Record: 1-1 -70
L.A. Lakers at Golden State Warriors
I'd imagine Lakers will be sizable under dogs tonight, but last night's beating of Clippers at Staples didn't do much to move the line. It's seen as a fluke and the Vegas money has brushed it off in this early season game. Golden State comes in high expectation, like the Clippers, with potent offense. This is the Warriors opening at the Oracle arena and they would like to get this party right catching the Lakers on back to back. However Lakers rested much of their starters and rotated players well. Plus getting +12 points is pretty fat. Look for the Lakers to make it interesting.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +12 at 100 for 1 unit(L)
Wednesday, October 30, 2013
Tuesday, October 29, 2013
NBA Tuesday
Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers
It was lights out scoring to begin that last game. May seem unusual, but Miami plays great offense against defense minded teams, going Over in those match ups 6-0, and against winning teams in general are Over 16-8. Indiana has also played to the Over. In play offs 10-5 and after double digit loss are 11-7.
It may not go 210 like the last game, but 184.5 is in reach.
MIAMI HEAT at INDIANA PACERS
GAME TOTAL OVER 184.5 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
L.A. Lakers at L.A. Clippers Second Half
Lakers minus their star Koby is playing very well at Staples. They are getting 9.5 points for the game and second half is still very much in line Lakers +5.5 with Lakers leading 57-55 the books are looking for Clippers to win by 4 points or better. The game spread will need Lakers melt down, but second half looks for another tight match up. Looking for another cover which will make Lakers covering first quarter, second quarter and first half.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +5.5 SECOND HALF at -110 for 1 unit(W)
It was lights out scoring to begin that last game. May seem unusual, but Miami plays great offense against defense minded teams, going Over in those match ups 6-0, and against winning teams in general are Over 16-8. Indiana has also played to the Over. In play offs 10-5 and after double digit loss are 11-7.
It may not go 210 like the last game, but 184.5 is in reach.
MIAMI HEAT at INDIANA PACERS
GAME TOTAL OVER 184.5 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
L.A. Lakers at L.A. Clippers Second Half
Lakers minus their star Koby is playing very well at Staples. They are getting 9.5 points for the game and second half is still very much in line Lakers +5.5 with Lakers leading 57-55 the books are looking for Clippers to win by 4 points or better. The game spread will need Lakers melt down, but second half looks for another tight match up. Looking for another cover which will make Lakers covering first quarter, second quarter and first half.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +5.5 SECOND HALF at -110 for 1 unit(W)
NBA Opening 2013-2014
Hey Everybody, let's get ready for some hard court. We will asses the games as we go and don't take too much into preseason talking heads. Chicago with Rose returning has high expectations, but we need to see how they perform and Bulls are likely to improve as the season progresses. L.A. expectations for this season is done and out, but this season the Lakers might be good ATS team. It looks like a team able to hang around and get those back door cover. It will play out and we will see. The opening game we'll back tonight is... Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers game Total OVER 188
This number has been climbing since the opening. Indiana scoring looks to increase at home this season and Orlando capable of pacing.
ORLANDO MAGIC at INDIANA PACER OVER 188 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
Indiana 97-87 Under 188 and No Cover -11.5 or -12
Let's see how improved the Clippers are. First Half to Clippers advantage.
L.A. CLIPPERS -5.5 at -110 for 1 unit
This number has been climbing since the opening. Indiana scoring looks to increase at home this season and Orlando capable of pacing.
ORLANDO MAGIC at INDIANA PACER OVER 188 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
Indiana 97-87 Under 188 and No Cover -11.5 or -12
Let's see how improved the Clippers are. First Half to Clippers advantage.
L.A. CLIPPERS -5.5 at -110 for 1 unit
Sunday, May 26, 2013
NBA Sunday
Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers
You know these teams have played the Total OVER 3 games in a row now, the two games in Miami and last New York game for Indiana and Chicago for the Heat. The trend following these three Over's and Miami off a upset home loss has been better than 80% for the season. What is the trend? Miami money line and game under and under 1st half. Let's go get it.
