NBA Monday

Coming off a nice win on ML dog & ATS 2-0 YTD 73-44-2 +44.89 units

We are rolling tonight with a game on target, but not yet ready for release. Most likely will take the selection within the next two hours. Similar to yesterday the target is a dog on the road.

Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets
Taking the Warriors on a up tick catching no T-Mac Rockets. Also taking the ML to steal this in Houston.

GSW +3 at +110 for 2 units(W)
GSW ML +151 for 1 unit(W)

You guys have a good New Year!
2-0 +3.71 units

NBA Sunday

2-1 last selection YTD 71-44-2 +42.37 units
Sunday Basketball is a good one.

Boston Celtics at Los Angeles Lakers
With most of the world thinking West is stronger than East combined with travel schedule Celtics have endured so far how can anyone not like the Lakers in this spot? The last game of Boston road trip 4th game in 5 days and second of back to back is a situation odds makers are very familiar with. You might be surprised to find road teams cover this situation more times than not.
Lakers are red hot and brimming with confidence, but battle tested experience team with core players able to hang around this one or if Lakers show young errors Boston will lead this game.
Lakers are very good right now, but not without faults.

BOS +3 at +107 for 1 unit(W)
BOS ML +145 for 1 unit(W)

2-0 +2.52 units

NBA Saturday

1-0 last selection YTD 69-43-2 +40.37 units

Making a late post.
Taking Atlanta on the road against Dallas.

ATL +8.5 at +102 for 1 unit(L)

It got close as 6 in 4th quarter, but Mav's day in Dallas and Under run continues.

Adding.
Detroit Pistons at Indiana Pacers
Detroit is still the team to beat. Look for this one to be closer to double digits.

DET 4.5 at -102 for 2 units(W)

Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Hornets
It's never easy to explain my Total plays, but in most simple terms these two teams have much better defensive ranking than offense. The number today is pretty strong with even division and little movement. Still going Under the fairly low number.

CLE/NOH UNDER 186 at +100 for 1 unit(W)

2-1 +2.00 units

NBA Friday

0-1 yesterday YTD 68-43-2 +39.37 units

Houston Rockets at Memphis Grizzlies
I understand Grizz are the sharp play and you just play it on ML hosting Houston minus T-Mac.
Normally the first game without leading scorer you take that team with supporting cast stepping up, but Rockets are two pronged where Yao can carry the load and it really doesn't fit the normal mode. When Yao leads the team it's usually just shy of closing the deal and they are on the road as a small favorite. I will take the by product of what this game will bring.

HOU/MEM UNDER 195 at -102 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Thursday

3-1 last selection YTD 68-42-2 +40.37 units

Cleveland Cavaliers at Dallas Mavericks
Mavs coming off a sub-par performance at Utah and this is the 2nd of back to back where they are 50% ATS. I don't think Cavs will contain Dallas tonight. Cleveland has been tough to gauge, but leading into this match up they have logged 3 Under's in a row while scoring into the mid 90's. Dallas too logged 3 consecutive Under's with declining scores in each game. It just seems to set up the Over in Dallas, although this season situations does not match, records reflect Dallas home O/U 10-5 and Cleveland road O/U 9-6. Down side is teams match up trends Under with average score of about 190, but can't have everything. Prediction for this one to land between 193 ~197 with Dallas attacking the paint as they were outscored inside at Utah 28 to 44. Cleveland on revenge games are Over 7-4 and 9-5 against good offensive teams.

CLE/DAL OVER 193.5 at +106 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

NBA Wednesday

0-1 giving back double units yesterday don't want to do that again YTD 65-41-2 +37.11 units

Washington Wizards at Charlotte Bobcats
As indicated by the low total factoring the injuries this game will be on the down low.

WAS/CHA UNDER 190 at +112 for 1 unit(L)

Detroit Pistons at New Jersey Nets
Seeing over reaction towards Nets here and line has been pushed down to Detroit's favor for late takers.

DET -5 at +103 for 1 unit(W)

New Orleans Hornet at Memphis Grizzlies
I like this one to go Over the total. Again going against the grain.

NO/MEM OVER 201 at +107 for 2 units(W)

Chicago Bulls at San Antonio Spurs
Fading the Bulls and giving near 10 points. Not really my style, but no value with can't win Bulls.
SAS -9.5 at +109 for 1 unit(W)

3-1 +3.26 units

Merry Christmas

Pushed last selection 65-40-2 +39.11 units

Best wishes to all players.

Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers
Both of these teams have been tough to gauge, but my argument is for the Heat to take this match getting points. Miami since winning SU 12/17 Minnesota (no cover ATS) plays 2 OT games to follow, although losing both, before winning their last game against Utah. They are playing competitive and narrowing offense/defense scoring differential to 1.5 from 4.5 points. Heats are 9-5 ATS away matching Cavs 4-9 ATS home and I don't recall Cleveland playing well since Indy on 12/11. Cavs are not bouncing back after double digit ATS loss and that's exactly what they were handed in last game as -3 point home favorite against Golden State.

MIAMI +4.5 at +103 for 2 units(L)

That was not very merry. We'll get'em back next time.
0-1 -2.00 units

NBA Sunday

1-0 last selection YTD 65-40-1 +39.11 units

Late game.
Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings
This is a game where Kings at home look to cool the rising Nuggets, but as well as they played at home (9-3 ATS) Kings are 50% against the West. Nuggets coming off loss in Portland, but ATS cover is usually a sign of team about to win SU. Denver as Underdog ATS will be close.
I've notice enticing Over at the opening line and that has been pushed up all the way to 211. At this number I'll chance the Under as interior should be a good battle for both teams to attack, but will not be easy as perceived and if the shots are not falling from outside this will slide Under.

DEN/SAC UNDER 211 at -104 for 1 unit(Push)
Should of gone with Denver they win SU in last possession.

NBA Friday

0-2 yesterday YTD 64-40-1 +38.11 units

Denver Nuggets at Portland Trailblazers
Time is right for Nuggets to rise and take this at hot Blazers home.

DENVER +4.5 at +100 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Thursday

2-0 last selection YTD 64-38-1 +40.19 units

Los Angeles Lakers are coming to life and they are the top money team in the Pacific Division. 6-2 ATS in December two losses are ORL 12/2 at Staples, shot Dec. lowest mark 41.2% and did not clear +99 points, and SAS 12/13 at Staples no cover -7 with no Duncan & Parker Spurs. Low post bias should of placed Bulls in position to take advantage, but did not so Lakers take a give me. Now Lakers coming off a win in Chicago and Cavs blowing it in NY makes Lakers a slight underdog and schedule for Cavs in 2nd back to back in 5 days.
Kobe was way below his average scoring 18 points in Chicago, Andrew is raising his game and LA bench is packing some punch. This Lakers team should be too much for Cavs to handle.

LAKERS -1.5 at -108 for 1 unit(L)

Adding:
New Jersey Nets at Miami Heat
These two team have been scoring points, but keep in mind the Under nature of their plays.

NJN/MIA UNDER 189.5 at +100 for 1 unit(L)

bad call and bad luck puts me back.
0-2 -2.08 units

NBA Wednesday

2-0 yesterday YTD 62-38-1 +36.62 units

Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks
Easy game? Cavs get 80.75% consensus backing them and line opened at minimal 2 possession spread of -3.5 that's nudged to -4 against the lowly Knicks (7-17). Knicks are getting humiliated in NY, Coach Isiah Thomas suffered a 119-92 loss to the Indiana Pacers on Monday, Thomas stepped up to the microphone and blasted the players. "I mean, as a coach, you bring certain things to the table," he said. "But our collective energy, our collective heart, our collective toughness, we say the right things but we don't gut it out for 48 minutes.
"There are a lot of things that can be said about me, and the teams I've coached and the way I've played, but I've never been accused of not having heart or (not) competing. Tonight was very discouraging to me because we didn't collectively play with heart and compete like I know I do."
We all see and hear Knicks woes much louder than Cavs, but Cleveland dropping 3 ATS in a row with shooting percentage dropping with each game is not all that encouraging to lay points on the road. Also Knicks in their limited wins seem to play certain teams well, beat Nets twice SU home and away, beat Bulls twice ATS home and away and guess what NY beat Cavs ATS in early Nov.
Look at similar ATS numbers and not much for LBJ & gang to get excited about in tonight's match up they might even look ahead with Lakers coming up at home.
Let's go with NY at home to steal this one also take it SU.

