This match up, an indicated line blow out by Lakers, may hold true and the sign since breaking from the all star break is the declining total. I'm not sure how many have caught on, but I have a feeling this game will take a break and go Over. I understand the interior has become tough to penetrate against the Lakers, but Blazers does have pretty good outside game. Taking a shot here.
Lakers at Portland Over 202 at -101 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.01 units
Tuesday, February 26, 2008
Sunday, February 24, 2008
NBA Monday
Well NBA has not been kind so I moved my play over to NCCA baskets and they are doing much better, thank you. It doesn't mean I've given up on the Association. I'm going to retool my plays there's more than one way to skin the cat.
Friday, February 22, 2008
NBA Friday
2nd Half Play:
Let's say this line is 0.5 points Clipper bias. It's still worth a shot with West looking tight Jazz has no room to drop this one against the Clips. This spread doesn't even give them a win.
Utah Jazz -4.5 at -101 for 1 unit(L)
Let's say this line is 0.5 points Clipper bias. It's still worth a shot with West looking tight Jazz has no room to drop this one against the Clips. This spread doesn't even give them a win.
Utah Jazz -4.5 at -101 for 1 unit(L)
Wednesday, February 20, 2008
NBA Wednesday
Looking to turn it around in 0-1 showing last selection. YTD 96-65-2 +50.98 units.
We are still deep in black, but the boys don't like losses.
Chicago Bulls at New Jersey Nets
Da Bulls screwed me the last time I backed them, but this is the new half and Nets look forward to next season with departing Kidd.
Bulls -3 at -109 for 2 units(L)
Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns
Lakers in a dog spot and has moved from +4.5 to +3.5, but I would go ML here in the valley of the Suns. Shaq is just a distraction at this point where Lakers are doing it already with Gasol.
Lakers ML +140 for 1 unit(W)
Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors
Rewind and look up how these two teams have matched up. Toronto has strung 7 going back to '05 before Magic took the last one in early season. Magic did start hot before leveling off, but they did finish on a high note winning Denver at home then Detroit on the road and that Detroit win was a solid double digit outright as a road dog. Toronto has been alternating wins and losses, but at home they have dropped 3 out of last 4 and they are not fairing well against winning teams. I'd say their best recent game was at Boston 1/23, Milwaukee didn't put up much fight and Washington turnaround match at home was with Wiz completely depleted. Since than it's been all rude awakening up to beating the Nets at home in last game. I'll take a shot with Orlando outright going away.
Magic ML +167 for 1 unit(L)
1-2 -1.78 units
We are still deep in black, but the boys don't like losses.
Chicago Bulls at New Jersey Nets
Da Bulls screwed me the last time I backed them, but this is the new half and Nets look forward to next season with departing Kidd.
Bulls -3 at -109 for 2 units(L)
Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns
Lakers in a dog spot and has moved from +4.5 to +3.5, but I would go ML here in the valley of the Suns. Shaq is just a distraction at this point where Lakers are doing it already with Gasol.
Lakers ML +140 for 1 unit(W)
Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors
Rewind and look up how these two teams have matched up. Toronto has strung 7 going back to '05 before Magic took the last one in early season. Magic did start hot before leveling off, but they did finish on a high note winning Denver at home then Detroit on the road and that Detroit win was a solid double digit outright as a road dog. Toronto has been alternating wins and losses, but at home they have dropped 3 out of last 4 and they are not fairing well against winning teams. I'd say their best recent game was at Boston 1/23, Milwaukee didn't put up much fight and Washington turnaround match at home was with Wiz completely depleted. Since than it's been all rude awakening up to beating the Nets at home in last game. I'll take a shot with Orlando outright going away.
Magic ML +167 for 1 unit(L)
1-2 -1.78 units
Tuesday, February 19, 2008
NBA Tuesday
0-1 last selection YTD 96-64-2 +53.06 units
Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets
Backing Boston tonight at Pepsi Center against the Nuggets. Denver healthy and playing well, but as they've shown in Orlando this team is defensively challenged. Still no cake walk at Pepsi without a center for Celtics Powe will need to step in again, but he will have some help with return of Kevin Garnett. Ray Allen had his right thumb bent back in practice yesterday, but looks like he is good to go tonight. Celtics 6-1 as dog this season, 16-7 on the road, 15-8 against winning teams and undefeated against the West. Denver regressed on the road after beating Cleveland no cover against Miami then losing SU at Orlando. Denver 12-13 against winning teams and their schedule is sandwiched with road games heading into March.