MIAMI Money Line -130 for 1 unit(W)
MIAMI at INDIANA GAME TOTAL UNDER 182 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
MIAMI at INDIANA GAME TOTAL FIRST HALF UNDER 91 for 1 unit(L)
You know these teams have played the Total OVER 3 games in a row now, the two games in Miami and last New York game for Indiana and Chicago for the Heat. The trend following these three Over's and Miami off a upset home loss has been better than 80% for the season. What is the trend? Miami money line and game under and under 1st half. Let's go get it.
MIAMI Money Line -130 for 1 unit(W)
MIAMI at INDIANA GAME TOTAL UNDER 182 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
MIAMI at INDIANA GAME TOTAL FIRST HALF UNDER 91 for 1 unit(L)
Wednesday, May 22, 2013
NBA Wednesday
Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat
Tough game here. You know these two teams are at it again in the play offs and Miami got a cake walk against depleted Chicago Bulls to advance. In this opener for round two 8 points seems large against rested Pacers, but the home team has covered in the past. This season Miami's winning at home, but not covering as well. I'll take the points and advantage on the glass. Le Bron has lit up the Pacers before, but Indiana will be physical tonight with defense taking the forefront. If James is going to get hot it'll come in the latter half.
INDIANA PACERS +8 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
INDIANA PACERS at MIAMI HEAT GAME TOTAL
FIRST HALF UNDER 90.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Tough game here. You know these two teams are at it again in the play offs and Miami got a cake walk against depleted Chicago Bulls to advance. In this opener for round two 8 points seems large against rested Pacers, but the home team has covered in the past. This season Miami's winning at home, but not covering as well. I'll take the points and advantage on the glass. Le Bron has lit up the Pacers before, but Indiana will be physical tonight with defense taking the forefront. If James is going to get hot it'll come in the latter half.
INDIANA PACERS +8 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
INDIANA PACERS at MIAMI HEAT GAME TOTAL
FIRST HALF UNDER 90.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Sunday, April 14, 2013
NBA Sunday
San Antonio Spurs at Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers are in a pinch. Coming off a gutsy performance against Golden State losing Koby in that game. Can they will this game against the mighty Spurs? Lakers hold their own destiny. The Spurs will return Tony Parker, but no Diaw or Ginobilli and Stephen Jackson was waived on Friday. On this match up our angle will look for Lakers to step up without their superstar. Lakers have matched up well against San Antonio this season with two games finishing very close, within 2 and 3. The Lakers 7 wins out of last 10. Spurs lost 4 in a row ATS and have not covered the spread 8 out of last 10. also dropped last 4 road games, all 4 of those teams had home winning record.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +2 First Half at -110 for 1 unit(W)
43-43 tie at the Half
Lakers playing tough and the 2nd Half line is Lakers +2.5 Strap your seat belts it's coming down to the wire. Lakers big men are playing with intensity and the score is starting to grind. Take the Lakers to win this on SU, take the points too.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS ML +135 for 1 unit(W)
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +2.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Another close one 91-88 Lakers ! Spurs lose on the road.
The Lakers are in a pinch. Coming off a gutsy performance against Golden State losing Koby in that game. Can they will this game against the mighty Spurs? Lakers hold their own destiny. The Spurs will return Tony Parker, but no Diaw or Ginobilli and Stephen Jackson was waived on Friday. On this match up our angle will look for Lakers to step up without their superstar. Lakers have matched up well against San Antonio this season with two games finishing very close, within 2 and 3. The Lakers 7 wins out of last 10. Spurs lost 4 in a row ATS and have not covered the spread 8 out of last 10. also dropped last 4 road games, all 4 of those teams had home winning record.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +2 First Half at -110 for 1 unit(W)
43-43 tie at the Half
Lakers playing tough and the 2nd Half line is Lakers +2.5 Strap your seat belts it's coming down to the wire. Lakers big men are playing with intensity and the score is starting to grind. Take the Lakers to win this on SU, take the points too.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS ML +135 for 1 unit(W)
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +2.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Another close one 91-88 Lakers ! Spurs lose on the road.
