It's Friday we need to knock one down here. 0-1 last selection. YTD 43-31-1 +20.52 units
B-bop tonight backing the Total.
Washington Wizards at Philadelphia 76ers Total 195.5
76ers have been playing games UNDER (O/U 5-9), calling card for Atlantic teams, bottom among their peers and pronounced at home (O/U 2-5) also boasts #7 defense ranking. But 4-10 record explains a team with lack of scoring who has only 2 SU wins at home to show their fans. Now enter this revenge match against Washington, who crushed them 11/20 @WAS 116-101 with 58 points in the paint, with Andre Iguodala hitting only 3-11. Since that time 76ers strung 3 consecutive ATS wins before losing to Utah.
Wizards are on the other side of Total (O/U 9-6) only Over bias team in South East and more so Over on the road (O/U 6-3) San Antonio kept them below -100 points, but that game still went Over and they are consistently scoring in the paint. They may not get to 116 points this time, but Over is still suspect.
This number is looking to take a drop [12:24 pst] Watch for entry point.
WAS/PHL OVER 194.5 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
Timed the bottom perfectly and still lost by a mile. Sorry fellas hope the tide turns, but College hoops and hockey is doing well so stay in the loop and we'll skin the cat one way or another.
0-1 -1.07 units
Friday, November 30, 2007
Thursday, November 29, 2007
NBA Thursday
0-1 last selection YTD 43-30-1 +21.64 units
Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers
Looking to catch this game at Staples Center. Interesting match up of under achieved? That's what I see, high expectation teams playing losing games. They started hot, but getting balanced out losing of late. What stands out in this game is 13-2 Lakers home record against the Nuggets, but last time they met in L.A. Nuggets won and most of that record reflects pre A.I. & Carmello combination not to mention 3-1 Nuggets series win last season. Denver has been short handed and banged up, usually a great spot for a blow out, so what's wrong with the Lakers? It's not a hurting from injuries, but fundamentally out of tune. Their last game against Seattle, 11/27 106-99 home win, was ATS loss giving -12 points which looked like a blow out at the end of 3rd quarter only to allow Sonics back into the game in the 4th. Before that was Nets game, clearly dominating in the 1st half only to allow them back and lose in the 2nd half. What changed? Andrew Bynum moved into the starters role with Kwame Brown out and backups Brian Cook and Maurice Evans have been shipped out to Orlando. That last game reserves combined to score only 23 points.
Wounded Nuggets getting points is very dangerous here.
NUGGETS +6 at -112 for 1 unit(L)
Yeah +60% shooting for Nuggets in the first quarter and all down hill from there.
I saw it coming as I watched the game (called in 2nd Half Lakers -4) and watched the blow out. Sorry I couldn't publish the play.
0-1 -1.12 units
Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers
Looking to catch this game at Staples Center. Interesting match up of under achieved? That's what I see, high expectation teams playing losing games. They started hot, but getting balanced out losing of late. What stands out in this game is 13-2 Lakers home record against the Nuggets, but last time they met in L.A. Nuggets won and most of that record reflects pre A.I. & Carmello combination not to mention 3-1 Nuggets series win last season. Denver has been short handed and banged up, usually a great spot for a blow out, so what's wrong with the Lakers? It's not a hurting from injuries, but fundamentally out of tune. Their last game against Seattle, 11/27 106-99 home win, was ATS loss giving -12 points which looked like a blow out at the end of 3rd quarter only to allow Sonics back into the game in the 4th. Before that was Nets game, clearly dominating in the 1st half only to allow them back and lose in the 2nd half. What changed? Andrew Bynum moved into the starters role with Kwame Brown out and backups Brian Cook and Maurice Evans have been shipped out to Orlando. That last game reserves combined to score only 23 points.
Wounded Nuggets getting points is very dangerous here.
NUGGETS +6 at -112 for 1 unit(L)
Yeah +60% shooting for Nuggets in the first quarter and all down hill from there.
I saw it coming as I watched the game (called in 2nd Half Lakers -4) and watched the blow out. Sorry I couldn't publish the play.
0-1 -1.12 units
Wednesday, November 28, 2007
NBA Wednesday
0-1 last selection. YTD 43-29-1 +22.73 units
Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns
We have another 205.5 Total and there are Over resistance in this game, but nature of this match up in Phoenix is to rack up the points.
