NBA Sunday

1-0 yesterday YTD 59-38-1 +31.50 units

Some random thoughts I want to put down tonight.

Portland Trailblazers- These young blazers are excelling fast to say the least. Top ATS in North West division earning 56.5%, 6 out of last 6 SU & ATS winners only dropping the first Dec. game to SA Spurs away as +13.5 underdog. The last win against Utah gives Blazers a exclamation point, even though it was a Jazz team in a funk, and opening spread of +9 points might get some looks. Portland is poor on the road (2-9 SU & 5-6 ATS) but dangerous as a underdog (11-7). Blazer is also playing 60.9% Under, but 54.5% away. Shooting percentage has hit second low of this month at 44.1%(40% shot on 12/2 at San Antonio) and they have been deadly on FT% in Dec. At the same time defense has held opponents in last 3 games to 39.4%, 40.2% and 38.2% in best three game sets since start of their season.
Denver ran into a buzz saw in healing Spurs at home in first leg of back to back, but the writing was on the wall with 2 ATS losses coming into this game. The Nuggets were without starter Kenyon Martin, who was suspended for one game after he was assessed a flagrant foul in the Nuggets' win Wednesday over New Orleans. More so it was the misses and turn over that did in the Nuggets. They are on top of North West with 14-9 Denver shines at home 10-3, but covering ATS is another story (7-6). Nuggets are contrary of run and gun team 54.5% Under and 61.5% Under at home. Against Western Conference 69.2% Under and 75% Under against North West Division. They have also breached below 100 points in San Antonio while allowing 48% shooting string 3 consecutive Unders. Nuggets have not allowed more than 3 straight Unders this season and 66.7% Over on B2B, 75% Over after SU loss.

I think 9 points might be too much in Nuggets 2nd of back to back game, but will look deeper in the morning.

It's dropped 0.5 but faithful are out with Nuggets at Pepsi. Taking Portland.

BLAZERS +8.5 at +112 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.12 units