NYK +4 at +101 for 2 unit(W)
NYK ML +155 for 1 unit(W)

Rocking in LA!
2-0 +3.57 units

NBA Tuesday

Sacramento Kings at New Jersey Nets
Kings good home (8-4) weak road (1-10) team. True to form has dropped 2 out of first 3 road games that started in @BOS 12/12, but keep in mind those same games were ATS wins 2 out of 3 with SU underdog winner in @PHL 12/14 and the lone loss was 2nd leg of b2b, 3rd game in 4 days. Kings have improved in December (5-3 ATS) covering all but one game when receiving points. Kings have been winning dog in December with only bad beat in @LAC 12/07.
Nets are bad home (5-9) team. They are horrific ATS home (3-10-1) only covering once in December as favorites and that's way early 12/04 @CLE giving a small -1.5 points. They did take out CLE again at home 12/14 AS +3 dog, but everybody else beat them ATS, won 76ers SU 12/01 in OT but did not cover. Overall games Kings are below .500 and margin of difference is loss by -3.5 points, on the road is -10 points and in recent form is -3 points. Nets playing below .500 with overall differnce of -6 points, at home is -6 points and in recent form is -6 points. So you have pretty good chance of dog winning SU or dog covering +5.

SACRAMENTO +5 at +100 for 2 units(W)

Some stuff I've been checking out that may lead clue to tonight's total:
Lawrence Frank will insert Josh Boone and Sean Williams as starters tonight at home against Sacramento in place of Jason Collins at center and Malik Allen at power forward.
"I just sensed that a different combination, a different dynamic, might help us execute our game plan up front better," Frank said. "These players are two bigs who can run the floor, create tempo and give us both energy at the offensive end of the floor and deterrence at the defensive end."
Boone, a 2006 first-round draft choice (No. 23 overall) has averaged 9.5 points and nine rebounds over the past four games. Williams is shooting well from the field (.566), leads the team with 36 blocks and had eight points on 4-of-7 shooting with five rebounds and two blocks in only 18 minutes against the Knicks.
"We're just going to play our game and we're both going to take advantage of the opportunity that's been given to us," said Williams, the Nets' 2007 first-round pick out of Boston College (17th overall). "I think we are both athletic and we can make a difference offensively and defensively.
Marcus Williams should be available for his first action of the season tonight off the bench after going through his second full practice without any problems Monday.

Nets side seems hard pressed to push their scoring or at least their tempo which would make the dropping total some what exposed.

SAC/NJN OVER 187 at -103 for 2 units(W)

2-0 +4.00 units

NBA Monday

1-0 last night YTD 60-38-1 +32.62 units

Orlando Magic at Dallas Mavericks
Hiya fellas! Boys in Dallas are alright, getting better, stronger and Magic's lost that loving feeling. Be back later with more angles on this game, stay tuned.

My fault, never got back in time to give ORL/DAL OVER 202. Water under the bridge we'll take care of business tomorrow.

NBA Sunday

1-0 yesterday YTD 59-38-1 +31.50 units

Some random thoughts I want to put down tonight.

Portland Trailblazers- These young blazers are excelling fast to say the least. Top ATS in North West division earning 56.5%, 6 out of last 6 SU & ATS winners only dropping the first Dec. game to SA Spurs away as +13.5 underdog. The last win against Utah gives Blazers a exclamation point, even though it was a Jazz team in a funk, and opening spread of +9 points might get some looks. Portland is poor on the road (2-9 SU & 5-6 ATS) but dangerous as a underdog (11-7). Blazer is also playing 60.9% Under, but 54.5% away. Shooting percentage has hit second low of this month at 44.1%(40% shot on 12/2 at San Antonio) and they have been deadly on FT% in Dec. At the same time defense has held opponents in last 3 games to 39.4%, 40.2% and 38.2% in best three game sets since start of their season.
Denver ran into a buzz saw in healing Spurs at home in first leg of back to back, but the writing was on the wall with 2 ATS losses coming into this game. The Nuggets were without starter Kenyon Martin, who was suspended for one game after he was assessed a flagrant foul in the Nuggets' win Wednesday over New Orleans. More so it was the misses and turn over that did in the Nuggets. They are on top of North West with 14-9 Denver shines at home 10-3, but covering ATS is another story (7-6). Nuggets are contrary of run and gun team 54.5% Under and 61.5% Under at home. Against Western Conference 69.2% Under and 75% Under against North West Division. They have also breached below 100 points in San Antonio while allowing 48% shooting string 3 consecutive Unders. Nuggets have not allowed more than 3 straight Unders this season and 66.7% Over on B2B, 75% Over after SU loss.

I think 9 points might be too much in Nuggets 2nd of back to back game, but will look deeper in the morning.

It's dropped 0.5 but faithful are out with Nuggets at Pepsi. Taking Portland.

BLAZERS +8.5 at +112 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.12 units

NBA Saturday

2-1 yesterday YTD 58-38-1 +29.50 units

Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets
Lost going against Mavs, although it was close, on first leg of back to back heading to Houston and love the MAVS getting points after home favorite cover. Houston is a force at Toyota Center (6-3), but ATS is 50% (4-4). They have also dropped 2 out of last 3 in double digit margin and last game, SU home win ATS Push, was against a tired Detroit team on last leg of their road trip. Rockets are struggling offensively as scoring in last 3 games were 80, 88 and 80.
Dallas did lay an egg in Toronto, but that may have been the bottom promptly coming back to cover -8.5 against the Hornets. Mavs are coming together and their best games are yet to come.

DALLAS +3.5 at -105 for 2 units(W)

Mavs blow out Rockets.
1-0 +2.00 units

NBA Friday

1-0 yesterday YTD 56-37-1 +27.42 units

NO Hornets at Dallas Mavericks
We are rolling with the Hornets visiting Dallas. Mavs aren't kicking these guys around any more and lost SU in last meeting. Still no respect from the public we back it up with hard money.

NOH +8.5 at +100 for 1 units(L)

2nd Half situational play:

NYK +6 2nd Half at Chicago Bulls. -110 for 1 units(W)

Utah Jazz at Portland Trailblazers
It's understandable to like the Jazz they are playing way below their game level, but at the same time Blazers are surging above their level. Somewhere this level will balance off, but why not roll with the punches.

BLAZERS +6 at +108 for 1 unit(W)

2-1 +2.08 units

NBA Thursday

Coming off a 4-1 night YTD 55-37-1 +26.42 units

Washington Wizards at Miami Heat
Keeping this short and sweet. Heat with strong showing to end the West Coast road trip will have a hangover tonight and expect a strong effort from Wizards. Wade's not stepping up tonight and supporting cast will not make their stand.

WIZARDS +5.5 at -101 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Wednesday

0-1 bad beat yesterday YTD 51-36-1 +23.42 units

Playing mixed bag of selections today. Nothing in a way of killer POD, but looks pretty strong.

