I'm taking an early position.

Indiana practiced before leaving to Detroit. Pacers are a team on the surge having already upset Detroit at home and that was the game, Jackson coming out of the hospital Thursday, listed questionable for the game then playing outstanding game. I'm sure Pistons remember and they will keep in mind the point difference in the paint (28 - 38 Pacers), against Atlanta Pistons scored 52 points in the paint. Another factor in this game is Pistons are still shaded ATS which is costing the backers. I think Pacers are getting too many points here and also think the Over will edge out.

IND +8.5 -106 for 2 units(W)
IND/DET OVER 178 -105 for 1 unit(L)

Not enough score today to take Total & Side, but money play was on ATS and gain is a gain is a gain.

1-1 +0.95 units

It's mid week, mid morning and my game is moving in my favor.
I'm watching the line on Clips, playing back to back road game with a shuttle to Houston from Dallas.
Rockets throttled on Clips at Staples before the All Star break, then Rockets laid an egg at Phoenix. I will say T-Mac looks very much in the mid season form, but I feel Van Gundy does not want to shoulder all the weight on Tracy and Alston will be the key to diverting plays.
The front court is formidable and Swift is very good off the bench, but the low post is stronger playing half court grinder which they failed to do in Phoenix, even going small at times in failing effort for speed.
Clips almost broke Mavs win streak last night. Late game stops by Clips were impressive and cashed for ATS & UNDER backers. Clips strength is also the low post maybe not quite the Rockets level, but experienced ball handlers are supposed to make up for that.
This is a big revenge game and they got out boarded badly.
Waiting for my spot to get this one.

Sorry, missed all the games tonight. Clips got it close enough for ATS win, but scoring was high. I'll move on to Thursday.

This is the first game after the All Star, sos cap it like your testing the water.

My game today is the Clips at Dallas. Mavs surging with balance and I think defense will set the tone. AJ is big on "D" and that's where he wants to add strength in the Second half of the season. It will be interesting to see if the Mavs playing over 99+ and holding opponents to 99- is going to continue.
My guess is the actual total to decline with teams scoring below 99-.

LAC/DAL UNDER 192.5 -110 for 1 unit(W)
------------------------------------------------------
This one looks like it's reaching.
SEA/SAS 2nd Half UNDER 98 -110 1 unit(W)

-----------------------------------------------------
I wanted to publish SAC -2 1st Quarter, but got carried away with the San Anonio game. See ya later, I'll be back jack.
2-0 +2.00 units

Greetings Cappers.
I'm not playing the All Star Game today, but wanted to give my well wishes for those who are.
As historical numbers go the eye poping total is right in line and the West is not as strong as the years past. I would say the East with 4 points looks good and 1st Quarter Over 64 at plus money +110 is the best value.
For the Total I'd go 1st Half Over 129.5 +114 and consider the second half Under at 128 or better.

Like I said, I'm not on this game and have interest on NCAA match up with UCLA and USC with the game going Under.

........UCLA falls to USC and game goes Over. NCAA Hoops did not pan out today.
Todays best bet was 2nd Half East in NBA All Star with 21 point deficit they have taken the lead in early 4th Quarter. I be looking ahead to see what's out in the horizon.

Suns just about go wire to wire at always hostile Pepsi Center.
They moved the ball and didn't miss a beat from their long rest.
Now on 2nd leg of back to back, road/home game, Suns strength is the momentum and they had lots of rest.
Houston's game is surging, T Mac is the nucleus raising the level of the Rockets front court and the bench production is also on the rise.
I understand the match up trends Under, but with both teams firing on all cylinders the production should be high.

I'll buy that 0.5 points back to 201

HOU/PHO OVER 201 -114 for 3 units(L)

Looks like the line is moving Over. The Suns will not change their way, they coasted in the 4th quarter last night and they will run the floor tonight. They'd like to keep Yao out of position as much as possible.
Rockets have an attacking front court as well as Ralfer Alston making the moves. Houston can push it up with the best of them right now.

HOU/PHO 1st Half Over 102 -108 for 2 units(L)

I knew after the first Quarter it was not going to make it.
Rockets didn't bring their game, I was not expecting that.
0-2 -5.60 units

Miami and Orlando are doing the turn around back to back. Sharps look at these games and weight the value of the home dog playing revenge or reversing the Total play. Public takes a big bite on Miami then wonders what happened.
But there's more to the trouble in Orlando than X's and O's.
I like Dwight Howard, Hedo Turkoglu, returning Grant Hill with 20+ minutes, but I don't like Steve Francis and he is holding the ball too much. Too bad Jamneer is out, I like that kid. Francis is killing the chemistry for the Magic and he's not working on the floor. I have a feeling something is brewing in the clubhouse.
OK, I'm going with this public play, more like an Magic fade.

MIA -5.5 -105 for 1 unit(W)

Isn't this interesting, ATS is holding ground and remain MIA -5.5 at -105
There was some movement last night, but only the Totals have changed directions from Under to Over. I'll find out what's cooking in Florida, but even with Orlando trade happening this morning Miami should stay its course.

MIA 1st Quarter -1.5 -105 for 1 unit(W)
MIA 1st Half -3 +102 for 1 unit(W)
--------------------------------------------------------

Hornets are rolling ATS and they are putting up scores. I like the way they're playing and Portland finally pulled one off on the road against the reeling Cats.
I guess Blazers need to get kicked around some before they bring their game.
Today will be challenging with Portland inside being suspect.
Lets see Hornets attack the rim and Blazers to keep pace.

POR/NOH OVER 187 -111 for 2 units(W)

Heat pounds Magic in repeat performance.
A friendly bounce and Over she goes with Blazers at Hornets.
Clutch kinda day.
4-0 +5.02 units

Valentines day at the Association. Got little busy for the Home Dog Monday, but Cavs rolled keeping the Monday streak. Amazing trend.

Another Valentines bit, too late to do any good, but Bucks are stellar on V-day and at Home they are almost unbeatable....91-106 Bucks over Seattle

Today I'm looking at the late game with HOU/LAC.
I might of advised on early Over with 179.5 and 181.5 still looks good but I will take the ATS on Houston with points. Rockets does have road woes and Clips have an nice home record, but recent ATS looks much better on the Houston side. I think Rockets front court is working and T-Mac like the road games.
Ross is hurting on Clips side and LA back court will need to do most of the scoring.

HOU +3.5 -110 for 2 units(W)

ATS or OVER it did not matter. You could of hit for 2nd Half HOU +5 or OVER 90 it would of all been good. I need more of these.
1-0 +2.00 units

How did I miss posting this strong Over trend on SAS/IND !

I'm working on some plays, but in the meantime I'll play the line on this game.
DET/MIA 1st Half UNDER 96 -120 for 1 unit(L)

--------------------------------------------------------------

OK, I'll go with the Bucks and points. They are just keeping it close and this is too much to give on Nets home hype. The B2B is a mild variety, home/road and Bucks are winning.

MIL +8.5 -111 for 3 units(L)
---------------------------------------------------------------

My last take for tonight. Chicago coming off an low scoring loss, 80-98 to Sacramento, but 80 points output is the lowest they've produced in 22 games.
I like the scoring to go up. Clippers score also improves at Staples.

CHI/LAC 1st Half Over 97.5 -111 for 2 units(W)
CHI/LAC OVER 193 -108 for 3 units(L)

Should of stayed in bed.
1-3 -5.77 units

Today I will follow the 1st Quarter trend with GSW at CLE.
Cavs taking many of their games Under and there has been few slow starts, MIL, MIA, NJN, come to mind, but more cases show opponents at Cleveland go Over 50+ in the starting quarter. Warriors also a strong 1st Quarter team.

GSW/CLE 1st Quarter OVER 51 -117 for 2 units(W)
Was not as close as the box scores shows.
1-0 +2.00 units

I like the over night line on Miami at Dallas. The Mavs have the Heats number and Miami will come in with high energy to snap the Dallas win streak.
I think this will be a good, hard fighting game.
Mavs have kept opponents below 99+ points for 11 games (@NYK 1/11 (L)115-117 in OT) and 12 games in regulation (@BOS 1/09 (W)104-102) and at home 18 games (GSW 12/30 (L)109-111)
That is impressive, but Miami is pushing up the score and if any team can attack the paint against Dallas it"s the Heat.

Over 199 -108 for 2 units(L)
Should of followed the trend.
0-1 -2.16 units

Good to see your back BetCrimes.

Clippers are rolling, chipping away the gap in Pacific Division race. Look at their last 10 games, outstanding, but look closer. Tonight is the 5th game of 6 game road trip, not counting the Denver back to back, road/homegame which would add another road turn around to the long trip.
Losing to Miami at the start of the trip, kept it close enough to cover.
Almost wire to wire at Orlando, only losing 3rd quarter by 1 point.
Wire to wire at Boston. Then 3 pointer and a stop to put the game in OT and win at Toronto, but this was the losing game for ATS. Clips hot shooting cools a little and Raps scored little more than others.
Knicks are struggling, but they are showing signs. They covered ATS against the fast healing Rockets at MSG. Rose was excellent moving the ball, he should be better with added time with his new team.
Crawford was agressive and I like Curry in the paint.
I like this game to reach 200+ as Knicks will attack knowing Clips road schedule. Clips back court are hot and will keep them scoring.

LAC/NYK OVER 197 +104 for 2 units(L)

That was an ugly game. So ugly I wished I was on the Under.
0-1 -2.00 units

On this home dog monday the play is looking like the Bobcats. Interestingly the ATS is only 5 points against the falling Sonics. Early money is on the Sonics so I will keep watch.
I got pretty good price on CATS ATS.

CHA +7 -119 for 2 units(W)
----------------------------------------------------

My early play is the Bucks. You have to love the Bucks surging ATS and doing it with defense, over the last 10 games holding opponents to 42% shooting.
Each of the last 3 meetings decided by 8 points or less.

MIL +8 -123 for 2 units(W)
MIL/CLE UNDER 190.5 -127 for 2 units(W)

Perfect day. I'll be working hard so yall come back now, you hear.
3-0 +6.00 units

This is the weekend for Sharps, Fleas, Public and everyone in between.
The Touts are louder and Books are busy. Superbowl Weekend.
I'll check with the Wisemen and put something in the Sharps Play Blog.