Boston Celtics +1 at -104 for 2 units(L)
0-1 -2.08 units
Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets
Backing Boston tonight at Pepsi Center against the Nuggets. Denver healthy and playing well, but as they've shown in Orlando this team is defensively challenged. Still no cake walk at Pepsi without a center for Celtics Powe will need to step in again, but he will have some help with return of Kevin Garnett. Ray Allen had his right thumb bent back in practice yesterday, but looks like he is good to go tonight. Celtics 6-1 as dog this season, 16-7 on the road, 15-8 against winning teams and undefeated against the West. Denver regressed on the road after beating Cleveland no cover against Miami then losing SU at Orlando. Denver 12-13 against winning teams and their schedule is sandwiched with road games heading into March.
Boston Celtics +1 at -104 for 2 units(L)
0-1 -2.08 units
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
NBA Tuesday
0-1 last selection. YTD 96-63-2 +54.11 units
The boys said "we don't like losses, but give us gains and you get perks." It's alwasy good to keep the boys happy so I said "OK let's back the Bulls at home." They said "what?"
Chicago Bulls rolled through West Coast road trip covering 5 games in a row while Hornets have failed to cover 4 out of last 5. Bulls coming off 10 points SU loss, but 2 point cover, which was at the end of their road trip and cover or not 10 point loss should bring some sense of urgency to tonights game. Hornets are coming off a double digit win, no cover, playing another sub .500 team. I don't see much for Hornets to get excited about look for Bulls to hang around tonight.
CHICAGO +6 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.05 units
The boys said "we don't like losses, but give us gains and you get perks." It's alwasy good to keep the boys happy so I said "OK let's back the Bulls at home." They said "what?"
Chicago Bulls rolled through West Coast road trip covering 5 games in a row while Hornets have failed to cover 4 out of last 5. Bulls coming off 10 points SU loss, but 2 point cover, which was at the end of their road trip and cover or not 10 point loss should bring some sense of urgency to tonights game. Hornets are coming off a double digit win, no cover, playing another sub .500 team. I don't see much for Hornets to get excited about look for Bulls to hang around tonight.
CHICAGO +6 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.05 units
Sunday, February 10, 2008
NBA Sunday
1-0 last selection YTD 96-62-2 +55.21 units
Looking to rise and keep the winners rolling.
Washington Wizards at Phoenix Suns
The dynamics have changed. There is an internal issue as to Suns fundamental style of play between the GM and the Coach. Nash is still running the show, but I just can't help thinking the Total has moved to the wrong direction.
WAS/PHO UNDER 210.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
It was looking good in 1st half, but 3rd quarter was the killer.
0-1 -1.10 units
Looking to rise and keep the winners rolling.
Washington Wizards at Phoenix Suns
The dynamics have changed. There is an internal issue as to Suns fundamental style of play between the GM and the Coach. Nash is still running the show, but I just can't help thinking the Total has moved to the wrong direction.
WAS/PHO UNDER 210.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
It was looking good in 1st half, but 3rd quarter was the killer.
0-1 -1.10 units
Saturday, February 09, 2008
NBA Saturday
1-0 last selection. YTD 95-62-2 +54.16 units
New York Knicks are not exactly Kung Pao, but playing a dogged role in fine fashion. Almost had the Spurs in last game leading most of that game with a disappointing outcome in OT. Still Knicks with points are worth a shot. Knicks have won 4 out of last 5 road games ATS and though they come off a OT loss the ATS was a cover. Milwaukee also SU loss ATS cover to Dallas, but whopping +14 points at home. Tonight they are 6 point home favorite and that just doesn't seem right.
KNICKS +6 at +105 for 1 unit(W)
New York outright win going away. How about that!