Dallas Mavericks at Toronto Raptors
Short handed Raps will need to fight tooth and nails to stay in striking range. They will not want to get in a shoot out with Dallas.
Game Total UNDER 198 at -108(W)

Detroit Pistons at Houston Rockets
Another short handed game.
Game Total UNDER 186 at -109(W)

Los Angeles Clippers at Charlotte Bobcats
Clips better on the road and who are the Cats to lay points.
Clippers +6.5 at +101(W)

Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks
Took the opening line, but I think they'll cover double digits.
Magic -5.5 -103(L)

Sacramento Kings at Boston Celtics
Only my second time going against C's , but there's a good chance Boston will put it in auto pilot after a big run. Not much to bring their "A" game against 0-7 road team while Kings have everything to gain by hanging tough. Back door this baby.
Kings +15 at +102(W)

That's all for today and taking Princeton +13 in NCAA Hoops.

Wow, Magic melt down. How much did Bucks ML pay? Next best to being perfect.
4-1 +3.00 units

NBA Tuesday

1-1 last selection YTD 51-35-1 +24.52 units

Seattle Supersonics at Chicago Bulls
Bulls last 10 offense numbers
Highest scoring 111
Exceeds 2nd highest scoring by 13 points (12/01 W @CHA 111-95 = 206 O183 by 23)

second highest 98
(12/07 W @DET 98-91 = 189 O184.5 by 4.5 & 12/03 L DAL 98-103 = 201 O188.5 BY 12.5)

Third highest 91
*twice (12/05 W @CHA 91-82 = 183 U187 by 4 & 11/20 L @DEN 91-112=203 O201.5 BY 1.5)

Fourth and below 90 (11/25 ATL 90-78) 81 (12/08 BOS 81-92) and three 78 all logged in mid to late November

Highest allowed 112
Second highest 106
Both occurred in Nov (11/18 @LAL 78-106) (11/20 @DEN 91-112) and first two of this 10 game chart which is furthest away from current form.
The next 7 games Bulls 3rd highest points allowed 103 (12/03 DAL 98-103) and did not give more than 95 (12/01 CHA 111-95) for the remaining 6 games.

Book's opening line was dictating outcome of 90-98/91-98 type scoring and Over money has
pushed it up 91-100/92-99. Looking over the last 10 games production is dropping with score reaching +99 becoming far and few in between.

Seattle has played Under the indicated 90 or 91 points 1 out of last 10, which was yesterday, and today on 2nd of back to back looks likely to score better than 88, but not by much and Chicago playing their current form will play below 95.

SEA/CHI UNDER 192 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

What a bad call. See ya guys tomorrow.
0-1 -1.10 units

NBA Monday

1-0 last selection. 50-34-1 +24.49 units

It's my nature to look at dogs in any given match up and ask myself "can they cover?", and it's always interesting how game may differ from how it looks on the surface. But raw numbers will tell you home favorites win SU 70.68% and with the spread book makers are able to reduce the number to 52.11% impressive trim. Still the number indicates how tough it is to crack the home favorites. Take for instance - Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic.
Hawks visiting Magic will be +9.5 underdog and that big of a number should catch your attention, but Hawks are one of those teams well read by the Odds makers, playing poor when given points and strong when favored, with 4 ATS wins out of last 8 games only 1 of those ATS win was a Underdog. Orlando is not without issues there had more than few miss ques at GSW (12/03 123-117 OT win) followed by more turnovers at home IND (12/07 109-115 loss), but bounce back is more than likely and they are the superior team.

ORL -9.5 at +101 for 1 unit(L)

Milwaukee Bucks at Sacramento Kings
Backing the Under in this late night game at Arco. Brick city will prevail some where in this game to sink it Under.

MIL/SAC Under 198 at +103 for 1 unit(W)

1-1 +0.03 units

NBA Sunday

No play yesterday. Line didn't move high enough to take the Bulls, thank god.
YTD 49-34-1 +23.49 units

New Jersey Nets at Washington Wizards
Don't back team with issues and rumors are unconfirmed fact. The fact is Nets are not playing well and Wizards should enter this contest with focus and mission.

WASHINGTON -2.5 at -111 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Saturday

1-1 yesterday YTD 49-34-1 +23.49 units

What's the read on Boston at Chicago? Bulls are riding high knocking out Pistons at the Palace while Celtics crushed Toronto without Bosh and Bargnani at home while resting all starters in the 4th quarter. C's are dominating at home and formidable on the road, but if there is a weakness to exploit, it's on the road giving away points. They've been lucky in relatively close travel, furthest away was Florida, catching good number of sub .500 teams.

There are two sequences leading to C's SU losses, Starting at 11/14 NJ at home easy winner 91-69 while the big three, Garnett, Pierce and Allen had poor showing and the supporting cast took over. NJ was not playing well picking up their 3rd straight loss with no V.C.

Next, 11/16 Miami comes to town Dwayne's first game back and Heat almost steals one in the 4th quarter. Dwayne's 5 missed free throws loom large (92-91). ATS loss followed by SU loss at Orlando where Magic was strong in first half and held on in the 2nd (102-104). Proceeded by strong bounce back game at home (11/21 GSW 105-82 Warrior leaders fell below their level) followed by bit weaker effort win (11/23 LAL 107-94) 2nd sequence 11/24 ATS loss at Charlotte 96-95 followed by 11/27 SU loss to the King & Cavalier at Cleveland (109-104).

The 3rd sequence may look different because of alternating home and road games, but considering 76ers was able to push +10 ATS in last road game this might be the spot for 3rd loss.
Take into account how Chicago is growing in strength brimming with confidence returning to United Center facing the premier Atlantic division team should make this a tight match up.
Another food for thought is how Garnett has been a beast on the board, but Bulls are strong low post team with Big Ben and Deng to contend with. I'm just rambling and this is not a play yet, but if ATS grows bigger - I will bite.

I was looking for +8 or at least +7.5, but that wouldn't of mattered as Boston played strong.
Never pulled the trigger opting for Minny at home, but that didn't make the deadline.

NBA Friday

1-0 last selection YTD 48-33-1 +23.53 units

Phoenix Suns at Washington Wizards
I was at the 2004-05 opening game in Phoenix, wasn't it America West Arena back then?, U.S. Airways Center the year Suns core members were put under D'Antoni's program. I remember thinking how agile of a big man Amare was, long reach leaper Matrix was, but most of all how smart Nash was. I didn't know how Raja and Leandro would do, but Joe Johnson was still there sharp shooter from downtown and promptly took them to take the Pacific.
This is a team that plays best in high gear and when they start putting teams away on the road you know they are cooking. Washington minus Agent Zero, Butler is not a day in day out go to guy, but more of a step up guy. He could bring it on again, but huge disadvantage in guard positions. Beating up on Cavs without the King don't earn enough with me.

PHO -6.5 at -102 for 1 unit(W)

Chicago Bulls at Detroit Pistons
Bulls are starting to get some backing and ATS has moved from 8.5 to 8, but this is the Palace with 5 in a row 2 back to back in 5 days Pistons. Now 5th game in 7 days, but no reason to falter Bulls will not come back if they trail in 4th, but I do think Bulls defense will play big time while failing to score for themselves.
Bulls away O/U 3-6. Pistons home O/U 2-5.

BULLS/PISTONS UNDER 184 at -104 for 1 unit(L)

Total selection has been lacking. Maybe forcing the issue, but thought I had a good one. We'll getem next time.
1-1 -0.04 units

NBA Thursday

1-0 last selection YTD 47-33-1 +22.53 units

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks
Ask anyone who knows me and they'll tell you I'm big on Dallas, I mean I like the team, the way they play, the way team is run, but not is all well in Dallas and they are still getting too much love.
Sure they are contenders in the association and will turn their game around, but recent sampling of their performance would of ate up your bankroll. Denver don't look good either and they are bad away from home, but they are not getting any creditability. This match up is two teams underachieving their performance level where I don't see much difference besides the Mav's home court advantage. Dallas may take this game, but cover ATS. I'm betting NOT.

