Thursday, April 02, 2009

NBA Thursday

YTD 31-34-1 +2.79 units

Uncanny Over implications for Utah and Denver at Pepsi Center. Jazz coming off a 21 point loss (15 ATS loss) at Portland in a crucial game. Easily eclipsed the 192 Total by 37 points. For Utah to give up 125 points on the road may seem out of the norm, but -118 in Phoenix, -94 in Oklahoma, -105 in Orlando and so on. This spot does call for better defensive number still the likelihood of exceeding triple digits are high. Denver has been over anticipated in exceeding the Total and the line makers are doing a very good job. They are confident with number close to what they set on March 6th in Utah. There are also 4 consecutive Unders recorded with one game in Denver. So despite expected decline from 229 for Jazz and Nuggets at neutral I will go with the Over 208.

UTA/DEN OVER 208 at +101 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.01 units