The Hardcourt games, my picks have become a bit dull so I took couple of days off. Today I'll take the 1st Half game with Detroit and Indiana.
I know Detroit lines are well tuned with the Line makers and it shows on ATS.
But today I think the Pacers 1st Half fade will be in effect.

DET -4 1st Half -108 for 3 units(L)

I got beat by Jackson who was hospitalized with a bruised hip and scraped elbow after a fall in Wednesday's game against the Lakers. I can't beleive this guy was questionable for today's game he started and played 39 minutes.
I did see the line movement go to -105 on both sides at Pinny before the game.
Lines have been sharp lately.
NBA is stale right now, but I'll get it working right.
In the meantime NCAA Hoops is giving me much needed lift. I'm considering NCAA Basketball blog or maybe using the Sharp Plays blog.
Well, keep your eyes on my NBA Plays.

0-1 -3.24 units

Without much to write on this game.
My play for today.

CHI/HOR UNDER 186 -108 for 2 units(L)
------------------------------------------------------------

Adding.

SAS -2.5 1st Quarter -100 for 3 units(W)
--------------------------------------------------------
Same game.

SAS/POR 2nd Half Under 91.5 for 3 units(W)

I must of missed something?
2-1 +3.84

Here's something to chew on for you late night cappers.
DEN/SAC. This match up has the Kings dominating at Arco for quite sometime. Kings are scoring again, which is a good sign for Saco backers, and Bibby is hot. Last game, OT loss against Toronto, was a last second coin flip.
Denver on back to back blow out by the Clips, maybe declining from an peak?
Or was the run-and-gun Nuggets out of gas?
The Denver Nuggets are in their second day off without a basketball game in Sacramento.
It's one of those rare opportunities where Denver, the road team, is waiting for the home team to get back to the city to play basketball.
The Nuggets with a much deserved rest. They have played six games in the last eight days, five games in the last seven days and it showed.
The Nuggets did practice earlier this morning in Sacramento and they are looking recharged. This group will come out ready to bounce back.
Don't be fooled by the small spread, Kings -1.5 is a dangerous play.
If you like Denver, wait for price & line move to your advantage.

*Buying 1.5 points
DEN/SAC OVER 202 -123 for 3 units

The line has moved down and I will take this at 200 or better before game time.

DEN/SAC OVER 200 -128 for 3 units
----------------------------------------------------
DET/NJN is showing an total on the high side of match up, which came down 0.5 points from the open.
Pistons clamp down on the road and Nets coming off 104-113 loss at Sonics, was the second most points given up this season. I think Nets were running out of gas in Seattle and really hurt their defensive game. Nets need to keep their opponents in the 80's to low 90's like they were doing during their winning streak. I'm looking for better than 185 here to take the Under, but I'm not going to push it. I could of bought 185.5 at the opening.
Another line I'll be watching.

I'm skipping this one, it's gone the other way.
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I'm watching the line on CHI/DAL. Mavs have been beating opponents by at least 14 points. I really like their D, though triple digit scoring being the Dallas trade mark defense doesn't ring the bell with this team.
Bulls are also, arguably, a defensive team, but also scoring in the 100+ points in recent games. So to confuse this issue some more, they are both scoring 99+ point range and holding opponents to 90~92 point range. So the O/U 195.5 has not moved since opening. I'll watch this Total. Kind of like the Under, but maybe this number will improve.
But I do have a view, and that is.....
Bulls are 1st Half team and Mavs are 2nd Half team.
Will this translate to an play? We shall see.... If they give me +5 or better in the 1st Half, that might be enough to push me into ATS.

Total moved away.
I got a nice ATS at +5.5 and bought 1 point.
CHI 1st Half +6.5 -123 for 3 units

I haven't heard from BetCrimes, something happening in the South Pacific?

Should of played the Lakers game conservatively, but I did write "homer play".

I took this one last night, I know it doesn't take much time to publish the info, but sometimes I'm just too tired to sit in front of the computer.

Houston at Memphis. This game is getting very low number. For Rockets it goes back 8 games to NO 1/14 (80-86). For Grizz it goes back 7 games to NO 1/18 (79-87).
It is a big Public play so tread lightly.

HOU/MEM OVER 170 -113 for 1 unit(L)
As the saying goes "When it's too good to be true...."
0-1 -1.13 units

I'll play the early game for the 1st Half.

PHO 1st Half ML +108 for 1 unit(W)
1st Half and beyond 1st Half was an Suns letdown.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

My homer pick for Sunday feature game.
Lakers had a so so game against the Warriors, The game after 81 game, and that game looked like Kobe was content with his boys doing the heavy lifting until 4th quarter calling. I saw it as hurting Warriors was not worthy of full on Kobe. Today is different L.A. Top Gun will come to play.
Detroit treading with 2 ATS losses at home and giving too many points.
Fade the public.

LAL 1st Half +5 -110 for 2 units(L)
LAL 1st Half ML +231 for 1 unit(L)
LAL +10 -121 for 1 unit(W)
2-2 -1.12

In this league you must look deeply into troubled teams as these teams have shown resilience in the face of injuries plaguing their team and also consider if the opponent will under estimate the match.
Today I will take sides on POR/GSW with the Warriors showing amazing resilience against the Laker that looked to cruise to a win in the first half, unfolded an incredible turn around in the second half. It was only the will of Kobe in the late 4th quarter to put it into OT and ultimately a Lakers win, but Warriors take ATS win with 6 guys.
I would call the 2nd of back to back, road/home against Portland also on 2nd of back to back, home/road, a good spot for Warriors to finally win one, SU win, but I don't think they have no business giving +5.5 points to the surging Blazers. Portland is tenacious on the glass and will not give up the inside drive.

PORTLAND +5.5 -103 for 2 units(L)

Players don't like this play, the price is moving against me.
I'm adding the 1st Half.

POR +3 1st Half -106 for 2 units(L)
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Here's a turn around game with Denver visiting Los Angeles Clippers.
Let's see if the theory holds true on scoring increase.
The number has dropped from the opening, but now bouncing off 193.5
Buying the 1.5 off 194

DEN/LAC OVER 192.5 -123 for 2 units(L)

Alternating good day and bad day. Hope my plays return on Sunday.
0-3 -6.78 units

PHO/ATL looks like a spot where the sharps will take the Hawks with points after Suns upset win against Miami, long road trip, blah, blah, blah....
I took the first half Under with Suns last night to lose the only sequence in the game total to go Over (1st Quarter Under, 1st Half Over, 2nd Half Under and game Under) Today I like the 1st Half to go Over, but the number is 106 with the price of -121. That's a pointed shaded over with no value.
I seem to be doing better on ATS right now. There's enough in the tank for the first half.

SUNS 1st Half -3.5 -105 for 2 units(W)
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Another Half period play I like is the fade on Pacers.
I don't think they are ready to bounce back yet. What's with Peja taking his sweet time? He's not playing today.
There's flu like symptom going around the Indiana club too.

CAVS 1st Half -2 -105 for 3 units(W)
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Ron Artest will make his debut with the Sacramento Kings on Friday when they visit the Boston Celtics, who also will have a new look after making a seven-player trade Thursday. The Celtics swapped their second-leading scorer Ricky Davis, center Mark Blount, point guard Marcus Banks, forward Justin Reed and a pair of conditional second-round picks for Minnesota forward Wally Szczerbiak, centers Michael Olowokandi and Dwayne Jones and a future first-round pick. Szczerbiak ranked second on the Timberwolves with a 20.1 scoring average and immediately will fill Davis' role as Paul Pierce's primary support on offense. Transition will take it's toll in form of score.
It'll take a bit for Celtics to get going and Artest is not going to help matters.

SAC/BOS 1st Half Under 100 +103 for 3 units(W)
SAC/BOS Under 199 -106 for 2 units(W)

Clutch strikes back!
4-0 +10.09 units

Suns at Miami against the Heat.
Last time these two teams faced each other in Phoenix, Suns knocked in 47 1st quarter points and coasted the rest of the way.
I think the scheme for this game is to defend the home court and clamp down early. Suns will have to hit high percentage from the outside because they're not opening the middle to drive it in.
The value is in the 1st half.

PHO/MIA 1st Half Under 108.5 -126 for 1 unit(L)
------------------------------------------------------------------

Adding.

SEA 1st Half +3 -114 for 2 units(W)
-------------------------------------------------------------
Adding.
DAL 2nd Half -3 +100 for 2 units(W)

Don't have much to comment on the two half period wins.
Played it on an whim. Capricious wins are just that.
Thinking of getting back to the early lines...we'll see
2-1 +2.74 units

I'm staying with the under performing Bobcats facing T-Mac and the Rockets.
I like the Under play at Toyota Center. Cats focus today should be to keep the ball away from T-Mac and they might do this with disregard for much of the other Rockets. You know, it could work, but scoring's not coming easy.

CHA/HOU 1st Half Under 92.5 -108 for 2 units(L)
Should of taken the full game Under 185!
0-1 -2.16 units

I'm taking one game today with Bobcats at Spurs.
The Spurs will look to bounce back after a four-point home loss to Denver, a game in which the Spurs surrendered 32 fast break points and missed 19 three-point attempts. Spurs guard Manu Ginobili continues to nurse a sprained ankle suffered in Miami on Friday night.
The starting lineup for the Bobcats tonight will be Brevin Knight and Raymond Felton in the backcourt with Primoz Brezec, Bernard Robinson, and Jumaine Jones upfront. Jones is making his third start of the season.
Expect Melvin Ely to return to action tonight against the Spurs after missing the last 11 games with a sprained right ankle. He is the help Primoz needs in the post. Cats are still putting up low 90's with all the injuries, but they are giving up too many points in the paint. It's not going to be easy with the Spurs, but the Cats are full of surprises. Oh yeah, Duncan has a sore arch on his foot limiting his speed, but he can go lateral down low.
Line opened at 188.5 (Pinny) quickly dropped and went down to 186.
I'm sensing arb play in the middle, but for those speculators out there
note the display price and buy the 1.5 points.