DENVER 8.5 at +100 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Wednesday

1-1 even money last night YTD 46-33-1 +21.53 units

Couple of squares on coffee break talking about betting NFL, NCAA Foot & Baskets, I pause, but don't say a word and walk away. I'm thinking, we need these guys to feed on, don't know how many fair weather betters are out there, but these guys are swimming with sharks. I can't see anyone having an edge if your not studying these games or have some understanding to opening odds and reasoning behind those numbers. I do know a pure "feel" handicapper who does not crunch numbers, but watches and follows the games on regular basis. You may get lucky, but wagering on the fly will kill you on the long run. One of the reason we put this out for anyone to read is to hone our skills, network with our kind and to publish sports wager selections. The data on wagering needs to be an substantial number and this is just a part of that collection.

Chicago Bulls at Charlotte Bobcats
We were already positioned on Bulls with +2.5 points, but we took profit on the premium. Wager option is something I want to talk about more. We have a working model which buys early or opening line position speculating the direction of money flow leading up to game time and offloading them before expiration. It is showing impressive gain using multiple offshore accounts. Someone remind me later about the spread sheet.

Moving on...
Back on Bull for tonight's match up. They are 4-11 and dismal 1-7 on the road, but out of those lonely 4 wins 2 was in last 3 games and the loss to Dallas in last game, respectable -1.5 margin difference. Cats are slumping and this maybe a spot to stop the skid back home, their last strong game was at home against Boston losing by 1 and ATS cover, but that game was Cats coming off a fairly close ATS loss (-3.5 margin with 9.5 points) to powerful Orlando as visitors.
This time around all three road losses were by huge margins (including -9 margin with 7 points to Chicago) and last game against short handed Toronto by -15 getting 4 points.
Taking Chicago on the road.

BULLS +1 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Tuesday

Last selection 1-0 YTD 45-32-1 +21.53 units

I like December it's Christmas and New Years Eve, the key is Eve, and it brings two huge annual holidays into a single month. Food will be abundant, drinks will flow like a river, kids will laugh and work will slow to a gradual halt. I already see some empty desks all clean and neat.
Making most of my extra time on this beautiful Tuesday. Shall we play a game?

Utah Jazz at Sacramento Kings.
Jazz since losing at Indy (11/17 Pacers 117-97) They have gone 6-1 with one loss recorded against NY (11/26 109-113 *second of road back to back) In last game Jazz held off Miami at home, but they did not cover. Today they enter Arco as road favorites in back to back situation. Kings maybe 6-10, but they continue to receive points with sparkling home ATS 8-1.
Jazz have also logged O/U 6-1 shooting above 50% since 11/24, 5 Over's have come in a row. Utah O/U 6-3 on the road with oppositions shooting % on the rise. Kings are not exactly clamping it down and they have allowed +99 points 4 out of last 5, 8 out of last 10. Books are aware and this number is shaded Over. The Total range is 203 to 205.5 which actual game may come in below this number

KINGS +4 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
JAZZ/KINGS UNDER 207.5 at +109 for 1 unit(L)

My Totals are screwed! Line climbed to 209 before the game and sailed Over in 4th quarter. Forcing the numbers does not work it's like picking the point of tide change, although I do see a Under in Jazz's future.

1-1 zip, zippo (Even)

NBA Monday

1-0 last selection YTD 44-32-1 +20.45 units

Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia 76ers.
Off my cuff, these two teams have matched up for high scoring games despite the low total assignments. In last season 3 out of 4 games reached Over with all 3 Over being in mid 180's.
This season the average offense & defense numbers show the range of 177 to 184 total, but recent game numbers have dropped the bottom range 173.

ATL/PHL UNDER 180 at +108 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.08 units

NBA Sunday

0-1 last selection YTD 43-32-1 +19.45 units

Having some connectivity issues and speed is very slow???

That's another matter, but I'm not going to do a write up.

ORL +1 at -102 for 1 unit(W)

Not sure what happened with my computer, but seems OK now and Magic cashes.
1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Friday

It's Friday we need to knock one down here. 0-1 last selection. YTD 43-31-1 +20.52 units

B-bop tonight backing the Total.
Washington Wizards at Philadelphia 76ers Total 195.5
76ers have been playing games UNDER (O/U 5-9), calling card for Atlantic teams, bottom among their peers and pronounced at home (O/U 2-5) also boasts #7 defense ranking. But 4-10 record explains a team with lack of scoring who has only 2 SU wins at home to show their fans. Now enter this revenge match against Washington, who crushed them 11/20 @WAS 116-101 with 58 points in the paint, with Andre Iguodala hitting only 3-11. Since that time 76ers strung 3 consecutive ATS wins before losing to Utah.
Wizards are on the other side of Total (O/U 9-6) only Over bias team in South East and more so Over on the road (O/U 6-3) San Antonio kept them below -100 points, but that game still went Over and they are consistently scoring in the paint. They may not get to 116 points this time, but Over is still suspect.

This number is looking to take a drop [12:24 pst] Watch for entry point.

WAS/PHL OVER 194.5 at -107 for 1 unit(L)

Timed the bottom perfectly and still lost by a mile. Sorry fellas hope the tide turns, but College hoops and hockey is doing well so stay in the loop and we'll skin the cat one way or another.
0-1 -1.07 units

NBA Thursday

0-1 last selection YTD 43-30-1 +21.64 units

Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers
Looking to catch this game at Staples Center. Interesting match up of under achieved? That's what I see, high expectation teams playing losing games. They started hot, but getting balanced out losing of late. What stands out in this game is 13-2 Lakers home record against the Nuggets, but last time they met in L.A. Nuggets won and most of that record reflects pre A.I. & Carmello combination not to mention 3-1 Nuggets series win last season. Denver has been short handed and banged up, usually a great spot for a blow out, so what's wrong with the Lakers? It's not a hurting from injuries, but fundamentally out of tune. Their last game against Seattle, 11/27 106-99 home win, was ATS loss giving -12 points which looked like a blow out at the end of 3rd quarter only to allow Sonics back into the game in the 4th. Before that was Nets game, clearly dominating in the 1st half only to allow them back and lose in the 2nd half. What changed? Andrew Bynum moved into the starters role with Kwame Brown out and backups Brian Cook and Maurice Evans have been shipped out to Orlando. That last game reserves combined to score only 23 points.
Wounded Nuggets getting points is very dangerous here.

NUGGETS +6 at -112 for 1 unit(L)
Yeah +60% shooting for Nuggets in the first quarter and all down hill from there.
I saw it coming as I watched the game (called in 2nd Half Lakers -4) and watched the blow out. Sorry I couldn't publish the play.
0-1 -1.12 units

NBA Wednesday

0-1 last selection. YTD 43-29-1 +22.73 units

Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns
We have another 205.5 Total and there are Over resistance in this game, but nature of this match up in Phoenix is to rack up the points.

OVER 205.5 at -109 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.09 units

NBA Tuesday

3-1 last selection YTD 43-28-1 +23.77 units

What's going on fellas? Clips just could not score last night keeping the score Under, but that was the only loss going 3-1. Today we are tracking a Total on the rise unlike our early Under position moved higher. The play will be published as soon as the number comes into trading range.

Today the game is Memphis Grizzlies at New Jersey Nets.
The scoring optimists have push this number driven by thoughts of Carter's return to averaging his score and Grizz providing no D to help his cause. Maybe they all saw the score rise to combined 242 on 11/24 WAS@MEM, but keep in mind Nets are stingy at home. High scoring output will cool tonight.

