Late December play with MIL/CLE , one hot Over team with Buck against one hot Under team with Cavs. Let's see if we can keep this number below the inflated Total. Early line opened at 202.5
MIL/CLE Under 204.5 at -114 for 1 unit(L)
Didn't expect Cavs to score 109.
--------------------------------------------------------------
Boston Celtics west coast fade play. Warriors at home to gun them down early.
GSW -3 First Quarter -120 for 1 unit(W)
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Kings at Clippers.
Kings are improving with their play looking balanced. Don't trust Clips after schooling Celtics without captain Paul Pierce.
SAC +3 at -103 for 2 units(L)
Kings fall at Staples. I guess it's long been coming with Clippers taking all the beating from Kings.
1-2 -2.20 units
Friday, December 29, 2006
Wednesday, December 27, 2006
NBA Wednesday
Playing the late game with 76er at Kings.
Somethings is going on in Sacramento. Ron Artest is not happy in Sacramento? It doesn't matter if he plays or not I'm playing the Under in 76er's back to back spot.
PHL/SAC UNDER 196 at +100 for 1 units(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Somethings is going on in Sacramento. Ron Artest is not happy in Sacramento? It doesn't matter if he plays or not I'm playing the Under in 76er's back to back spot.
PHL/SAC UNDER 196 at +100 for 1 units(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Tuesday, December 26, 2006
NBA Tuesday
New Jersey Nets at Detroit Pistons.
Pistons played above 100+ in last game and so did the Nets. I would prefer the Under game in New Jersey, but still a spot for point drop. Nets should play inspired in this quick revenge spot with the home game loss coming in the 4th quarter.
NJN/DET Under 187 at -111 for 1 unit(W)
-------------------------------------------------------
Look at Celtics at Denver. It's a quick revenge spot for Denver with Paul Pierce missing from Boston line up. This is not Paul's first game out, it's his second game, avoiding the step up game without their star player. Keep in mind AI is on his second game as a Nugget working out the kinks in his transition. For all the fundamental changes on both sides ATS is a no play. Denver is also the most popular pick ATS which makes it even more dangerous. But because of all the fundamental changes this game is bound to go lower. AI is not going to pour it on himself, not in his second game and Kings have shown the way with their zone defense which is what Boston needs to do.
BOS/DEN Under 210 at -110 for 2 units(L)
1-1 -1.20 units
Pistons played above 100+ in last game and so did the Nets. I would prefer the Under game in New Jersey, but still a spot for point drop. Nets should play inspired in this quick revenge spot with the home game loss coming in the 4th quarter.
NJN/DET Under 187 at -111 for 1 unit(W)
-------------------------------------------------------
Look at Celtics at Denver. It's a quick revenge spot for Denver with Paul Pierce missing from Boston line up. This is not Paul's first game out, it's his second game, avoiding the step up game without their star player. Keep in mind AI is on his second game as a Nugget working out the kinks in his transition. For all the fundamental changes on both sides ATS is a no play. Denver is also the most popular pick ATS which makes it even more dangerous. But because of all the fundamental changes this game is bound to go lower. AI is not going to pour it on himself, not in his second game and Kings have shown the way with their zone defense which is what Boston needs to do.
BOS/DEN Under 210 at -110 for 2 units(L)
1-1 -1.20 units
Monday, December 25, 2006
NBA Christmas on ABC
Merry Christmas to all.
Lakers are in Miami for another Christmas match up. I was considering the Under for this game as Heats at home is very much a Under team with O/U 4-10, but that's not reflective of their recent form. 4 strings of Overs in a row was broken in last game against GSW and that wasn't two teams grinding it out, Heats scored 105 points and it was the Warriors that ran out of gas. Lakers had 7 Overs in a row before embarking on this 6 game road trip taking two games Under out of the first 3, but keep in mind Koby has been playing with flu like symptoms, he's feeling much better. Show case game nationally televised with Koby and Dwayne both in a bounce back spot from mediocre scoring games.
