
To say Clippers are raising their level of play may sound sarcastic with 8-26 record, but 16-18 ATS puts them on equal footing with 16-17-1 ATS San Antonio Spurs. Clippers recent 4-1 last 5 comes in with 3 road ATS wins while Spurs with 8-2 last 10 SU are 2-3 last 5 ATS and giving double digit point spread at home has failed last 2 tries, 3 times if you count -9.5 to 76ers, last 4 situations is 2-1-1 so Clippers playing tight may not be such a fantasy. However you have to feel something out of norm when Eric Gordon is putting in 32 points followed by Al Thornton's 25 against Dallas at home, Gordon's second 30 plus point game in a row with 31 against Pistons, playing well beyond expectation with most of their main players hurt. This game looks to expose how hurt this Clippers team really is.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS -12.5 at -105 for 2 units(W)
Wednesday, December 31, 2008
NBA New Years Eve
YTD 15-19-1 -1.06 units
Happy New Years!
On the eve of 2009 excitement is building, but the fact is I'm looking forward to a smaller gathering. Already got my digital new years greetings set to blast and that's about it. I guess 2008 has been tough on many, including myself, and it'll be good to start a new.
76ers at Clippers
Sixers got blasted in Utah last game, 3rd game where they allowed over 105 points. They have dropped first 3 out 6 game road trip bringing their total to 5-10 on the road, 1-2 ATS on this road trip 6-9 ATS on road, Prized acquisition forward, former Clippers product, Elton Brand inactive since dislocating right shoulder in 3rd quarter against Milwaukee on 12./17 missing 5 games so far and expected out for a month. But Clippers are the Underdog here without Zach Randolph, bruised knees and Baron Davis battling back problems is only scoring less than 12 points. The likely scenario for tonight's match up is Clippers by nature and missing offense coupled with Sixers will to play bit more defense will keep tonight's total low.
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS AT LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS UNDER 187 at -104(L)
0-1 -1.04 units
Happy New Years!
On the eve of 2009 excitement is building, but the fact is I'm looking forward to a smaller gathering. Already got my digital new years greetings set to blast and that's about it. I guess 2008 has been tough on many, including myself, and it'll be good to start a new.
76ers at Clippers
Sixers got blasted in Utah last game, 3rd game where they allowed over 105 points. They have dropped first 3 out 6 game road trip bringing their total to 5-10 on the road, 1-2 ATS on this road trip 6-9 ATS on road, Prized acquisition forward, former Clippers product, Elton Brand inactive since dislocating right shoulder in 3rd quarter against Milwaukee on 12./17 missing 5 games so far and expected out for a month. But Clippers are the Underdog here without Zach Randolph, bruised knees and Baron Davis battling back problems is only scoring less than 12 points. The likely scenario for tonight's match up is Clippers by nature and missing offense coupled with Sixers will to play bit more defense will keep tonight's total low.
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS AT LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS UNDER 187 at -104(L)
0-1 -1.04 units
Saturday, December 27, 2008
NBA Sunday
YTD 15-17-1 +1.04 units
New York Knicks hosting Denver Nuggets in day time match up. Knickerbockers have now allowed over 100 points in 5 straight games. Knicks also lose 5 in a row, 3 in a row ATS. Disappointing to say the least considering they swept ATS on recent 5 game road trip. The last two games, 12/21 loss at Boston 104-124 was 2nd most allowed in regulation and 12/26 loss at home to Minnesota 107-120 giving up 3rd most in regulation, both are bit out of the norm, but reinforcing this season's Knicks "play no Defense" mix that with Nuggets team loaded with offensive talent and get yourself a 0/U 220. Lofty number 3rd highest in NY games, 12/15 @Suns 226 & 11/29 Warriors 223.5 , road game went Under home game went Over. It's also Denver's 3rd highest O/U with other top two being, yep 12/20 @Suns 222 & 11/05 Golden State 229.5 and both of these went Under. Nuggets have the talent to score at will if given no defense and it makes sense to tie in offense defense to Totals, but they really have not been scoring not to mention they have dropped 5 out of last 6 ATS. They're offense drop a bit on the road too. These teams given scoring potential gives us this number, but they are not the true Over team that can blast this type of number.
UNDER 220 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Plan B for the day is a play on Hornets.
Hornets at Indy. I know the Pacers can keep it close at home, but after Hornets showing against Houston. New Orleans to make a run.
HORNETS -4.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.10 units
New York Knicks hosting Denver Nuggets in day time match up. Knickerbockers have now allowed over 100 points in 5 straight games. Knicks also lose 5 in a row, 3 in a row ATS. Disappointing to say the least considering they swept ATS on recent 5 game road trip. The last two games, 12/21 loss at Boston 104-124 was 2nd most allowed in regulation and 12/26 loss at home to Minnesota 107-120 giving up 3rd most in regulation, both are bit out of the norm, but reinforcing this season's Knicks "play no Defense" mix that with Nuggets team loaded with offensive talent and get yourself a 0/U 220. Lofty number 3rd highest in NY games, 12/15 @Suns 226 & 11/29 Warriors 223.5 , road game went Under home game went Over. It's also Denver's 3rd highest O/U with other top two being, yep 12/20 @Suns 222 & 11/05 Golden State 229.5 and both of these went Under. Nuggets have the talent to score at will if given no defense and it makes sense to tie in offense defense to Totals, but they really have not been scoring not to mention they have dropped 5 out of last 6 ATS. They're offense drop a bit on the road too. These teams given scoring potential gives us this number, but they are not the true Over team that can blast this type of number.