MEMPHIS /NEW JERSEY UNDER 205.5 at -104 for 1 unit(L)

BTW our NCAA Basketball plays are hitting 16-4.

0-1 -1.04 units

NBA Monday

1-2 last selection YTD 40-27 +21.82 units

Orlando Magic at Portland Trailblazers
*This line has moved against me and now 202 can be had at on UNDER +100, Though 4 point move is big I will hold this position. If it's good enough the play will hit, but on a chance that it's not I keep the play at 1 unit.
Score total UNDER 198 at -110 for 1 unit(W) won it on original line!

Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Hornets
Score total OVER 183.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings
KINGS +6.5 at +104 for 1 unit(W) SU winner

Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Clippers
Score total OVER 188.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

3-1 +1.95 units

NBA Sunday

1-0 yesterday. YTD 39-25-1 +21.82 units

Yeah it's early in the morning. You never know when thinking minds are at work. Didn't see a selection? Keep your shirts on the play will be in more or less 17:00 pst. This game of the day has been moving my way since it opened San Antonio Spurs at Seattle Supersonics. Dog at home against .500 ATS team is Supersonics. Down, but seldom out will be getting hefty +10 points at Key Arena. I do see them trailing, but look for them to hang around long enough to cover

SEA +10 at +102 for 1 unit(L)
SEA +10 at +106 for 1 unit(L)

2nd Half
SPURS -7 at -107 for 2 unit(W)

1-2 Even money

NBA Saturday

2-2 last selection YTD 38-25 +20.82 units
Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks
NY has issues, but it doesn't fall 3 point home dog against Chicago. Knicks show better offensive promise with good numbers on the glass. Bulls shooting 40% and below 7 out of 10 and dismal on the road. Early reverse line movement against the Bull with 69% consensus on Chicago.

NYK +2.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Day After Thanksgiving Friday

0-1 last selection YTD 36-23-1 +19.85 units
We had a blast yesterday with all the Cappers giving thanks for their ability to take down the games with passion. We all made money had a great time look forward to doing it again. I don't know why we don't have this much collaboration on regular basis, but I guess that's just one-up -manship in this thing that we do.
.
Houston Rockets at Miami Heat
We have a sinking low total and both of these teams are increasing their number. Under bias differs from Over as public deception is greater on the latter, but momentum is building dropping below critical 180 and we will pick up the Over at the bottom.

HOU/MIA OVER 179 at -115 for 1 unit(W)
------------------------------------------

Lakers at Boston C's
Backing the team from LA, Koby & Gang will cool the Celtics getting +8 points and Lakers D is much better than rated by public.
West Coast Baby!

Lakers +8 at -103 for 1 unit(L)
-----------------------------------------
New Jersey Nets at Seattle Sonics
Taking Seattle at Seattle and get +3 at a very nice price.

SEA +3 +107 for 1 unit(L)
NJN/SEA UNDER 196.5 at -105 for 2 units(W)

2-2 +0.97 units

NBA Wednesday

1-2 last selection 36-22 +20.97 units
Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks
Sorry I hesitated on Los Angeles, that's my home team man, I'll take them tonight and should of taken them at PK. Los Angeles is much deeper, even with Cookie and Evans gone to Magic for Ariza, than Milwaukee. I'd say Bucks used up more gas than Lakers in the first of the back to back

LAKERS -1 at -112 for 1 unit(L)

Absolutely dismal call got slaughtered with the sheeps. That was a rookie mistake.
0-1 -1.12 units

NBA Tuesday

0-1-1 last selection YTD 35-20-1 +21.04 units
Enough of this mediocrity one play for me tomorrow and if the line improves I'll hit it again.

Los Angeles Lakers at Indiana Pacers
I don't care about how impressive the bench was it's about the score and I will take the Under with the posted number. Now the Lakers look good I do admit, but it's the first of the East coast trip and home team is coming off 57.9% shooting, that's best this season for Pacers, that competitive momentum might carry over. I prefer to chance the shooting percentage to drop and Lakers Defense holding opponents to 39.2% in last 5 games to keep pacers below -99 points while LA fails to reach above +99 points. I understand Lakers recent matches strung series of depleted teams, but this number still looks too high.
Cast this line at Matchbook you'll probably catch higher, but I'll be on the look out for 208.

LAKERS/PACERS UNDER 207 at +110 for 1 unit(L)

LAKERS/PACERS UNDER 208 at -107 for 1 unit(L)

I know I should leave it alone, but going with Kings at Arco arena. Suns in full strength is no joke, but we will be getting +8 point at one of NBA's strongest home court.

KINGS +8 at 100 for 2 units(W)

Damage held to minimum
1-2 -0.07 units

NBA Monday

2-2 last selection YTD 35-19 +22.14 units
2nd Half Plays in effect.

SEA/MEM 2nd Half UNDER 106 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

NO 2nd Half -3 at -103 for 1 unit(Push)

Why did I even bother?
0-1-1 -1.10 units

NBA Sunday

8-0 yesterday with double digit take. YTD 33-17 +22.24 units Still celebrating a bit, but I will take a short break and place a advisory notice for Toronto Raptors -1.5 First Quarter when it comes out. It's 10am Pacific game so I'm pretty sure I won't be back in time to publish in the morning.
Catch it early. *Play is (L)

Smart to lay off the game, but not smart enough to take down the pick.

Detroit Pistons at Sacramento Kings
Pistons west coast swing has been brutal, 3 out of 4 ATS losses, also broke string of 3 Over's although allowing +99 in all 4 games. They continue with depleted line up and will be giving up -5 points at Arco. Kings 3-6 are 4-5 ATS, but 5 losses all come away and they have not lost ATS at home. With over 70% consensus on Detroit and Total climbing Over by better than 2 points I will go against the grain on both ends.

KINGS +5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
UNDER 196 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

SAC 2ND HALF +1 for -110 for 1 unit(W)

Counting the 1st quarter play on Raps as a loss.
2-2 -0.10 units

NBA Saturday

1-2 last selection with a OT loss on NYK/SAC Under that was in the bag! YTD 23-17 +12.24

Moving on...

Seattle at Charlotte
Cats to cool Supersonic offense
SEA/CHA UNDER 196.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
add
SEA/CHA UNDER 199 at -102 for 2 units(W)

Portland at Washington
Like Wizards to have a strong showing. Giving -6 points
WAS -6 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Memphis at Dallas Total 210
Just score baby.
OVER 210 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

Phoenix at Houston
Suns in full strength Rockets are not.
SUNS -5.5 at -110 for 2 units(W)

Saturday morning and 3 out of 4 lines have moved to my favor. The one game, SEA/CHA U196.5 is now 197, was a game I did consider waiting, but with unpredictable mornings I didn't want to chance not being able to update the selection and 197 at -110 is just a bookie mind-play you could still sell -0.5 points and the price for 196.5 is -106 (Pinny lines) I think the number (total) is pretty strong, but scoring trajectory above the total today is significantly low.
This is what I think about these two teams.
SEA
Playing 4th game in 5 day on road, coming off OT win in Atlanta recording second straight up win back to back. Excluding @ORL 11/11 blow out loss this young squad is 4-1 last 5 ATS. Offense has produced +99 points 5 out of 10 games exceeding Over total in 4 out of 5 situations. Defense has allowed +99 points 9 out of 10 games exceeding Over total in 4 out of 9 situations.
Current Odds Total average is 208.85 and game Total average is 209.

