We are back for game 6 in Los Angeles Staples Center.
Phoenix Suns the Pacific Division Champions are they worthy? Do they have enough on this short turn around?
You know I would consider the Under very seriously. Watch the totals the sharps are eyeing this.
But if your interested in taking advance position Clips will have the edge with home, depth and athletism. Elton will be a man on mission and Clips will control the boards.
Phoenix has variety of reasons to be lacking. Suns will want to play opportunistic ball, but not so physical with their starters worn out pretty good. Suns have a cushion in the back of their minds, the final game at home if necessary with time to heal, maybe the Suns bench get bit more involved giving the starters some rest. Whatever the reasons Clips will be the high energy team coming out of the gate.

LAC 1st Half -2 at -122 for 3 units(W) *0.5 points buy
You know I had my finger to trigger the Under on this game. Than I lost my window, others were posting Under the Total started to move down and I lost interest.....I was lucky.
Luck is the residual of hard work.

1-0 +3.00 units

I said this couple of days ago and I will play the Mavs at Spurs continuing display of breaking down the defensive scheme against each other.
Key is the Guards creating paths and Dallas is doing this extremely well.
I don't think Mavs will come out complacent they see this series as the true Western Championship and they know the Spurs are not going away quietly.
San Antonio can score with the best big 3 players in game 4 Manu Ginobili with 26 points, Tony Parker scored a career playoff-high 33 points in and Tim Duncan has been averaging 31 points per game in the series.
Now does the teams focus in on defense claiming their opponents scored too easily, too many? Of course, but I don't think they've solved the part of "How to defend". Too many players are stepping up. I want to see the percentages of key stats move down in game and I think that's what the Books want to see before they bring down the O/U Total to the average 185.
I think the median here is 50 point quarters and if the clamp down is coming tonight it'll come in the 2nd half. Game Total is sharp and Over is very public play.

DAL/SAS 1st Quarter Over 48.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
DAL/SAS 1st Half Over 96.5 at -110 for 2 units(W)

1st Quarter is heavy with Spur backers.
I'll take Mavs with points.

DAL 1st Quarter +1.5 at +115 for 1 unit(L)
I got to stop staring at these opening lines. Just couldn't help myself watching the 1st quarter money flow to Spurs. That didn't have any work except to fade the money flow. I should of added the unit to 1st quarter Over instead as that price improved there too.
Oh well, it's the gains that count.

2-1 +1.00 units

Tuesday, Nets are hanging by a thread and to make matters worst their flight had to be diverted to Orlando because of bad weather making their arrival into Miami much later than expected. Nets may not be out, but they are mentally fatigued. Today there will be adjustments made on defending Dwayne Wade as he has caused much of the damage. This may take some focus off Shaq, making Big Daddy a likely suspect to exceed his recent scoring output.
Keep in mind Nets lost the last game in the 4th quarter as Miami made 3 huge stops and extended their lead, but it was the Nets who started the game with energy dominating the paint and getting the fast break points. The Heat took over the lead with 3:12 minutes left in first quarter. Nets also made a 6-0 run to tie Miami at the start of 3rd quarter, but again ran out of steam. Clearly Collins need to shoot and make those short range jumpers and Carter need to look for a open man on the double teams. What I see is the game to start in basket for basket fashion like the last two games and Over to clear as it has for this series. When your mentally fatigued, in this situation, defense suffers.

5/14 1st Qt. 27-24 (Heat Over)
5/12 1st Qt. 27-27 (Nets ATS Over)
5/10 1st Qt. 41-19 (Heat Over)
5/08 1st Qt. 38-21 (Nets Over)

Taking NJN/MIA 1st Quarter Over 48 -109 for 2 units(W)

Did you guys watch the Clippers at Suns game....Oh my God! Doublt Over-time Suns in the clutch taking LA backers, many at the Covers forum, money.
I was full of opinions, but glad I didn't post any suggestions.
Loved the 2nd half Under 107 in good old fade the public with Clips scoring percentage dropping in the 2nd quarter.
Also liked the Suns -1 for the 2nd half for same reason.
Double OT kills a perfect Under.
resurgent Clips storm back from 19 back in the 3rd goes to double OT,
2nd half 66-67 Suns Push.

Hell, published play goes perfect. I'm dialed into NBA taking short break from MLB.

1-0 +2.00 units

Hope everybody is doing well.

My thoughts for Monday will be on Pistons vs Cavaliers. Definitely a bounce back on the scoring Detroit with 77 points on 39% shooting and 16 turn overs. This is Pistons worst game in the playoffs and they will return to form.

DET 1st Quarter -1.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
DET 1st Half -3 at -110 for 2 units(L)

I've made couple of prop plays at Covers forum, but you know all players are superstitious and I'm not going to jinx myself by posting plays everywhere.
The prop play is ....
Billups -1.5 assists Over LBJ -108 at 1 unit(L)
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My Dallas & San Antonio series worked out nicely and I will lock in the money
with Spurs +171 for the remaining 2 units to even both sides wagered in plus money.

SPURS for the series +171 for 2 units
--------------------------------------------------------------
Late addition:
I'll hit this before game time as the Over is getting the money flow.
SAS/DAL 1st Quarter Under 48 at -100 for 2 units(W)
---------------------------------------------------------------
I watched the 2nd Half line open at Pinny and I had it pegged to open at 93~94 so when it came out at 96 U -108 I stalled. The scoring percentage has been climbing since the 1st quarter and figured the play on Over, but while I tinkered with buying points or taking the straight Over the price started to climb. I laid off, but it seems these two teams have so much understanding for defense they can break it down and score.

2-2 -0.28 units

Happy Mothers Day.
Sundays are busy sports day and I was going to take my mother to (MLB) SEA/LAA game, but that would of been too easy. She could read that one so I will make myself available and go out for dinner instead. Before I go the take today on the hardcourt is Clips rebounding to return hard. Clips with their size advantage combined with test of wills for Clips to play with an lead.
Keeping in mind Clips advantage was erased by poor FT shooting last game and 3 pointers can always rain down with the Suns I will play the early rounds.

LAC -1.5 1st Quarter at -112 for 1 unit(W)
LAC -2.5 1st Half at -109 for 2 units(W)

Elton Brand keeps lighting it up.
2-0 +3.00 units

The games are out of order because that's the way I took them.
I heard about Larry Hughes brother passing away, my condolences, but it is also swaying the wager line. Thus the swing back to Detroit.
I'm letting it ride.

I'll play the zig zag following two single sided games.

NJN -0.5 First Quarter -118 for 1 unit(L)
NJN ML -131 for 2 units(L)
PHO +3.5 -100 for 2 units(W)

Like to go UNDER at New Jersey too, but will wait on that one.

Good luck Players.

MIA/NJN 2nd Half Under 94 at +108 for 2 units(W)

PHO/LAC 1st quarter fell Under 55. This game too looks Under for second half.

Stand by for 2nd half selection.

PHO/LAC 2nd Half UNDER 106 at -109 for 3 units(W)
PHO +3 2nd Half -106 for 1 unit(W)

4-2 +3.36 units
----------------------------------------------------------------
The money on the table. Spurs vs Mavs series: 3 units on Dallas
Wager Balance(151 x 2) + (191 x 1)Average unit wager +164.3

Now that Spurs are +124 for the series I could lock this in, but where's the fun in that. Dallas pulls the first game at home and this could get jucier, but it could go the other way with well rested spurs. I'll take a unit here.

SAS Series Win +124 for 1 unit

Saturday selection Detroit at Cleveland.
If the Cavs are to win one this would be the spot.
Coming off a ATS win with 4th quarter scoring frenzy by LBJ.

Take the Cavs as the home dog.

CLE +4 at -112 for 3 units(W)
CLE ML +165 for 1 unit(W)

Saturday morning addition:
Take the 1st Quarter Under the number as Detroit has run away from the gate in this series and Cavs will not let that happen here at Quicken Loans. The 1st is the key quarter to set the tone Cavs must clamp down from the get go.

DET/CLE 1st Quarter UNDER 47 at -111 for 2 units(W)
CLE +5.5 at -123 for 2 units(W) *buy 1 point

Good game!
I also played Spurs with points for game and 2nd half. 2nd Half Under 98 was my only loss and my basket gains for today is 12.00 units plus.
Spurs and Mavs series wager is looking very nice.

4-0 +8.65 units

Back on the hardcourt. Had lots of thoughts last night as I faded the public only to lose silly. If I wanted to do that again I could go under with Clippers at Suns and the rising total, but I'm not playing against the public.

Heat and Clips are in line to take tonight's games.
Heat on tripple revenge angle is above 70% in ATS win.
Nets short handed and Shaq maybe older, but still give you 2~3 outstanding game in any series.
Last game Nets just ran away out of the gate, this game Nets will be contained.

MIA -7 at -111 for 2 units(W)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Clips have their strongest game in the 2nd quarter. They are undefeated in 2nd quarter.
Suns playoff 2nd quarter record : 2(W) - 6(L)

LAC +1 2nd Quarter -105 for 2 units(L)
LAC 2nd Quarter ML +120 for 1 unit(L)
LAC +4.5 at -115 for 2 units(W)

2nd Half:
LAC +7 at -115 for 2 units(W)
LAC/PHO UNDER 109 at -110 for 1 unit(W) *1.5 points buy

4-2 +3.90 units

Watch the line for Dallas at San Antonio Total now at 181.5 at Over -112 from Pinny. I see few books have already moved to 182. The opening line was 179.5 at Pinny and 180 at BetCris, the two books with pretty sharp opening line.
If your thinking just 90'ish scoring to take the Over money beware.
The smooth running Mavs hit a brick wall with Spurs that was supposed to be worn out. Though Mavs lead most of the way, covering ATS across the board, when push came to shove the game turned defensive and Spurs pulled out the win.
The playoff games maybe about zig zag theory, but I don't see these two teams tinkering too much with offense.