OVER 205.5 at -109 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.09 units
Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns
We have another 205.5 Total and there are Over resistance in this game, but nature of this match up in Phoenix is to rack up the points.
OVER 205.5 at -109 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.09 units
Tuesday, November 27, 2007
NBA Tuesday
3-1 last selection YTD 43-28-1 +23.77 units
What's going on fellas? Clips just could not score last night keeping the score Under, but that was the only loss going 3-1. Today we are tracking a Total on the rise unlike our early Under position moved higher. The play will be published as soon as the number comes into trading range.
Today the game is Memphis Grizzlies at New Jersey Nets.
The scoring optimists have push this number driven by thoughts of Carter's return to averaging his score and Grizz providing no D to help his cause. Maybe they all saw the score rise to combined 242 on 11/24 WAS@MEM, but keep in mind Nets are stingy at home. High scoring output will cool tonight.
MEMPHIS /NEW JERSEY UNDER 205.5 at -104 for 1 unit(L)
BTW our NCAA Basketball plays are hitting 16-4.
0-1 -1.04 units
What's going on fellas? Clips just could not score last night keeping the score Under, but that was the only loss going 3-1. Today we are tracking a Total on the rise unlike our early Under position moved higher. The play will be published as soon as the number comes into trading range.
Today the game is Memphis Grizzlies at New Jersey Nets.
The scoring optimists have push this number driven by thoughts of Carter's return to averaging his score and Grizz providing no D to help his cause. Maybe they all saw the score rise to combined 242 on 11/24 WAS@MEM, but keep in mind Nets are stingy at home. High scoring output will cool tonight.
MEMPHIS /NEW JERSEY UNDER 205.5 at -104 for 1 unit(L)
BTW our NCAA Basketball plays are hitting 16-4.
0-1 -1.04 units
Sunday, November 25, 2007
NBA Monday
1-2 last selection YTD 40-27 +21.82 units
Orlando Magic at Portland Trailblazers
*This line has moved against me and now 202 can be had at on UNDER +100, Though 4 point move is big I will hold this position. If it's good enough the play will hit, but on a chance that it's not I keep the play at 1 unit.
Score total UNDER 198 at -110 for 1 unit(W) won it on original line!
Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Hornets
Score total OVER 183.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings
KINGS +6.5 at +104 for 1 unit(W) SU winner
Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Clippers
Score total OVER 188.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
3-1 +1.95 units
Orlando Magic at Portland Trailblazers
*This line has moved against me and now 202 can be had at on UNDER +100, Though 4 point move is big I will hold this position. If it's good enough the play will hit, but on a chance that it's not I keep the play at 1 unit.
Score total UNDER 198 at -110 for 1 unit(W) won it on original line!
Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Hornets
Score total OVER 183.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings
KINGS +6.5 at +104 for 1 unit(W) SU winner
Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Clippers
Score total OVER 188.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
3-1 +1.95 units
NBA Sunday
1-0 yesterday. YTD 39-25-1 +21.82 units
Yeah it's early in the morning. You never know when thinking minds are at work. Didn't see a selection? Keep your shirts on the play will be in more or less 17:00 pst. This game of the day has been moving my way since it opened San Antonio Spurs at Seattle Supersonics. Dog at home against .500 ATS team is Supersonics. Down, but seldom out will be getting hefty +10 points at Key Arena. I do see them trailing, but look for them to hang around long enough to cover
SEA +10 at +102 for 1 unit(L)
SEA +10 at +106 for 1 unit(L)
2nd Half
SPURS -7 at -107 for 2 unit(W)
1-2 Even money
Yeah it's early in the morning. You never know when thinking minds are at work. Didn't see a selection? Keep your shirts on the play will be in more or less 17:00 pst. This game of the day has been moving my way since it opened San Antonio Spurs at Seattle Supersonics. Dog at home against .500 ATS team is Supersonics. Down, but seldom out will be getting hefty +10 points at Key Arena. I do see them trailing, but look for them to hang around long enough to cover
SEA +10 at +102 for 1 unit(L)
SEA +10 at +106 for 1 unit(L)
2nd Half
SPURS -7 at -107 for 2 unit(W)
1-2 Even money
Friday, November 23, 2007
NBA Saturday
2-2 last selection YTD 38-25 +20.82 units
Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks
NY has issues, but it doesn't fall 3 point home dog against Chicago. Knicks show better offensive promise with good numbers on the glass. Bulls shooting 40% and below 7 out of 10 and dismal on the road. Early reverse line movement against the Bull with 69% consensus on Chicago.