(SA=shot attempted made% PITP=Points in the Paint)
10/31 96 SA 41.7% 28 PITP 52 Boards 103-120 road loss Nuggets
11/01 99 SA 41.4% 46 PITP 50 Boards 106-99 home loss Suns
11/04 93 SA 47.0% 40 PITP 47 Boards 101-115 road loss Clippers
11/06 79 SA 48.1% 30 PITP 42 Boards 98-104 road loss Kings
11/07 85 SA 45.9% 52 PITP 45 Boards 105-98 home loss Grizzlies
11/09 85 SA 47.1% 66 PITP 38 Boards 101-103 home loss Jazz
11/11 86 SA 43.0% 46 PITP 47 Boards 103-107 home loss Pistons
11/13 96 SA 34.4% 46 PITP 44 Boards 103-76 road loss Magic
11/14 75 SA 49.3% 38 PITP 52 Boards 104-95 road win Heat
11/16 99 SA 47.5% 50 PITP 43 Boards 126-123 OT road win Hawks (107-107 regulation)

CHA
Last played on 11/14, @ATL loss in high pace game which was 2nd of back to back where Hawks played aggressive out of the gate and took the game in the 1st quarter. Before losing that last game Cats recorded 3 straight ATS home wins. Offense has produced +99 points 2 out of 8 games both of those situation exceeded Over total. Defense has allowed +99 points 2 out of 8 games exceeding Over total in 1 of 2 situations.
Current odds Total average is 190.81 and game Total average is 184.65

11/02 76 SA 48.7% 54 PITP 44 Boards 102-99 home win Bucks
11/04 69 SA 46.4% 34 PITP 40 Boards 90-88 road win Heat
11/06 82 SA 35.6% 38 PITP 51 Boards 115-83 home loss Suns
11/07 75 SA 30.7% 28 PITP 46 Boards 63-94 road loss 76ers
11/09 71 SA 45.1% 26 PITP 52 Boards 96-87 home win Pacers
11/11 78 SA 39.7% 32 PITP 34 Boards 82-85 home loss Rockets
11/13 79 SA 43.0% 34 PITP 47 Boards 76-91 home win Heat
11/14 83 SA 49.4% 44 PITP 29 Boards 117-109 road loss Hawks

Sonics will surely feel their legs in this match, but these guys are playing with abandonment. Cats will certainly look to contain the pace and methodically attack one of the weakest defense in the Association.
True to line differential Cats are 1-4 O/U at home. The lesson they have fresh on their mind is 59.7% shooting allowed and whopping 62 PITP. That rebounding number was dismal too and all should improve on defense.
*This total has moved 2.5 points better and that is a added play*

I like to get into the others, but again I am out of time. Couple of First Quarter add on's

WAS -1.5 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(W)
SUN -1.5 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(W)

Received interesting angle on Memphis and I will add this play.
MEM +14.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)

Good day and good luck!

Wow, wow, wow! Big day perfect in every way!!!
8-0 +10.00 units

NBA Friday

2-1 last selection YTD 22-15 +13.37 units

Selection on the overnight line.
Be back later.

New Orleans Hornets at Memphis Grizzlies
Game Total Over 203 at -105(W)

New York Knicks at Sacramento Kings
Game Total Under 199 at -105 (L)

Time is slipping through my fingers. I didn't have a chance to get back for break down, but hope you guys were able to use it as a guide.
Adding a late game with Detroit at Lakers, can we say OVER in First Half? Yes we can!

PISTONS/LAKERS FIRST HALF OVER 101 at -108 for 1 unit(L)

1-2 -1.13 units

NBA Thursday

3-1 last selection YTD 20-14 +11.44 units

San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks
Great match up in Texas. The road to NBA Championship will travel through Texas. Taking on Mark Cuban's beloved Mavs at home, which may sound fatal, but Spurs getting +2.5 is just about +0.5 difference to push me over the edge.
Pinnacle Sports offering.
SPURS +2.5 at -107 for 1 unit(L)

Getting killed in First Half, but San Antonio to make a Second Half rally.

SPURS -4 at -117 for 2 units(W)

How about Suns coming out of the gate?
SUN -3 First Quarter at -106 for 1 unit(W)

2-1 +1.93 units

NBA Wednesday

Coming off a large win yesterday and we are back to the normal single unit wager for Wednesday. YTD 17-13 +9.49 units

Not much in mood to write about basketball analysis, but I do have some early plays in position.

Having a busy morning, it's already noon, keeping plays in order has been tough. Good to see all positions are in favor with the line, Hawks trading at -5.5, Hornets trading at -8.5 and Over is now 202.

Charlotte Bobcats at Atlanta Hawks
Maybe I'm a bit high on Hawks this season, but I like them coming off a home defeat as favorites and that loss against Washington, a struggling team determined to stop their slide, should mirror Hawks focus to win games they are supposed to win at home. Bobcats is another team that should jell this year and showing it on home court. Exclude that clunker at Philly most will give a pass for loss to Phoenix and Houston (ATS win). However Cats on the road is suspect, clunker did come on the road, and a spot for a let down after beating Miami 91-76 at home (11/13). Hawks have displayed SU wins against Dallas and Phoenix on home court as Underdogs.
Hawks -5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

Philadelphia 76'ers at New Orleans Hornets
76'ers have to show me something their shooting percentage is on the decline since opening and Hornets on 11/11 handed 76er's the worst loss of their young season. Hornets went on to win SU & ATS on second of back to back road game against the Nets. I don't see the revenge coming into play Hornets look too strong and Peja's rainbows are hitting from downtown.
Hornets -8 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards
Pacers started nicely, but have now dropped 4 and have become porous. Their scoring has been on bit of zig zag with sub 40% shooting in last game they are poised to put up more points. Wizards may not be scoring, but they are porous too. Not only that they have finally broken above 40% shooting, which was rising since start of November, they are looking to get their first home win.
IND/WAS OVER 201.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

New York Knicks at Los Angeles Clippers
LAC have a different look without EB in the line up. Clips will look to turn things around after dropping to Cavs and hosting New York. Injury riddled Knicks are not fooling anyone, but getting +8 points here should make it interesting.
Going with the score to fall below 199.5 Clips play tight and stingy.

NYK/LAC UNDER 199.5 at -101 for 1 unit(W)

3-1 +1.95 units

NBA Tuesday

Climbing up YTD 16-13 +6.49 units

Hope all is well. I hope everyone is getting a good read on NBA so far. Today the selections are better and I'm taking this selection a little bigger.

Houston Rockets at Memphis Grizzlies
OVER 198.5 at -105 for 3 units(W)

1-0 +3.00 units

NBA Monday

Hornets at Nets
I wouldn't weigh too much into Carter being out for ATS and total 185 has that factored in. You know it was off the board until no Carter was confirmed. Hornets are playing good ball and timing looks great with Carter out, but Hornets game proceeding a win where they out score their opponent by +10 points (11/11 93-72 W @Philly) Second of back to back road game matching Nets who took it on their chin against Boston in last outing. I'll take the points with Vince-less Nets to cool the Hornets.

On the Total I like the Under, but keep in mind 185 is lowest point total given to Hornets this season and second lowest for Nets. I do like the fact shooting percentage was on the high side for both teams in last game with young season trending under.

This game is a bookies nightmare where point spread swung from Nets -2 to Nets +1.5 so now there's a lot of money parked in the middle with a one point game on either side looking to broadside the Books. Don't you love it!

NETS +1.5 at +104 for 2 units(L)
NO/NJN UNDER 185 at +100 for 2 units(W)

Sacramento at Utah
Jazz has the fire power to push the score beyond 100 points on any given night and Sacramento plays on the cusp of triple digits, but tonight's number seems too high and defensive numbers are improving on both sides.

SAC/UTA UNDER 208 at +103 for 2 units(L)

Cleveland at Denver
Cavs are not there yet and they will collapse in Denver. Unless Cavs are hitting from outside, and I don't feel that threat, Denver by double digits.