The Under trend is very strong.
Under is 7-1-0 in Mavericks last 8 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1-0 in Mavericks last 5 playoff road games.
Under is 6-2-0 in Mavericks last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.
Under is 8-3-0 in Mavericks last 11 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 5-2-0 in Mavericks last 7 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 5-2-0 in Mavericks last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 5-2-0 in Mavericks last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
Under is 14-6-0 in Mavericks last 20 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 4-0-0 in Spurs last 4 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 5-0-0 in Spurs last 5 playoff games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 4-0-0 in Spurs last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 6-1-0 in Spurs last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.
Under is 5-1-0 in Spurs last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 4-1-0 in Spurs last 5 playoff games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1-0 in Spurs last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1-0 in Spurs last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1-0 in Spurs last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 4-1-0 in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.
Under is 5-2-0 in the last 7 meetings.

Since the line is moving towards my favor I will wait.

Almost 10:00 PST and I might have missed a good spot about 30 minutes ago.
Bought 1 point

DAL/SAS UNDER 183 at -123 for 1 unit(L)

Spurs have no energy. I guess the Kings series is now catching up with them.
But the series money is looking interesting.
1-0 -1.23 units
--------------------------------------------------------------
Keep track of the money on the table. What I'm looking for is the money in the middle. Added another unit.

DAL Series +191 for 1 unit
Wager Balance(151 x 2) + (191 x 1)
Average unit wager +164.3

Wish I played this at the open the price has been rising and if you like it too better hit it soon. LAC/PHO with Clips itching will come with high hopes, but their defense will elude them early and Suns will be revving.
The Suns cutters may get contested in the paint, but when Suns are playing the way they are playing the outside shots will fall. This does not mean Clips scoring will be hurt Clips can pound the inside, Cory is explosive, Vlad is playing better in L.A. hitting the long distance, Sam running the show and back court can hit the short jumpers. Defense for Clips will come around after the opening jitters.
My best take here is the opening quarter to sail over the number and coast into 1st half Over.

LAC/PHO 1st Quarter Over 53.5 at -115 for 2 units(W)
LAC/PHO 1st Half Over 106.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Feeling lucky with these two as I scaled it the wrong way. The numbers climbed to take the Over wire to wire including second half Over.
2-0 +3.00 units

Two games on Sunday and I will make two selections.
NBA on ABC, early game is the Texas brawl where I kinda like the Under, but I'm going with Dallas and taking the points. I'm going to watch the line see if San Antonio money comes in. Looking at both halves.

Bought the point for the half.
MAV +3.5 1st Half -118 for 1 unit(W)
Bought half point for the game.
MAV +5 -118 for 2 units(W)

----------------------------------------------------------------
Second game is Under for the first half. Like the fact Pistons poured 122 points in their last game and are well rested. Like the fact Cavs played OT in their last two games. Like the fact Pistons went on a big 1st half run in their last meeting. Watching this one too and I will buy 1.5 points on 1st half under.

If the price improves I'll go another unit.
CLE/DET 1st Half UNDER 94.5 -131 for 1 unit (L)

2-1 +1.69 units

---------------------------------------------------------------

Thinking Mavs & Spurs series has money in the middle.

MAVS for series against the Spurs +151 for 2 units

.

Making this short.
This game will start slow maybe gain momentum, but last game was slowing before the OT.
I think the money is the First Half which everyone is guessing the other way.
I can hear the public thinking "this game is going to start hot!" it's not, it'll be a clock eater and Koby will be patient.
Watch the line it's already moved higher from 103.5 I'll pick my spot.

If your asking which game? There's only one.

Yeah baby, I'm in.

LAL/PHO 1st Quarter Under 52 +118 for 2 units(W)
LAL/PHO 1st Half Under 105.5 -130 for 3 units(W)

Very disappointing game. Good thing I didn't take side I thought Lakers would play it tight.
2-0 +5.36 units

This is what stands out today.

Under is 3-0-0 in Spurs last 3 playoff games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 4-1-0 in Spurs last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 15-6-1 in Spurs last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-0-0 in Kings last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 4-1-0 in Kings last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Under is 7-2-0 in Kings last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 7-3-0 in Kings last 10 home games.
Under is 7-3-0 in Kings last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 11-5-0 in Kings last 16 playoff games as an underdog.
Under is 5-1-0 in the last 6 meetings in Sacramento.

Yes there are countering Over trends, but elimination threat for Kings after double digit loss they will defend the paint, no easy baskets and put backs, Kings will probably not let Ginobilli dive to the basket on his drives as easily as he did Tuesday, instead giving him the outside shot.
Spurs will match up defensively and will not give either bringing this game to grinding tempo. I'm still watching the lines, but will hit this at opportune time.

SAS/SAC UNDER 190.5 at -131 for 2 units(W)
Money ball!
1-0 +2.00 units

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls, game 6 at United Center.
Heat for the past 2 seasons have clinched the advance on the road.
From the first game Heat looked complacent after the 1st Half allowing the big lead to dwindle. Bull game 3 win was due to happen, game 4 loss got their attention and game 5 ...Heat was in trouble, but played the 4th with their dynamic dual looking like superstars. Shaq and Wade rolling they will win tonight. No matter with United Center, Wades hip, fouls or Chandler returning, Miami to close the series and move on.

MIAMI Money Line -117 for 4 units(W)
115 with late Bulls money coming in.

That felt good. Nice win to ATS backers too! That line went to -1.5 Miami.
1-0 +4.00 units

Cash me this one need to make some extra to catch the LA series. Yes the Suns did it their way in Phoenix, but Lakers Clippers will make fine totals for really nice upcoming plays.

Here's the play. Wiz and Cavs with series all tied up. Last game was Wiz come from behind, but if you look at the stats on that game Cavs had them in shooting percentage, paint, and didn't let anything get away except for fouls, points off turnovers and offensive board for 2nd chance points. Was that home court bias refs obvious? If I was a betting man I would bet Wiz do not get those calls in Quicken Loans Arena.....I am and I will....
1st Half numbers to stay below looks good with very strong Under trend.

WAS/CLE 1st Half UNDER 97 at -108 for 3 units(L)
This so called "loose" game killed the Under trend.
-------------------------------------------------

Didn't have enough time to give the explaination, but looking at similar points, scoring & differential, Pistons showed big edge.
DETROIT 2nd Half -3 at -104 for 2 units(W)

1-1 -1.24 units

Tuesday is early line day, just kidding, I just like NJN at home, although the Continental Airlines Arena has been kind to Pacers ATS backers, Peja will not go and bigger piece of the puzzle Jermaine O'Neal was not able to practice today because of dehydration and flu like symptoms. He was at Conseco Field House, started practice but didn't last very long and made the trip to New Jersey and will wait and see about his availability coming up or at least his availability and effectiveness coming up Tuesday night. Pacers Nets in good zig zag pattern with Pacers in line to win this game, but if your not aware of Jermaine's condition and looking for a big game from him you might be in for a surprise. Taking the dip from the Opening line NJN -7 to -6.5

NJN -6.5 -110 for 2 units(L)
The hook got me.
Kidd missed his 2nd FT at the end that was the difference.
Could of bought the point, but that's an after thought.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bulls/Heat is playing a good spot for scoring surge. The game goes to Miami with Bulls Chandler iffy will hurt defense. Heat coming off sub 90 point scoring to push the Over is very strong trend.

This one is going Under. 121 points in 2nd half is unlikely.

MIA/CHI OVER 198.5 -108 for 2 units(L)
Wade missing big chunk of the game did this play. Even the 2nd half 97.5 was Under to take this game Under across the board.

Had some help from fellow cappers to tail SAS -8 and PHO 2nd Half -2.
Recouped, but damage is already done here.
0-2 -4.36 units
Not to be discouraged Post Season NBA feels right.

What do I like for Monday at the Association?
How often does the opponents score 124 points against Detroit in regulation?
It's easy to predict the scoring will drop from where it last landed, but how far down? The opening total at most book 191, Pinny shows opening of 180 but I never saw that number, number is rising I see 5Dimes at 192.5 already.
I calculate the number at 188, but the real prize will be the First Half number landing around 97 and First Quarter at 49 which should be good for Under.
Hit this late and watch the money flow for best value.
If the 1st Half Total is Under by 3 or less and 2nd Half shows value to the Under make it an option play.

Keep your eyes on the prize. I missed the First Half number by 0.5 points, but that's right there we can take 96.5 and take it up to 98. Sit tight for late afternoon Over money to come in on 1st quarter and half.
Ideal price for First Half Under 98 is -123 or better it's already hit that point before climbing. Watch for list price to go -105 at Pinny and be ready to hit.

There's an up tick on Bucks with afternoon sharp money hedging the series.
You got to take Pistons with improved line.

DET -6.5 -107 for 2 units(W)

DET/MIL UNDER 49 1st Quarter -109 2 units(W)
DET/MIL UNDER 98 1st Half -123 2 units(W)
Had posting problems earlier.
DET/MIL UNDER 97 2nd Half -123 2 units(L)
OK I got cocky in the end.
3-1 +3.54 units

Take the Suns Money Line across the board. It's a game of balances and adjustments. Spot for Lakers to disappoint.

PHO 1st Half PK +109 for 1 unit(P)
PHO ML +109 for 1 unit(L)
What a classical moose job and to think I had the ATS option.

-----------------------------------------------------------
I was supposed to update my MLB plays this morning, but watching the Heat vs Bulls game, sorry couldn't help myself. I liked the UNDER at United Center too late talking about it now.
I also like the UNDER at Sacramento.
Kings know they got the lucky bounce many followers of the zig zag theory may look heavy to Spurs, but Kings will not lack motive. Big public play on Spurs, but I'm not giving +4.5 to Kings at Arco. The game will play out tight and low for regulation below 188. I'm buying the 1.5 points.

Here are couple of late additions.

SAS/SAC UNDER 189.5 at -123 for 2 units(W)
SAS/SAC 1st Half UNDER 93 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
SAC +1.5 1st Quarter at -102 for 1 unit(W)

I tried adding SAC +5.5 2nd Half and UNDER 94.5 2nd Half, but it would not post. Late game surge in NBA making it break even with loss in MLB.
2-2-1 +0.95 units

Half time windows don't give much time for write ups.
Mavs at Grizz. Grizzlies playing for their playoff lives making an statement in the first half. I don't think the Mavs are going quietly in the 2nd.