HO HO HO
LAL/MIA First Half Over 100 at -115 for 2 units(L)
LAL/MIA Over 199 at -116 for 2 units(L)
That was no good. Hope you guys did better for Christmas.
0-2 -4.62 units
Lakers are in Miami for another Christmas match up. I was considering the Under for this game as Heats at home is very much a Under team with O/U 4-10, but that's not reflective of their recent form. 4 strings of Overs in a row was broken in last game against GSW and that wasn't two teams grinding it out, Heats scored 105 points and it was the Warriors that ran out of gas. Lakers had 7 Overs in a row before embarking on this 6 game road trip taking two games Under out of the first 3, but keep in mind Koby has been playing with flu like symptoms, he's feeling much better. Show case game nationally televised with Koby and Dwayne both in a bounce back spot from mediocre scoring games.
HO HO HO
LAL/MIA First Half Over 100 at -115 for 2 units(L)
LAL/MIA Over 199 at -116 for 2 units(L)
That was no good. Hope you guys did better for Christmas.
0-2 -4.62 units
Saturday, December 23, 2006
NBA Saturday
Houston snaps their losing streak in San Antonio, 17 in a row against the Spurs at home. It wasn't like Spurs were coming in weak they had 5 game winning streak. It was a flat night for Spurs, but Rockets came in with lots of energy and forced Spur's lowest production of this season...Very impressive.
Poor Los Angeles Clippers got their ass whopped. They were toyed with like man against a child. I think it was the classic case of Dallas team ready to step up with out their big gun Dirk, but Dirk was ok no swelling on his ankle and didn't miss a beat. Mavs were up by 38 points at the end of 3rd quarter. Clips got only 4 offensive boards, 2 by starters and gave up 14 second chance points on the other end. Needless to say Clips suffered their largest margin loss for this season.
Now Clips will get +9 points. Regardless of ATS and back to back situation. Houston Rockets are patting each other's backs and Clips are steaming in their hotel room. As bad as Clips are on the road (1-9) and good as Rockets are at home (8-2) LAC needs to show they are professional basketball players and settle for nothing less than 100% focus on winning in Houston.
Rockets may have Spurs hangover syndrome lacking the energy they showed in San Antonio.
I will take my chance here for at least a ATS cover.
LAC +9 at -112 for 1 unit(W)
LAC 2nd Half -0.5 at 100 for 2 units(W)
-------------------------------------------------------
Have some thoughts on Spurs on the road against the Hornets. The Bees by nature of player depletion lacks fire power, but they have been adjusting. Spurs after their lowest point production is in a spot for points increase yet this team does not have the large margin swing.
They are a model of consistency and will simply return to their style of taking care of business methodically shutting down the middle lane and controlling the boards. I see a tough start for Hornets and they better be ready to play scrappy.
SAS/NOH 1st Half Under 91 at -104 for 2 units(L)
Huh, Spurs and Clips were two of the same. Why didn't I play it that way? Being too bent of finding the correct number did me in with the no chance First Half Under. Spurs were mad and Hornets got slamed.
2-1 +0.98 units
Poor Los Angeles Clippers got their ass whopped. They were toyed with like man against a child. I think it was the classic case of Dallas team ready to step up with out their big gun Dirk, but Dirk was ok no swelling on his ankle and didn't miss a beat. Mavs were up by 38 points at the end of 3rd quarter. Clips got only 4 offensive boards, 2 by starters and gave up 14 second chance points on the other end. Needless to say Clips suffered their largest margin loss for this season.
Now Clips will get +9 points. Regardless of ATS and back to back situation. Houston Rockets are patting each other's backs and Clips are steaming in their hotel room. As bad as Clips are on the road (1-9) and good as Rockets are at home (8-2) LAC needs to show they are professional basketball players and settle for nothing less than 100% focus on winning in Houston.
Rockets may have Spurs hangover syndrome lacking the energy they showed in San Antonio.
I will take my chance here for at least a ATS cover.
LAC +9 at -112 for 1 unit(W)
LAC 2nd Half -0.5 at 100 for 2 units(W)
-------------------------------------------------------
Have some thoughts on Spurs on the road against the Hornets. The Bees by nature of player depletion lacks fire power, but they have been adjusting. Spurs after their lowest point production is in a spot for points increase yet this team does not have the large margin swing.
