Friday, November 30, 2012

NBA Friday

9-5-1  3,560

Portland Trailblazers at Boston Celtics
The Blazers on the road for 7 games stretch and they've dropped the first the Brooklyn, in low scoring game, then at Detroit, got the score up over 100, but gave up more, and the winless Washington Wizards are winless no more thanks to the Blazers. Boston on the other side lost Rajon Rondo on 2 game suspension. Coming off a low scoring loss to Brooklyn this one looks to improve with production in the paint. Although Boston at home is not be taken lightly Portland feeling a bit caught as the first team to lose to Washington when they could of pulled out a win. The Blazers have had ATS success with Boston and they will look to get their first road win on their trip. I think they will take this game with Celtics lacking stability.

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS -108 for 1 unit(L)

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

NBA Tuesday

8-5-1  2,560

Phoenix Suns at Cleveland Cavaliers
This game has that UNDER feel to it since the line opened and the market has pushed the number down to 201.5 from 204. It's understandable Cleveland coming off 78-84 SU loss ATS +12 cover and way UNDER 193 by -31 points. Second leg of away home B2B and they are UNDER at home so far 3-1. Visiting Suns are simply not good on the road. Their performance drops and I think this game will sink UNDER. I don't recommend chasing lines, I already got it at the open 204, but I will recommend the number based on this situation in Cleveland.

PHOENIX SUNS at CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Game Total UNDER 201.5 at -105(W)

Saturday, November 24, 2012

NBA Saturday

7-5-1 1,560

Los Angeles Clippers at Atlanta Hawks
The Clips drop 2 in a row, at Oklahoma then Brooklyn as a road favorite and second half scoring comes to a grind in 76-86 finish. They had won 6 in a row prior, but the spike came on two ends of it's Total. One at Oklahoma with season's highest score and the lowest scoring game in Brooklyn. This game looks to adjust back towards the middle. Atlanta has scored in triple digits twice in a row making it 3 times in last 4 games which is a turn from their earlier games and although this match up back in Nov.11th went Under by 30 points, second lowest scoring game this season for both teams, the adjustment from the Books are too low.
L.A. O/U 12-7 after scoring 85 points or less. Atlanta home game Total between 185 to 189.5 O/U 13-10 Last two meetings in Atlanta has gone Over and 10 out of 15 has gone Over.  In proceeding game expect some point decline from Atlanta, but bigger point increase from L.A. going Over this low Total.

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS at ATLANTA HAWAKS
Game Total OVER 188 at -105 for 1unit(W)
93-104 That's a OVER.

Tuesday, November 20, 2012

NBA Tuesday

7-3-1 3,760

Had a excellent night yesterday going 2-0. Games are getting warmer, but still November and there's the College hoops (Doesn't get posted) which we are hitting higher percentage then NBA. Not to worry though it's not about which sports to play on, but to have the best option available which means having abundance of choices. You also have a choice of A or B or none of the above and it never hurts to take none of the above.

Brooklyn Nets at Los Angeles Lakers
The Total is creeping up a bit, but while the Lakers play at home we are tracking the Over. Let's look at the Nets past games. In small sample they are O/U 0-3 on the road. Went Under at Sacramento after taking two straight Over's at home. Their previous high total of 208 at Miami on 11/7 went crashing Under by 32 points, was not even close 73-103 loss. However the Nets very capable of scoring in triple digits only missed the century mark by 1 point and with point declines in three straight games this one is very likely to go Over. Lakers in tradition with past great Lakers teams have always excelled in open court, their defense will come around more likely on the road, with so many weapons. Keeping the pedal to the metal. The Lake Show and total Over.

BROOKLYN NETS at LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Game Total OVER 208 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

LOS ANGELES LAKERS -6.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
That was a mess 0-2

Monday, November 19, 2012

NBA Monday

5-3-1  1,760

My friend Batis always used to say Mondays are dog day and that's the way we're capping.

Orlando Magic at Atlanta Hawaks
Orlando in play with the Hawks heavily favored at -10. The under estimated Magic is sliding with 6 losses out of last 7 failing to reach 100 points in all 6 of those losses. Atlanta has dominated the Magic in past 10 matches and they are coming off a 112-96 win at Sacramento beating the spread by double digits. The trouble with Hawks big margin wins have been the following game giving up big points, recall win at Oklahoma by 9 as a +9 point dog winning margin of 18 points then no cover ATS giving up -4 against Indiana. The loss at Golden State was also following 10 point margin win at Portland. Magic gets no love Orlando on 3rd game in 4 days, but still in a bounce back spot and this schedule comes after 2 day off.
Going with the Orlando dog.