DAL -2.5 2nd Half -102 for 1 unit(W)

-----------------------------------------------------------
Detroit at Milwaukee coming to half time.
Pistons are getting dominated in the paint and ah, Big Ben Wallace has been used sparingly in the first with Hunter and McDyess getting a good load.
Flip did say something about being able to run in the open, but this is not Detroit basketball. They will take away the paint and if the Bucks shooting cools watch out.

Looking for Detroit 2nd half line.

Even if they start locking up the Total at 95 seems reachable, but Under is still the call and I would of taken it at 98. No play on 2nd half total keep in mind the second half juiced plays gets moosed at pretty high clip making the +money plays very profitable. I would say Under and Detroit ATS are good value.
I will go against the grain with Detroit -7 which is saying Piston to take the game. I expect nothing less.

My expectation was too high? Bucks are driving at will this play has no chance.

DET -7 2nd Half +105 for 1 unit(L)

I'm stuck on these splits.
1-1 Even

Denver will show some urgency today back home with series 0-2.
There is also an strong 1st quarter Over trend which was broken in last game.
Look for the 1st quarter scoring to surge and Nuggets to run the floor with their tempo.

LAC/DEN 1st Quarter Over 49 points -118 for 2 units(L)
DEN -2.5 -111 for 2 units(W)
DEN -4 at -125 for 3 units(W)

Are we not entertained? Not a pretty game, but money maker still the same.
2-1 +2.64 units

What's happening with the NBA Playoffs?
Lakers tradition and Los Angeles deep pocket is undermining Phoenix Suns today. I give credit to Lakers defense in their last game to take ATS, but Suns are pretty good value to take the First Half

PHO 1st Half -3 +100 for 1 unit(L)
Could not have been any more wrong the ATS play for the Suns lost 1st Quarter, 1st Half and the Game only 2nd Half won. Excellent work by the Lakers to slow the game which has now spanned 7 out of 8 quarters since the series kicked off in Phoenix. Keep in mind is the lack of Matrix slashing to the inside against the Lakers and the overall inside pressure by the Suns.
How will DiAntoni adjust? Was the Suns regular season smoke & mirrors? They really need to raise the tempo to get this thing started.
------------------------------------------------------------

I'll make this quick as the Dallas clamp is coming down for the 2nd half.

MEM/DAL 2nd Half Under 92 -105 for 1 unit(W)
Saw that coming in the 2nd quarter Mavs been doing it all season since the All Star Break. History holds the Unders to be the trend in post season plays, but keep watch on shaded numbers.

1-1 even

NBA regular season comes to an end tonight.
Lets speculate on meaningless game with slew of regulars getting some rest.
The match up I like is North West leader Denver Nuggets visiting the Seattle Sonics. Nuggets will suit up 8 and play only 7. Melo, Camby, KMart are all expected to rest and Miller will get limited minutes. Denver simply are not considering this game their practice scheme was all plays against the 1st round opponent Clippers.
The Sonics look to close their last home game strong. The last game against the must win Kings at Arco was Sonics ATS win & 2nd Half ATS win and the Total went Over with Sonics like tempo.
Seattle across the board.

SEA 1st Quarter -2 -105 for 2 units(W)
SEA 1st Half -3.5 -108 for 2 units(W)
SEA -7 -107 for 1 unit(W)

Meaningless to some, but gold mine to cappers.
3-0 +5.00 units

Little rest to clear my mind. Set my MLB plays on the early lines to avoid cross-over thinking.

This is what I came up with for NBA.
Nets are not closing out the regular season strong like they had hoped, 3 losses out of last 5 and 5 losses of last 8. To coincide with their ATS losses are the numbers going Over 5 out of last 6 and Nets defense giving up +99 points 4 out of last 5. Keep in mind NJN will focus on this very point and their defensive scheme gives them the winning chance.
Boston alternating O/U with last game against the Pacers going 112-117 (SU loss/ATS win & Over 188.5) blow out over by margin of 40.5 points.
This is a spot for the score to drop and I would calculate in the mid 190's, but given the situation for Nets to notch up their defense and Boston's last game lacking so much on the board (out rebounded 25-42) this should be a game where the scores will not come easy.

Buy the 1.5 on current exchange. 193 looks Under and this would be my normal 2 unit play, but just getting back.

NJN/BOS UNDER 194.5 -123 for 1 unit(W)
Solid Under at 153. How do you like them apples.
1-0 +1.00 unit

Never say never, but I'm taking a break from NBA.
Can't seem to chew gum and walk at the same time.
Not having any balance analyzing two sports in NBA to MLB transition.
Wish I had another head or more time in a day. Had similar troubles before Batis came along with his Math Stat algorithm on MLB and he'll be back when enough data is collected.
I will wait for playoffs to publish my NBA speculation and concentrate on value play in MLB.

Pick made at season's start, Suns to win Pacific Division, will give me some ammo.

Cleveland and New Jersey in early game. It's almost game time, my thoughts are Cavs will trail this match up, but they will stalk the Nets in striking range.
I'm think Cavs will have value going into the second half.
If you have not noticed/experienced the 2nd half value plays the selections have been money. Just watch the money flow the wrong way and take the plus money. It's been happening over and over. Cleveland is running low in depth
and LBJ wants it to be a team thing, not him taking over scoring 40+ points, but he'll do what he needs to do.

Lets start with Nets leading the first quarter with couple of baskets.

NETS -1.5 1st Quarter -114 for 1 unit(L)
*Just watched this line go to -124

Nets are letting the pace get away, where's the interior defense? I'm sure it's coming back.
CLE/NJN 2nd Half UNDER 92 -117 for 2 units(L)
Touted the Cavs 2nd half and took the bad total instead.
------------------------------------------------------------
I hope my plays climb like the Cavs today.
OK, battle worn Wizards are back home to take on the shaky Miami team.
Can the Heat turn it on when they need it? I think they need it now and must set the tone of this game in out of the gate.

MIA -1 1st Quarter -107 for 2 units(L)
------------------------------------------------------------
This one goes down it'll be the last play of the day.
PHL/CHI 1st Quarter Over 50 -105 for 2 units(L)
---------------------------------------------------------
I think I pulled my hammy, better go on DL.... Done for the day, hitting the showers. I'll study the videos, see what I did wrong Hopefully the coach will let me back on the floor. Got to hit better percentage than that.

No more money plays, but you guys want some plays to fade here you go....
These are what I like so go the other way.....
76er 2nd half +6
DAL 2nd half PK
DAL/NOH 2nd half Under 93.5

Infukcrediable, no money plays all win so even the faders got burned.
I even liked UTA 2nd half -6, but didn't bother to write that one in as the 2nd half was bit later than the rest.

I know, I need to update the season record....been putting it off.

0-4 -7.72 units

Friday is here and we will try to combine payday with winday to double your pleasure.

Orlando Magic is surging at home, note the scoring surge, and they have taken out some tough foes. Pistons make the short trip from Miami on their second of B2B after playing their usual defense and pulling away in the end.
Going back to my old playbook I will back the game going Over.
Buying the 1.5 points to take it down to 186 and the key to this play will require the Magic to stay hot from the field and keep up the energy on the board.

DET/ORL OVER 186 -126 for 1 unit(L)
Are you kidding me, two missed FT that would of sent this to OT and missed lay up that would of sent it to OT.
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Mavericks at Spurs in the Texas Holdem Down game. Dallas needs to focus and bring back their defense to get things back on track. Spurs big man, Duncan - stomach virus maybe slow and Udrih is questionable with ankle problem, but thats going to hinder offense more than defense. Buy the 1.5 points

DAL/SAS UNDER 188.5 -123 for 2 units(W)
I should of posted the 2nd Half Under as both teams clamp down.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
My short game on sides today. Washington making the playoff push.
Wiz are on the road, but they should come out pumped.
Hawks some how pull out the win and these hard fought wins seems to dissipate on the following game.

WAS -1.5 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(W)
This was a good call.

2-1 +1.74 units

I'm looking at a interesting game coming up.
I guess the early money likes Koby and Company getting +4.5 points at Pinny, but consensus at Covers/Wagerline is on Denver. Maybe the case of Sharps vs Public. But I can't believe Anthony gave away that last game with time remaining, punching the ball in frustration 25 rows into the seats, costing the Nuggets a technical, which Sam hit, and Clippers got to call the Nuggets player to shoot the FT since Anthony was ejected from the game. Evans got the call and promptly missed both costing another 2 points, so 3 points Denver gave to Clippers for free and outcome was LAC by 2 points. Don't forget Nuggets had 20 points advantage at the half and they let Clippers come back.
Now Clippers responded well against the Suns dominating the 2nd half and crushing the rested Suns at home, Clips playing 2nd of B2B.
How will Denver respond returning home with a open day to soak?
I think they come out running and gunning.
How about the Lakers? Their last game, home against Yao and the Rockets was all Lakers. On this particular night at Staples was free Tacos for everyone attending. The deal was, Lakers hold opponent, Rockets, below 90 points you get a free Taco. So with time running out the crowd was chanting "We Want Tacos!" and with each Rockets stop the crowd was going wild. Koby was laughing telling his team mates, everyone wants Tacos. They got the Taco, funny stuff.
As for this match up I like Denver/Lakers to run up the score out of the gate.
Predicting 1st Quarter line at 53.

Check back in the morning.

Not quite morning yet, but the game total 205 which opened at 206 is recovering at 205 Over -122 at Pinny and see many books at 205.5 so Pinny is taking in Over money with this number you can buy down to 203.5
Does this mean anything? Maybe the book is balancing the money flow, maybe the early sharp money came in at 206 plus 1.5 points on buy to get Under 207.5 in either case, Lakers have not allowed 100+ points in last 10 games and Nuggets play their best game when holding opponents below -100 points and they failed to do so on last two games with the last one surging to 111 points.
This may not be pure offense as it first appears. Nuggets might adjust their defense. If I decide on going Under I want much points as possible.

Now it's past noon PST, 12:22 to be exact, looking back at what I wrote this is leading to conflicting wager a very basic no no in betting. If offsetting was the reasoning it's different, but to back both Over & Under in the same match is not good. Having said all this the play will probably win with my NBA luck right now. So what am I doing? I'm staying with 1st Quarter to play out Over 53. Public has pushed the game total back to 206, but I will consider 2nd Half play after concluding my 1st Quarter pick and watching the 1st Half.

