25-15-1 9,940
Small card today. Here's what we're looking at.
Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors
We do like the Warriors. They have been playing well at home. Winners in 6 out of last 8 and most recent home wins comes as a Dog against OKC and LA Clippers, both winning teams. Golden State did drop the first two games of the road trip, but bounced back to finish the last two road games by double digit margin wins. Returning home the Warriors will host the Mavericks continuing their road trip. As much as the Warriors have been money they do come home a bit wounded where as the Mavs got their big German back and rolling 9 out of 10 ATS. Dallas playing better ATS away and winning January games to the tune of 11-3 ATS. Take the road dog on short leash.
DALLAS MAVERICKS +3.5 at -108 for 1 unit(W)
Oops no Dirk! No problem got'm by the hook!
Thursday, January 31, 2013
Tuesday, January 29, 2013
NBA Tuesday
24-15-1 8,940
Dallas Mavericks at Portland Trailblazers
Welcome gang! Another night at the hard court. Blazers play well at home, but two games against the Clippers home and away has been draining. I would normally look at Portland at home on the bounce back, which is the way the line has been moving, but Dallas on the rise will be handful. The Blazers have taken care of business at home against lesser teams however the Mavericks will be
a different story.
DALLAS MAVERICKS +3 at -108 for 1 unit(W)
Dallas Mavericks at Portland Trailblazers
Welcome gang! Another night at the hard court. Blazers play well at home, but two games against the Clippers home and away has been draining. I would normally look at Portland at home on the bounce back, which is the way the line has been moving, but Dallas on the rise will be handful. The Blazers have taken care of business at home against lesser teams however the Mavericks will be
a different story.
DALLAS MAVERICKS +3 at -108 for 1 unit(W)
Sunday, January 27, 2013
NBA Sunday
Detroit Pistons at Orlando Magic
Looking at another low level game with little attention. Orlando on 4 game slide and this is a revenge spot. Unfortunately Orlando has not been doing well in revenge spot 5-19 SU and 10-13 ATS. Orlando is also 1-8 as a fovorite. Detroit coming off a no cover double digit loss to Miami on the road, but they were rolling 3 straight ATS including a short cover at Chicago. Like Detroit getting points.
DETROIT PISTONS +2 at -102 for 1 unit(W)
Looking at another low level game with little attention. Orlando on 4 game slide and this is a revenge spot. Unfortunately Orlando has not been doing well in revenge spot 5-19 SU and 10-13 ATS. Orlando is also 1-8 as a fovorite. Detroit coming off a no cover double digit loss to Miami on the road, but they were rolling 3 straight ATS including a short cover at Chicago. Like Detroit getting points.
DETROIT PISTONS +2 at -102 for 1 unit(W)
Saturday, January 26, 2013
NBA Saturday
22-15-1 6,890
L.A. Clippers at Portland Trailblazers
The Clippers visit the Rose Garden. This is still a bad spot for the Clippers minus Chris Paul and the small spread indicating a close game is misleading. The Blazers are no joke 14-8 at home facing Clippers in a funk. Being a 1 point home dog does not do justice to this match up. Take the Portland moneyline.
PORTLAND TRAILBLAZER ML +105 for 1 unit(W)
Got a rising score here. Take the 2nd Half Over 94.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
L.A. Clippers at Portland Trailblazers
The Clippers visit the Rose Garden. This is still a bad spot for the Clippers minus Chris Paul and the small spread indicating a close game is misleading. The Blazers are no joke 14-8 at home facing Clippers in a funk. Being a 1 point home dog does not do justice to this match up. Take the Portland moneyline.
PORTLAND TRAILBLAZER ML +105 for 1 unit(W)
Got a rising score here. Take the 2nd Half Over 94.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Friday, January 25, 2013
NBA Friday
22-14-1 7,940
Oklahoma City at Sacramento Kings
OKC fourth quarter collapse did them in at Golden State and you know this is a bounce back spot for the Thunder playing a sub .500 team. You know that the Books know that, but you still like them willing to give up -9.5? Why not consider going Over the big number 209.5 the Kings looking to break over triple digits and the Thunder will have their offense revving.