ORLANDO MAGIC +10.5 at -109 for 1 unit(W)

ORLANDO MAGIC at ATLANTA HAWKS
Game Total UNDER 187 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
 Better known as the "Back door Cover" and for those who were on the Hawks "Back door Moose"  

Sunday, November 18, 2012

NBA Sunday

3-3-1  -270

Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Lakers
Following up on my wager notes Michael D'Antoni will officially coach his first game recovering knees and all. He says if the Lakers are not scoring 110 to 120 his scheme is not working right. That scheme was on the money against the Phoenix Suns. Now this game receives the highest total yet at 205.5 against Houston Rockets which interestingly has 3 straight Over's. Followers of Houston Over's were in for a rude awakening when they racked up two plus 100 games to start the season than missed the 206 Over against Portland by 26 points. So players burned on that game isn't so hot to jump on this Over, however Houston is playing Over on the road in season's small sampling is enough to support the Lakers carrying the Over and this match will provide retooling of Lakers game total.

HOUSTON ROCKETS at LOS ANGELES LAKER
Game Total First Half Over 103 at -110(W)
Game Total Over 204.5 at -105(W)

Friday, November 16, 2012

NBA Wager Notes

Los Angeles Lakers on the Staple Center hard court against the visiting Suns and already have implemented the D'Antoni brand of run and gun style. The change is significant in form and this particular game should be a good indicator on how fast this Lakers team can rack points. Shooting clear past 30 points in 1st quarter and defense is really loose. Wouldn't you say this game sails Over 201.5? Suns holding ground and keeping pace, can they last at this pace? Back to back impact will also be greater too at this speed.

Monday, November 05, 2012

NBA Monday

3-2-1 800

Cleveland Cavaliers at Los Angeles Clippers
Clippers coming off a upset loss at home to the under manned Golden State Warrriors. Every Clippers starter fell below their average performance in that loss. Now here comes Clippers nemesis the Cleveland Cavaliers coming off a ATS win SU loss. That was a game Cavs recovered in the second half and I like teams coming off a ATS cover. However Cavs timing to L.A. is not good and Clippers look to take their past losses and upset loss frustrations out on this Cleveland team. Going with L.A. to bounce back at home.

L.A. CLIPPERS -10 at -107 for 1 unit(L)

Saturday, November 03, 2012

NBA Saturday

2-2-1 -200

Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards
Last night's Celtics home loss to the defense minded Bucks still lacked what Boston is trying to will on their opponents. Which is to shut down their offense.  Boston did a pretty good job in the first half, but Milwaukee got their offense going in the second and they could of easily reached the century mark just dumb luck it held at 99 points. I feel the theme tonight will yet again try to improve their defense and the Wizards have a good chance falling to score tonight. Backing the Under in Boston's home road back to back.

BOSTON CELTICS at WASHINGTON WIZARDS
Game Total UNDER 191 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Boston didn't cover ATS, but we dodge Pargo's 3 at the end to take this Under!

Friday, November 02, 2012

NBA Friday

1-2-1 -1,200

Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics
Boston failed to continue the NBA Champs opening game curse losing in Miami, SU & ATS, in very un-Celtic like defensive break down. Not since 2009 has Boston allowed 120 points to be scored. It's likely Milwaukee's scoring will come down to grinding pace today. The Bucks will clog the paint with Scott Skiles defensive scheme. Now with Samuel Dalembert and Joel Przybilla Milwaukee has six 6'10" plus players better suited for Skiles style of play than last season. This match up has produced extremely low scoring games at the TD Garden and nature of these two teams will hold true again.

MILWAUKEE BUCKS at BOSTON CELTICS
Game Total UNDER 196.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Thursday, November 01, 2012

NBA Thursday

1-2   -1.200

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs
Not all that big on this game. The wagering consensus is on Thunder, but I wouldn't call it a public play it's more like 66%. I'm sure the Thunder does not want to disappoint any expectations and they'll be ready to battle the Spurs. Getting some points however small with contending OKC seems like the way to go for many, but short favorites are San Antonio specialty and current total rising from 201 to 204 also points to San Antonio at home. Just the Spurs being at home, under estimated, is good enough for me.

SAN ANTONIO SPURS -2 at -105 for 1 unit(Push)