LAL/DEN 1st Quarter OVER 53 -105 for 1 unit(W)
Yeah the game played out just as I thought (sailing Over out of the gate and slowing down to 99-99 in regulation), but I didn't have the mind to put more on this play considering I spent more time capping NBA over MLB and I made the bigger bet on baseball, mistake.
1-0 +1.00 unit

If you have been fading the New York Knicks, plays have been money.
But did you know Knicks fade gets better if you are playing the early game.

KNICKS 1st Half have lost 8 out of last 10
KNICKS 1st Quarter have lost 9 out of last 10, just as good as fading NYK SU.
KNICKS ATS have lost 7 out of last 10

Beside Cavs on B2B off 124 scoring, way over the regulation norm, I rather take the early game and take the game to go Under.

CAVS -2 1st Quarter -105 for 2 units(L)
CAVS -4 1st Half -105 for 1 unit(L)

CAVS/KNICKS UNDER 205 -111 for 1 unit(W)
*Sorry, line is from last night

Even the Under almost got moosed just missing the OT.
1-2 -2.15 units

I'm back from watching the Dodger at Angels Freeway Series exhibition game.
Didn't put anything on the game, kinda rooted for both teams and ended in 0-0 tie in 10 innings.

Once upon a time I was shooting hotter than hell in NBA, it was not that long ago, but now mediocre selections are piling up and I've been considering moving on to MLB. But old habits die hard.

NBA on ABC Sunday will feature Suns at Pistons.
When I look at this match up I see Suns coming off 140 - 126 Milwaukee romp, prior to that win over Indy in another triple digit scoring (114-104), all ofcourse without Amare, but to say all is now well is just foolish especially with Suns high flying on extended road trip (5 games in 7 days with 2 B2B with one open day in between) you never now how much gas is in the tank.
Suns upcoming opponent has viewed how Nets, Kidd neutralized Nash and showed it can be done. Amare did complicate matters in that game, but the focus was Nash. Your all thinking this is leading to Detroit or maybe even Detroit 1st Half well it's not. Call me foolish, call me crazy, you can even fade this play, but I'm thinking this game goes Under.
I actually think this is a pretty good situation Suns 140 points is a scoring peak and Pistons 112 points, come from behind, to beat Bucks 105 is another peak.
Pistons showed they can pick up the pace, but at home after a game where Bucks led most of the way and willed the up tempo style Pistons will force their will to keep the next opponent below 100+ points.
I'll hit this for a unit, most likely just before the game or if the total moves up sharply. If you ask me, why not Pistons? I'd say I do like Pistons and I may take them in the 2nd Half, but I'm playing my strong suit and that's the totals.
Good luck Players.

Sorry for my late return.
Had to get to the Airport this morning, but hit the game Under with 1.5 point buy to take PHO/DET UNDER 211.5 and second half was golden with UNDER 206, I was looking to recover game going Over, all ended good.

Thinking of taking Sixers ATS First Half -5.5 *buy the point at -113

Early line anyone?
Not pulling the trigger yet, but I will wait for the Half Game lines to take my play. Dallas at Orlando, I see players like the recent Over trend with both of these teams. I don't see it that way. Here are two teams with strong defensive tendencies coming off losing games allowing opponents to score in triple digits respectively. I see both teams stepping up the "D", nothing easy will be a give me in the paint. With that said I think 188 is a very sharp line, I would of taken the Under at 190 or better, but at this Total I'm going to need the Public to help push to the number higher, I think there's a good chance.
The half game line will be shaded Over, take the Under 95 or better.
Also consider 1st Quarter at Under 48 or better.
Keep in mind Public money will go Over so pick your entry point carefully.

Lines are out.
DAL/ORL 1st Quarter Under 48.5 -108 for 1 unit(L)

DAL/ORL 1st Half Under 96 -108 for 1 unit(L)

---------------------------------------------------------
MIL at DET is another game Total I will be watching at 189.5
This is a spot for the score to drop, Bucks are not going to get close to 132, but that doesn't make this game Under 189.5. The Pistons with 4th quarter close out of Dallas, wire-to-wire win against 76ers seems to lead to schooling of Bucks, but Bucks are brimming with scoring confidence which has produced +99 points scoring 4 out of last 5 with Over cashing all 4 times, opponents have also scored +99 points in 4 of last 5

I'll be back.

OK, this is what I'm going with.

MIL/DET 1st Half Over 94 -109 for 1 unit(W)

1-2 -1.16 units

I know, I've never published a Prop. wager, but here is one I'm backing tonight. Here is a spot for Suns offense to correct it's flaws. Specifically the offense out of the gate should improve with Amare out of the play scheme.
Now Suns can refocus on Matrix slashing to the basket with no regards to who's doing what in the paint. Let's look for good spacing and patented ball movement by the Suns.

PHO/IND GAME
SHAWN MARION TO SCORE OVER 20.5 -110 for 1 unit(W)
*Holy cow the price has moved to -150 !

How about 29 points.
1-0 +1.00 unit

Simple bounce back play on the Suns out of the gate. I didn't study too hard on this one.

PHO -1.5 1st Quarter -111 for 1 unit(L)
That what I get for not doing any homework.

----------------------------------------------------------

Last game of the night. Spurs vs Clips in Half time.
Home team adjustment to close the score.

LAC -1 2nd Half -107 for 2 units(L)

0-2 -3.25 units

BetCrimes still having problems posting stats? I may have to try and catch him in public forum. His charts are great forecast indicator, it's like going fishing and he tells you where the fishes are biting. Regardless of your fishing success or failure, you're fishing in the right spot.

Well we are back to Monday Dog Day which has failed to cash in the past two tries. Last night's NBA had Nets upsetting Pistons at home and Sonics at the buzzard to take out San Antonio at home must of hit the wallets of Fav backers.
Nets are the home dogs today playing the second leg of B2B, road - home game. It's the final stretch, Nets are pulling ahead in the Atlantic and they are hot right now 8-2 with 8 win streak in their last 10 games. How are they in B2B?
This year Nets have not lost 2nd of B2B on which they won the 1st game.
But this is not a easy dog, Suns are very tough on winning teams with 21-8 ATS and they are catching the Nets who toppled Detroit at home with no rest.
Public and Sharps backing the Suns, ATS opened Suns -2 moving to -3.5/-4
Total opened 209.5 dropped 3 points to 206.5, even this number looks pretty high. Books are expecting big numbers on the scoring bounce back spot, still looks too high.

NJN +3 1st Half -104 for 1 unit(W)

PHO/NJN Under 2nd Half 101.5 +103 for 1 unit(W)
Win by the hook

------------------------------------------------
I also have a short game with WAS/GSW.

WAS/GSW 1st Half OVER 103 -116 for 1 unit(L)

Having posting issues. Publishing is not appearing with first entry.
How do I fix this? Is it the size? I don't think it's that big.
2-1 +0.84 units

Something about the Hawks makes Mavs a tough pick today. We have the Sharps backing Atlanta line has moved from Home dog Atlanta +8 to +6.5
This is a case of Mavericks NOT covering speculation. Dallas as good as they are, 7-3 SU wins last 10 games, but ATS are 4-6 last 10. Looks pretty good.
I'm not biting. I like Dallas to cover ATS for the first quarter. Atlanta has failed to cover 1st quarter ATS 7-3. Numbers are good as taking opponents SU.

DAL -2 First Quarter -105 for 2 units(W)

I like this game to go Under. Dallas score peaked with 121-122 loss to Golden State with Avery Johnson steaming about no defense for the Mavs.
Dallas have not recorded back to back Over in past 10 games.
Atlanta coming off 106-115, another high regulation number especially the score they gave up.

DAL/ATL UNDER 197 -116 for 2 units(W) *buy 1 point

Good day.
2-0 +4.00 units

Working on turn around at the Association.
I think my best advise of the day is take XMLB or NHL on the other blog link.
But if you have some money just burning a hole in your pocket and insist on playing the hardcourt you've come to the right place.

Here we go.

The Nets scoring surge topped by 41 point 4th quarter, 112 points against 100 for the home team Wizards.
Minny scored 100 points against 96 for the home team Heats.
Without getting into the details of my number breakdown, I will simply say
both teams peaking in score and this match up will go Under.
I think the number will go my way, waiting to pull the trigger.
Right now the number is 184, open was 181.5 and you can buy 1.5 points at Pinny.

Got it.
NJN/MIN UNDER 185.5 -133 for 2 units(W)

The game went accordingly.
1-0 +2.00 units

Back on the short game.

SAC/LAL 1st Quarter Over 51 -115 for 1 unit(L)

The picks are becoming "fade's"
0-1 -1.15 units

Big card tomorrow and though I'm staying off the early lines here are some that stands out for deeper look.

NJN/WAS UNDER 195
Bias on strength of Nets defense and rarely does Nets match up end in both teams scoring 99+ in regulation. Nets are rolling which means defense is working. Money flowing Over and worth watching.

HOU/DAL
Mavs will play up tempo against opponent coming in 2nd of back to back.
I'd speculate 1st half Over and 2nd half Under, maybe Game Over 176~177.
I'm thinking the numbers are sinking too low when Yao's game has improved .

MIA/MIN UNDER 198
This is a high number for these two teams.

PHO -6, the public play?

I'll be back.

It's late morning, 11:30 PST, and looking at what I liked early has nothing jumping out.
NJ at Washington Under play has moved 1 point down.
Miami at Minny Under dropped to 195
Phoenix is -5.5 and I'm starting to think Jazz will cover.

I still like early scoring in Houston at Dallas. Yao dominant inside, Rockets out scored Clips in the paint and beat them on the glass. Offensive rebounds for 2nd chance shots made up 42% shooting to improve scoring output over 90+ team points. Dallas owns the match up, 12 win out of 15 games, and at home Mavs have won 6 out of 7.
This looks to be another Mavs signature game with Dallas scoring over 99+ points holding opponents below 99- points.