Friday, April 12, 2013
NBA Friday
Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors
The Bulls stop the streaking NY Knicks winning streak. That's two impressive stop against Miami and Knicks, both teams were steam rolling opponents before facing the Bulls. However Chicago is not exactly an surging team at 3-2 in last 5 and 6-4 in last 10. The Bulls are coming off a OT win against NY at home playing the second leg of home & road back to back making this a tough spot. Toronto sub .500 team, but better ATS team than Chicago and plays much better at home. The Raptors just beat Chicago SU as a +3.5 Underdog and they will be receiving points here again. The situation seems to point toward Chicago let down, but this late in season Toronto's motivation is fading. I wouldn't say Toronto's going to "mail it in", but the Bulls may "will" this game despite the draining OT against the Knicks. NY on revenge games are not that good at 11-17, but as a short road underdog they are 6-3 and winning against Atlantic division teams 12-5 with good road ATS record of 22-15. Toronto 10-13 as favorites, 2-8 with two days rest, 14-20 against winning teams. 6-12 against winning teams in second half. Home games against above ,500 teams have disappointed.
CHICAGO BULLS +2.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
The Bulls stop the streaking NY Knicks winning streak. That's two impressive stop against Miami and Knicks, both teams were steam rolling opponents before facing the Bulls. However Chicago is not exactly an surging team at 3-2 in last 5 and 6-4 in last 10. The Bulls are coming off a OT win against NY at home playing the second leg of home & road back to back making this a tough spot. Toronto sub .500 team, but better ATS team than Chicago and plays much better at home. The Raptors just beat Chicago SU as a +3.5 Underdog and they will be receiving points here again. The situation seems to point toward Chicago let down, but this late in season Toronto's motivation is fading. I wouldn't say Toronto's going to "mail it in", but the Bulls may "will" this game despite the draining OT against the Knicks. NY on revenge games are not that good at 11-17, but as a short road underdog they are 6-3 and winning against Atlantic division teams 12-5 with good road ATS record of 22-15. Toronto 10-13 as favorites, 2-8 with two days rest, 14-20 against winning teams. 6-12 against winning teams in second half. Home games against above ,500 teams have disappointed.
CHICAGO BULLS +2.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Wednesday, April 10, 2013
NBA Wednesday
Got a big match up tonight.
San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets
The Spurs come to the mile high city as a 3 point underdog and why not? San Antonio is not firing on all cylinders. The Spurs are 2-3 in last 5 games and on the road, they have dropped 4 straight. Denver at home is at it's best and they are taking out contending teams. Denver, 12-4 ATS against Southwest division, 14-5 against winning teams in second half, 18-7 against good offensive teams and that gets better to 9-2 in second half against good offensive teams. The Spurs on the other hand are terrible against good offensive teams logging 8-17 against high octane teams. Against Northwest division rivals 6-9. They are not covering overall in second half at 12-17. Taking Denver laying the points.
DENVER NUGGETS -3 at -103 for 1 unit(W)
86-96 Denver wins!
San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets
The Spurs come to the mile high city as a 3 point underdog and why not? San Antonio is not firing on all cylinders. The Spurs are 2-3 in last 5 games and on the road, they have dropped 4 straight. Denver at home is at it's best and they are taking out contending teams. Denver, 12-4 ATS against Southwest division, 14-5 against winning teams in second half, 18-7 against good offensive teams and that gets better to 9-2 in second half against good offensive teams. The Spurs on the other hand are terrible against good offensive teams logging 8-17 against high octane teams. Against Northwest division rivals 6-9. They are not covering overall in second half at 12-17. Taking Denver laying the points.
DENVER NUGGETS -3 at -103 for 1 unit(W)
86-96 Denver wins!