CHA/SAS UNDER 188 -107 for 2 units(W)
The Cats give up 104, but hey it was the angry Spurs coming off a loss and they shut down the Cats to the tune of 76 points.

I'll be leaning on my freind Batis today.
Taking the home dog on this monday and buying 0.5 points on the ATS.

ATL +6.5 -120 for 3 units(W)
Sorry for my late post-game comments.
I'm so happy, I feel like the Hawks snapping the losses.
1-0 +3.00 units

Today I will play one total with Seattle at Phoenix and this should of been published last night as the number got away.
This number opened at 219 (BetCris) and 218.5 (Pinny)
I was able to buy 1.5 to the Pinny number for lofty 220.
Suns are clamping down at home and they take down teams with offense scoring 99+ points.

This will be my main game for Sunday.
SEA/PHO UNDER 220 -123 for 3 units(L)
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The day has started with Unders taking the early game and I feel the Under will dominate the match ups, but Kings playing 2nd of road B2B at Miami, Heat will want to push the ball today. Shaq should be refreshed and ready to turn it on in the paint. Kings poor scoring against Orlando and missing starters coming back, Kings will get back to moving the ball finding the open man.
Teams come geared to play against the contender, I look for Kings to come out firing and wear out in the 2nd Half.

SAC/MIA 1st Half OVER 102.5 -110 for 1 unit(W)
----------------------------------------------------------

SEA/PHO in Half Time and they did do their thing in the first, but game like this can shift.

SEA/PHO 2nd Half UNDER 109.5 -126 for 4 units(L) *I bought 1 point

I'll need to get back to the drawing board. Worst single day l0ss to date.
1-2 -11.73 units

I must confess, the loss last night with IND/MIN Over 176.5 was in anticipation of today's CHI/IND going under. Although the scoring sequence proved to be a loser, the late game surge held true. The moose was at the door looking to knock in one more basket for 177 total.
I would feel much better going into today with a Over win yesterday, both teams playing back to back with much energy focused on the closing of the game and both teams letting the win slip away.
One thing that does stand out, this subject has come up quite a bit, Pacers are coming out soft and playing catch up. Bulls seem to play tough 1st half and have tough time in the 2nd half.

CHI 1st Half +3.5 -110 for 2 units(W)
CHI/IND UNDER -188 -123 for 3 units(L)
Wrong Total sequence
----------------------------------------------------------

Can the Bobcats keep their ship from sinking? How many holes can they cover when new leaks keep popping up? The last one was a huge hole....G. Wallace was carrying this team and now he's out.
Bucks doesn't bring the fear of Pistons, but I say the ship is sinking, Brevin Knight, Raymond Felton or Primoz Brezec will not be able to stop this.
Interestingly this line before Wallace going down was at MIL -8 and O/U 199
So comparing the difference the Total did not take much of a hit.
Don't you see the two three zone coming on this one.
For now MIL on ATS looks strong.

MIL -3 1st Quarter -105 for 2 units(L)
MIL -6 1st Half -111 for 3 units(L)
MIL -10 -129 for 2 units(P)
Bucks suck. Came out flat to start 10-0 playing catch up all of first half.
Didn't make it in time to hit the Under that was pushed up too high.
Top it off I passed on Cleveland ATS & CLE/UTA Over.
Not my weekend
1-3-1 -6.12.

Here are two teams known for their defensive traits.
Indiana Pacers at Minnesota Timberwolves
This match up brings thoughts of grinding half court game and the line for this game opened at 179 (Pinny)
But looking at both teams the scores are on the rise.
Pacers are hurting they'll be shorthanded again as Jermaine O'Neal sits with an ankle, Jamaal Tinsley with an elbow, and Scot Pollard with a back-- all are doubtful. In addition, Stephen Jackson with flu-like symptoms and Fred Jones with a right thigh bruise made the injury report, though both are listed as probably for the game. But the line up of Croshere, Granger, Harrison, Jackson and Johnson has 4-2 record and defense will give more, hopefully the Pacers scoring will keep up. Current Pacers have punched through 90 point scoring 4 out of last 5 games.
T-Wolves are playing offense too. Their defense is good at home, but scoring is also up. I'm sure the game will have that defensive tone, but look for the score to go slightly over the number.

As usual buying 1.5 points from current line.
IND/MIN OVER 176.5 -115 for 2 units(L)
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Lakers at Suns.
Lakers OT loss playing back to back road games. I see Suns wanting to come out gunning and Lakers front court to give a little.

LAL/PHO 1st Quarter Over 52.5 -114 for 1 unit(L)
---------------------------------------------------------------

My late addition is Mavs to come out strong against the Clips in L.A.
DAL 1st Quarter -1.5 Even for 2 units(W)

------------------------------------------------------------
2nd Half addition. LAL/PHO game is sluggish with much hope of 2nd half scoring. I don't think it'll happen.
LAL/PHO 2nd Half UNDER 104.5 -120 for 2 units(L)

Bad outing.
1-3 -3.84 units

2 games today and the Sharps are on NYK with big points and LAL giving small points.

I like the game in New York to go Under, but I was hoping for 195 O/U.
It's like they knew what I was thinking, so the battle of wits continue.
The number is getting pushed 193 (BoDog) now, but Pinny holding at 191.5 while most others have moved that number up. Pinny is bold and I think their lines are one of the sharpest in the business, they too looks like Under bias on this game and taking in the Over money.
Lets watch this one, it will move.

DET/NYK UNDER 194 -123 for 2 units(W)

What the hell happened to the 2nd Half lines?
Can't take all the credit for this Under, BetCrimes had it marked Under days ago. Should of unloaded on this line.
------------------------------------------------------------------

I think Lakers will take this. Kings have exceeded to a level they can not sustain. Lakers to set the tone at the start.

LAL 1st Half ML -130 for 2 units(L)
OK, Maybe that was a homer pick, but didn't Kobe get contact on his last shot at the end of 1st half? That was a three pointer too.
------------------------------------------------------------------

1-1 -0.60 Lost the juice

I'm taking a early line tonight.
Watch this ATS with WAS/ORL with majority is on WAS +1.
Wizards riding 4 game winning streak and Magic with 4 losses, but
getting stronger ATS. Looks like the line is predicting Magic SU.
I can't say that's a strong play, more of a line play, what I do like
is Wizards taking the games Under. I said this before, books have not caught up to adjustments made by Washington defense.
On Orlando side, Francis coming back for Magic might be a good thing for the Under. Grant Hill is most likely out tomorrow and Jameer should get some court time, but he will be marked. Going through technical indicators on Magic's numbers they have a fast rising peak with gradual decline.
The last cycle being 1/10 Clips game scored 73-90 (L), sharp rise 1/11 Sonics game scored 104-113 (L), I'd equate the next game as sideways or tapered
1/13 Blazers game 108-113 (L) and last game as declining 1/15 Kings game 100-104 (L) Next one should fall below 100 points.
The total for this game opened at 202 (BetCRIS) and now pushed up to 205.5,
I'm buying 1.5 points

WAS/ORL UNDER 207 -130 for 2 units(W)
There was some surge at the 4th quarter countering the Orlando lower output. The Line was correct in predicting Magic win and UNDER survived to take the win.
1-0 +2.00 units
Also nice win to Batis on Boston.

The DVD release of "Two for the Money" commercial is blaring on Sports Talk radio. Haven't seen it yet, but this is another example of how far this industry has come.
I see syndicated funds getting bigger, head handicapper wheeling the power, to the likes of Wall Street money managers, can move lines and change or reverse the money flow. Keep in mind the ultimate big money play is to arb, to capture plus money on both sides of the wagerline and lock in the profit regardless of the outcome. However this is easier said than done.

Lets move on to the game for tonight.
The Suns and Kings meet for second of four regular season game.
The last meet was 118-117, which was light years in early NBA 2005/06
Nov. 6th. Kings started this season on a bad note and did the same act on game 2.
Kings beat the Suns on the 3rd game, Shareef two free throws to edge the game. Then they went on to lose 2 more, front and back of B2B game.
The Kings along the way made adjustments, got better, looked like they might float and now everybody's hurt.
The straight up win against Orlando was a big emotional lift, gut check kind of game combined with strong match up trend. Today the long trend is against them and Pacific division Suns will take convincing revenge.
Keeping in mind Bibby has been hitting his range today is a drop down spot. Prior to Orlando Kings failed to reach 90 points (85 MEM & 88 HOU & 83 IND) with Hornets holding them to 76 in their last 5 games.
PHO is giving up over 100+ in their last 5 and 3 season trend tracks very strong Over against Kings, but fundamentals tell me this will look similar to recent PHL/PHO (85-105) or
MIA/PHO (93-111) type scoring.
I will wait on the Total.

PHO 1st Half -3.5 -117 for 2 units(L)
Ooops, I took the wrong side of a blow out. Reminds me of the Clips game.
0-1 -2.34 units

MLK Day. Games happening all day long.
I did have some writing prepared for early today. You know, on the NYK Over play. But I had a second thought as my own rule for B2B Over is against rested opponent allowing or scoring 99+ points with some situational exception.
When you've capped as long as I have things start to repeat themselves and when your senses raise a red flag you better follow it.

Much of my energy is focused on getting to the Lakers game tonight.
Not no nose bleed seats either, center court floor seats fetching premium dollars. It's not secured yet, but my back up seats are just about locked in.
So what's the Play?.....I'll be back in awhile.

So for this game I like the score to sink Under. Miami punched in 100 points at Utah, but that game was looking Under all the way. The Over will be the public's choice, right now you can buy up to 205.5, I'm just looking to get the best price.

*Looking back at Heat at Jazz, Shaq didn't have much of a game which bothers me. I still like the Under to play out against the public, but maybe I'll wait for the 2nd half. Unfortunately I will not be able to publish that play.

I'll take a small spot on Lakers First Half. I would go moneyline, but why not take the tie breaker at plus money.
LAKERS 1st Half +0.5 +112 1 unit(W)
Told you this game goes Under. It was Under from the Start and Yes, I hit the 2nd Half Under 102, but I'm not going to count that win.