HOU/DAL 1st Quarter Over 44 -105 for 2 units(L)
HOU/DAL 1st Half Over 88.5 -105 for 1 unit(L)
Come back from a nice day at the ball park only to find my NBA plays were crap.
0-2 -3.15 units

Weekend is almost over..... I was too busy running around didn't get a chance to post my plays, but let move on to Monday home dogs.
There are two.

Rockets will host the hot Los Angeles Clippers. Houston having lost 4 of last 5, team scored aboved 90+ only once in last 5 (88 points twice and 77 points twice) How are the Clips? just 5 wins out of last 6, 2 out of last 3 road win.
But you know the Rockets dominate the Clips at home, Rockets still strong in the paint with good front court size.
Houston opened +4.5 home dog now I see +5 across the board with Bodog showing +5.5 Lets watch this line.

Portland will have a turn around game hosting the Bucks. First game at Milwaukee Blazers stalked the Bucks and despite missing Zack Randolph tied the game 9 times and lead changed hand 6 times. When everything was done and over Bucks 97-93, Portland covered ATS with +11.5 points.
Blazers are Bucks nemesis and Blazers have covered for the past 2 seasons.
Oh yeah, Zack Randolph will play Monday at home.
Portland opened +1.5 and now +2 with Pinny.

Monday morning 09:10 PST
I'm feeling the basketball wagerline has shifted. It's the March Madness affect increasing squares and causing over flow into NBA.
The numbers are moving to Dogs across the board.
Stay on target.

Blazers +4 is the play. This looks strong as this line has run away too far.

POR +4 -102 for 3 units(L)

That's the second week this trend has failed to cash.
I thought I had a great ATS with +4 as the game started with POR +2.5 and I even thought Blazers had chance to take this SU.
The line on the Road Favs may have adjusted, but 1 half both Home Dogs won.
0-1 -3.06 units

Does Pistons have a problem? Last game against the Knicks, 2nd half, sure looked unmotivated. Taking a loss should be a wake up call.
Still playing the short game.

DET -2 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(W) (it's -113 now)

----------------------------------------------------------------

Lets try one more.

SAS -2 1st Quarter -108 for 1 unit(L)
Should of known better.

1-1 -0.08 units

I've been watching the Dallas at Washington line and this is one of those tricky line the books have put out. I'm not sure if this is a let down spot for the Mavs or historical match up favoring Wizards at home, but the Mavs are very balanced team right now, home or away.
But you have high consensus on Mavs with line not moving which is a red flag indicator. So I'll pass on the sides.
What I do see is the score in 1st half to exceed the limit with potential carry over into the 2nd half. I do see 1st half clearing triple digits and 2nd half to tighten.

DAL/WAS 1st Half OVER 100 -133 for 1 unit(W) *Buy -1.5 points from 101.5

That's all for tonight ladies and gents. See you all for the weekend action.
Notice Mavs clamp down in the 2nd Half......went under the 2nd half number and under for game.
1-0 +1.00 unit

Greeting Players. Hope my writing finds everyone well.
I'm going to try and hang in striking distance.
The game, as it's played on court, is a game of balance and adjustments.
I see handicapping these lines the same way.
The league will take shape and numbers will come together.
It's matter of time and usually hits me like a brick. Until that time I will tread lightly. I also have MLB in the horizon.

Some say quarter plays have less value. That all depends, sure numbers are shaded reflecting the favs and totals are normally set little higher. I consider this amplified byproduct of the over night moneyline. I don't see 76'ers making early stops, but I do feel adjustment will come during the game. Sonics will want to set the tone early.

SEA/PHL 1st Quarter OVER 52.5 -105 for 1 unit(W)
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I'm having publishing difficulties. Hope this shows up.

MIA 2nd Half -9.5 -102 for 1 unit(W)

Sorry for the posting problem.
2-0 +2.00 units

One play today and not much else. I like the Wizards game right now and once again I will looks for the Cats to hold their own.

WAS/CHA 1st Quarter OVER 50.5 -110 for 1 unit(L)
How in hell did I lose this Over. This went Over all the way, except the 1st quarter by the hook, missed FT's and opportunities. This one would go Over 8 out of 10 times. Bad luck is haunting me.

0-1 -1.10 units

Cappers like the Magic today and why not Orlando on the move catching Indy in a let down spot. I take this play.

ORL +6.5 -106 for 2 units(L)

Thinking of playing the 2nd half lines.
Stay tuned.

Oh yeah, I'm playing the Knicks too. Didn't want to be redundant.
It did go to +3

NYK +3 +100 for 2 units(L)
---------------------------------------------------

2nd Half Play on:
ORL 2nd Half ML +127 for 1 unit(L)
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Nets PK 1st Quarter -112 for 2 units(L)
---------------------------------------------------
Knicks 2nd Half PK -101 for 2 units(L)
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MIN/LAC 1st Quarter Under 49.5 -110 for 3 units(W)
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MIN 1st Half +4 -108 for 3 units(W)
----------------------------------------------------
MIN 2nd Half +8 -107 for 3 units(L)
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NJN/HOU 2nd Half Under 91 +103 for 3 units(W)

That was too many games, but recovered early losses.
3-5 -1.95 units

Batis Bet on NBA Monday

Posted record: +8-5, +7.69 units

Monday is the Home Dog Day. Consensus is 73% with Denver. New Yawwk has a nice home record: +2-10 last 12 home games since Jan, 16.

New York +2.5 1.93 (2 units) Loss

Unfortunately, home dogs didn't cover tonight..

Looks like the betting public loves Lakers and Sonics to score, but that's not based on fundamentals of this match up. Lakers are winning with good defense and Sonics front court is sporting a different style as Seattle also tries to improve on defense. I'll take the score to land under this number

LAL/SEA UNDER 213.5 -105 for 3 units(L)

Got to take a spot on my home team.
LAL 1st Half -4 -105 for 1 unit(L)
64-55 Sonics at the Half.

LAL/SEA UNDER 2nd Half 107 +102 2 units(L)

Do you think the Knicks are jellin' ? I'm starting to think so, even Francis looks content in coming off the bench. Jalen is coming up big, Crawford and Curry playing better.
How about the Cats? I don't think these guys are going away. Injury problems have plagued this team, but they will have their core guys on court.
As the lines indicate this game to be close and offensive in nature.
OT would not be a surprise.

Going across the board OVER's

NYK/CHA 1st Quarter OVER 52 -114 for 2 units(W)
NYK/CHA 1st Half OVER 104 -111 for 2 units(W)
NYK/CHA OVER 203 -110 for 2 units(W)

1-2-3 hello, good evening and good night.
3-0 +6.00 units

I'm back with some games already under way.
Indy and Hornets doesn't look like the "Under Team" they used to be.
I'm sure that's where the problem lies, both teams are getting pourous allowing 99+ points in their last 2 games.
I see better stops coming from both sides.

IND/NOH UNDER 185 -103 for 1 unit(W)
I missed posting 2nd half under 92.5
--------------------------------------------------

Bucks 2nd half has good value

MIL PK 2nd Half -110 for 1 unit(W)

Bounce back Friday.
2-0 +2.00 units

With the anticipation Over expression reversing today I see the match up in the valley of the Suns against the visiting Spurs.
Spurs had their win streak snapped by the Clippers in their continuing trouble on the 2nd of B2B. Popovich raised his white flag when he pulled his regulars with minute and half remaining, typical of Pops to let the starters watch from the bench as Clips closed out with 14 point lead, Spurs lacked energy as they were heavily outboarded 28 to 40 and outshot 44.2% to 52.1%, looked like Clips beat Spurs at their own game. That's a strong likelihood of Spurs defense stepping up today.
Suns made the incredible rally to take the game against the Hornets without Nash for most of the game, but ended the streak of 5 Overs in dramatic fashion, -21 points Under the total.
I guess the public doesn't see that as any significance, but I see that as a sign.
The Total moved to 201 and I could buy it up to 202.5.
I'll watch this a bit.

Money is moving Under 98 1st Half, I don't know if 201 will improve any further. I'm taking position with 1.5 point buy.

SAS/PHO UNDER 202.5 -123 for 1 unit(L)
Oh my god, 67 point 1st quarter. Unless there is an single digit quarter this play is dead. 2nd Half Under anyone?
---------------------------------------------------------

Denver at Sixers just coming to close of 1st Half.
This is a set up for 2nd Half Over.

DEN/PHL 2nd Half OVER 102.5 -109 for 1 unit(L)
I needed that Krover lay up to go in and OT.

0-2 -2.32 units

What's happening Cappers? Association action under way. I'm pressed to get this published. These teams traded off 1st & 2nd quarter, but I expect scoring output to improve, looking like a good 2nd half game.

CLE/TOR 2nd Half Over 100 -107 for 1 unit(W)
Sorry I forgot to put the Total number, but 100 never changed.

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Chicago at Detroit also under way and this is looking like an Pistons 2nd half play. Lets see where the line will land.

DET 2nd Half -9.5 -110 for 1 unit(W)
Good job to Batis on this game Total winner.
---------------------------------------------------------
Jazz to step up the second half.

UTA 2nd Half -3 -113 for 1 unit(W)

Clutch surging in the 2nd Half.
3-0 +3.00 units

I've been busy all day. I didn't get a chance to work on the games, but lots of action on the board. I might jump in on 2nd half play or late game with Spurs/Clippers.

Play it again Sam.
CLIPPERS ML 1st Quarter +111 for 1 unit(L)

Could of gone my way, but didn't. Clippers playing much better than score shows at the half. That's a sign of Champions getting it done on a bad night, second of back to back night.

I'm liking the way Clips are playing at home, but this is the Spurs and they are a second half team like the other contenders in this league.
I'll play the Over as low scoring first have all posted 2nd half over.

CLIPS/SPURS 2nd Half Over 91.5 -114 for 1 unit(W) (This price shot up)

Ah, It was Clippers all the way, shouldn't of played them short and I should of pounded that OVER!
1-1 -0.11 units

OK boys and girls my plays may have gone through ups and downs, my play methods have swung too many times and things have to change around here. My purpose is not a diary, I need to put up winners.

What do we know about the occurrence on Mondays in the Association?
Yes, it's the Home Dog Plays.