1-0 +1.05 units
New York Knicks are not exactly Kung Pao, but playing a dogged role in fine fashion. Almost had the Spurs in last game leading most of that game with a disappointing outcome in OT. Still Knicks with points are worth a shot. Knicks have won 4 out of last 5 road games ATS and though they come off a OT loss the ATS was a cover. Milwaukee also SU loss ATS cover to Dallas, but whopping +14 points at home. Tonight they are 6 point home favorite and that just doesn't seem right.
KNICKS +6 at +105 for 1 unit(W)
New York outright win going away. How about that!
1-0 +1.05 units
Friday, February 08, 2008
NBA Friday
2-0 last selection. YTD 94-62-2 +52.16 units
Took a day off in NBA, but will be on tonight's game large.
One of those situation where Kings are dogs at the Arco and Jazz will be a tough customer tonight, but Kings will not drop two at Arco.
KINGS +2 at -103 for 2 units(W)
Never was a doubt. Took 2nd half Kings too! Sorry for not posting that one.
1-0 +2.00 units
Took a day off in NBA, but will be on tonight's game large.
One of those situation where Kings are dogs at the Arco and Jazz will be a tough customer tonight, but Kings will not drop two at Arco.
KINGS +2 at -103 for 2 units(W)
Never was a doubt. Took 2nd half Kings too! Sorry for not posting that one.
1-0 +2.00 units
Wednesday, February 06, 2008
NBA Wednesday
Super Tuesday was a blow. 0-2 last selection. YTD 92-62-2 +49.06 units
San Antonio Spurs at Washington Wizards
Both teams are coming off 1st leg of back to back and Wizards have lost Butler in the first game.
You can say 1st game without a star player the team rises to it's occasion, but let's not forget Butler left early and looked like Wizards were rising 76ers on the ropes down double digits in the 4th and that, ladies and gentlemen, was squandered. Let's not forget Stevenson was crushed by Dalembert driving the lane in the 4th. He did return in closing minutes, but Wizards are running out of players to rise to the occasion. Besides how many occasions can you have? Washington's fall in late game due to pressure? that is weak, bombing 3's with more than enough time is inexcusable.
Spurs to clamp in down tonight. No mercy.
San Antonio -6.5 at -108 for 1 unit(W)
Los Angeles Clippers at Boston Celtics
Clips have alway played Boston well, that was the story last season. Tables have turned and no Garnett Celtics will take this SU & ATS back after a loss. Clips may have won in New York, but it's still better to fade them here than to back them.
Boston Celtics -7.5 at +110 for 2 units(W)
2-0 YES +3.10 units
San Antonio Spurs at Washington Wizards
Both teams are coming off 1st leg of back to back and Wizards have lost Butler in the first game.
You can say 1st game without a star player the team rises to it's occasion, but let's not forget Butler left early and looked like Wizards were rising 76ers on the ropes down double digits in the 4th and that, ladies and gentlemen, was squandered. Let's not forget Stevenson was crushed by Dalembert driving the lane in the 4th. He did return in closing minutes, but Wizards are running out of players to rise to the occasion. Besides how many occasions can you have? Washington's fall in late game due to pressure? that is weak, bombing 3's with more than enough time is inexcusable.
Spurs to clamp in down tonight. No mercy.
San Antonio -6.5 at -108 for 1 unit(W)
Los Angeles Clippers at Boston Celtics
Clips have alway played Boston well, that was the story last season. Tables have turned and no Garnett Celtics will take this SU & ATS back after a loss. Clips may have won in New York, but it's still better to fade them here than to back them.