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER at SACRAMENTO KINGS
Game Total OVER 209.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Oklahoma City at Sacramento Kings
OKC fourth quarter collapse did them in at Golden State and you know this is a bounce back spot for the Thunder playing a sub .500 team. You know that the Books know that, but you still like them willing to give up -9.5? Why not consider going Over the big number 209.5 the Kings looking to break over triple digits and the Thunder will have their offense revving.
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER at SACRAMENTO KINGS
Game Total OVER 209.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Thursday, January 24, 2013
NBA Thursday
21-14-1 6.940
Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix Suns
The Clippers could not defend their home court against Oklahoma in last game and beyond the arc rainbows by the Thunder put that game out of reach. The Suns made a quick trip to Sacramento after 2 home losses and pulled off a upset win SU. Still rare win does not quality for a strong play, but they happen to catch the Clipper bit off balance and last time the Clips played like this they rolled off 4 losses, it's up to 3 losses ATS, so a road trip may not be a remedy. Tonight's match rather than to choose sides the UNDER stands out as both teams coming to a low scoring situation. The Suns over shot their scoring average in last game and this one will decline. Clips weakness in their recent losses comes on the defensive end this should be a clamp down mode game. This game holds promise of grind out type of match and points will come at a premium.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS at PHOENIX SUNS
Game Total UNDER 191 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix Suns
The Clippers could not defend their home court against Oklahoma in last game and beyond the arc rainbows by the Thunder put that game out of reach. The Suns made a quick trip to Sacramento after 2 home losses and pulled off a upset win SU. Still rare win does not quality for a strong play, but they happen to catch the Clipper bit off balance and last time the Clips played like this they rolled off 4 losses, it's up to 3 losses ATS, so a road trip may not be a remedy. Tonight's match rather than to choose sides the UNDER stands out as both teams coming to a low scoring situation. The Suns over shot their scoring average in last game and this one will decline. Clips weakness in their recent losses comes on the defensive end this should be a clamp down mode game. This game holds promise of grind out type of match and points will come at a premium.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS at PHOENIX SUNS
Game Total UNDER 191 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Tuesday, January 22, 2013
NBA Tuesday
20-13-1 6,990
Oklahoma City at Los Angeles Clippers
My thought about who's the better team built for the post season? I think it's the Thunder, but here today at Staple Center with CP3 sidelined, a last minute change, pushed the spread to +2.5 points. This I will back. Both teams coming off losses, Clips to the Warriors and Thunder to the Nuggets, looking poised to bounce back. Best record in NBA hangs on this game I'd say home court advantage and points. Oklahoma has been on the ropes in this road trip. Going Los Angeles Clippers.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS +2.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
2nd HALF OVER 100 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Oklahoma City at Los Angeles Clippers
My thought about who's the better team built for the post season? I think it's the Thunder, but here today at Staple Center with CP3 sidelined, a last minute change, pushed the spread to +2.5 points. This I will back. Both teams coming off losses, Clips to the Warriors and Thunder to the Nuggets, looking poised to bounce back. Best record in NBA hangs on this game I'd say home court advantage and points. Oklahoma has been on the ropes in this road trip. Going Los Angeles Clippers.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS +2.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
2nd HALF OVER 100 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Monday, January 21, 2013
NBA Monday
19-13-1 5,990
Monday already? Time is flying by isn't it? It's already feeling like Spring, but NBA is still in January. Better stay sharp because we're back to the dog day.
Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Hornets
The bad vs the bad is what we're looking at. Just the type of game that fly's below the radar. The Hornet 13-27 is a respectable 21-19 ATS compared to Sacramento 16-25 is only one game better ATS at 17-22-2 and they are terrible 4-15 on the road. So does the lowly road dog hold any promise? Rather than the Dog coming to play, which is not a bad idea after a rare road win or a win period, the thought here is how porous the Kings have been. The Kings despite not allowing triple digit scoring in their last 3 games it has yet to go 4 games and the current record of 3 straight Under's is the longest streak yet. Sure Hornets have been holding low scoring, but that number too has been on the rise. The situation for Over is 191 and if the game stays close enough this game should go Over.
SACRAMENTO KINGS at NEW ORLEANS HORNETS
Game Total OVER 191 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Monday already? Time is flying by isn't it? It's already feeling like Spring, but NBA is still in January. Better stay sharp because we're back to the dog day.
Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Hornets
The bad vs the bad is what we're looking at. Just the type of game that fly's below the radar. The Hornet 13-27 is a respectable 21-19 ATS compared to Sacramento 16-25 is only one game better ATS at 17-22-2 and they are terrible 4-15 on the road. So does the lowly road dog hold any promise? Rather than the Dog coming to play, which is not a bad idea after a rare road win or a win period, the thought here is how porous the Kings have been. The Kings despite not allowing triple digit scoring in their last 3 games it has yet to go 4 games and the current record of 3 straight Under's is the longest streak yet. Sure Hornets have been holding low scoring, but that number too has been on the rise. The situation for Over is 191 and if the game stays close enough this game should go Over.
SACRAMENTO KINGS at NEW ORLEANS HORNETS
Game Total OVER 191 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Friday, January 18, 2013
NBA Friday
17-13-1 3,990
Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks
I see the road favorite Thunder is where the money has been pushing, but Mavs are looking better more and more. You don't want to count them out this early the Texas road trip is a killer for many teams. It's going to be a good game and I would go with the points, but the less popular Total Over is the better choice. This game tonight get's a high 205.5, which is perceived as too high, is very much reachable.
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER at DALLAS MAVERICKS
GAME TOTAL OVER 205.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
*SECOND HALF
The game has closed the first half below 100 and second half Total 103 suggesting the game on pace Under 205.5 is still very reachable. Meaning 2nd half Over is a bonus.
OKC at DAL OVER 103 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks
I see the road favorite Thunder is where the money has been pushing, but Mavs are looking better more and more. You don't want to count them out this early the Texas road trip is a killer for many teams. It's going to be a good game and I would go with the points, but the less popular Total Over is the better choice. This game tonight get's a high 205.5, which is perceived as too high, is very much reachable.
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER at DALLAS MAVERICKS
GAME TOTAL OVER 205.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
*SECOND HALF
The game has closed the first half below 100 and second half Total 103 suggesting the game on pace Under 205.5 is still very reachable. Meaning 2nd half Over is a bonus.
OKC at DAL OVER 103 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Tuesday, January 15, 2013
NBA Tuesday
17-12-1 4,440
Milwaukee Bucks at L.A. Lakers
The Lakers are money makers if your playing against them. They've had some big pay outs especially if you were on some of those big dogs and happened to throw a bone at the improbable money line. You've done well. I suppose the Lakers can pat their backs for beating Cleveland at home, winning coast to coast to boast, but that was their second ATS win out of last 7 and one of those win came as a 13.5 underdog.
Bucks playing well on the road, 3 out of last 4, last time they got 6 points on the road Milwaukee took the game SU.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS +6 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Milwaukee Bucks at L.A. Lakers
The Lakers are money makers if your playing against them. They've had some big pay outs especially if you were on some of those big dogs and happened to throw a bone at the improbable money line. You've done well. I suppose the Lakers can pat their backs for beating Cleveland at home, winning coast to coast to boast, but that was their second ATS win out of last 7 and one of those win came as a 13.5 underdog.
Bucks playing well on the road, 3 out of last 4, last time they got 6 points on the road Milwaukee took the game SU.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS +6 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Monday, January 14, 2013
MLB Monday
16-12-1 3,440
Another dog day Monday coming up!
L.A. Clippers at Memphis Grizzlies
This line moved around from -2.5 down to -1.5 before the Chris Paul "out" news broke out and the line moved to -4 and sitting on -4.5 which is a big deal considering CP3 is the game closer and field general. The Clippers are not the Clippers of old, but they were looking to invade one of the toughest court in NBA against one of the premier team. It was a pretty even looking ATS and there is an old angle to consider here. With Chris Paul out you back the team without their star player in the first game of his absence. A step up type game between two winning teams. The theory is the team without their star player will collectively improve covering the absence. Most effective in the first game as prolonged absence will wear down the unit.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS +4.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Another dog day Monday coming up!