DEN -7 at -108 for 2 units(W)
CLE/DEN OVER 207 at -105 for 2 units(W)

3-2 +2.00 units

No Game Sunday

1-1 took the bigger play YTD 13-11 +4.49 units

Games are going on, but it's been tough to get to a terminal. I think there is something about daylight saving time change.

It's still early in NBA season, but you must be impressed with Boston big three just be careful as the line will adjust. I'm also bullish on Toronto and New Orleans. Indy I'm watching for a short position.

Let's not forget the important component of NBA speculation which is the Total where I have Over bias on Seattle, Houston, New Orleans and Golden State. Under bias on Portland, Miami, Sacramento and New York. Actual position will vary on situation.

Catch you guys on the flip side.

NBA Friday

Slammed the books 3-0 with +4.00 unit gain. Back in black YTD 12-10 +3.59 units

Raptors +1 to roll at Philly is the play I like early. Taking this on the over night line and be back in the morning for some insight.

TOR +1 at -105 for 2 units(W)

This total has been falling since the open as high as 194 and at first glance the Under looked likely, but both teams are producing and giving triple digits in their respective last 2 games. The scenerio here will probably produce lower scoring, but given the amount of points allowed and total number declining I will back the Over.

CLE/SAC OVER 191 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

1-1 +0.90 units

NBA Thursday

4-3 with small win last time. Chipping away at the deficit YTD 9-10 -0.41 units

Looking at today's card, which is a light card, one game stands out. Pistons at Bulls with Chicago getting +1 at home. Market price is swinging towards Bulls +1 at -113 and Moneyline at -107.
If you like Chicago your a minority in a good spot, but Detroit will not be easy.
Pistons fought back to steal the win away from jaws of Atlanta at Palace of Auburn Hills and though it was a great 4th quarter win it was not an impressive game. Pistons were beaten in 2nd quarter and flat in 3rd. Offensive scoring might of been in Piston's range, but defense was lacking.
Chicago is losing by double digit figure ATS in November, but they are highly viewed by the odds makers. Their strength can be found in the paint and weakness in shooting. Chicago will look to break out of their losses and take down a contender at the same time that's all easier said than done, but I do feel a battle coming on and scoring will not be easy, but not this low.

CHI -1 at -110 for 2 units(W)
DET/CHI OVER 182.5 at +100 for 1 unit(W)

Washington at New Jersey
This match seems to go Over. The teams are playing low scoring games thus far, but most of my recent recollection between these two teams are Nets soaring over triple digits.
Agent Zero has been hurting with knee troubles and Wizards are taking bad shot attempts yet this is an offense featuring team that will not win scoring in the 80's or low 90's and after two games with score in the 80's too bad there is no indication for triple scoring here.

WAS/NJN UNDER 191 at -103 for 1 unit(W)

3-0 +4.00 units

NBA Tuesday

1-0 last selection YTD 5-7 -1.21 units

Sorry fellas I didn't like the way odds posting looks. Should of made edits before publishing but I was in bit of a rush. These are the highlighted selections in early format.

This is the way today is shaping up:

PHO/CHA OVER 209 +100(L)
DEN -3 -110(L)
ORL -6.5 -107(W)
TOR/MIL OVER 191 +100(W)
LAC/CHI UNDER 195 +100(W)
SEA/SAC UNDER 207.5 -102(W)
GSW -1.5 -110(L)

4-3 +0.80 units

NBA Monday

This is current Pinnacle line.

NBA Basketball - Mon 11/5
Game			Spread	Money Line	Total Points	More
Mon 11/5	501	Houston Rockets	+4.5 -111	+170	OVER 190 -101
05:35 PM	502	Dallas Mavericks	-4.5 +101	-180	UNDER 190 -109

Compare Matchbook line.

Houston at Dallas

Nov 05 8:35 pm

Houston +5.0 -116

Dallas -5.0 +115

Over 190.0 -101

Under 190.0 -102

Houston +172

Dallas -178 <>

I can go on with odds, but notice the 0.5 point difference in sides which can be huge here as this looks to be close. I would go with Rockets getting 5 points rather than 4.5 points and Totals show BookMaker at 189.5 I would watch that number and take the Over with declining total or lay off if it stays at 190. I think the Under trend brakes here, but it should be close around 191~193 so 189 is ideal, but still risky.

NBA Sunday

1-1 but lost the bigger play YTD 4-7 -3.21 units

Phoenix giving 7.5 points.
Take this at double units as Suns will burn Cleveland in Arizona. No doubt Phoenix with mission tonight.

SUNS -7.5 at -110 for 2 units(W)

1-0 +2.00 units

NBA Saturday

Plays sucked yesterday 0-4 YTD 3-6 -2.12 units

Looking to rebound.

Orlando at Washington.
Give me Magic and 2.5 points they will give Wizards run for their money.

ORL +2 at EVEN for 1 unit(W)

Taking the bigger play on Chicago at Milwaukee. Bulls are not executing and I look for them to become sharper today.

CHI -2.5 at -109 for 2 units(L)

1-1 -1.09 units

NBA Friday

3-2 +1.98 units

Denver at Minnesota

Denver stock is moving up early, -8 is now -8.5, and I think this is still a buy. Make a offer at +115 Nugs giving -8.5 points. There is a good chance Denver will put on a clinic here and I will back that thought.

DEN -8.5 at +115 for 1 unit(L)

DEN HALF GAME -4.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

DEN 1st QUARTER -2.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

adding

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS ML +120 for 1 unit(L)

0-4 -4.10 units

NBA Thursday

2-1 last selection to open the season.

Tonight on the hard court, Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz.
Rockets come in as a out of town 2 basket underdog and total rising from opening.
Though the number seems low keep in mind both of these teams faced opponents content in speeding up the tempo. Both teams are facing far better opponent in this match up and production number should go down as suggested by the odds makers. Total has been on the move since the open to Over climbing to 193 at -105 at Pinny.
Take the Under and look for the post to be tighter. No easy penetration tonight.

HOU/UTA UNDER 193 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

Phoenix Suns at Seattle Supersonics. This high total is not deserving at this point. Under estimated Sonics defense and over estimated Suns offense.

PHO/SEA UNDER 223.5 at -107 for 2 units(W)

1-1 +0.95 units

NBA Let the Games Begin

We got our toes wet going 9-3 +5.94 units and start with a light card.

Let's make some baskets.

Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz
Score Total to go OVER 214.5 at -106 for 1 unit(L)

add
OVER 212 at +107 for 1 unit(W)


and

Lakers +5.5 at +102 for 1 unit(W)

2-1 +1.03 units

NBA Pre-Season Friday

1-0 with a blow out yesterday. YTD 8-2 +5.98 units

Loaded with baskets today, but will look for the ONE.

Milwaukee at Minnesota
Minnesota didn't help its roster situation on Wednesday when it traded Ricky Davis and Mark Blount to Miami for Antoine Walker, Michael Doleac, Wayne Simien and a first-round draft pick.

BUCKS +3 at -104 for 1 unit(L)

Late game.
Warriors at Clippers.
Siding with Golden State and taking the points

GSW +3.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

1-1 -0.04 units

NBA Pre-Season Thursday

1-0 last night YTD 7-2 +4.98 units

Close win yesterday. Today the game is Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors and I like the home team here. Toronto will give -4 points and expect limited production from Bosh. King James, though good as he is, youth goes against his leadership role to involve all the players.
That takes more than one man's will, but every one's will to become one with the team. It sure doesn't help when your leader is saying that the team is worst than last year. LBJ can take over, but this is still preseason.

TOR -4 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

Blow out!
1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Pre-Season Thursday

1-0 last selection YTD 6-2 +3.98 units

Hows it going fellas? I've already made a call on World Series Game 1 and got some Ice picks on back burner, but definite play here on NBA.