-------------------------------------------------------------
Batis pointed out the Over in SAS/MEM game and I agree with the turn around game. Both teams get to play knowing each others tendencies.
First they both want to be the aggressor from the gate then settle down in the 2nd quarter. Come out hard after the half and keep it close in the 4th.
SAS/MEM 1st Quarter OVER 42.5 +107 for 1 unit(W)
SAS/MEM OVER 168.5 -123 for 2 units(W)

Just as I visioned.
-----------------------------------------------------------

Nice game, nice wins, Today was a good day.
3-0 +4.00

NYK/TOR game is finished. I'm not much on post game talk, but I will admit NYK games OVER trend is one hot ticket. Books know it, Sharps know it and Public rides it. Although the line is almost always shaded you can see the battle at the opening lines. Books shade the Total Over and as that number reaches ever higher the Sharps are ready to pound the Under. Maybe the players are looking for scoring drought to reverse this trend, Balanced game to come just under the number, whatever it is that was not the case today.
Knicks are doing it on both sides of the floor, They're scoring or giving up the score. I thought about buying it lower and taking the Over, but blinked. I'm old school and respect the Linemakers to balance the numbers over the season, but definitely Over Team.
If you have been playing NYK games Over.....Nice gain!

I understand the Sharp money is often exceeding Public money on some games. So who knows what the books are plotting..... LOL
-------------------------------------------------------------
Turn back the date to Dec. 26, 2005.
Portland has started to play better, after losing 1st quarter they took the rest sending Kings to their 5th straight loss. After the game Sacramento Kings are on the shuttle to Los Angeles for 2nd leg of back to back game, news breaks Shareef broke his jaw, sending the lines scrambling....off the top of my head,
I think it was Clips -5 moved to Clips -8.5 and what happened? Mike Bibby went insane put up 38 points and Kings cashed as big time road dog.

Back to Jan. 6, 2006.
Clips revenge game back at Arco. But Voodoo is still working.
Clips come into this game with ATS -1,
Linemakers should say "we don't know who will win".
Again Mike Bibby surging in the 4th taking the game and ATS.
Why did I bring this up? To illustrate strengths of match up trends?
Clips have not beat the Kings in last 100 years. But when does trend exceed logic? When they start to give up too many points in face of weak depth combined with losses, like Bobcats & Rockets, Kings fit that mold.

Orlando comes to Arco tonight. Magic has not won in Sacramento in 12 years and they have not won on the road in 2006. But wait the first 3 game road trip this year they are 2-1 ATS. This 3 game road trip will end tonight with last game pushing ATS and Magic was in that game all the way into the 4th quarter.
Magic has their load of baggage, but I think they are much better unit without Francis. Dooiling loss hurts a bit, still the unit is better than what Kings have right now.
Break the curse or not. ATS looks pretty strong. I'm watching the line.

I'll be back before the game.

I am in at.....
ORL +6 -123 for 1 unit(W)

I'd like to thank Jameer Nelson for the effort in a losing game,
but covering ATS.
Hell of a game for the point guard.
1-0 +1.00 unit

Today's selection at the Association.

Bobcats on 2nd of back to back with huge effort taking ATS +2.5 against the Bucks in the first leg. Today they face the best, Detroit Pistons at home.
Cats are getting +16.5 & +9 for 1st Half. Respects to the Pistons, but money is going to Cats with points. G. Wallace playing big and like I said yesterday, this team has heart.
I expect Cats defense to weaken, but they will stay aggressive as they turn up inside outside game and run the floor. Today's total trends Under for the match up as these team have not cashed on lines at 190's, but 2nd of B2B Over theory applied Cats to score little less and Pistons to exceed 100+

CHA/DET OVER 187.5 -125 for 2 units(W)
I'm going to take the middle in the 2nd Half.
CHA/DET 2nd Half UNDER 94 -105 for 2 units(L)
Got too greedy on this game.
----------------------------------------------------------

Sixth road game in 10 days and 2nd of back to back for Miami. Coming off huge scoring game against Sonics. Jazz also won last game with huge scoring output, much of that coming at the paint. Drop down spot for the Score.

MIA/UTA UNDER 192.5 -118 for 1 unit(L)
I did not think Heat would score 100 points, not tonight.
Miami is good, but I was close.

-------------------------------------------------------
Cleveland has been aggressive around the rim and scoring chunks come in the paint. Last game should of easily gone over 100+ if it wasn't for their rare poor shooting at the line. Lets look for todays game to clear the century mark.
Even better in the first half.

CLE/PHO 1st Half OVER 101 -127 for 2 units(W)
Waaay Over 101 !
-------------------------------------------------------------
I took this play from Batis, but just in case Kobe hits that 3 pointer at end of game down by 5
GSW ML -134 for 1 unit(L)
Spread did not matter. Sorry Batis, Warriors did not keep up in the 4th.

-----------------------------------------------------------
Sonics don't look good and why should this game get total of 205?
Brand back in the middle to shut down the low post.

Sorry, my mistake no Brand tonight, but this game still looking Under as Clippers having block party in the paint.

SEA/LAC 1st Half UNDER 104.5 -109 for 2 units(W)
SEA/LAC UNDER 205 -107 for 1 unit(W)
I don't know what the Linemakers were thinking on this one.
I should of unloaded on this line.
-----------------------------------------------
4-3 +2.38 Could of been better, wasted a perfectly good Over winner with CHA/DET. We'll reset the board and do it again tomorrow.

In last game point guard Brevin Knight started the game but could not play in the second half because of lower back spasms. Charlotte led the Raptors at the half by 12 points, but did not hit a field goal in the final four minutes and 19 seconds and were outscored 11-1 over that time.
If Knight cannot play today, the list of players out of action for the Bobcats are Emeka Okafor, Kareem Rush, Jake Voskuhl and Melvin Ely.
Friday's game is the start of three games in four days for the Bobcats.
Cats play with heart, these guys have been playing banged up and players are hungry for court time and if it wasn't for the embarrassing loss by the Bucks to the Pacers I might have stayed off the ATS.
The Bucks lost that game on 56% shooting & 23 for 33 FTA by Indy.
I like the Bucks front court match up and I expect Bucks to close the gap on Bobcat shooters.

MIL has yet to reach 100 points in 2006.
CHA has done it once in regulation in 2006.
Bucks -3.5 -114 for 2 units(L)
MIL/CHA Under 195 -123 for 3 units(L)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Will Calvin Booth and Michael Ruffin once again start in place of Jamison and Haywood? Head Coach Eddie Jordan says that will be a game time decision.
Looking at this match up, WAS/IND Total 195.5~196 (opened 193), Booth and Ruffin will give defensive tone to this game. Wizards scoring output has been on the decline since the start of this year. The team is adjusting towards defense and the number has not caught up to them. Yes, they scored 103 - 72 win against the Hawks, but with 60 points in the paint. Can they do that against Indy? Wizards have gone Under 4 out of last 5 games.
Pacers held Bucks to 88 points in their last win. So far in Jan. Pacers have played 3 games out of 6 holding opponents in 80's taking the win. 96 points twice and allowed 106 in loss to Denver, Nugs were very sharp at home that night.
Looks like the books are going to let this number run Over.
I'll be watching to hit the Under.

I'll take a position.
WAS/IND UNDER 197 -118 for 1 unit(W)
Added.
WAS/IND UNDER 197 -109 for 1 unit(W)
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Adding.
POR 1st Quarter -1 -113 for 1 unit(P)
POR 1st Half -2 -123 for 2 units(L)
-----------------------------------------------------------

MIA/SEA 1st Quarter OVER 52.5 -111 for 1 unit(W)

------------------------------------------------------
Last one for tonight.

POR 2nd Half -4 -111 for 3 units(W)

Not an good result. MIL/CHA game really killed the day.
4-3-1 -2.43 units

Only one game left tonight, CLE/LAL.
Lakers coming off a loss to Portland and now faces Cleveland on the second leg of Road/Home game. I have an Over bias on the 2nd game, but tonight I feel the Lakers will try to do too much in their come back effort and their energy will diminish as the game progresses.

CLE/LAL UNDER 195 -107 for 1 unit(L)

Missed the GSW/PHO 2nd Half UNDER 106.5, what a great line against the Suns that played 3OT in last 8 games.


Cavs defense started soft, but nice adjustment to make the closing run taking the lead into half time.
Adding.

CLE/LAL 2nd Half UNDER 99 -111 for 1 unit(L)

Kobe hurt his right wrist early 3rd quarter. He has not taken himself out, but also not shooting so far....

I was thinking OT is the only way I lose. No, double moose job with 62 point scoring in the 4th quarter.
0-2 -2.18 units
Time to set things right. These losses are not acceptable.

Tonight late game. Lakers are at the Rose Garden, Kobe rolling 40+ points.
Blazers will be underestimated and they will take the battle of the boards.
I expect defensive effort out of the gate.

LAL/POR 1st Half UNDER 98 -125 for 1 unit(L)
Blazers take the game, but not the low scoring I was expecting.
How did Portland score over 100 points? Well, BetCrimes did call for Over bias day.

I'm being chased by time once again.

My take for tonight.

HOU/CHA UNDER 181.5 -117 for 2 units(L)

End of regulation 90-90, shit happens.
0-1 -2.34 units

I missed my deadline Sunday.
Tagged along with a friend who's looking to buy a boat.

My take for this evening is
DAL/BOS OVER 204 -120 for 2 units(W)
DAL/BOS 1st Half OVER 101 -115 for 2 units(W)

Today was an double attack on Sides and Totals from your friendly Cappers going perfecto.
2-0 +4.00 units

NBA Monday from Batis

Monday is well-known Home UnderDog Day.

I see the home team, having just 25% consensus backers, 2 game losing streak and delicious rival (4 of 5; 7 of 9 wins). This home team is lonely Home Dog on Monday and the line added pts on them through the whole day: from 3 to 4.5. I'll take it.

Boston +4.5 1.88 (4 units) Win

Math Stat is alive.
+3.52 units tonight. Hope somebody got the cash with MS.