They are a model of consistency and will simply return to their style of taking care of business methodically shutting down the middle lane and controlling the boards. I see a tough start for Hornets and they better be ready to play scrappy.
SAS/NOH 1st Half Under 91 at -104 for 2 units(L)
Huh, Spurs and Clips were two of the same. Why didn't I play it that way? Being too bent of finding the correct number did me in with the no chance First Half Under. Spurs were mad and Hornets got slamed.
2-1 +0.98 units
Thursday, December 21, 2006
NBA Friday
Oh man, Texas grind coming up with Houston at San Antonio. These two teams are running up the score and yet the books opened with 179.5...yes the line is moving up now trading at 181 let's watch this Total. I see Houston just reversed the string of 5 straight Overs at the Rose Garden and Spurs with string of 3 straight Overs have match the most Overs in a row this season. These two teams just match up Under and that's what I'm looking at.
HOU/SAS Under 182 at -114 for 2 units(W)
Rockets win the grind and so does the Under.
1-0 +2.00 units
HOU/SAS Under 182 at -114 for 2 units(W)
Rockets win the grind and so does the Under.
1-0 +2.00 units
NBA Thursday
Not much for Thursday, but I will have to go Under with Pistons at Cavs. Just waiting for my spot to pull the trigger.
Love the 4 points move to my favor.
Game's not over yet, but like my chances with 71-58 with 8:14 left in the 4th quarter.
I might put up another early line for Friday so stay tuned.
DET/CLE Under 185 at -109 for 2 units(W)
Detroit basketball....87-71 Under by 27 points!
1-0 +2.00 units
Love the 4 points move to my favor.
Game's not over yet, but like my chances with 71-58 with 8:14 left in the 4th quarter.
I might put up another early line for Friday so stay tuned.
DET/CLE Under 185 at -109 for 2 units(W)
Detroit basketball....87-71 Under by 27 points!
1-0 +2.00 units
Tuesday, December 19, 2006
NBA Wednesday
I've been reading about Sharp money and what people think it means. Everybody has their own definition, but simply this is professional money. What is professional money? Is it handicappers that make a living from sports wagering? Far as I'm concerned only professional money are the bookies. Traditional bookies in the States are still going strong and Off-Shore books have made things easier for these illegal books to offload the difference to balance the wagers they have taken. If there are games likely to take one way action the bookies can hedge these by taking early position. Balanced wagers are the only guaranteed profit for the books collecting juice. I've been around the block, but I have yet to meet a single professional handicapper that does nothing but wager on sports to make a living. Sure there are guys that wager daily, but they all have other income or investments and if they're high profile, so called, professional handicapper they tout for guaranteed money. That's all nothing mystical.
Moving on to Wednesday's game.
Magic is getting healthy and Hornets are coming to town. I give Hornets some credit for their last game against Miami and this game should not be much different with focus on the entire game. The bees at Orlando will likely see better scoring I like this game to reach 180's and that's what I'm playing.
NO/ORL Over 176 at -106 for 2 units(L)
---------------------------------------------------------
Playing against the line with GSW/BOS and this will be a short game.
GSW +0.5 First Quarter at +106 for 1 unit(W)
Bigger wager lost and that Over was lost in the first half. Warriors was a thriller and +o.5 was the winning difference. Stay tuned for Thursday.
1-1 -1.06 unit
Moving on to Wednesday's game.
Magic is getting healthy and Hornets are coming to town. I give Hornets some credit for their last game against Miami and this game should not be much different with focus on the entire game. The bees at Orlando will likely see better scoring I like this game to reach 180's and that's what I'm playing.
NO/ORL Over 176 at -106 for 2 units(L)
---------------------------------------------------------
Playing against the line with GSW/BOS and this will be a short game.
GSW +0.5 First Quarter at +106 for 1 unit(W)
Bigger wager lost and that Over was lost in the first half. Warriors was a thriller and +o.5 was the winning difference. Stay tuned for Thursday.