UNDER 220 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Plan B for the day is a play on Hornets.
Hornets at Indy. I know the Pacers can keep it close at home, but after Hornets showing against Houston. New Orleans to make a run.
HORNETS -4.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.10 units
Monday, December 15, 2008
NBA Monday
YTD 15-16-1 +2.06 units
On this dog day Monday we are backing a bottom rung Warriors against one of the NBA elite Magic. Orlando is without Howard, but there seems to be little doubt of slow down against Golden State.
WARRIORS +3.5 at -102 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.02 units
On this dog day Monday we are backing a bottom rung Warriors against one of the NBA elite Magic. Orlando is without Howard, but there seems to be little doubt of slow down against Golden State.
WARRIORS +3.5 at -102 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.02 units
Sunday, December 07, 2008
NBA Sunday
YTD 14-14-1 +2.02 units
Lakers road trip did not look good and it's reflecting their road ATS. Bucks on improve and they are nearing full strength. Buck have a losing record in Los Angeles, but the margin of loss is narrowing under 5 points. However double digit ATS is misleading line towards the Bucks given tonight's situation. I think this Total seems reachable and better spot than the sides with 1st half push. Look for Lakers to show focus back at Staples and likely scoring push will take this game Over the Total.
LAKERS/BUCKS OVER 1st Half 106 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
LAKERS/BUCKS OVER 208.5 at -103 for 1 unit(L)
This game ain't going Over these two teams are putting up High School numbers!
Well, the game is always about swinging from one side to the other and the Books are still holding plus triple digit number.
LAKERS/BUCKS OVER 2nd Half 103.5 at +107 for 2 units(W)
1-2 +0.04 units
Lakers road trip did not look good and it's reflecting their road ATS. Bucks on improve and they are nearing full strength. Buck have a losing record in Los Angeles, but the margin of loss is narrowing under 5 points. However double digit ATS is misleading line towards the Bucks given tonight's situation. I think this Total seems reachable and better spot than the sides with 1st half push. Look for Lakers to show focus back at Staples and likely scoring push will take this game Over the Total.
LAKERS/BUCKS OVER 1st Half 106 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
LAKERS/BUCKS OVER 208.5 at -103 for 1 unit(L)
This game ain't going Over these two teams are putting up High School numbers!
Well, the game is always about swinging from one side to the other and the Books are still holding plus triple digit number.
LAKERS/BUCKS OVER 2nd Half 103.5 at +107 for 2 units(W)
1-2 +0.04 units
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
NBA Tuesday
YTD 13-14-1 +1.02 units
Jazz at Kings.
Satco maybe due, but few feel that way. Jazz short handed, as well as Kings, and Arco games are just not going their way. Is it a short sighted play? The line suggests resistance and there's always the contrarian play not to mention Kings home record beating Utah. I think Sacramento will lose this by more than a basket.
Jazz -1.5 at -115 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Jazz at Kings.
Satco maybe due, but few feel that way. Jazz short handed, as well as Kings, and Arco games are just not going their way. Is it a short sighted play? The line suggests resistance and there's always the contrarian play not to mention Kings home record beating Utah. I think Sacramento will lose this by more than a basket.
Jazz -1.5 at -115 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Sunday, November 30, 2008
NBA Sunday
Looking to bounce back from a dismal loss. YTD 13-13-1 +2.02 units
Houston Rockets proving themselves road worthy team running 7-3 road ATS. Rockets coming off a great shooting and defensive game against their South West rival San Antonio at home bring their balanced game to Pepsi center where they will meet 5-2 at home Nuggets who are very good when scoring above +99 which they have done 4 out of last 4 games and 3 out of last 3 home games, winning 5-2, but 50% ATS. What you have here is two teams on Over tread 4-1 and in both cases showing signs of tapering score with this spot being a decline game. Yes the books have given a very temping number to hit the Over, but this one goes Under..
HOUSTON/DENVER UNDER 193.5 at +101 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Houston Rockets proving themselves road worthy team running 7-3 road ATS. Rockets coming off a great shooting and defensive game against their South West rival San Antonio at home bring their balanced game to Pepsi center where they will meet 5-2 at home Nuggets who are very good when scoring above +99 which they have done 4 out of last 4 games and 3 out of last 3 home games, winning 5-2, but 50% ATS. What you have here is two teams on Over tread 4-1 and in both cases showing signs of tapering score with this spot being a decline game. Yes the books have given a very temping number to hit the Over, but this one goes Under..
HOUSTON/DENVER UNDER 193.5 at +101 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
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