No leans and plays today. Many interesting situations, game plan changes, adjustments and balance will continue to shape the landscape.
When you spot something write it down, human memory is fallible.

I will take a stab on the double back to back game today with San Antonio at Phoenix, what's the new arena name now? US Airways from America West, I really don't care, but nice arena to visit.
I think this one will hit close to 200.

SAS/PHO OVER 192.5 -122 for 1 unit(L)
I don't know what happened to this game, even Batis thought this was a Over.

-----------------------------------------------------------

Adding.

LAL/LAC 2nd Half OVER 96 -105 for 2 units(W)
I can only say "Kobe"

1-1 +0.78 units

It's Friday already. Time is passing fast, casual sports fans are not even aware that MLB spring training is fast approaching with World Baseball Classic to change the outlook a little bit.
Speaking of World Baseball -280 for Japan to win Asia is a very strong Future Proposition, but -280 is not attractive.
Anyway I'm gearing up as Phoenix becomes my second home from Feb. to Apr.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Back to the Association on Friday.
Maybe I'm not feeling the flow, into the groove or something. I liked the Unders yesterday, but failed to play them and Houston is fast becoming a monkey on my back.
I have a angle today that will most likely loose if I play, so I'm not, that's
WAS/NYK UNDER 211.5
Wiz 111 points in 111-123 loss to Houston. Washington meltdown in 3rd quarter when they were holding a lead at the Half.
Knicks last game was the triple OT win, but they blew a 13 point 2nd half lead to put it into OT.
This number looks high, but so does all other Knicks games and probably has the best chance of getting moosed.
I thought I come back and gloat on this play, but you know it would of went over if I played it.
--------------------------------------------------------

I will take the 2nd leg of back to back game, Houston at Toronto, with one of the highest Totals set for this match up. I do see tie in with the 2nd leg game with opponent scoring 97 points or better, rested, at home and Raptors give up better than 100+ at home.
First Half Total set at 95 with Game Total set at 191 (came down from 193)

HOU/TOR OVER 189.5 -123 for 2 units(W)
That's how you want the Total to cash with 3 min. to spare in the game.
-------------------------------------------------------
I'm not adding here just some thoughts on tonights other games.
Seattle seems changed, it just one game with the new coach so I will watch this game against Detroit, but they look like they'll give up scoring for added strength in the low post.
Let's see if this will go Under 203 (204.5 at -126) SEA/DET
This one went Under, was not even close to 200.
------------------------------------------------------------

How about UTA/MEM OVER 176....This line was 172 last night.
I think Sharps and Public is on this Over. Grizz is hitting 100+ and Jazz picking up the score too.
I would not chase a run away line like this plus line makers are looking for scoring to stall here or else they would not of let this run away.
Might even be a good fade.
Great Public fade play. Like I said never chase run away lines, if the Books didn't like the Under they would of held their line.
---------------------------------------------------------------

WAS ML +103 This looks good for a straight up win.
OK, I was wrong on this one.
------------------------------------------------------------

Looks like my HOU/TOR Over is off to a bad start......

Alls well that ends well, 92-112 total 204 to eclipse 189.5 !

----------------------------------------------------------

That was fun, but I should of pulled the trigger on at least one of my Total leans. (easy said after the games. "Could of gone 4-1")

1-0 +2.00 units

Not much to play today. Everybody loves Houston with Cleveland playing 2nd game of back to back. Rockets started the line at +9, Hughes went out with broken finger, line went to 7.5 and now it's all the way to 6.5 !
Are people over estimating Rocket or am I under estimating them.
Oh yeah, Rockets routinely go into 120+ points and blow out their opponents.
Staying on my fade.

CLE 1st Half -3 -122 for 1 unit(L)
Houston is getting on my nerves. Oh and Rockets covered 2nd Half +6.5 too.

I'm not sure how much misery the Bulls can endure, but they sure look banged up for this match up. Sonics will have a different look with two young centers active.

SEA +1.5 1st Half -105 for 2 units(W)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Orlando is getting killed. In badly need of 2nd half surge.

ORL -4 2nd Half -105 for 1 unit(L)
Raptors wire to wire. How often do you see that.

1-1 +0.95 units

I have one early selection. I think this one will end with both teams in low 90's.
If Washington can contain T-Mac Rockets might end in the 80's.

HOU/WAS UNDER 193 -127 for 1 unit(L)

Should of taken the general Over trend more into consideration as this line has moved higher since last night.
I think Wizards need to protect their home, defend their court and that's how their wins have come at home. Houston are 85~90 point scoring team right now.
Adding.
HOU/WAS UNDER 194 -117 for 1 unit(L)

WAS -1.5 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(L)

82 points in 3rd quarter kills this Under. Wiz did not have a handle on T-Mac and I was counting the chicks at the 1st Half.
0-3 -3.49 units

This line has really moved and I didn't hit it that long ago.
Seattle playing respectable game on the road will go against the struggling Pacers getting points. I do see danger in playing such a public play and I'll eliminate the final outcome going with the 1st Half.

SEA 1st Half +3.5 -108 for 1 unit(L)

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Early round scoring to return.

BOS/DEN 1st Quarter OVER 53.5 -111 for 2 units(W)
BOS/DEN 1st Half OVER 106.5 -112 for 1 unit(W)

Sonics tanked, but late game promptly goes over.
2-1 +1.92 units

New Year games are thin. Wolves and Heats are well into the 4th quarter with Miami winning by 20. Things seem to be shaping up in the East.

The two remaining games, LAC/POR & UTA/LAL, I'm passing the game in Los Angeles. I do have an observation though, public loves the Over with the low number (opened 177 and come down to 176) They loved the Over at 177 and yet the number fell. UTA on 2nd of back to back scored 108 in regulation in the first leg, that is first time this season. This has the writing of a scrappy game, will Lamar lead the Lakers? will Parker hit from outside? will Mihm hold his own?....too many questions for me, but line tells me the Under 176 is the right play.
The Clips and Blazers. I would of guessed Clips to dominate the game last night and I thought they had the advantage the game before against under manned Kings. When the team does not bounce back after a beating, it doesn't have to cover or even win SU, but bounce back effort....surge in scoring from previous or holding your opponent better than the last, that team is in danger of becoming a stepping team. That's what's happening to the Clippers as they will face a fast improving Blazers at home getting points. Top it off the public is all over the Clippers. I like POR +2, but I'm not going to play this.
Instead I will take the first half game and look for Clips defense to adjust.

LAC/POR 1st Half Under 94.5 -112 for 1 unit(L)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

Clips are playing smart game, Blazer ended the first with momentum.

LAC/POR 2nd Half OVER 90.5 -113 for 2 units(W)

I was wrong on the Unders. 2nd half adjustment worked out.
1-1 +0.88 units

HAPPY NEW YEAR !!!!

On the New Years Eve of 2005. Looking at today's card I feel many of these games will go Under.
PHO/CHI
GSW/HOU
SAC/DEN
BOS/LAC

Clippers are without their small forwards, Quinton Ross joins Corey Maggette on the sidelines, and today's game the Clippers are expected to show more zone defense.
I am bias on 2nd game of back to back to play Over, but more so when the opponent is an offensive team. Clippers back court has not been threatening and Brand will be the force. This game to stay under 200.

BOS/LAC UNDER 204 -118 for 2 units(W)

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Spurs at Nuggets is shaded Over, but I think it's a spot for Spurs scoring to drop. Nuggets production is mostly in the paint and that ties into their 100+ scoring output. On the rare occasion when they do not get 40+ points in the paint the score drops Under and I expect Spurs to take away the paint. Nuggets out manned in the front court.
I see this UNDER may move to my favor.

Over 193 is getting the money, at -123 about 45 min. to go, I'll sit on this and hit it before game time.

Over 193 price moved to-130, but did not move the line. Linemakers are going to hold. I was hoping for improved line.

SAS/DEN UNDER 194.5 Even Money for 1 unit(W)


------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Warriors and Rockets. I do like the Under, but I will watch the line and take the Warriors ATS in the 1 st Half.

GSW 1st Half +1.5 for -105 for 3 units(W)
GSW 1st Half ML +125 for 1 unit(W)
---------------------------------------------------------------------

Suns in Chicago playing back to back. I think Bull defense will set the tone, but I liked it at 205 (could of bought it) 1st Half Total is showing 102.5 with money on Over. I'll look to play Under if the 1st half breaks over 100.

....Score dropped off in 2nd quarter. I'll pass the 2nd Half. Now 202 looks like gold.

.....Wow, OT sends this game Over 202. I got lucky on this pass.
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That's the way to close out 2005.
4-0 +7.25 units

Today Miami at Washington after a hard fought loss against the NBA's finest, Detroit Pistons, Heat was in that game all the way and covered ATS with Shaq's dunk at the end of regulation making the difference 5 points.
Wizards also coming off a loss against Phoenix, Washington was also in that game until Suns slipped away in the end.
Wizards have been dominated by the Heat and they will need to work extra hard in the low post. I think this Total has moved up too high, it would not be surprising to see this game end below 200 points.

MIA/WAS UNDER 207 -120 for 1 unit(L)
Went against my own rules on this loser.
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ATL/NJN 2nd Half UNDER 100.5 -108 for 2 units(W)
Beat this one by the hook.

--------------------------------------------------------------------

PHO/CHA 2nd Half OVER 99.5 -105 for 1 unit(W)
Cats ran out of gas at the end, but Suns just enough to push this over.

Finally.
2-1 +1.80 units

I need to get some last minute stuff done and head out to the airport today.
Before I go, my play today is on HOU/NOH. I got burned fading Houston in the early rounds (1st quarter & half), but I think Rockets are still worth the fade. I also think this game will play out to the low score billing.
Houston is just single demensional and opponents are shutting down T-Mac with double and triple D's. Hornets have not played since 12/23, might be flat out of the gate, but I think their defense will contain the B2B Rockets.

NOH -2.5 -118 for 1 unit(L)
HOU/NOH UNDER 175 -123 for 2 units(L)

Got moosed by the hook and 55 point 2nd quarter take this game clear over.
I could of thrown darts and hit better percentage. Need to step up my game, bad luck is the residue from lack of effort. Looking too much on the surface without depth.
0-2 -3.64 units

Having second thoughts on Heats early. They're giving pretty good numbers and Bucks after 15 point loss to Magic might have extra fight even on second leg of back to back road, but short trip and they had plenty of rest.
I think this game with start off fast and settle.