1-1 -1.06 unit
NBA Tuesday
Taking it easy today. Toronto Raptors at Phoenix Suns.
I like the game to start fast out of the gate.
TOR/PHO 1st Quarter Over 55.5 at -112 for 2 units(W)
Nothing like couple of winning days to make me smile.
NBA it's fantastic.
1-0 +2.00 units
I like the game to start fast out of the gate.
TOR/PHO 1st Quarter Over 55.5 at -112 for 2 units(W)
Nothing like couple of winning days to make me smile.
NBA it's fantastic.
1-0 +2.00 units
Sunday, December 17, 2006
NBA Monday
Playing through the slump rather than taking a break. But if your reading my blog be very cautious. For Monday Golden State Warriors at New jersey Nets.
Warriors playing second of Back to Back road game and they are .500 ATS on the road which is better than Nets 5-9 ATS at home. Nets will be playing their 4th games in 6 days. Warriors are playing their 4th game in 5 days. Fatigue is evident in rebounding differential with both teams. I will take the Under here. Smaller position on GSW.
GSW/NJN UNDER 212 at -105 for 2 units*(Push)
This total kept climbing so hope players hit it at the higher number.
GSW +5.5 at -108 for 1 unit
*betting off Warriors
NO PLAY ON GSW
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Hornets at Heat.
Low numbers between these teams in Miami has the opening at 179. The combination of Hornets O/U road 4-8 combined with Heat O/U home 3-9 is compelling. Still I have to go with the Over even with both Chris Paul and Dwayne Wade in a spot for scoring drop from last game.
NO/MIA OVER 179 -110 for 2 units(W)
----------------------------------------------------------
Adding 2 First Quarter plays.
MIA -2 at -112 for 1 unit(W)
DAL -1 at -104 for 1 unit(W)
Whooah
3-0-1 +4.00 units
Warriors playing second of Back to Back road game and they are .500 ATS on the road which is better than Nets 5-9 ATS at home. Nets will be playing their 4th games in 6 days. Warriors are playing their 4th game in 5 days. Fatigue is evident in rebounding differential with both teams. I will take the Under here. Smaller position on GSW.
GSW/NJN UNDER 212 at -105 for 2 units*(Push)
This total kept climbing so hope players hit it at the higher number.
GSW +5.5 at -108 for 1 unit
*betting off Warriors
NO PLAY ON GSW
---------------------------------------------------------
Hornets at Heat.
Low numbers between these teams in Miami has the opening at 179. The combination of Hornets O/U road 4-8 combined with Heat O/U home 3-9 is compelling. Still I have to go with the Over even with both Chris Paul and Dwayne Wade in a spot for scoring drop from last game.
NO/MIA OVER 179 -110 for 2 units(W)
----------------------------------------------------------
Adding 2 First Quarter plays.
MIA -2 at -112 for 1 unit(W)
DAL -1 at -104 for 1 unit(W)
Whooah
3-0-1 +4.00 units
NBA Sunday
Sorry for missing Saturday plays & selections. I was running around all day including Stars vs Kings day game at Staples. For Sunday I'm planning to make another trip to Staples for Wizards vs Lakers.
Ofcourse I like the Lakers at home. Wizards are surging? Team on the rise? Wiz at home and Wiz on the road is two different animals. Oh, they beat New York and Philly recently on the road... That's not much of an accomplishment. Lakers 13-3 at home, 11-5 ATS with 1 day rest. Lakers own 12-1 vs Wiz last 13 head to head at home.
LAL -4 at -112 for 2 units(L)
Waiting 1st quarter Total with lean to Over.
WAS/LAL 1st Quarter Over 53 at -105 for 2 units(L)
I am going cold. Better look to fade my plays. Any Over, but 1st Quarter. Lakers come up huge in 4th quarter, tie the game and I thought for sure the momentum would take the win and cover....not to be. I guess they used that one up with Houston.