Tuesday, April 09, 2013
NBA Tuesday
Toronto Raptors at Chicago Bulls
We have a very Under looking match up, but I think I gave this angle while back. Both teams strung series of Under's and in their last game scoring 85 points or less. This game goes Over and the match up trends Over.
The number is a low 185 and short handed Bulls are missing some defensive pieces. Back the Over
TORONTO RAPTORS at CHICAGO BULLS
Game Total OVER 185 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Got taken yesterday on a non-NBA game, but we're right back at ya!
We have a very Under looking match up, but I think I gave this angle while back. Both teams strung series of Under's and in their last game scoring 85 points or less. This game goes Over and the match up trends Over.
The number is a low 185 and short handed Bulls are missing some defensive pieces. Back the Over
TORONTO RAPTORS at CHICAGO BULLS
Game Total OVER 185 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Got taken yesterday on a non-NBA game, but we're right back at ya!
Monday, April 08, 2013
NCAA National Championship
There are no games scheduled in the NBA, but we do have the title game coming up and that's where our focus will be. Let's head out to Atlanta, GA. to the Georgia dome. It's Michigan Wolverines 31-7 against Louisville Cardinals 34-5 for all the marbles. This match up with No#1 Louisville Cardinals expected to take this game by 4 points and the final total to land around 138 points so the division is Cardinals 73 Wolverines 65. If you go back 10 games for Louisville the Cards have exceeded 73 in 7 out 10 and gone Over 9 out of 10. The Wolverines have exceeded 65 points in 8 out of last 10, but their games are O/U 5-5 and only twice have their opponents score over 73 points. What we see here is Michigan output increase and Louisville decline which is likely, but what most will see is the production from both teams playing under the average. From the average perspective the Total is low and it has been driven up by 2 points, holding steady at 138, still making it Over bias. However our projection is closer to 136 Under bias something like 67-69 Louisville SU Michigan +4 cover and game Total Under. The play we like is Under with the number getting pushed up. Backing the Under in this Over bias game.
MICHIGAN WOLVERINES vs LOUISVILLE CARDINALS
Game Total UNDER 138.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
MICHIGAN WOLVERINES vs LOUISVILLE CARDINALS
Game Total UNDER 138.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
Thursday, April 04, 2013
NBA Thursday
Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets
Dallas needs this game, but it's taking place at Pepsi Center in mile high city. Can the Mavs hang? Last time they visited, last year on March 19th, Dallas stole one here as a +4.5 dog won it outright 95-112, but not the same teams here tonight. Dallas was desperate when they were in L.A. and got steam rolled. Underdog spot of 22-16, after a loss of 10 points or more 10-6, against poor defense team 9-3 looks all good for Dallas. However Denver home trend is much stronger 25-11, 6-1 with current Total, 11-3 against Southwest opponents, 17-7 after a win by 10 points or more, 17-7 against poor defensive teams and 10-5 on back to backs. Going with Denver laying the points.
DENVER NUGGETS -7 at -101 for 1 unit(L)
94-95 Denver no cover.
Dallas needs this game, but it's taking place at Pepsi Center in mile high city. Can the Mavs hang? Last time they visited, last year on March 19th, Dallas stole one here as a +4.5 dog won it outright 95-112, but not the same teams here tonight. Dallas was desperate when they were in L.A. and got steam rolled. Underdog spot of 22-16, after a loss of 10 points or more 10-6, against poor defense team 9-3 looks all good for Dallas. However Denver home trend is much stronger 25-11, 6-1 with current Total, 11-3 against Southwest opponents, 17-7 after a win by 10 points or more, 17-7 against poor defensive teams and 10-5 on back to backs. Going with Denver laying the points.
DENVER NUGGETS -7 at -101 for 1 unit(L)
94-95 Denver no cover.