MIL/MIA 1st Quarter Over 50.5 -105 for 1 unit(W)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlanta on the rise and Bobcats have depleted front court. Look for the Hawks to pound the inside.

ATL 1st Half -2.5 -110 for 1 unit(L)

------------------------------------------------------------------------

Houston on fade.
UTA 1st Half +3.5 -107 for 2 units(L)
UTA 1st Half +187 for 1 unit(L)
UTA 1st Quarter +2 -108 for 1 unit(L)

---------------------------------------------------------------------

PHL/DEN 2nd Half UNDER 102.5 -105 for 1 unit(L)
PHL 2nd Half +3 -105 for 2 units(W)

------------------------------------------------------------------

Clippers -8.5 -108 for 2 units(L)
SAC/LAC UNDER 195.5 -118 for 2 units(L)

Ugly day again. Well, my vacation is almost over maybe things will return to norm.
7-2 -5.74 units

Monday at the hoops.
Time is ticking and I have a light play for NJN/NYK.
Knicks have been trending Over. 6 straight, 8 out of last 10. The strength of this trend is combined with Knicks timely point surge and porous defense allowing points in the paint and giving open looks.
The return of Eddy Curry will make the difference in taking this game UNDER. The 2 Under games out of the last 10 was also due to the difference of Curry. This guy is the Knicks low post that's a factor for Under.

NJN/NYK UNDER 194 -119 for 1 unit(L)

Knicks Over keeps rolling. I'll take another Under and again going against the public. 1 unit each.

POR/SAC 1ST Quarter Under 48.5 +110(L)
POR/SAC 1st Half Under 98 -129(L)
POR/SAC Under 191.5 -106(L)

Off target on all marks. I really liked Blazers to take the game Under too.
I'll look to take Miami ATS for the early round (1st quarter and half) when the line comes out.
0-4 -4.54 units

Happy Holidays and Best Wishes.

BetCrimes, Batis and to all the cappers.
May we all cover ATS and hit the Totals.

I think this line will move up so I'll go ahead and take the early line.
The game is GSW/DET, Warriors have been on the road since 12/13 (give or take with the quick return and back on the road schedule) They have been porous, but always seem to start the second half on a rally.
I would say this play is trend bias, similar to NYK playing Over, maybe not as obvious. Pistons are consistantly hitting 100+ at home. I think even with Pistons defense getting it done the porous nature of Warriors game would remain and score will reach the Over mark.

GSW/DET OVER 199 -123 for 2 units

I guessed wrong. Moved the opposite direction. I still feel this game has a good chance to go over 200+
I'll add.
GWS/DET OVER 196.5 -115 for 1 unit

Kings’ guard Bonzi Wells is expected to miss approximately three to four weeks of action due to a partial tear in his right groin. Kings’ forward Peja Stojakovic is expected to miss a minimum of one week due to a protruding disc in his lower back. I do think Mavs will win, but ATS has been moving strong towards Dallas. My play today will be on the O/U, I think Sacramento attack will get shut down today and Kings will have to put a body on every Mavs to keep them from dominating the board.

DAL/SAC UNDER 202.5 -120 for 2 units(W)

Nice work by Dirk down the stretch.
1-0 +2.00 units

Today I will make the play on Clippers at Pacers. LAC is playing second leg of back to back road game. The first leg they met with hot Nets and Clips helps their cause by turning over the ball in generous dose. I feel Clips were surprised and failed to collect themselves.
Pacers have their own internal problems, but are holding it together.
Don't let all the recent W's fool you, since their last home loss to Dallas (12/6) they have had soft schedule at home to help.
Clips should be a tough customer tonight and look for them to play strong in the low post. Now this is a back to back for the Clips and their back court could wear down.

LAC 1st Quarter +1.5 -108 for 1 unit(L)
LAC 1st Half +2.5 -109 for 2 units(L)

Adding.
SAS 1st Quarter -1.5 -110 for 2 units(W)

Adding.
DEN 1st Quarter -2.5 +101 for 1 unit(L)
TOR 1st Quarter +2 -107 for 2 units(W)

Last Addition.
WAS/DEN 2nd Half OVER 100.5 -105 for 2 units(W)

I couldn't give any reasoning for my added plays as I was taking them with the windows closing. Not my style to rapid fire the board, but I'll take the gain.
3-3 + 1.74 units

I will take a small position in this situational play.
DET/POR with Pistons on second leg of road back to back playing double OT and edging a win, losing ATS. Piston starters all played hard and long minutes. I'll take the Blazers upset win, sometimes the play calls for the long shot.

POR +1050 for 1 unit(L)
POR +12 +107 for 2 units(W)
Blazers were right there for the SU win and could not close the deal.
At least I backed it with ATS.
1-1 +1.14 units

Got too cocky last night.
Today I look to Toronto at Orlando.
Raptors, are we not men?, just turn over the ball and give up on the 2nd half? At home court? What an embarrassment against the 76ers.
Here we go to 2nd leg of back to back, on the road against the Magic.
Orlando quickly healing, looking balanced and flexing their muscle.
They will be eager to put on a show at home.

TOR/ORL OVER 188 -125 for 2 units(L)
Got it last night, but was too upset to publish the pick.
I think this game will go over 191.
Thinking of taking Raptors with points.

Got beat again.
0-1 -2.50 units

Sunday at the Association.
Hold tight, we might get what we're after.
Look for the MIN/DAL game to go UNDER the number.
I see some Over bias, but seems to be a sharp line with little movement.
As always take it at highest number possible.
Currently I see 184 ~ 183.5 so buy 185 UNDER.
Take UNDER 185 or better.

MIN/DAL UNDER 185 -122 for 3 units(L)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

WAS/POR Game. The Blazers are the bottom team that's in need of more than motivation. I'm fading them in the early going.
WAS 1st Quarter -1.5 -105 for 2 units(L)

---------------------------------------------------------------------

Here is a rare Prop Play from me.
Team Performance: DALLAS UNDER 108.5 -108 for 3 units(L)
This was a stupid prop. I ended up giving up 15 points with Dallas win.
I'll never play that crap again.

Got killed today.
0-3 -8.00 units

Friday game coming up. Good size card with nice match ups.
Maybe look for GSW/TOR to be a high scoring game or MIA/PHL or MIL/BOS.
I kind of like MIA/PHL Over 200.5 and looks like this will be a public play.
I'll think about that one, but will take one early line.
The game is ORL/DAL. Orlando's coming up, they are hitting from the field and scores is also on the rise. Dallas took care of the Suns at home and held the Suns below the century mark, but maybe that was because of Suns more than Mavs defense. Suns of late has not been the high flier failing to reach 100+ for the past 4 games so let's not give Dallas defense so much credit and Dallas allowed the most points to the Suns out of their last 4 games. I do like the Mavs offense at home scoring above 100+ in all of their home game since 12/10. Also the offensive looks balanced with Dirk taking charge and lots of guys in double figures. Orlando has been a under trending team, but this total may have dropped little too low.

ORL/DAL OVER 185 -101 for 2 units(W) *Wow, I just looked and the price has moved to -122 for this over. (sorry the price I took was -101 not +101)

This game goes Over in regulation, but late takers will sigh in relief.
OT game and the Over will cash hard.
------------------------------------------------------------------

Adding GSW at TOR for high energy start to take the 1st quarter OVER.
I think Raps came out a bit flat in their last game after the long off time and Warriors, 18 points 1st quarter against Houston in last game need to be aggressive out of the gate.
GSW/TOR 1st Quarter OVER 51.5 -105 for 1 unit(L)
That should of gone over. That missed FT towards the end of quarter was the difference by the hook.

-------------------------------------------------------------------

Never take back to back game too lightly. But if you must keep in mind that fatigue factor is magnified in the second half.
SEA 1st Half -1.5 -115 for 2 units(W)
This was a laugher.
--------------------------------------------------------------------

I really like Seattle in the early game. I'm adding this one too
SEA 1st Quarter -1 -105 for 2 units(W)
This was a laugher. (is there an echo?)

I told Batis I'd stay off the board, but couldn't help myself.
3-1 +4.95 units

Hope all the Players are doing well. I'm still chillin', no work, no schedule, which is nice, but I'm a creature of habit when it comes to capping games.
I have my routine and trusty computer to crunch some data and go through at least a dozen metropolitan newspapers. I haven't done any of that.
Some capers are gun slinger taking lots of shots on the board looking to take down 60%~70%+, I consider myself a sniper with narrow target and I want to take my best shot, though I am known to hit more than a few.
So with this explanation I will tread lightly today.

Bulls travel to Air Canada Center on their second of back to back after a hard fought loss to rejuvenated Heat with presence of Shaq in the middle and Riley on the sideline. Riley activated Shaq's offense mode and just like that he scores 30 points. Bulls only scored 16 points in the paint compared to 42 points for Miami, but you know what? Bulls covered +4 ATS and I think they could of taken that one straight up if they turned the 4th quarter into a grinder instead of a shoot out. Now today's match up against the Raptors hungry for a win at home and this is where I normally talk about Raps trying to out run and out gun the tired Bulls, but I think the excited young Raptors will not penetrate the Bulls with their high pace style. Toronto has not played since 12/10, 111-103 win against the Cats. In that game Raps dominated the board and scoring in the paint and 3rd quarter was impressive. Well rested and prepared after so many losses to the Bulls. I feel Toronto with points will prevail, but Chicago will try to impose the tempo of this game early. If the Bulls are successful in slowing this game it should carry the Under for the full game.

CHI/TOR UNDER 203 -113 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit

Weekly Wrap Up. 12/5 to 12/11
Couple of bad calls at the end of this week, but still have great read on all games capped. I'll blame it on vacation distracting my focus and I'm not going to push it next week.