Boston Celtics -7.5 at +110 for 2 units(W)
2-0 YES +3.10 units
Monday, February 04, 2008
NBA Super Tuesday
2-0 last selection with extra bonus +0.15 units. YTD 92-60-2 +51.19 units
Watch out for that Lakers in Jersey getting heavy consensus with opening line visitors -4.5 and now holding -5.5 , but at this rate it should go to 6. Keep in mind boys and girls the musical chair is winding down and someone's going to miss out on getting a seat. Lakers have strung 3 or more consecutive ATS wins 6 times this season with losses after 3 wins happening 3 times and have yet to string 5 consecutive ATS's which may not be any concern considering Lakers play in comparison to Nets (6-16 home ATS & 4-13 ATS against winning teams), but Nets did beat out the Lakers in early season. Nets have concluded their long road trip in Minnesota dropping that game, but definitely improved on the road, single basket differential at Golden State cover 1/24, tight loss 3 points at Memphis 1/27, bucked the one day back between road trip fade spot as -6 point fav against the Bucks 1/29 and beat the reeling Heat as a short road favs 2/01 so dropping ATS on the last road game to Atlanta by 2 possessions might be forgivable. Lakers winning by double digit seems much too common and continuing this degree of performance on the road is tough to conceive. Lakers streaks were all broken as single digit fav except one. Gasol in the mix might add value to over looked Nets at home. (early write up.)
The early line has pulled away now sitting at 7 which is huge. Keep your eyes and ears open.
Lakers -7 hitting resistance, but inflating line was right on time with Pacific time zone. I'm buying 0.5 points and taking position. Don't you love it when media makes Lakers a done deal and not even bring up what? New Jersey? Lakers reaching better than +76% consensus, just shy of Spurs, with huge line swing. Shaping up to be a classic blood bath.
NEW JERSEY NETS +7.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
(12:45 PST)
Resistance at Lakers -7 has broken through -7.5 and looking to add in closing hour Nets +8 or better. I think middle money will start coming in at this point.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Washington Wizards at Philadelphia 76ers
Wizards dropping 3 in a row is not a bad thing. Coming off a double digit loss to Lakers at home should be a wake up call. Wizards 10-3 ATS against division rivals, 10-6 ATS against losing teams and 7-3 ATS after double digit loss. 76ers are inconsistent at home and questionable as short favorite.
WASHINGTON -1.5 at -103 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.13 units
Watch out for that Lakers in Jersey getting heavy consensus with opening line visitors -4.5 and now holding -5.5 , but at this rate it should go to 6. Keep in mind boys and girls the musical chair is winding down and someone's going to miss out on getting a seat. Lakers have strung 3 or more consecutive ATS wins 6 times this season with losses after 3 wins happening 3 times and have yet to string 5 consecutive ATS's which may not be any concern considering Lakers play in comparison to Nets (6-16 home ATS & 4-13 ATS against winning teams), but Nets did beat out the Lakers in early season. Nets have concluded their long road trip in Minnesota dropping that game, but definitely improved on the road, single basket differential at Golden State cover 1/24, tight loss 3 points at Memphis 1/27, bucked the one day back between road trip fade spot as -6 point fav against the Bucks 1/29 and beat the reeling Heat as a short road favs 2/01 so dropping ATS on the last road game to Atlanta by 2 possessions might be forgivable. Lakers winning by double digit seems much too common and continuing this degree of performance on the road is tough to conceive. Lakers streaks were all broken as single digit fav except one. Gasol in the mix might add value to over looked Nets at home. (early write up.)
The early line has pulled away now sitting at 7 which is huge. Keep your eyes and ears open.
Lakers -7 hitting resistance, but inflating line was right on time with Pacific time zone. I'm buying 0.5 points and taking position. Don't you love it when media makes Lakers a done deal and not even bring up what? New Jersey? Lakers reaching better than +76% consensus, just shy of Spurs, with huge line swing. Shaping up to be a classic blood bath.
NEW JERSEY NETS +7.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
(12:45 PST)
Resistance at Lakers -7 has broken through -7.5 and looking to add in closing hour Nets +8 or better. I think middle money will start coming in at this point.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Washington Wizards at Philadelphia 76ers
Wizards dropping 3 in a row is not a bad thing. Coming off a double digit loss to Lakers at home should be a wake up call. Wizards 10-3 ATS against division rivals, 10-6 ATS against losing teams and 7-3 ATS after double digit loss. 76ers are inconsistent at home and questionable as short favorite.
WASHINGTON -1.5 at -103 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.13 units
Sunday, February 03, 2008
NBA Monday
0-1 last selection. YTD 90-60-2 +49.04 units
Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat
Raptors coming off a loss at home to Lakers, but they are very good coming off a SU/ATS loss.