Here are the selections:
PHO/NOK+5 *Isn't this interesting? Public thought here is pound the Suns.
MIA/CHA+7.5 *Another strong public candidate.
SAS/LAL+4 *And another

Now it's not fail proof, but very good trend paying dividends courtesy of Batis. Let's watch the line gyration shall we.

I'm back looking at these games and I must say, not much moves.
I think the sharps are on to these games and so are the books. From the looks of things I'd say sharps have the bigger stakes and squares scratch their heads thinking "Why is the money going the other way?"

Phoenix is on B2B coming off an upset win against the power house Dallas and I was thinking they might relax, but Suns are tough on back to backs as they are a collective that plays on momentum and Hornets coming off their worst 2nd half beating showed how young team can collapse. Still Sharp plays are on 1st Half with Hornets getting +2.5 points.

Miami Heat against the Cats at home might be the better home dog choice.
Wade may not get into gear right away and I think this game has a better chance of Heat underestimating their opponent.

CATS +4 1st Half -117 for 1 unit(W)

I'm going to work on Lakers game a bit more.
Oh what the hell, home dogs are coming out of the gates. Contender teams are slow to start. Double or nothing.

LAKERS ML 1st Quarter +121 for 1 unit(W)

Love the Cats! Hornets doing it too in the 1st Half.
I still can't make up my mind with Laker and Spurs.
This record may change by the end of the day.

Lakers take the 1st quarter with balance.

2-0 +2.21 units

Suns and Mavs did not go Under, maybe I can read into some games after all.
I didn't play the Total and I'm staying light with 1 quarter play.

Chicago seems to have more pop out of the gate on the road and Cavs slow start causing last 5 home average to fall close to 2 points. I feel some adjustments in this game with fast moving 1st quarter before settling down.
If I was hitting higher percentage on my picks I would take this game Over across the board with 1st Half Over 95 or 95.5 and Game Over 191.5 , but I'll just play one.
Based on Cleveland turn around game. All Cavs did from last game to today is work on plays against Bulls where as Bulls had a B2B meeting with NYK team.
Bulls also have tendencies to string two triple digit games.

CHI/CLE 1st Quarter Over 47.5 -105 for 1 unit(L)
My plays are tanking bad. Good thing I saw BetCrimes writing on MEM/LAC game. I played the 2nd Half Grizz +3 to even up my loss and really made up ground by taking a Oscar prop play I published in Sharp Plays. Too bad I can't take any credit, but I'll take the cash.

1-0 -1.05 units

I'm looking at 1 quarter at a time. Heat makes impact start with little rest and it's that time of the year for Miami to play for keeps.

ATL/MIA 1st Quarter OVER 51 -111 for 1 unit(L)

This play takes the cake for this week. Knicks win on the road and Lakers knock out the Pistons. What's next? Suns vs Mavs going Under?
I'll be at the ball park, The Papago park to be specific where Angels will meet up with the A's for some Cactus League action. I'm going to gear up for the start of MLB 2006!

0-1 -1.11 units

Here's a early, early take on Dallas 2nd of B2B with the pesky Bobcats.
Mavs win or lose at San Antonio the second game has the making of no cover against the spread with 13.5 points, even....dare I say.... an upset.
Cats have posted a SU win and 2 ATS wins in a row. So far 3-2 ATS on this road trip with one of the loss coming by the hook 0.5 points against the Suns.

CHA +13.5 -105 for 2 units(L)
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Another 2nd of B2B is da Bulls at MSG. I don't think the Knicks are built for 99+ points and they will need to win the battle of boards. I think Bulls first game will be below 100 points. With mid 90's as tonights scoring projection
with second of back to back falling lower.

CHI/NYK UNDER 202.5 -105 for 2 units(L)
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Late addition.
Clips to break the losing streak in Salt Lake City 32 out of 33 and they haven't had much luck lately either. Clips are the better team here.

LAC -3.5 +101 for 2 units(L)
Down by 10 in the half.
LAC -4 2nd Half -105 for 2 units(W)

The Association has been tough on me lately.
1-3 -4.20

While we wait for Pinny to put up the lines here are my thoughts.
First of all this is the match for the top team in Texas and third match of this season. I remember the second match (12/01/05') with Spurs winning 92-90 at Dallas, I played the early line SAS -2 and late players got killed on SAS -2.5, Dirk had a off night and missed the shot to tie.
Mavs has lost 5 of their last 7 meetings, including three straight in San Antonio. Six of their last eight games have been decided by 10+ points.
Out of the last 11 meetings Dallas has scored 99+ points 4 times and Spurs 2 times. Spurs also in that period scored under 80 points 3 times.
Josh Howard and Keith Van Horn will be returning to the line up for Mavericks.
Mavs are coming into this game hot with 6 straight wins and 12 straight home wins, but ATS margin is narrowing, last one squeaked by with 1.5 points, before that they did not cover. Spurs too are heating up and crushed NYK in their last outing, they did have problem covering small ATS and losing ATS after double digit margin cover.
I'll be back with a pick for this one.

I like the home team, but I'm not going to give +5 points to Dallas.
I'll buy 1 point for the 1st half Spurs ATS and take the home court.
Looking for a clamp down game, but still watching the line.

SAS -2 1st Half -123 for 2 units(L)

DAL/SAS 2nd Half UNDER 91.5 -105 for 4 units(L)


-------------------------------------------------
Cleveland at Chicago game I'm thinking the toll of back to back Detroit & Sacramento game will show in Chicago. Bulls are mediocre 25-31 SU & ATS, but you'll need to go back 19 games for home loss with Bulls as a favorite in regulation. I will target 2nd half Under given they hit 95~99 1st half.

CHI -4 -105 for 1 unit(L)
-------------------------------------------------
That ened ugly and that would normally drive me crazy, but the Hoop Gods decided to throw me a bone and behold a parlay card I picked 7 plays in NCAA Baskets somehow hit giving me the largest single day winning for 2006 so far. I want the plays to be good, but I don't mind getting lucky.

3-0 -7.71 units

On Tuesday afternoon the Raptors introduced Bryan Colangelo as the new President and GM. He was very impressive at the press conference and very polished. He is looking forward to working alongside Wayne Embry, the Assistant to the President Richard Peddie along with Sam Mitchell the Head Coach and Bryan Colangelo as you know, the reigning executive of the year could win it again, as he has guided the Phoenix Suns to another winning season. But now he is a member of the Raptors organization and has a lot of work to do with Raptors to say the least. For now he is really enjoying that he is getting to know a lot of people at MLSE and the Raptors, the players, and the coaching staff. He is a tremendous addition to the Raptors ownership and also to the fan base here in Toronto.

A few of his moves with the Suns:
Brought in Mike D'Antoni, last season's coach of the year.
Signed Steve Nash, last season's MVP.
Acquired Boris Diaw in the Joe Johnson sign and trade.
Signed Eddie House, a leading candidate for sixth man of the year.
Signed Raja Bell, known for his defense but has shown to be an effective 3-point shooter for the Suns.
Traded Quentin Richardson for Kurt Thomas, who was having a solid season before he injured his foot last week.
Signed Amare Stoudemire to a mega extension before the season.

OK, I knew about this, but I don't know what happened. What's the story here? Bryan Colangelo to Toronto? Not Los Angeles or New York, and you go from Pacific Division powerhouse to ...... the Raptors ?
From golf, tennis and the Sun to the Great White North and the snow, what gives? What happened between Colangelo and Suns owner Robert Sarver ?
I'd sure like to know. You guys know anything, drop me a line.

Oh crap! I thought I posted Clippers -6.5 & UNDER 188, my mistake.
Be back later with thoughts on Mavericks at San Antonio.

Small card today and I'm looking ahead to Wednesday, but I did notice Sonics return to home after their dismal road trip (1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS) while tonight's opponent Hornets have won 2 on the road to start with 2 to go.
I saw this open yesterday with Sonics as the dog before the moneyline changed and total climbed to 203. I feel the side is a tough call, but the total showing over 200+ is interesting. I got burned on playing Seattle under at home and yet the Under in this match makes sense.
Have you noticed the big guys starting in Seattle tonight, they're not a tight bunch and I would expect some miscues, but the writing is on the wall.
Sonics don't want the label of giving up most points and they want the stops.
"Tomorrow night's our first game with this group, and I think we're all anxious," said Coach Bob Hill.

Watson, for his part, was excited to get some work in after playing just six game minutes over the last 12 days because the All-Star break was followed by last Thursday's trade that brought him back to Seattle, where he played as a rookie in 2001-02.
"I've been in Seattle for four days, just sitting," Watson said. "This was my first time practicing and really having some type of interaction with other players. I feel like I'm a little rusty, so I'm excited about the opportunity to get more fluent within the game and getting back on point."
Hill is equally excited to get Watson into the lineup after watching his first day of practice.
"Earl's pretty good," Hill said. "I was pretty impressed with him today; he's very, very quick and fast and can really guard the ball. We've gone from basically no backup point guards to two of them."
By adding Watson, Wilcox and Wilks, Hill believes the Sonics have improved their defense, a sore spot throughout this season. Watson is regarded as one of the league's best defensive point guards, while Wilcox has given the Sonics more athleticism to match up with opposing power forwards.
"If you want to play really good defense, you have to get some defensive-minded guys," Hill said, comparing the Sonics moves to when his Indiana team added tough defenders Antonio and Dale Davis during the early 1990s. "Once you build your team through your offense, then you need to start adding defensive components to it, and that's what we did there. I don't think there's any question that Chris Wilcox and Earl and Mike appreciate and like playing defense."
Tomorrow's game will provide the first look at Hill's new rotation in the backcourt, which will have Watson backing up starters Luke Ridnour and Ray Allen, spending time at both guard positions.
"I know tomorrow I'm going to try to play a three-guard rotation with Luke, Ray and Earl," he said. "I told Mike Wilks I wish he hadn't played so well in Miami because now I'm going to want to put him in."
Wilks, who scored 12 points in his Sonics debut, slots in as the fourth man in the backcourt and can be expected to see spot minutes.
Up front, the rotation will be determined in large part by the availability of Swift. Hill had hoped the Sonics starting center would be able to practice today before making his return to game action, but Swift's protective facemask is not yet ready, forcing him to sit out. Swift's facemask will be ready for tomorrow's game, but Hill is still uncertain whether Swift will play.
Despite Wilcox posting 34 points and 13 rebounds in two starts over the weekend, Hill plans to bring him off the bench behind Collison. At the same time, Hill downplayed the distinction between the two roles.
"Right now, Nick's the starting big forward," he said. "I like those two because they're different. They're not the same; they're different. Chris brings thing that Nick doesn't and vice versa. I don't really care [who starts]."
When the Sonics broke out into perimeter and post players for skills work at the end of practice, Hill took Wilcox aside to work with him on post moves. It's a process Hill intends to continue for the near future.
"We're going to start working really hard on developing a low-post game," Hill explained, "because looking at him, he's so athletic and so quick that he should be better in the low post than he is."
I think Sonics have the right idea tonight and over powering the middle is a good way to shutdown the Hornets.