14 - 4 Gain +12.06 units *Robbed of winner on Sunday

SUN.
WAS/MIA UNDER 200 -120 for 3 units (L) -3.60
0-1 -3.60

SAT.
TOR/CHA OVER 197 -114 for 2 units (W) +2.00
PHO/LAC 1st Half UNDER 105 -116 for 2 units (L) -2.32
1-1 -0.32

FRI.
CHA/PHL OVER 197.5 -123 for 2 units (W) +2.00
CHA/PHL 1st Half OVER 100 -118 for 1 unit (W) +1.00
2-0 +3.00

THU.
WAS/IND OVER 189.5 -121 for 1 unit (W) +1.00
WAS/IND OVER 186.5 -118 for 1 unit (W) +1.00
HOU/SAC OVER 185 -128 for 2 units (W) +2.00
3-0 +4.00

WED.
BOS/NOH UNDER 193.5 -126 for 3 units (W) +3.00
BOS/NOH 2nd Half UNDER 95.5 -108 for 2 units (W) +2.00
CHI/ORL OVER 175.5 -124 for 2 units (W) +2.00
CHI/ORL 1st Half OVER 87 -115 for 1 unit (W) +1.00
4-0 +8.00

TUE.
IND 1st Half -1.5 -126 for 2 units (L) -2.52
DAL/IND 2nd Half UNDER 92.5 +105 for 2 units (W) +2.10
MIL 1st Half -2 -120 for 3 units (L) -3.60
TOR/WAS OVER 200.5 -127 for 3 units (W) +3.00
TOR/WAS 1st Qt. OVER 51.5 -113 for 2 units (W) +2.00
3-2 +0.98

MON.
SAS/ORL 1st Half OVER 84.5 -110 for 2 units (W) +2.00
1-0 +2.00

For the Wizards it's been a difficult two days. The loss in Indianapolis, they then got stuck in Indianapolis because of the snow storm, came back home on Saturday night to play the Chicago Bulls where they had a promising start in the 1st quarter, but like the game against the Pacers, a disastrous 2nd quarter, but this time, unlike the game against the Pacers, the Wizards did recover only to lose to the Chicago Bulls 118-111. Of concern, a meltdown in the final 3 minutes. The Wizards had a 111-102 lead with 3:06 to go only to see the Bulls go off on a 16-0 run to close the game. How could that happen? Bullets failed to make crucial stops and they will remember tonight.
O'Neal returned to practice this week and participated in Miami's shootaround Friday. He practiced Saturday and looks like he'll get back in uniform Sunday. It'll be nice to see him playing again, but I expect him to be on the clock. Don't expect 25 point production from the big man, Zo's going to do the heavy lifting and that means defending the inside. What's good about Shaq in this spot is he will clog up the middle and you still need to put couple of guys on him. Shaq will do what he can to make his way back, this is a start.
I look for today's battle below the 2 century mark.

WAS/MIA UNDER 200 -120 for 3 units(L)
Shaq, can't make both or miss both, makes one to send this game into OT.

Saturday hardcourt with the Association. Examine the game at Charlotte Bobcats Arena where the young Cats are 4-1 against Eastern Conference foes.
Primo's still out and playing the second leg of back to back (road/home) game.
I've said this in the past, in given situation with above average scoring teams, offense does not suffer over defense on the second leg of back to back with greater likely hood of rested opponents to try to raise the tempo to combat the wearily team. Cats losing in Philadelphia last night 119-115, the 10th loss in a row on the road, but it wasn't for lack of production from the bench players who combined for 55 points. I like the fact the bench created the surge rather than the starters. Toronto has been full of motivation and let downs. The last one was a let down against the surging Lakers at home. Another spot for the Raptors score to rise on the road and let's hope they are motivated.
I don't expect another 230+ game, but 200+ will do.

TOR/CHA OVER 197 -114 for 2 units(W)

Next pick is at Staples Center. Suns playing second leg of back to back (home/road) game with starters logging at least 36 min. playing their fourth game in five days on the heels of last night's 85-81 struggle of a triumph over New York. This a spot for Suns to fall, but I will stay on the O/U with Clippers
playing without Corey Maggette for a second straight game. In his absence, Walter McCarty, rookie James Singleton, and swingman Quinton Ross figure to get more minutes. LA will look to control the games tempo to keep from entering a track meet with Steve Nash's club while taking quality shots, protecting the ball effectively, getting to the free throw line, and attacking the offensive glass.

I like the extra points in
PHO/LAC 1st Half UNDER 105 -116 for 2 units(L)
(*waited little too long)

Fatal error in reading the PHO/LAC. Even with the back to back they stormed out of the gate, Clips trade baskets to charge up the 1st quarter to
70 points. The game slowed from that point, but too much for the 1st Half.
1-1 -0.32 units

I see something I like for Friday. It's not ripe yet.

I'm starting my vacation tomorrow and planning on leaving town after the weekend. It might be tough for me to post the picks next week.
The boys will be here doing their usual great job and I will be on email status with some of you.
Be back in the morning to see if the play is ripe for the pickin'

It's nearing game time. I'm still watching the same line, not sure what I'll do here.

I will take a position on Cats at 76ers. Bobcats on the road are for the fifth time in six games. Starting center Primoz Brezec did not make the trip to Philadelphia remaining in Charlotte with flu-like symptoms. Melvin Ely will be in the starting lineup replacing Brezec. Bobcats shooting guard Kareem Rush will also return to the starting lineup. Looks like the Cats will have speed, but today 76ers will be in offensive form.

CATS/76ers OVER 197.5 -123 for 2 units(W)
CATS/76ers OVER 100 1st Half -118 for 1 unit(W)

I blinked and windows closed on all my good leans. I'm not even going to talk about what I wanted to take, I'll just let it go. What's wrong with 2 winners?
In a ZONE 2-0 +3.00 units
I'm on vacation now so I'm not on any fixed schedule, I'll be blogging at my leisure. If you need me email, can't promise quick response.

My early line for Thursday.
Pacers had their lowest scoring game against the Mavs playing back to back and lost. I backed Indiana in that game. The struggling Pacers got some bad news Wednesday when Ron Artest was unable to practice with recurring pain in his right wrist. Jamaal Tinsley also couldn't practice because of a strained quad and groin. Both starters are listed as doubtful for Thursday night's game against Washington. The Pacers have dropped two in a row and three of four overall heading into Thursday night's game. Coach Rick Carlisle indicated he'd strongly consider making some changes. Jermaine O'Neal even broached the possibility of roster moves being necessary if no turnaround is on the way. Many will see this as a nice spot to take Washington +7 (just went to +6.5 at Pinny) as not all Cappers are up to speed with the info.
But I'm thinking Pacers defense will suffer with Artest out. Trends point to Under with Total opening with shaded Under. Numbers dropped quick, but now it's stalling. Guys who can score will create their own shots, but defense is team effort. I'm thinking Wiz attacking the paint will be the order of the day. Pacers scoring should bounce up even with the missing starters.

Take a small position and watch the lines.
WAS/IND OVER 189.5 -121 for 1 unit(W)
Looks like Public loves the UNDER, the Players are on this too.
That's OK, I've been on my own side and I'm not 100% every day, but I still like it. Might even hit it for another unit. Keep in mind the 1st Half line is set at O/U 94 and naturally Under is getting the money.
I could buy this nice looking O down to 188 at a discount at -116, I'm going to check her out for awhile longer.

This game is still going down. Looking like I'll be able to get Over 185.5

Not quite that low, but I'll take it.
WAS/IND OVER 186.5 -118 for 1 unit(W)
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Oh man, HOU/SAC Total is dropping like a rock. Pinny opened 189.
Public is going to get slaughtered. The Kings are not planning to play Houston's game today. Kings want the ball in transition and leave Yao in their dust, that's how Kings are going to try to take this game. Houston will look to convert inside with Yao and T-Mac on the drive/ T-Mac from the field, get couple of guys hitting their range and boom, Score goes OVER.

HOU/SAC OVER 185 -128 for 2 units(W)

Public got slaughtered, but if your rolling with the Clutch we slammed the Books. May not be 100% everyday, but we are again today.

3-0 +4.00 units

My early line for Wednesday. I be back with the write ups in the morning.

It's morning and I sit in front of my computer........
This is why it's important to write your thought down right away, I know I had more angles on this game last night than I have now.
Anyway, it's a bounce back spot for the points and the line makers over anticipated the number in my opinion. Both teams only scored in the 70's and we all know it's not going to end in 160's but, 190's ?

BOS/NOH UNDER 193.5 -126 for 3 units(W)
Where's the Defense?
BOS/NOH 2nd Half UNDER 95.5 -108 for 2 units(W)

This one is a Under trending game at TD Waterhouse Center (I hate all these commercial names) The Bull will visit the reeling Orlando Magic.
I watched that last game Magic lost against San Antonio and you know it was a blow out, but I liked the way Magic kept things in control for the first half (Magic covered ATS 1st Half) and Spurs were in a zone for the 2nd Half in champion form a healthy Magic playing their top game would of lost, you have to look at two clubs in different levels and consider everything that took place.
Magic practice Tuesday the team worked on offensive execution and on various defensive schemes. Coach Brian Hill didn't run the team as hard, Spurs game was their third in four days.
Steve Francis practiced expect to see him suit up.
Bulls also played good ball in their loss to Dallas. Dirk took out Kirk and Deng with his elbow, Kirk left the game and Deng lost his tooth (Kirk's not scratched on tonight's probable, Huh he's not with the team, that solves that) and in the end it was the give away baskets...Where's the "D"? OK, they might be working on that, but they have tough time executing defense on the road. Good thing they have an active bench.
I think this match up will be a good one. I'm looking for high 80's to low 90's type game.

CHI/ORL 1st Half OVER 87 -115 for 1 unit(W)
CHI/ORL OVER 175.5 -124 for 2 units(W)

Cha-ching! Clutch plays money ball. Nothing but W"s
4-0 +8.00 units

Today let's start with the game at Conseco Fieldhouse where the Dallas will play 2nd leg of back to back. Cappers looked at Chicago to stop Mavs in their 1st leg, they were wrong, Dallas stepped up to pull away in the 2nd half. Mavs played well all around it was a typical Dallas display, what you expect against the Bulls. This game will differ as Mavs put so much into each game the back to back's are an handicap. Jason Terry will be a game time decision.
Indiana's loss in Seattle also snapped my O/U streak losing my Under as the Sonics set the high tempo. Pacers led in the paint, fast breaks, shooting percentage, but lost the boards and the difference was they failed to play their game.