Toronto's low post strength will not be stopped by Miami. Taking the road favorite to dominate the glass and take this going away.
TORONTO -7.5 at -105 for 2 units**OFF LOAD**
This band wagon is getting a bit too crowded for my taste. We got in early at a fair price, good price should be on the plus side, and line has been pushed to -8. Take Miami +7.5 at +120 with Matchbook and keep the difference.
WTF, Toronto blow out and I unloaded this good pick.... +0.15 units
The revised game is Chicago Bulls at Seattle Supersonics.
It didn't work out with Orlando at Indy, but the thinking is basically SU winner no cover Sonics against SU loser ATS covering Bulls. Although the situation is best played on home dog coming off the ATS cover considering Sonics last game, 1 point coin flip win at home, no cover ATS, to the exhausted Knicks at the end of West Coast road trip with no Curry down low. Other side Bulls hanging tough at Arco covering ATS after getting humiliated at Minnesota. Interesting recap from Bull at Kings game, Brad Miller dominated the glass over Ben Wallace 20 to 9, you think Big Ben will be focused tonight?
BULLS PK at -102 for 1 unit(W)
Charlotte Bobcats at Phoenix Suns
Here is a top vs bottom tier match up in very lopsided favorites playing at home coming off a SU/ATS loss. Phoenix Suns are 7-3 L10 ATS all giving up points and they have not recorded a back to back loss in that span, but Suns backers are all too aware of the pitfalls in giving up double digit points at home setting them back 9-12 making this a no play spot for many cappers. Keep in mind Suns are like a fine tuned precision machine and when they start miss-firing watch out. 10 games prior to last 10 holds 3-7 ATS. This match up is the second of this season where Suns schooled the Cats on their court by a 32 point margin! dejavu, last season Suns killed the Cats going away by a 30 point margin in early season - March rematch in the Valley of the Suns goes OT with Cats almost pulling off the impossible and easy 25 point margin cover. OK, that scenario playing out is meaningless tonight, but Cats getting double digits in Arizona with ATS margin narrowing, ATS number is getting bigger and losing point margin decreasing, is a indicator for Cats ATS cover. Suns 5-8 ATS giving up double digits, but if you go -11 or higher 3-7 ATS.
BOBCATS +14.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
By the hook baby!
Kicking myself for off loading, but did it the hard way.
2-0 +2.00 units
Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat
Raptors coming off a loss at home to Lakers, but they are very good coming off a SU/ATS loss.
Toronto's low post strength will not be stopped by Miami. Taking the road favorite to dominate the glass and take this going away.
TORONTO -7.5 at -105 for 2 units**OFF LOAD**
This band wagon is getting a bit too crowded for my taste. We got in early at a fair price, good price should be on the plus side, and line has been pushed to -8. Take Miami +7.5 at +120 with Matchbook and keep the difference.
WTF, Toronto blow out and I unloaded this good pick.... +0.15 units
The revised game is Chicago Bulls at Seattle Supersonics.
It didn't work out with Orlando at Indy, but the thinking is basically SU winner no cover Sonics against SU loser ATS covering Bulls. Although the situation is best played on home dog coming off the ATS cover considering Sonics last game, 1 point coin flip win at home, no cover ATS, to the exhausted Knicks at the end of West Coast road trip with no Curry down low. Other side Bulls hanging tough at Arco covering ATS after getting humiliated at Minnesota. Interesting recap from Bull at Kings game, Brad Miller dominated the glass over Ben Wallace 20 to 9, you think Big Ben will be focused tonight?
BULLS PK at -102 for 1 unit(W)
Charlotte Bobcats at Phoenix Suns
Here is a top vs bottom tier match up in very lopsided favorites playing at home coming off a SU/ATS loss. Phoenix Suns are 7-3 L10 ATS all giving up points and they have not recorded a back to back loss in that span, but Suns backers are all too aware of the pitfalls in giving up double digit points at home setting them back 9-12 making this a no play spot for many cappers. Keep in mind Suns are like a fine tuned precision machine and when they start miss-firing watch out. 10 games prior to last 10 holds 3-7 ATS. This match up is the second of this season where Suns schooled the Cats on their court by a 32 point margin! dejavu, last season Suns killed the Cats going away by a 30 point margin in early season - March rematch in the Valley of the Suns goes OT with Cats almost pulling off the impossible and easy 25 point margin cover. OK, that scenario playing out is meaningless tonight, but Cats getting double digits in Arizona with ATS margin narrowing, ATS number is getting bigger and losing point margin decreasing, is a indicator for Cats ATS cover. Suns 5-8 ATS giving up double digits, but if you go -11 or higher 3-7 ATS.