Buy the 1.5 points

NOH/SEA 1st Half UNDER 103 -117 for 2 units(L)
NOH/SEA UNDER 204.5 -119 for 1 unit(L)

Oh no, another Under down the tube in Seattle. Sonics front court does look good although Hornets did make a run at the end. Same old Overs trend continues in Seattle. Hornets will hop on the plane and will be in L.A. within few hours with B2B against the another hot home team the Clippers.

0-2 -3.53 units

Don't forget Monday home dog plays are on.
Keep your eyes on the line and watch the movement to your favor.

CLE +3
ALT +2
*HOU PK

Out of the three I like the Hawks the best.

Cleveland 2nd of B2B in comparison to Detroit 2nd of B2B just doesn't measure up. Though Cavs have exceptional scoring up swing on game preceding under -80 points scored, taking the Over 3-1 in those situation this season. These two teams match up Under with strong trend to back that up.
Still Cavs 20-8 very dangerous to with points at home and Pistons 5-5 ATS is not all that scary. The books have shaded the Cavs as they could of easily set this at DET -5, I will watch the movement O/U moved quickly from 184 to 182.5 Looking to buck this trend with Over might be a ballsy play.

Houston at home is gearing up for a big revenge match and the line is pick'em.
If you've read the post game on that lop sided loss, even Suns coach Mike D'Antoni couldn't believe how the Suns had their way against the Rockets.
Nash sure didn't look like he was hurting.

The Hawks are my most likely play with Nets coming into town and Carter might be out for this one. Hawks lost by -10 to the Buck, but they shot better from the field and beyond the arc, they gave up the boards and most importantly missed the free throws. It was the Free Throws that lost it for the Hawks ATS backers. Nets broke the home court win streak and lose Carter with hammy cramp in the 1st quarter. It's still just a sore hammy and he could be in the game.
Carter is in this game, but todays system play counted him in. We get 0.5 point shade to home teams advantage and I bought it up some more.
This play went in at the last second.

ATL +3.5 -124 for 1 unit *with 1 point buy(W)
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Oh I will take one early dog on the over night with Bobcats getting +10 points.
Cats are getting stronger, better and took the 1st half SU against the Suns, almost winning ATS. I think that was a sign of things to come.
When you are considering to back the Clippers you must ask yourself, is the glass half full or empty as the Clippers have not won consecutive games since a four-game winning streak from February 1-7.
L.A. will be without center Chris Kaman (sprained left ankle),
Quinton Ross (sore lower back)
Bobcats leads the NBA in steals, turnovers forced and points off turnovers. Charlotte's also found it's offensive roll in the midst of a six game Western swing, averaging 115.5ppg on 50% shooting the past two contests.
Dribble penetration will be Cats order today.

CHA +10 -106 for 2 units(W)

On last 10 games samplings Clippers opponents hang around or top LAC in the first half.

CHA +5.5 1st Half -105 for 1 unit(L)
I might add to this if the line moves my way.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
I'm back, the opening dogs have not moved much, but not to worry as the nature of these dogs to move closer to game time.

The Warriors are finally back home after getting their butts kicked on the road trip and all these recent losses are impacted by the loss of Baron Davis.
Take a look at the recent 5 games Davis sat out, Warriors are struggling to put up points. Lacking offensive threats GSW have to play a slower tempo and that should be fine with Utah. The Jazz have given up 100+ points at home, as of late, but on the road they clamp down little more.

Buying +1.5 points to 183

UTA/GSW UNDER 183 -117 for 1 unit(L)
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Working the reverse angle on Totals at Dallas.
The trend in breakdown of two components, 1st & 2nd half, the 2nd half held strong Under tendencies which now I see swinging to the other side.
That is the 1st Half Over as teams are adjusting and missing lanky Josh Howard sure is helping the early scores.

PHL/DAL 1st Half Over 103 -110 for 2 units(L)

Not a good day. Cats 1st half meltdown after keeping it close.
The 1st Half Over at Dallas looked good after the 1st quarter, but failed.
UTA/GSW was just a bad call and had no chance.
The two win came on Cats ATS and Hawks ATS.
2-3 -1.42 units

Hornets have come a long way. Byron Scott's doing a good job, he's a Morningside high school product right here in Southern California and ofcourse a Laker from back in the days. He's also a ball handler so he had few things to say after the Sonics game and Hornets won that game.
Hornets holding 16-6 since the start of 2006. That's in the ranks of Detroit, Dallas and San Antonio. Chris Paul is no secret, but what about Kirk Snyder?
David West is playing the closer.
Blazers coming off 102-96 loss to the Celtics. Blazers were hanging around, but trailing. What bothers me is that Boston rookie Martell Webster set a season highs with 24 points, eight rebounds and four 3-pointers.
Joel Przybilla and Theo Ratliff are out. I don't like Zach Randolph as starting Center and they got rid of my favorite angry man Ruben Patterson.
Can they blow three in a row at the Rose Garden? Hell Yes! Hornet will get this party started out of the gate and protect the lead in the second half.

NOH -1 1st Quarter -105 for 2 units(L)
NOH -2 1st Half -109 for 2 units(L)

NOH -2.5 2nd Half -107 for 1 unit(W)
NOH/POR 2nd Half UNDER 91.5 -101 for 3 units(W)

Blazer spoiled my party and wiped my first half Sides.
Managed to salvage the day with late chase wins.
2-2 -0.28 units

Everyone watching the Raptors in Dallas? I can't keep up with these Saturday morning (West of the Rockies in USA) games. We have morning cartoons going on other channels. Too late for speculation, but you guys might want to note
Mavs Under trend characteristic is to go Under in the second half.
I don't know if you've noticed the 2nd Half total set at 98.5 and the public pounded the Over to the price of -135. I bought +1.5 and took the 2nd Half Under 100 for -103. The game may go Over, but this 2nd half looks Under.
Be back later.

OT takes the 2nd half over. It was a regulation 2nd half under and should of ended that way, but this one will not pay.
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Cats beat the Blazers on the road ending their near 2 month road skid.
Are you keeping track of the Cats? They dressed 12 guys on Tuesday against Denver for the first time since Jan. 4th. Gerald Wallace entered the game on Wednesday against Portland for the first time since Jan. 20th.
So they're getting healthy and the score is rising.
OK, even with Nash hurting he will play and Cats are 5-17 against the West,
1-10 against the West on the Road. Sun scoring 100+ points in 16 games in a row. Much of that punch comes in the first half. 1st Half total shaded, but I'll take it.
I'll go with early scoring.

CHA/PHO 1st Quarter Over 53 -110 for 2 units(W)
CHA/PHO 1st Half Over 107 -105 for 1 unit(W)

Took a good old fashion moose job on the early game, but that's my loss.
Published plays hits nothing but net. Easy early Over.
2-0 +3.00 units

Wow, this game is 100+ points for both sides and they still have one more quarter of play. Should of gone Over all the way across.

We will see ex-Magic Steve Francis in Knicks uniform against the visiting Nets tomorrow. Francis addressed the media alongside Isiah Thomas and Larry Brown during a press conference before last night's game, saying how excited he was about playing in New York. Oh yes, Isiah will get all the credit for this one. Just what Brown asked for. Knicks are in great shape now, not.
I thought Isiah's days were numbered....Sexual harassment accusation and all that stuff.
What about Stephon Marbury making his return to action.
In 31 minutes, he shot just 2-11 from the floor, finishing with a mere 7 points and 4 assists, and he allowed Jason Williams to go for 24 points on 8-13 shooting. Lets call it rust.
Nets on top of Atlantic rolling 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS last 10 games.
Knicks 1-9 SU and 4-6 ATS, having hard time reaching 90 points.

NJN -5 -109 for 1 unit(L)
NJN/NYK UNDER 189 -109 for 2 units(W)

Talked trash about Francis and he hits a 3 pointer to kill my Side.
You know I should of waited for NJN -4 and price improved on both of my picks if you played it late.
Yet again the money play cashes.
1-1 +0.91 units

I'm taking an early position.

Indiana practiced before leaving to Detroit. Pacers are a team on the surge having already upset Detroit at home and that was the game, Jackson coming out of the hospital Thursday, listed questionable for the game then playing outstanding game. I'm sure Pistons remember and they will keep in mind the point difference in the paint (28 - 38 Pacers), against Atlanta Pistons scored 52 points in the paint. Another factor in this game is Pistons are still shaded ATS which is costing the backers. I think Pacers are getting too many points here and also think the Over will edge out.

IND +8.5 -106 for 2 units(W)
IND/DET OVER 178 -105 for 1 unit(L)

Not enough score today to take Total & Side, but money play was on ATS and gain is a gain is a gain.

1-1 +0.95 units

It's mid week, mid morning and my game is moving in my favor.
I'm watching the line on Clips, playing back to back road game with a shuttle to Houston from Dallas.
Rockets throttled on Clips at Staples before the All Star break, then Rockets laid an egg at Phoenix. I will say T-Mac looks very much in the mid season form, but I feel Van Gundy does not want to shoulder all the weight on Tracy and Alston will be the key to diverting plays.
The front court is formidable and Swift is very good off the bench, but the low post is stronger playing half court grinder which they failed to do in Phoenix, even going small at times in failing effort for speed.
Clips almost broke Mavs win streak last night. Late game stops by Clips were impressive and cashed for ATS & UNDER backers. Clips strength is also the low post maybe not quite the Rockets level, but experienced ball handlers are supposed to make up for that.
This is a big revenge game and they got out boarded badly.
Waiting for my spot to get this one.