I'll take PACERS -1.5 1st Half -126 for 2 units(L)
I will consider 2nd Half total.
DAL/IND 2nd Half UNDER 92.5 +105 for 2 units(W)


Moving on to Bradley Center. Western Conference have dominated the Bucks and Lakers have owned them, but today the line is set against the trend and rightly so. Lakers are not built for the road and this will not be a contest. Getting lucky against the Cats at home is not at all impressive.
Bucks showed no mercy against Magic and I like to see them jump on this game in front of the home crowd.

MIL -2 1st Half -120 for 3 units(L)
Wow, I can't hit any sides. That's 2 craps on ATS.

Nearing game time. I'm looking for a shoot out at MCI Center.
Wizards talk about no chemistry and playing defense, let's just fight fire with fire. Broke the century mark against Bucks in a loss last game. Raps growing confidence with the young guns will come ready to attack.
I look for the tone to be set in the 1st quarter, settle and resume a high tempo to break 200+ for the game.

TOR/WIZ 1st Quarter OVER 51.5 -113 for 2 units(W)
TOR/WIZ OVER 200.5 -127 for 3 units(W)

Totals staying hot, but ATS really needs work.
3-2 +0.98 units

Monday light card. I see players are on Chicago Bulls today, my good friend Batis may agree on that home dog, but such a small spread and Dallas likely public play why did so many cappers jump on Bulls +1 or +1.5 ? Why not wait, it's +2.5 at most books now and might go higher. ML price should improve too.
That's just silly hitting a line when it's improving to your favor.
I'm going to stay off this one, it might buck the trend or Mavs win by a basket.

My first take today will be on San Antonio at Orlando.
Magic is riddled and Spurs are rolling, that's what all the previews are saying,
maybe so, but Spurs defense is little forgiving on the road and Magic is back home which should help the score climb, Hedo Turkoglu will return to the Magic line up and when the media writes them off the team usually steps up. Manu Ginobili was reevaluated at shoot around today, went through the shoot around with no apparent problems and is now listed as probable for tonight.
The Under for today is a luring Under at 173 and it's not getting much bite, matter of fact I don't think there are much takers for this game.

Taking the 1st Half and shave off more points.
SAS/ORL 1st Half OVER 84.5 -110 for 2 units(W)
Walk in the park. Still thinking about late games.

Miami off to a quick start at Staples Center, let's not forget they are on 5th day (oops, 6th day) on the road playing their 4th game, if they take the lead into the Half we may have a good play. Lead is shrinking at the end of 1st Clips down by 7 points.

Before I could type a another word 12-2 Clippers run, caught Miami and passed them....LOL

Clips just covered ATS for 1st Half. I can't see Heat shooting at this pace (51%) for rest of the game, but I wouldn't give +5 points to Miami.
O/U 95 for second half, my lean would be Under, but Walker and Payton no points yet they could keep the scores going. No play.

Today end with one winner.
1-0 +2.00 units

Check that out, Under 95 comes in.....should of bet that one.

My weekly wrap-up.

Mon. 11/28
DAL/TOR UNDER 202 -120 for 2 units (W)
1-0 +2.00

Tue. 11/29
MIL PK -104 for 3 units (W)
DAL/MIL 1st Half Over 100 +100 for 2 units (W)
DAL/MIL OVER 199 -109 for 2 units (W)
IND -3.5 -105 for 1 unit (W)
IND/UTA OVER 177.5 -105 for 1 unit (L)
4-1 +6.95

Wed. 11/30
SAC/GSW OVER 197.5 -110 for 3 units (W)
IND/PHO OVER 193.5 -114 for 2 units (W)
LAC/CLE OVER 198 -106 for 1 unit (W)
3-0 +6.00

Thu. 12/01
SAS -2 -110 for 5 units (P)
0-0-1

Fri. 12/02
TOR/ATL OVER 192.5 -115 for 2 units (W)
TOR/ATL OVER 191.5 -114 for 2 units (W)
CLE/SEA 1st Half Over 101 -109 for 2 units (W)
3-0 +6.00

Sat. 12/03
TOR/NJN 1st Half Over 95 -115 for 3 units (W)
1-0 +3.00

Sun. 12/04
IND/SEA UNDER 195.5 -123 for 2 units (L)
IND/SEA 1st Half Under 97 -110 for 1 unit (W)
IND/SEA 1st Quarter Under 48.5 +106 for 1 unit (L)
BOS/NYK OVER 195 -120 for 1 unit (W)
CHA/LAL 2nd Half Over 96.5 -111 for 2 units (W)
3-2 +0.54


15(W) - 3 (L) - 1 (P) Total Gain +24.59 units
This is the best weekly gain so far this season, although I wanted to end the week with 1 loss but I collected 2 more losses on Sunday for total of 3 losses.
I'm going to need a perfect week to top this one.

My early line for Sunday. I'll have the write up in the morning.

I'll try to keep my reasoning short and to the point. This match up is coming off of respective scoring peak for both teams, 116 SEA & 98 IND (that's high for Pacers), Even with poor defense I don't see Pacers racking up the score. I think Pacers will be focused on containing Allen & Lewis and I like to see Sonics battle the board on both ends. I feel Indiana will set the defensive tone to this game.
IND/SEA UNDER 195.5 -123 for 2 units(L)
(sorry CLE was a mistake, but the line and price is correct from last night)

Adding modified plays.
IND/SEA 1st Half UNDER 97 -110 for 1 unit(W)
IND/SEA 1st Quarter UNDER 48.5 +106 for 1 unit(L)
Very sharp lines.

This game is under way. I like the offensive activity on both sides, in the paint and fast break, with recent games. I like these two teams to match up close today and OVER trend to continue.
I wanted to take 1st Half OVER, but missed it.
BOS/NYK OVER 195 -120 for 1 unit(W)
Not only are my O/U are hitting dead on I'm getting lucky and missing the losers. 2nd half surge was right on time.

2nd Half late game.
CHA/LAL 2nd Half OVER 96.5 -111 for 2 units(W)
I know it looked like a late chase, but I really did like this 2nd Half and there was no time to do any write ups. It's hard to gauge which Lakers will show up on any given game I thought I had a good read on Over after watching the first half.

3-2 gain +0.54 units
*I took the NHL winner posted by Batis so not really that bad at all.
Any time you edge out a gain is OK by me.

I'm still watching the lines.
The game I like is moving in my favor.
I'll be looking for a good spot to pull the trigger, stay tuned.

My first take today.
I've watched this since the opening at 197 did not take long to go 196.5 than gradual move down to 195 and now it's taking a small bounce back as the Under price has moved from -115 to -110. What game?
TOR at NJN.
TOR on 2nd of back to back road game. I wouldn't say Nets are a offensive force that would out run and out gun the Raptors, but what I do like is the looming 1000th win combined with very active Nets in the paint also making good fast breaks in their loss to the Pistons.
Again the Pistons were solid and despite the Nets good effort Detroit stopped their outside game holding them to 40% shooting. Pistons also did a good job shutting down Kidd.
Toronto's catching momentum, 100+ scoring against ATL is also good indicator. True to Raptors pattern they are once again starting to run up the score on the road. What stands out from their last match up in early season (11/04) is Raptors miserable 1st half with a forgettable 9 points scored in the 2nd quarter. I'm sure they remember. Nets will have a easier time establishing their inside outside game. Let's run up the score in the early going.

TOR/NJN 1st Half OVER 95 -115 for 3 units(W)
*waited little too long.

Sorry everybody I just couldn't get on line to make additional plays.
Let's call it a day with a win.
Please come back and check out my plays for Sunday.
1-0 +3.00 units

This is my early pick. I will return in the morning to add some insight.

Now it's Friday morning (09:45 PST) This early pick opened yesterday at 197 and I watched it drop. I thought there might be some rebound but it just kept moving down.
This is a good spot for scoring to climb up. Neither of these team could not find their shot in both of their last games, TOR scored 66 points on 34.7% shooting, ATL scored 74 points on 40% shooting.
Before those games TOR played Under hosting DAL, remember that was my situational Under after giving up too many easy baskets, but look beyond that and you'll see Raptors are very productive on the road.
ATL before MEM played Under oriented teams HOU, POR, IND, which contributed to the Under run. I think the scoring returns tonight.

TOR/ATL OVER 192.5 -115 for 2 units(W)
Adding.
TOR/ATL OVER 191.5 -114 for 2 units(W)

This play which flashed a high opening of 205, that was just to get your attention, quickly moved down 204.5, 204 and now 203.
I'm talking about Cleveland Cavaliers visiting Seattle Supersonics at Key Arena.
My friend in Seattle tells me they had their first snow yesterday and it has been very cold all week, all relative to where your at I guess, but I expect things to heat up inside the Key.
When Sonics surge it's the nucleus of Allen & Lewis, when these two click Sonics roll. It was wire to wire win against the Cats in last game.
Cavs last home stand against LA Clippers was LAC most of the way. I'm sure Cavs was not happy with opponents stopping their attacks, this might be the right opponent to make adjustments and attack.
Sonics have porous defense, but can fight fire with fire and they have revenge on their mind.

CLE/SEA 1st Half OVER 101 -109 for 2 units(W)

Just like a clock I tick and tock, time to pay me.
3-0 +6.00 units

My over night selection will be a popular early pick.
Mavs come home and they were running out of gas towards the end of that road trip. Now the rematch, more likely a revenge match.
Dallas might still be jet-lagged. San Antonio will show no mercy if the Mavs are step behind.

SAS -2 -110 for 5 units(P)
I contemplated buying 0.5 for SAS -1.5 at -125 or SAS ML at -135 before pulling the trigger on this one. Should of, would of, could of....
0-0-1 no loss, no gain.

I have a busy schedule ahead with my vacation coming up. I need to get some work out of the way and clear my desk.
This will be my only play.
Good luck to all.