BOBCATS +14.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
By the hook baby!
Kicking myself for off loading, but did it the hard way.
2-0 +2.00 units
NBA on SUPERBOWL Sunday
1-1 last selection. YTD 90-59-2 +50.12 units
There is only 1 game left. Dallas at Detroit.
Once again a natural spot to fade the Mavericks, but similar to last night ATS is too suspect.
Sharps backing Pistons and ATS reads 2 losses no cover on 2 SU wins. Take the points run with the squares in the bookie adjusted game.
DALLAS +5.5 at -108 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.08 units
There is only 1 game left. Dallas at Detroit.
Once again a natural spot to fade the Mavericks, but similar to last night ATS is too suspect.
Sharps backing Pistons and ATS reads 2 losses no cover on 2 SU wins. Take the points run with the squares in the bookie adjusted game.
DALLAS +5.5 at -108 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.08 units
Saturday, February 02, 2008
NBA Saturday
1-1 last selection. YTD 89-58-2 +48.96 units
Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers
Magic taking this game looks likely and Pacers failing once again seems probable, but ATS tells a different scenario. Magic coming off SU win no cover and Pacers SU loss covering the spread.
You know what that means, take the home team getting points.
INDIANA PACERS +4 at -102 for 1 unit(L)
Another close loser. Adding a late game.
New York losing the west coast road trip, but they are rolling ATS. Normally a tough spot maybe a natural fade spot, but these banged up bunch may pull off a SU upset. I want to be a part of it...New York, New York.
NEW YORK KNICKS +3 at +109 for 2 units(W)
Right on time..New York, New York!
1-1 +1.16 units
Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers
Magic taking this game looks likely and Pacers failing once again seems probable, but ATS tells a different scenario. Magic coming off SU win no cover and Pacers SU loss covering the spread.
You know what that means, take the home team getting points.
INDIANA PACERS +4 at -102 for 1 unit(L)
Another close loser. Adding a late game.
New York losing the west coast road trip, but they are rolling ATS. Normally a tough spot maybe a natural fade spot, but these banged up bunch may pull off a SU upset. I want to be a part of it...New York, New York.
NEW YORK KNICKS +3 at +109 for 2 units(W)
Right on time..New York, New York!
1-1 +1.16 units
Friday, February 01, 2008
NBA Friday
0-1 last selection. YTD 88-57-2 +47.96 units
Houston at Indiana
Rockets without T-Mac was a losing proposition. "Was" is the key word with Yao 2008 up grade more than enough. Pacers will try to make a stand at home, but give me the Texas contender to take this going away.
ROCKETS -4 at -104 for 1 unit(L)
New Jersey Nets at Miami Heat
Miami does not scare anybody even with the make shift group led by Ricky Davis taking a push (amazingly Total also pushed 198!) against Orlando. Good effort with make shift starters all in double figure, but Nets should take this in Miami.
NETS -3 at +102 for 2 units(W)
Looked like 2-0, but settle for 1-1 taking the bigger wager.
1-1 +1.00 unit
Houston at Indiana
Rockets without T-Mac was a losing proposition. "Was" is the key word with Yao 2008 up grade more than enough. Pacers will try to make a stand at home, but give me the Texas contender to take this going away.
ROCKETS -4 at -104 for 1 unit(L)
New Jersey Nets at Miami Heat
Miami does not scare anybody even with the make shift group led by Ricky Davis taking a push (amazingly Total also pushed 198!) against Orlando. Good effort with make shift starters all in double figure, but Nets should take this in Miami.
NETS -3 at +102 for 2 units(W)
Looked like 2-0, but settle for 1-1 taking the bigger wager.
1-1 +1.00 unit
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