0-2 -4.34 units
Ofcourse I like the Lakers at home. Wizards are surging? Team on the rise? Wiz at home and Wiz on the road is two different animals. Oh, they beat New York and Philly recently on the road... That's not much of an accomplishment. Lakers 13-3 at home, 11-5 ATS with 1 day rest. Lakers own 12-1 vs Wiz last 13 head to head at home.
LAL -4 at -112 for 2 units(L)
Waiting 1st quarter Total with lean to Over.
WAS/LAL 1st Quarter Over 53 at -105 for 2 units(L)
I am going cold. Better look to fade my plays. Any Over, but 1st Quarter. Lakers come up huge in 4th quarter, tie the game and I thought for sure the momentum would take the win and cover....not to be. I guess they used that one up with Houston.
0-2 -4.34 units
Friday, December 15, 2006
NBA Friday
Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls.
Bulls are surging, but interestingly they lost the battle of the glass to Sonics in their last game. The rebound number for the Bulls have been one of the dominant point and key to their success. The low post game is coming to form and today they will return to cleaning glass. The Bucks are not shooting bad they are simply allowing too many points. Now today's total is high as I have seen in a long time between these two teams. Don't see a shootout, Chicago Bulls to control the game.
CHI -2 First Quarter -109 for 2 units(W)
MIL/CHI UNDER 202 at -111 for 2 units(L)
1-1 -0.22 units
Bulls are surging, but interestingly they lost the battle of the glass to Sonics in their last game. The rebound number for the Bulls have been one of the dominant point and key to their success. The low post game is coming to form and today they will return to cleaning glass. The Bucks are not shooting bad they are simply allowing too many points. Now today's total is high as I have seen in a long time between these two teams. Don't see a shootout, Chicago Bulls to control the game.
CHI -2 First Quarter -109 for 2 units(W)
MIL/CHI UNDER 202 at -111 for 2 units(L)
1-1 -0.22 units
Thursday, December 14, 2006
NBA Thursday
OK I'm ready to play the hardcourt. The late game is Houston at Golden State. Both teams missing players, but Rockets without T-Mac is the ying without the yang I know Yao misses him. Nelly's boys have been inconsistent Warriors at home needs to come out gunning.
GSW -1 First Quarter -112 for 1 unit(W)
Short and easy.
1-0 +1.00 unit
Was that a game or what. Davis downtown 3 pointer win Warriors SU win Houston cover ATS win. Wow!
GSW -1 First Quarter -112 for 1 unit(W)
Short and easy.
1-0 +1.00 unit
Was that a game or what. Davis downtown 3 pointer win Warriors SU win Houston cover ATS win. Wow!
Sunday, December 10, 2006
NBA Monday
Do I dare to go against the hottest team in NBA. Suns have not lost since 11/18 @UTA 117-120 OT coin flip game and now they have strung 10 SU wins only losing 2 ATS. Orlando has cooled off dropping 3 out of last 5 SU and 4 out of 5 ATS, but they catch Suns in a 4th game in 5 days on the road and taking Magic at pickem looks good to me.
ORL PK -114 for 1 unit(L)
PHO/ORL Under 210 at -104 for 1 unit(W)
1-1 -0.14 units
ORL PK -114 for 1 unit(L)
PHO/ORL Under 210 at -104 for 1 unit(W)
1-1 -0.14 units
NBA Sunday
Portland Trailblazers at Toronto Raptors.
It's late and I'm ready to fall asleep. The total has dropped nearly 5 points with 3 points variance between the books. The books failed to correctly narrow Toronto's total and now there is a Under bias. Raps average 100 and the bench improves nearly 9 points at home. Last game (12/8 @Chicago 90-93 SU loss, ATS cover) Morris Peterson returned, 13 points 2 boards, after missing 7 games. Bosh missed most of 2nd quarter with sore knee, but returned 13 points 12 boards (Bosh averages 20.5 points). Portland will go without suspended star Zach Randolph, but expect the rest of the team to step up and offensive bite will go to the guards Jarret Jack, Martell Webster, Juan Dixon and Sergio Rodriguez. Ime Udoka should bounce back, Jamaal Magloire Toronto native and Travis Outlaw coming off a good game.