Tuesday, April 02, 2013
NBA Tuesday
39-28 10,100
Chicago Bulls at Washington Wizards
OK this is no news, the players know it and the books know it, this match up trends Under like no other game. Chicago has been scoring points in recent games, but it's gradually declining, 9 points in 4 games all Over's, looks ripe to fall Under. The Wiz coming off a 109-92 win and Over, a triple digit scoring Over, also a isolated Over which is Washington prerequisite to tonight's Under. Chicago O/U against Southeast opponents 3-10. Washington O/U against Central opponents 2-12, after a win with 10 points or more 2-9, after triple digit scoring 3-11. All games between these two teams for the past 3 seasons have gone Under.
I know it's a bit obvious, but better to go with the flow. We also have 2 Under Refs out of 3, Sean Corbin O/U 22-30 with Total between 185-194.5 O/U 6-13 and Joe Crawford O/U 22-32 with Total between 185-194.5 O/U 7-15. Backing the Under.
CHICAGO BULLS at WASHINGTON WIZARDS
Game Total UNDER 186 at -103 for 1 unit(W)
This line got pushed up to 187.5 and all that money pushing it got burned.
Chicago Bulls at Washington Wizards
OK this is no news, the players know it and the books know it, this match up trends Under like no other game. Chicago has been scoring points in recent games, but it's gradually declining, 9 points in 4 games all Over's, looks ripe to fall Under. The Wiz coming off a 109-92 win and Over, a triple digit scoring Over, also a isolated Over which is Washington prerequisite to tonight's Under. Chicago O/U against Southeast opponents 3-10. Washington O/U against Central opponents 2-12, after a win with 10 points or more 2-9, after triple digit scoring 3-11. All games between these two teams for the past 3 seasons have gone Under.
I know it's a bit obvious, but better to go with the flow. We also have 2 Under Refs out of 3, Sean Corbin O/U 22-30 with Total between 185-194.5 O/U 6-13 and Joe Crawford O/U 22-32 with Total between 185-194.5 O/U 7-15. Backing the Under.
CHICAGO BULLS at WASHINGTON WIZARDS
Game Total UNDER 186 at -103 for 1 unit(W)
This line got pushed up to 187.5 and all that money pushing it got burned.
Monday, April 01, 2013
NBA Monday
38-28 9,100
Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Clippers
Got a good match tonight Indy 47-27 visiting the Clippers 49-25. The Pacers getting good spread at +5.5 to +6, but Indiana as a dog has not been good, 11-15, except when they get this many points, 6-3. The Pacers does come to Staples winning 4 in a row. On the other side the home team Clippers have dropped two in a row and 3 out of last 4. I do like Indiana, but like the OVER better. Pacers offense has been clicking on the road and the Clippers are in a spot to increase their output. The Clippers are O/U 12-5 after a upset loss, 7-4 after a double digit loss, 4-0 as a home favorite 3.5 to 6 points and 3-1 after scoring under 85 points. Indiana O/U 21-16 against winning teams, 11-6 against winning teams in 2nd half and 6-3 against Pacific division. This one goes OVER.
INDIANA PACERS at LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Game Total OVER 188 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Good day. 109-106 Pacers easy Over.
Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Clippers
Got a good match tonight Indy 47-27 visiting the Clippers 49-25. The Pacers getting good spread at +5.5 to +6, but Indiana as a dog has not been good, 11-15, except when they get this many points, 6-3. The Pacers does come to Staples winning 4 in a row. On the other side the home team Clippers have dropped two in a row and 3 out of last 4. I do like Indiana, but like the OVER better. Pacers offense has been clicking on the road and the Clippers are in a spot to increase their output. The Clippers are O/U 12-5 after a upset loss, 7-4 after a double digit loss, 4-0 as a home favorite 3.5 to 6 points and 3-1 after scoring under 85 points. Indiana O/U 21-16 against winning teams, 11-6 against winning teams in 2nd half and 6-3 against Pacific division. This one goes OVER.
INDIANA PACERS at LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Game Total OVER 188 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Good day. 109-106 Pacers easy Over.