L.A. Clippers at Memphis Grizzlies
This line moved around from -2.5 down to -1.5 before the Chris Paul "out" news broke out and the line moved to -4 and sitting on -4.5 which is a big deal considering CP3 is the game closer and field general. The Clippers are not the Clippers of old, but they were looking to invade one of the toughest court in NBA against one of the premier team. It was a pretty even looking ATS and there is an old angle to consider here. With Chris Paul out you back the team without their star player in the first game of his absence. A step up type game between two winning teams. The theory is the team without their star player will collectively improve covering the absence. Most effective in the first game as prolonged absence will wear down the unit.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS +4.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Thursday, January 10, 2013
NBA Thursday
14-12-1 1090
Miami Heat at Portland Trailblazers
Miami has been struggling of late going 3-4 SU & 1-6 ATS coming to the Rose Garden where the Blazers have not dropped a game since 12/8. Yes, the Heat can bounce back from another low scoring game like the one they played against Chicago then won and covered a big road spread at Washington. But the Heat lost by 10 points in Indy scoring only 77 and Blazers in Portland is not going to be easy of a bounce back. The Heat has yet to cover these short lines as a road favorite. Portland to hand another loss to Miami take the money line and ATS.
PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS +135 for 1 unit(W)
PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS +3.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Miami Heat at Portland Trailblazers
Miami has been struggling of late going 3-4 SU & 1-6 ATS coming to the Rose Garden where the Blazers have not dropped a game since 12/8. Yes, the Heat can bounce back from another low scoring game like the one they played against Chicago then won and covered a big road spread at Washington. But the Heat lost by 10 points in Indy scoring only 77 and Blazers in Portland is not going to be easy of a bounce back. The Heat has yet to cover these short lines as a road favorite. Portland to hand another loss to Miami take the money line and ATS.
PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS +135 for 1 unit(W)
PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS +3.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Wednesday, January 09, 2013
NBA Wednesday
13-12-1 90
Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers
Two teams in two different spectrum as Dallas once a dominant force in NBA is now below .500 team and Clippers once basement team now one of the elite. In a situation where Clippers wins have become expected and Mavericks loss anticipated the spread has swelled to 10.5, it was 11 earlier, a large number. However Clippers have covered as double digit home favorite quite easily this season. The Mavs have received 10.5 points 4 times so far all on the road covering the spread 3 out of 4 making them formidable with this many points. Will the Clippers cover? I would be surprised because they are on two consecutive games with rising shooting percentage above their average and they blew out Golden State in last start. Look for Clippers be a bit lack luster in this No Cover game.
DALLAS MAVERICKS +10.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers
Two teams in two different spectrum as Dallas once a dominant force in NBA is now below .500 team and Clippers once basement team now one of the elite. In a situation where Clippers wins have become expected and Mavericks loss anticipated the spread has swelled to 10.5, it was 11 earlier, a large number. However Clippers have covered as double digit home favorite quite easily this season. The Mavs have received 10.5 points 4 times so far all on the road covering the spread 3 out of 4 making them formidable with this many points. Will the Clippers cover? I would be surprised because they are on two consecutive games with rising shooting percentage above their average and they blew out Golden State in last start. Look for Clippers be a bit lack luster in this No Cover game.
DALLAS MAVERICKS +10.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Tuesday, January 08, 2013
NBA Tuesday
12-12-1 -910
It's been a while. Hope everyone is safe and doing well. We are looking at Phoenix at Milwaukee Total of 199. This number from average perspective the Suns scoring less than 20 points a quarter in recent games seems like a high mountain to climb. On Milwaukee's side the scores have gone triple digits and sailed Over at home. So how does this game stand to adjust? It goes Over based on both teams coming below moving average score. Both teams coming off 80ish scoring games, about 15 points below for the Suns and the Bucks. Look for scoring to push up, maybe triple digit scoring on both sides.
PHOENIX SUNS at MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Game Total OVER 199 at -106 for 1 unit(W)
It's been a while. Hope everyone is safe and doing well. We are looking at Phoenix at Milwaukee Total of 199. This number from average perspective the Suns scoring less than 20 points a quarter in recent games seems like a high mountain to climb. On Milwaukee's side the scores have gone triple digits and sailed Over at home. So how does this game stand to adjust? It goes Over based on both teams coming below moving average score. Both teams coming off 80ish scoring games, about 15 points below for the Suns and the Bucks. Look for scoring to push up, maybe triple digit scoring on both sides.
PHOENIX SUNS at MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Game Total OVER 199 at -106 for 1 unit(W)
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