POR/TOR Over 190.5 at -111 for 1 unit(L)
----------------------------------------------
Looking to add PHO 1st Quarter ATS. Be back when the line gets posted.
PHO -2 First Quarter -105 for 1 unit(L)
Suns come back in 2nd Half to take this SU & ATS...should of known.
0-2 -2.16 units
It's late and I'm ready to fall asleep. The total has dropped nearly 5 points with 3 points variance between the books. The books failed to correctly narrow Toronto's total and now there is a Under bias. Raps average 100 and the bench improves nearly 9 points at home. Last game (12/8 @Chicago 90-93 SU loss, ATS cover) Morris Peterson returned, 13 points 2 boards, after missing 7 games. Bosh missed most of 2nd quarter with sore knee, but returned 13 points 12 boards (Bosh averages 20.5 points). Portland will go without suspended star Zach Randolph, but expect the rest of the team to step up and offensive bite will go to the guards Jarret Jack, Martell Webster, Juan Dixon and Sergio Rodriguez. Ime Udoka should bounce back, Jamaal Magloire Toronto native and Travis Outlaw coming off a good game.
POR/TOR Over 190.5 at -111 for 1 unit(L)
----------------------------------------------
Looking to add PHO 1st Quarter ATS. Be back when the line gets posted.
PHO -2 First Quarter -105 for 1 unit(L)
Suns come back in 2nd Half to take this SU & ATS...should of known.
0-2 -2.16 units
Saturday, December 09, 2006
NBA Saturday
Back on the Numbers and today's game is Minnesota Timberwolves at Chicago Bulls. Minny coming off a win with rare triple digit scoring and points allowed (12/8 vs UTA 103-110) making today likely for point drop. Road numbers support with O/U 1-8. Chicago even with scoring surge and overall O/U record 11-8 the nature of their game is defensive and more so at home 3-5.
I know the number has dropped a little, but no matter.
MIN/CHI UNDER 189 -109 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
I know the number has dropped a little, but no matter.
MIN/CHI UNDER 189 -109 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Friday, December 08, 2006
NBA Friday
Getting ready for another trip. Some short games for today.
DEN -2.5 1st Quarter -105 for 2 units(W)
ORL -1 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(W)
WAS -1 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(L)
2-1 +2.95 units
DEN -2.5 1st Quarter -105 for 2 units(W)
ORL -1 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(W)
WAS -1 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(L)
2-1 +2.95 units
Thursday, December 07, 2006
NBA Thursday
Sometimes numbers are luring and dangerous. Take Detroit at Dallas total which opened at 191 and moved up a bit. The game is the return of Mavs to their home court one of the toughest in NBA. Detroit coming off 2 low scoring losses. The averages on recent form shows improvement on points being scored and allowed. Recent games show this to be a bounce back spot on points.
So this should go easy Over with these teams playing into high 90's+, but the problem is Detroit off 2 losses facing a top contender, Pistons will wants this game bad. That means containing the pace to make this in striking range.
DET/DAL Under 191.5 at -109 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 units
So this should go easy Over with these teams playing into high 90's+, but the problem is Detroit off 2 losses facing a top contender, Pistons will wants this game bad. That means containing the pace to make this in striking range.
DET/DAL Under 191.5 at -109 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 units
Tuesday, December 05, 2006
NBA Wednesday
Indy plays Under, but it wasn't their defense. Now they're home and they will host the young hot Orlando Magic. Stops have to come here at home if the Pacers are to defend their cout. Like the Under in this match-up. Pacers got the FG attemp number down to 76 after going 85+ for 5 straight games.
Orlando is a Under team O/U 6-13 with road O/U 3-8.
IND/ORL UNDER 189 at -118 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units
Orlando is a Under team O/U 6-13 with road O/U 3-8.
IND/ORL UNDER 189 at -118 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units
NBA Tuesday
I see 63% consensus on Seattle at home today. I guess the prediction is follow the ATS win with SU win and get things rolling in Seattle. That's hard to buy giving up points at this stage. JJ is quietly leading the scrappy Hawks to top of ATS and tonight they are getting good number. Hawks may have road disadvantage, but Sonics have a bigger home disadvantage.