Thursday, March 28, 2013
NBA Thursday
37-28 8,100
Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns
Another bad teams matching up. Sacramento Kings 7-30 on the road, only Charlotte has a worse road record in NBA, giving up -3.5 points to the free falling Phoenix. The Kings are bad and according to today's match up the Suns are worse. Overall the Kings are better, but Suns at home are better than Kings on the road, right? It sure seems like a simple solution except Kings as a short favorite occurred 17 times this season and they have won 11 of them. Still the Kings can lose against the worst, or at least the bad, than you should also consider the Suns 8-20 against sub .500 teams and that number is magnified in second half 3-10. Sacramento playing high octane offense and Phoenix are 8-19, 5-11 in second half, against offensive teams.
Fading the Suns.
SACRAMENTO KINGS -3.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns
Another bad teams matching up. Sacramento Kings 7-30 on the road, only Charlotte has a worse road record in NBA, giving up -3.5 points to the free falling Phoenix. The Kings are bad and according to today's match up the Suns are worse. Overall the Kings are better, but Suns at home are better than Kings on the road, right? It sure seems like a simple solution except Kings as a short favorite occurred 17 times this season and they have won 11 of them. Still the Kings can lose against the worst, or at least the bad, than you should also consider the Suns 8-20 against sub .500 teams and that number is magnified in second half 3-10. Sacramento playing high octane offense and Phoenix are 8-19, 5-11 in second half, against offensive teams.
Fading the Suns.
SACRAMENTO KINGS -3.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
NBA Wednesday
37-27 9,200
Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76er's
Milwaukee is 3rd in central at 34-35 and 16-18 away. Comparing to their ATS record 31-38, 19-15 away indicating their strength is on the road receiving points. Philadelphia 27-43, but playing above .500 at 20-17, coming off a grueling road trip and now rested. Their last home stand was successful 3 out of 4 including a cover against Miami. This will be the third meeting Milwaukee leading the series 2-1 SU and ATS. Although the Bucks are sliding on 7-18 ATS on second half and on 3 game losing streak 76er's are 8-17 SU second half slide 2-8 as short home favorites. The Bucks 4-1 as short dog and 9-5 against Atlantic division.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS +1 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76er's
Milwaukee is 3rd in central at 34-35 and 16-18 away. Comparing to their ATS record 31-38, 19-15 away indicating their strength is on the road receiving points. Philadelphia 27-43, but playing above .500 at 20-17, coming off a grueling road trip and now rested. Their last home stand was successful 3 out of 4 including a cover against Miami. This will be the third meeting Milwaukee leading the series 2-1 SU and ATS. Although the Bucks are sliding on 7-18 ATS on second half and on 3 game losing streak 76er's are 8-17 SU second half slide 2-8 as short home favorites. The Bucks 4-1 as short dog and 9-5 against Atlantic division.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS +1 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
Tuesday, March 26, 2013
NBA Tuesday
36-26 9,210
Took a tough loss last time out, but anytime your in a tight game I rather get the last shot and I got 2 tries with Spurs 95-96 loss. Moving on.
Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks
I like both of these teams. The Clippers have the 4th best winning percentage in NBA and the 4th best road record in NBA. Dallas is not in the same class as L.A., had too many losses early without Dirk, but they have bounced back and more importantly are 4th in Money. This type of match up, contender vs ATS winner, usually gives the advantage to the money team getting the points. Not so today with the contender getting a point before moving to pick'em. It's building up to be a tight one and I like this game to go Over with offense in motion. Both teams are top ranked Over team in a offensive oriented spot. Expect early point surge to carry over into second half.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS at DALLAS MAVERICKS
First Half OVER 102.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
But this game just went into OT
Game Total OVER 202 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Today I'm lucky! 102-109 Dallas in OT
Took a tough loss last time out, but anytime your in a tight game I rather get the last shot and I got 2 tries with Spurs 95-96 loss. Moving on.
Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks
I like both of these teams. The Clippers have the 4th best winning percentage in NBA and the 4th best road record in NBA. Dallas is not in the same class as L.A., had too many losses early without Dirk, but they have bounced back and more importantly are 4th in Money. This type of match up, contender vs ATS winner, usually gives the advantage to the money team getting the points. Not so today with the contender getting a point before moving to pick'em. It's building up to be a tight one and I like this game to go Over with offense in motion. Both teams are top ranked Over team in a offensive oriented spot. Expect early point surge to carry over into second half.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS at DALLAS MAVERICKS
First Half OVER 102.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
But this game just went into OT
Game Total OVER 202 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Today I'm lucky! 102-109 Dallas in OT
Sunday, March 24, 2013
NBA Sunday
Very busy sports weekend. Sticking to the hard wood in Texas.
36-25-1 10,280
San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets
Basketball in Texas is always good. Looking at Spurs 53-16, first in Southwest, visiting Houston to take on the 38-31 Rockets, 3rd in Southwest. Rockets tough at home 24-10 and don't get points often, but they have covered as a home dog of 3 or less, the last one against Oklahoma, 4-1 in last 4 home games. However the Rockets are just above average on revenge games and division opponents are giving them trouble. The Spurs are tough on winning teams and so far 6-1 in second half. 21-8 against poor defensive teams, 10-3 in second half. Also 5-1 in second half against good offensive teams.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS -1 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
Had the last look, but could not convert.
36-25-1 10,280
San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets
Basketball in Texas is always good. Looking at Spurs 53-16, first in Southwest, visiting Houston to take on the 38-31 Rockets, 3rd in Southwest. Rockets tough at home 24-10 and don't get points often, but they have covered as a home dog of 3 or less, the last one against Oklahoma, 4-1 in last 4 home games. However the Rockets are just above average on revenge games and division opponents are giving them trouble. The Spurs are tough on winning teams and so far 6-1 in second half. 21-8 against poor defensive teams, 10-3 in second half. Also 5-1 in second half against good offensive teams.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS -1 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
Had the last look, but could not convert.
Friday, March 22, 2013
NBA Friday
36-24-1 11,350
Boston at Dallas
Boston at Dallas
Boston third in Atlantic in the mix and will be motivated. They lost 2 in a row ,but by one point to New Orleans in last game and 2 points to Miami before that. Today the Celtics are in Dallas taking on the Mavericks. Dallas was embarrassed in the last game at home 96-113 loss to Brooklyn as -3.5 point favorite. Second most points allowed in last 20 games. I like this game go go Under the Total. Dallas in a spot to bring defensive pressure. Boston offense drops on the road, but defense keeps them in.
Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks
Game Total Under 195.5 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
Wednesday, March 20, 2013
NBA Wednesday
35-24-1 10,350
Toronto Raptors at Charlotte Bobcats
5th in Atlantic meets 5th in Southwest, that's where the similarity end. The Raptors are 26-41 with .500 ATS and is a team moving up while the Cats at 15-52, 22-41 ATS, is the worst team in NBA. But this is no news and Toronto on the road has been weak except for their ATS record, reflective of their underdog status. That's not the case here this is 9-24 SU road team giving -6.5 points to 11-22 ATS home record team. But Toronto just blew them out, you say. At -12.5 or -13 that was a narrow home cover. This one might tighten up in Charlotte, but than again Cats coming off a SU win scoring 119 points might regress. Anybody's game to lose tonight, but I do feel the offense will crank it up a notch. The Bobcats did score 119 points in their last effort and it's unlikely to be repeated today, but let's say the Cats play 20 points below that's still 99 points and Toronto played 3 games in a row scoring below 99 points, but last 4 game road trip scored above 110 points in 3 out of 4 allowed over 118 points in 3 out of 4 very porous on the road. The Total has been on a swing and it's moved up and down within a point, point and a half of 195. Toronto overall O/U 33-34, but 20-13 on the road. Bobcats also a Under team, but slight Over at home 17-15, 8-4 when Total is in low to mid 190's and 17-9 against losing teams. This game goes OVER.