Sorry, missed all the games tonight. Clips got it close enough for ATS win, but scoring was high. I'll move on to Thursday.

This is the first game after the All Star, sos cap it like your testing the water.

My game today is the Clips at Dallas. Mavs surging with balance and I think defense will set the tone. AJ is big on "D" and that's where he wants to add strength in the Second half of the season. It will be interesting to see if the Mavs playing over 99+ and holding opponents to 99- is going to continue.
My guess is the actual total to decline with teams scoring below 99-.

LAC/DAL UNDER 192.5 -110 for 1 unit(W)
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This one looks like it's reaching.
SEA/SAS 2nd Half UNDER 98 -110 1 unit(W)

-----------------------------------------------------
I wanted to publish SAC -2 1st Quarter, but got carried away with the San Anonio game. See ya later, I'll be back jack.
2-0 +2.00 units

Greetings Cappers.
I'm not playing the All Star Game today, but wanted to give my well wishes for those who are.
As historical numbers go the eye poping total is right in line and the West is not as strong as the years past. I would say the East with 4 points looks good and 1st Quarter Over 64 at plus money +110 is the best value.
For the Total I'd go 1st Half Over 129.5 +114 and consider the second half Under at 128 or better.

Like I said, I'm not on this game and have interest on NCAA match up with UCLA and USC with the game going Under.

........UCLA falls to USC and game goes Over. NCAA Hoops did not pan out today.
Todays best bet was 2nd Half East in NBA All Star with 21 point deficit they have taken the lead in early 4th Quarter. I be looking ahead to see what's out in the horizon.

Suns just about go wire to wire at always hostile Pepsi Center.
They moved the ball and didn't miss a beat from their long rest.
Now on 2nd leg of back to back, road/home game, Suns strength is the momentum and they had lots of rest.
Houston's game is surging, T Mac is the nucleus raising the level of the Rockets front court and the bench production is also on the rise.
I understand the match up trends Under, but with both teams firing on all cylinders the production should be high.

I'll buy that 0.5 points back to 201

HOU/PHO OVER 201 -114 for 3 units(L)

Looks like the line is moving Over. The Suns will not change their way, they coasted in the 4th quarter last night and they will run the floor tonight. They'd like to keep Yao out of position as much as possible.
Rockets have an attacking front court as well as Ralfer Alston making the moves. Houston can push it up with the best of them right now.

HOU/PHO 1st Half Over 102 -108 for 2 units(L)

I knew after the first Quarter it was not going to make it.
Rockets didn't bring their game, I was not expecting that.
0-2 -5.60 units

Miami and Orlando are doing the turn around back to back. Sharps look at these games and weight the value of the home dog playing revenge or reversing the Total play. Public takes a big bite on Miami then wonders what happened.
But there's more to the trouble in Orlando than X's and O's.
I like Dwight Howard, Hedo Turkoglu, returning Grant Hill with 20+ minutes, but I don't like Steve Francis and he is holding the ball too much. Too bad Jamneer is out, I like that kid. Francis is killing the chemistry for the Magic and he's not working on the floor. I have a feeling something is brewing in the clubhouse.
OK, I'm going with this public play, more like an Magic fade.

MIA -5.5 -105 for 1 unit(W)

Isn't this interesting, ATS is holding ground and remain MIA -5.5 at -105
There was some movement last night, but only the Totals have changed directions from Under to Over. I'll find out what's cooking in Florida, but even with Orlando trade happening this morning Miami should stay its course.

MIA 1st Quarter -1.5 -105 for 1 unit(W)
MIA 1st Half -3 +102 for 1 unit(W)
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Hornets are rolling ATS and they are putting up scores. I like the way they're playing and Portland finally pulled one off on the road against the reeling Cats.
I guess Blazers need to get kicked around some before they bring their game.
Today will be challenging with Portland inside being suspect.
Lets see Hornets attack the rim and Blazers to keep pace.

POR/NOH OVER 187 -111 for 2 units(W)

Heat pounds Magic in repeat performance.
A friendly bounce and Over she goes with Blazers at Hornets.
Clutch kinda day.
4-0 +5.02 units

Valentines day at the Association. Got little busy for the Home Dog Monday, but Cavs rolled keeping the Monday streak. Amazing trend.

Another Valentines bit, too late to do any good, but Bucks are stellar on V-day and at Home they are almost unbeatable....91-106 Bucks over Seattle

Today I'm looking at the late game with HOU/LAC.
I might of advised on early Over with 179.5 and 181.5 still looks good but I will take the ATS on Houston with points. Rockets does have road woes and Clips have an nice home record, but recent ATS looks much better on the Houston side. I think Rockets front court is working and T-Mac like the road games.
Ross is hurting on Clips side and LA back court will need to do most of the scoring.

HOU +3.5 -110 for 2 units(W)

ATS or OVER it did not matter. You could of hit for 2nd Half HOU +5 or OVER 90 it would of all been good. I need more of these.
1-0 +2.00 units

How did I miss posting this strong Over trend on SAS/IND !

I'm working on some plays, but in the meantime I'll play the line on this game.
DET/MIA 1st Half UNDER 96 -120 for 1 unit(L)

--------------------------------------------------------------

OK, I'll go with the Bucks and points. They are just keeping it close and this is too much to give on Nets home hype. The B2B is a mild variety, home/road and Bucks are winning.

MIL +8.5 -111 for 3 units(L)
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My last take for tonight. Chicago coming off an low scoring loss, 80-98 to Sacramento, but 80 points output is the lowest they've produced in 22 games.
I like the scoring to go up. Clippers score also improves at Staples.

CHI/LAC 1st Half Over 97.5 -111 for 2 units(W)
CHI/LAC OVER 193 -108 for 3 units(L)

Should of stayed in bed.
1-3 -5.77 units

Today I will follow the 1st Quarter trend with GSW at CLE.
Cavs taking many of their games Under and there has been few slow starts, MIL, MIA, NJN, come to mind, but more cases show opponents at Cleveland go Over 50+ in the starting quarter. Warriors also a strong 1st Quarter team.

GSW/CLE 1st Quarter OVER 51 -117 for 2 units(W)
Was not as close as the box scores shows.
1-0 +2.00 units

I like the over night line on Miami at Dallas. The Mavs have the Heats number and Miami will come in with high energy to snap the Dallas win streak.
I think this will be a good, hard fighting game.
Mavs have kept opponents below 99+ points for 11 games (@NYK 1/11 (L)115-117 in OT) and 12 games in regulation (@BOS 1/09 (W)104-102) and at home 18 games (GSW 12/30 (L)109-111)
That is impressive, but Miami is pushing up the score and if any team can attack the paint against Dallas it"s the Heat.

Over 199 -108 for 2 units(L)
Should of followed the trend.
0-1 -2.16 units

Good to see your back BetCrimes.

Clippers are rolling, chipping away the gap in Pacific Division race. Look at their last 10 games, outstanding, but look closer. Tonight is the 5th game of 6 game road trip, not counting the Denver back to back, road/homegame which would add another road turn around to the long trip.
Losing to Miami at the start of the trip, kept it close enough to cover.
Almost wire to wire at Orlando, only losing 3rd quarter by 1 point.
Wire to wire at Boston. Then 3 pointer and a stop to put the game in OT and win at Toronto, but this was the losing game for ATS. Clips hot shooting cools a little and Raps scored little more than others.
Knicks are struggling, but they are showing signs. They covered ATS against the fast healing Rockets at MSG. Rose was excellent moving the ball, he should be better with added time with his new team.
Crawford was agressive and I like Curry in the paint.
I like this game to reach 200+ as Knicks will attack knowing Clips road schedule. Clips back court are hot and will keep them scoring.

LAC/NYK OVER 197 +104 for 2 units(L)

That was an ugly game. So ugly I wished I was on the Under.
0-1 -2.00 units

On this home dog monday the play is looking like the Bobcats. Interestingly the ATS is only 5 points against the falling Sonics. Early money is on the Sonics so I will keep watch.
I got pretty good price on CATS ATS.

CHA +7 -119 for 2 units(W)
----------------------------------------------------

My early play is the Bucks. You have to love the Bucks surging ATS and doing it with defense, over the last 10 games holding opponents to 42% shooting.
Each of the last 3 meetings decided by 8 points or less.

MIL +8 -123 for 2 units(W)
MIL/CLE UNDER 190.5 -127 for 2 units(W)

Perfect day. I'll be working hard so yall come back now, you hear.
3-0 +6.00 units

This is the weekend for Sharps, Fleas, Public and everyone in between.
The Touts are louder and Books are busy. Superbowl Weekend.
I'll check with the Wisemen and put something in the Sharps Play Blog.

The Hardcourt games, my picks have become a bit dull so I took couple of days off. Today I'll take the 1st Half game with Detroit and Indiana.
I know Detroit lines are well tuned with the Line makers and it shows on ATS.
But today I think the Pacers 1st Half fade will be in effect.

DET -4 1st Half -108 for 3 units(L)

I got beat by Jackson who was hospitalized with a bruised hip and scraped elbow after a fall in Wednesday's game against the Lakers. I can't beleive this guy was questionable for today's game he started and played 39 minutes.
I did see the line movement go to -105 on both sides at Pinny before the game.
Lines have been sharp lately.
NBA is stale right now, but I'll get it working right.
In the meantime NCAA Hoops is giving me much needed lift. I'm considering NCAA Basketball blog or maybe using the Sharp Plays blog.
Well, keep your eyes on my NBA Plays.

0-1 -3.24 units

Without much to write on this game.
My play for today.

CHI/HOR UNDER 186 -108 for 2 units(L)
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Adding.

SAS -2.5 1st Quarter -100 for 3 units(W)
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Same game.

SAS/POR 2nd Half Under 91.5 for 3 units(W)

I must of missed something?
2-1 +3.84