76er's at Knicks
This game at MSG will be about containment and pressure defense. Can NY win by -5? I'm not sure, but the UNDER is a play.

PHL/NYK UNDER 194.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

What you say!
1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Pre-Season Monday

1-0 last play. YTD 5-2 +2.98 units

Washington Wizards at Atlanta Hawks
Pre-Season into last week countdown. Tonight we roll with Hawks at home. Atlanta is showing uncanny enthusiasm which will show on court at home. Wizards still tinkering around so go with the home team give up -3 points.

ATLANTA -3 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
By 1 point!
1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Pre-Season Saturday

1-0 last selection. YTD 4-2 +1.98 units

T-Wolves at Milwaukee Bucks.
Bucks have dropped two games in sub par fashion and they allowed over 100+ points in the last game. Minny will have their hands full today.

BUCKS -7 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Pre-Season China

1-2 last selection. YTD 3-2 +0.89 units

Cleveland at Orlando
Keep in mind the faithfuls are waiting for the Cavs to show up and that's very understandable, but the other side is a very good looking Magic team playing in sync. Under estimated is a good thing for Magic. Look for them to be in top form this season

MAGIC +2.5 at +109 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.09 units

NBA Pre-Season Thursday

Won last night in blow out fashion. YTD 2-0 +2.00 units

Today we will move on to Seattle getting +5.5 in Los Angeles. I doubt Kobe putting his effort today with internal troubles swirling and his knee hurting. Jackson is likely to limit his play. This game is at Rabobank Arena, Bakersfield, CA.

SEA +5.5 at -111 for 1 unit(L)

Also playing the Suns against Clippers give up -4 points and the price is currently -108.
Luv the Suns coming off a 124 point game.

PHO -4 at -108 for 1 unit(W)

Last play is New York Knicks at New Jersey Nets to play out a low score.

NYK/NJN UNDER 186 at +101 for 1 unit(L)

1-2 -1.11 units

NBA Pre-Season

2007 Pre-Season starts 1-0 YTD record is +1.00 unit

Play today is on Boston at home against NY Knicks giving up -6 points. On the strength of Celtics new found inside outside game.

BOS -6 at -109 for 1 unit(W)

How was that 101-61 Boston win!
1-0 +1.oo unit

NBA Pre-Season Game

Ready to take the ROCK yall. We're going to get this party started early back at Pinny. Many offshore operations that continue to service US clients benefited from Pinny's withdraw, but what failed to happen was emergence of dominant replacement to fill the void. Exchange like Matchbook does offer best market lines, but they lack games. Lines are important, but you need sizable selections to find the best deal. Greek is good and 5 Dimes is good, but basically they have not changed in post Pinny's withdraw so players wanting to get early opening odds, big selections of games and low juice will find their way back. US is country made of immigrants, many with friends and family abroad, we were able to open a EU account to fund Pinnacle.

Breaking the ice with this pick.

UTA/PHO OVER 201.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

Love it when the winner is a done deal before the end. Start the NBA with a win!
1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA 2007 Preview

The NBA’s 119-game preseason schedule for 2007, which features games in 21 non-NBA North American cities, will tip off Oct. 6, with an NBA Europe Live doubleheader.
The Boston Celtics, and new acquisition Kevin Garnett, will travel to Rome, Italy to face Chris Bosh and the Toronto Raptors at Pala Lottomatica, and the Minnesota Timberwolves take on 12-time Turkish Basketball League Champions Efes Pilsen at Abdi Ipekci Sports Hall in Istanbul, Turkey.

NBA Europe marks the start of Training Camps for the 2007-08 season, continues on Oct. 7, when the Raptors take on Lottomatica Roma, also at Pala Lottomatica. On Oct. 9, the Memphis Grizzlies face Spain’s Unicaja, with former NBA players Jiri Welsch and Daniel Santiago, at Palacio de Deportes Jose Maria Martin Carpena in Malaga, Spain. Garnett will battle his former team for the first time when the Celtics face the Timberwolves at London’s O2 Arena on Oct. 10 on ESPN2.
NBA Europe Live concludes with a doubleheader on Oct. 11, when the Grizzlies take on MMT Estudiantes and Toronto battles Real Madrid, both at Palacio de Deportes de la Comunidad in Madrid, Spain.

NBA China Games 2007 features Dwight Howard and the Orlando Magic and LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers traveling to Shanghai and Macao. The Magic and Cavaliers play at the Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena in Shanghai on Oct. 17, and at Venetian Arena in Macao on Oct. 20. Between those two contests, Orlando will take on the Chinese National Team on October 18, also at Venetian Arena.

Europe’s top team travels to Texas for a game against the NBA’s best when the 2007 Euroleague Champion, Greece’s Panathinaikos, visits AT&T Center in San Antonio on Oct. 13 for a showdown with Tim Duncan and the defending champion Spurs. Panathinaikos also will take on Yao Ming and the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center in Houston on Oct. 11.

National television coverage will feature Carlos Boozer and the 2006-07 Northwest Division champion Utah Jazz taking on last year’s scoring leader Kobe Bryant and the Los Angeles Lakers at San Diego Sports Arena in San Diego, California on Oct. 25 on TNT.

Other preseason highlights include: a showdown between the last two NBA champions when 2007 Finals MVP Tony Parker and the San Antonio Spurs, who captured their fourth NBA title in nine years in June, visit the 2005-06 NBA Champion Miami Heat on Oct. 23; a rematch of last year’s Eastern Conference Finals, when Chauncey Billups and the Detroit Pistons visit Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland on Oct. 11; and a match-up of the top two picks of the 2007 NBA Draft when top overall selection Greg Oden and the Portland Trail Blazers host Kevin Durant and the Seattle SuperSonics on Oct. 24 at Rose Garden.

The New York Knicks host Israel’s Maccabi Tel Aviv on Oct. 11. Lithuania’s Zalgiris Kaunas takes on the Golden State Warriors on Oct. 15 at Oracle Arena, the Toronto Raptors at Air Canada Centre on Oct. 17, and the Washington Wizards at Verizon Center on Oct. 19, as an extension of the NBA’s International 2007 preseason slate.

NBA Final game 4

My selection on NBA Final Spurs vs Cavaliers. Much time has passed since my last NBA pick, but reasoning here remains the same. I'm looking for a bounce in scoring to clear the Over. Lack of Cavs adjusting their game especially in game tell the story of coaching short fall.

SAS/CLE OVER 175 at -102 for 1 unit(L)
SAS/CLE OVER 176 at +111 for 1 unit(L)

SAS First Half -1.5 at +105 for 1 unit(W)

Should of stayed away I was doing fine without NBA.
But it was the last game as expected, although Cavs covered on the last basket, winning straight up.
1-2 -0.97 units

NBA Playoff Monday

People that know me will tell you I'm Under bias when it comes to basketball. I thought this might be a good spot with Deron Williams no show at practice. Checking the board the Total was dropping from 191 to 189.5 ( now at 190) So I went Over on the dropping number. Basically a technical take on match up producing consistent Overs on all 5 games in 2007

SAS/UTA OVER 189.5 at -106 for 2 unit

NBA Playoff Saturday

Tonight I will back the Defense. To stop the bleeding Jazz will tighten up against the San Antonio Big three, Manu, Tony and Timmy are marked men.

SAS/UTA UNDER 190 at 100 for 2 units(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

NBA Thursday

Sup people. I'm on the road again making difficult to post my plays. Without getting into all the small details and taking the home court into consideration, I still think Cavs will steal one tonight. So it's only natural to take the visitors with points. I'd took a long hard look at the Under as well, but decided on Sides instead. Take the points and enjoy this game.

CLEVELAND +5.5 at -106 for 2 units(W)

1-0 +2.00 units