TORONTO RAPTORS at CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Game Total OVER 194.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Toronto Raptors at Charlotte Bobcats
5th in Atlantic meets 5th in Southwest, that's where the similarity end. The Raptors are 26-41 with .500 ATS and is a team moving up while the Cats at 15-52, 22-41 ATS, is the worst team in NBA. But this is no news and Toronto on the road has been weak except for their ATS record, reflective of their underdog status. That's not the case here this is 9-24 SU road team giving -6.5 points to 11-22 ATS home record team. But Toronto just blew them out, you say. At -12.5 or -13 that was a narrow home cover. This one might tighten up in Charlotte, but than again Cats coming off a SU win scoring 119 points might regress. Anybody's game to lose tonight, but I do feel the offense will crank it up a notch. The Bobcats did score 119 points in their last effort and it's unlikely to be repeated today, but let's say the Cats play 20 points below that's still 99 points and Toronto played 3 games in a row scoring below 99 points, but last 4 game road trip scored above 110 points in 3 out of 4 allowed over 118 points in 3 out of 4 very porous on the road. The Total has been on a swing and it's moved up and down within a point, point and a half of 195. Toronto overall O/U 33-34, but 20-13 on the road. Bobcats also a Under team, but slight Over at home 17-15, 8-4 when Total is in low to mid 190's and 17-9 against losing teams. This game goes OVER.
TORONTO RAPTORS at CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Game Total OVER 194.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Monday, March 18, 2013
NBA Monday
34-23-1 10,360
Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies lost their last two road games, but their road trip was impressive. Similar to their run last year about this time of the season (7-3 SU in last 10 games) and their 4 ATS losses have been on very slim margin. What's made this Grizzlies so tough? All you need to do is to look at their opposition's score, in their last 10 games 98 points to Miami was the most than 97 to Portland, but after that no more than 92 points and 6 games held their opponents in the 80's, that is outstanding defense. The visiting Minnesota is on a bit of a surge themselves. Minnesota took out San Antonio SU as a 9 point home dog on 3/12 than missed an ATS cover at Indiana by 1 point and went on to cover at Houston and win SU against New Orleans at home. The Wolves will be a dangerous dog with this big margin maybe too big even for this tough defense minded Memphis squad. Minnesota defense is lacking on the road giving up plenty of triple digit scoring, but Memphis did go through an very tough road trip against 3 very good home teams with 4 games in 5 days schedule double back to back. Minnesota on second leg of home road back to back. Home team is O/U 3-14 after scoring less than 85 points, O/U 12-21 in all home games. Visitors O/U 11-24 against winning teams and this match up has produced 80% Under.
Minnesota Timberwolves +14.5 points at -110 for 1unit(L)
MINNESOTA TIMEBERWOLVES at MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
Game Total UNDER 183 at -109 for 1 unit(W)
77-92 Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies lost their last two road games, but their road trip was impressive. Similar to their run last year about this time of the season (7-3 SU in last 10 games) and their 4 ATS losses have been on very slim margin. What's made this Grizzlies so tough? All you need to do is to look at their opposition's score, in their last 10 games 98 points to Miami was the most than 97 to Portland, but after that no more than 92 points and 6 games held their opponents in the 80's, that is outstanding defense. The visiting Minnesota is on a bit of a surge themselves. Minnesota took out San Antonio SU as a 9 point home dog on 3/12 than missed an ATS cover at Indiana by 1 point and went on to cover at Houston and win SU against New Orleans at home. The Wolves will be a dangerous dog with this big margin maybe too big even for this tough defense minded Memphis squad. Minnesota defense is lacking on the road giving up plenty of triple digit scoring, but Memphis did go through an very tough road trip against 3 very good home teams with 4 games in 5 days schedule double back to back. Minnesota on second leg of home road back to back. Home team is O/U 3-14 after scoring less than 85 points, O/U 12-21 in all home games. Visitors O/U 11-24 against winning teams and this match up has produced 80% Under.
Minnesota Timberwolves +14.5 points at -110 for 1unit(L)
MINNESOTA TIMEBERWOLVES at MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
Game Total UNDER 183 at -109 for 1 unit(W)
77-92 Memphis Grizzlies
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