Lets roll with the Hawks
ATL +5 at -110 for 3 units(L)
Didn't find out Ray Allen was out untill the line dropped to +3.5 and it was classic team step up with their star player out. I would of passed this game with time difference of 15 minutes or so.
0-1 -3.30 units
Lets roll with the Hawks
ATL +5 at -110 for 3 units(L)
Didn't find out Ray Allen was out untill the line dropped to +3.5 and it was classic team step up with their star player out. I would of passed this game with time difference of 15 minutes or so.
0-1 -3.30 units
Sunday, December 03, 2006
NBA Monday
I am a big fan of Dallas Mavericks and they are on a amazing run (8-2 L10 ATS and 10-0 SU), but Monday at Washington Mavs may disappoint.
Mavs have beat Kings and Raptors by double digits cruising to both wins and ATS cover. Wizards were embarrassed by Bulls in Chicago and last match (11/21 at Dallas 107-80) was schooled by Mavs. Most recent blow out combined with revenge factor on home court and getting points. On the early wagerline 74% consensus is on Dallas and this line should move at least to -4.5, but at Pinny the money is still on Washington +3.5 at -107.
It's the Monday Dog play and I'm just waiting to get more points.
Another good play here might be Gilbert Arenas to score above his average (25.4 points per game) as he is coming off 10 pints in 21:41 minutes at Chicago. Prop Play is O/U 27 points, I'll pass.
Line is still holding Washington +3.5 at -102 (+4 at -110 & +4.5 at -118) showing signs or sharp line movement where majority is on the Fav and line moves the other way. I may have to take this soon or wait just before game in the mean time hitting the short Overs.
DAL/WAS First Quarter 51.5 at -105 for 2 units(W)
DAL/WAS First Half 102.5 at -105 for 3 units (L)
-------------------------------------------------
If your looking at ATS winners Golden State should be on that list. Nelly has this team purring and their losses have been very tight (L10 games 5 SU losses,
12/2 110-115 MIL by 5, 11/29 106-108 IND by 2, 11/24 129-140 @DEN by 11, 11/22 112-115 DEN and 11/20 110-113 PHO by 3) San Antonio is not covering at home and although this is a revenge situation I see Warriors playing tenacious ball keeping this within 5 points differential.
GSW +8.5 at -108 for 2 units(L)
-------------------------------------------
Indiana is scoring points 4-1 Over L5 since starting their road trip. So are the Lakers going 4-1 Over L5. This is a game that looks Over on the surface, but Lakers Overs are tied into Koby scoring above his average of 26.4 points when he falls below average Lakers fall short of 100 points. Now in his last game against the Clips Koby scored 29 and team fell short of 100 points. Lakers totals run in streaks 5 Overs just ended with Clips 97-88 (185 with Total at 200) I also think Koby's score will fall to his average or below.
The Pacers have been crashing Overs on the road and I'm suspecting this may have peaked at 12/2 @DEN 101-121 (2nd leg of back to back on road) Indy is not winning by outscoring opponents they are allowing too many points. They have allowed 85+ shot attempts in all 5 of their current road trip when they have held Cleveland 11/24 to 68 and @Orlando 11/22 to 69. Defense returns for the battle at Staples.
IND/LAL UNDER 203.5 at -105 for 2units(W)
3-2 +2.31 units
Mavs have beat Kings and Raptors by double digits cruising to both wins and ATS cover. Wizards were embarrassed by Bulls in Chicago and last match (11/21 at Dallas 107-80) was schooled by Mavs. Most recent blow out combined with revenge factor on home court and getting points. On the early wagerline 74% consensus is on Dallas and this line should move at least to -4.5, but at Pinny the money is still on Washington +3.5 at -107.
It's the Monday Dog play and I'm just waiting to get more points.
Another good play here might be Gilbert Arenas to score above his average (25.4 points per game) as he is coming off 10 pints in 21:41 minutes at Chicago. Prop Play is O/U 27 points, I'll pass.
Line is still holding Washington +3.5 at -102 (+4 at -110 & +4.5 at -118) showing signs or sharp line movement where majority is on the Fav and line moves the other way. I may have to take this soon or wait just before game in the mean time hitting the short Overs.
DAL/WAS First Quarter 51.5 at -105 for 2 units(W)
DAL/WAS First Half 102.5 at -105 for 3 units (L)
WTF, game Totals dropped and ATS is not moving!
WAS +4.5 at -116 for 3 units(W) (1 point buy, missed -114)
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If your looking at ATS winners Golden State should be on that list. Nelly has this team purring and their losses have been very tight (L10 games 5 SU losses,
12/2 110-115 MIL by 5, 11/29 106-108 IND by 2, 11/24 129-140 @DEN by 11, 11/22 112-115 DEN and 11/20 110-113 PHO by 3) San Antonio is not covering at home and although this is a revenge situation I see Warriors playing tenacious ball keeping this within 5 points differential.
GSW +8.5 at -108 for 2 units(L)
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Indiana is scoring points 4-1 Over L5 since starting their road trip. So are the Lakers going 4-1 Over L5. This is a game that looks Over on the surface, but Lakers Overs are tied into Koby scoring above his average of 26.4 points when he falls below average Lakers fall short of 100 points. Now in his last game against the Clips Koby scored 29 and team fell short of 100 points. Lakers totals run in streaks 5 Overs just ended with Clips 97-88 (185 with Total at 200) I also think Koby's score will fall to his average or below.
The Pacers have been crashing Overs on the road and I'm suspecting this may have peaked at 12/2 @DEN 101-121 (2nd leg of back to back on road) Indy is not winning by outscoring opponents they are allowing too many points. They have allowed 85+ shot attempts in all 5 of their current road trip when they have held Cleveland 11/24 to 68 and @Orlando 11/22 to 69. Defense returns for the battle at Staples.
IND/LAL UNDER 203.5 at -105 for 2units(W)
3-2 +2.31 units
NBA Sunday
Should I take a break? Maybe I should, but Clippers are simply playing bad and it's not going to help getting Orlando on 2nd of back to back home game.
Play is short and this will be it for tonight.
ORL +0.5 at -116 for 2 units(L)
Can't get any breaks lately.
0-1 -2.32 units
Play is short and this will be it for tonight.
ORL +0.5 at -116 for 2 units(L)
Can't get any breaks lately.
0-1 -2.32 units
Saturday, December 02, 2006
NBA Saturday
Short on time to breakdown these plays, but these are what I'm on.
Play at your own risk....I should have a bounce back day.
PHL/NJN UNDER 198 at -116 for 1 unit(L)
SAC/SAS UNDER -190 at -119 for 1 unit(L)
MIA +1 First Quarter at -112 for 3 units(W)
1-2 +0.65 units
Play at your own risk....I should have a bounce back day.
PHL/NJN UNDER 198 at -116 for 1 unit(L)
SAC/SAS UNDER -190 at -119 for 1 unit(L)
MIA +1 First Quarter at -112 for 3 units(W)
1-2 +0.65 units
Friday, December 01, 2006
NBA Friday
Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns.
They say Amare's still not 100%, but the man is starting to take over the inside and his moves are getting faster. Talk about big athletic guy with moves he is fun to watch. Suns are tough in December and their offensive surge is right on queue. I just don't like them squandering big leads in the second half.
Bucks getting fat points for the game, but losing on the board and allowing opponents just as many attempts with good looks.
PHO -5.5 First Half at -105 for 3 units(L)
0-1 -3.15 units
They say Amare's still not 100%, but the man is starting to take over the inside and his moves are getting faster. Talk about big athletic guy with moves he is fun to watch. Suns are tough in December and their offensive surge is right on queue. I just don't like them squandering big leads in the second half.
Bucks getting fat points for the game, but losing on the board and allowing opponents just as many attempts with good looks.
PHO -5.5 First Half at -105 for 3 units(L)
0-1 -3.15 units
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