NYK +2.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks
NY has issues, but it doesn't fall 3 point home dog against Chicago. Knicks show better offensive promise with good numbers on the glass. Bulls shooting 40% and below 7 out of 10 and dismal on the road. Early reverse line movement against the Bull with 69% consensus on Chicago.
NYK +2.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
NBA Day After Thanksgiving Friday
0-1 last selection YTD 36-23-1 +19.85 units
We had a blast yesterday with all the Cappers giving thanks for their ability to take down the games with passion. We all made money had a great time look forward to doing it again. I don't know why we don't have this much collaboration on regular basis, but I guess that's just one-up -manship in this thing that we do.
.
Houston Rockets at Miami Heat
We have a sinking low total and both of these teams are increasing their number. Under bias differs from Over as public deception is greater on the latter, but momentum is building dropping below critical 180 and we will pick up the Over at the bottom.
HOU/MIA OVER 179 at -115 for 1 unit(W)
------------------------------------------
Lakers at Boston C's
Backing the team from LA, Koby & Gang will cool the Celtics getting +8 points and Lakers D is much better than rated by public.
West Coast Baby!
Lakers +8 at -103 for 1 unit(L)
-----------------------------------------
New Jersey Nets at Seattle Sonics
Taking Seattle at Seattle and get +3 at a very nice price.
SEA +3 +107 for 1 unit(L)
NJN/SEA UNDER 196.5 at -105 for 2 units(W)
2-2 +0.97 units
We had a blast yesterday with all the Cappers giving thanks for their ability to take down the games with passion. We all made money had a great time look forward to doing it again. I don't know why we don't have this much collaboration on regular basis, but I guess that's just one-up -manship in this thing that we do.
.
Houston Rockets at Miami Heat
We have a sinking low total and both of these teams are increasing their number. Under bias differs from Over as public deception is greater on the latter, but momentum is building dropping below critical 180 and we will pick up the Over at the bottom.
HOU/MIA OVER 179 at -115 for 1 unit(W)
------------------------------------------
Lakers at Boston C's
Backing the team from LA, Koby & Gang will cool the Celtics getting +8 points and Lakers D is much better than rated by public.
West Coast Baby!
Lakers +8 at -103 for 1 unit(L)
-----------------------------------------
New Jersey Nets at Seattle Sonics
Taking Seattle at Seattle and get +3 at a very nice price.
SEA +3 +107 for 1 unit(L)
NJN/SEA UNDER 196.5 at -105 for 2 units(W)
2-2 +0.97 units
Tuesday, November 20, 2007
NBA Wednesday
1-2 last selection 36-22 +20.97 units
Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks
Sorry I hesitated on Los Angeles, that's my home team man, I'll take them tonight and should of taken them at PK. Los Angeles is much deeper, even with Cookie and Evans gone to Magic for Ariza, than Milwaukee. I'd say Bucks used up more gas than Lakers in the first of the back to back
LAKERS -1 at -112 for 1 unit(L)
Absolutely dismal call got slaughtered with the sheeps. That was a rookie mistake.
0-1 -1.12 units
Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks
Sorry I hesitated on Los Angeles, that's my home team man, I'll take them tonight and should of taken them at PK. Los Angeles is much deeper, even with Cookie and Evans gone to Magic for Ariza, than Milwaukee. I'd say Bucks used up more gas than Lakers in the first of the back to back
LAKERS -1 at -112 for 1 unit(L)
Absolutely dismal call got slaughtered with the sheeps. That was a rookie mistake.
0-1 -1.12 units
Monday, November 19, 2007
NBA Tuesday
0-1-1 last selection YTD 35-20-1 +21.04 units
Enough of this mediocrity one play for me tomorrow and if the line improves I'll hit it again.
Los Angeles Lakers at Indiana Pacers
I don't care about how impressive the bench was it's about the score and I will take the Under with the posted number. Now the Lakers look good I do admit, but it's the first of the East coast trip and home team is coming off 57.9% shooting, that's best this season for Pacers, that competitive momentum might carry over. I prefer to chance the shooting percentage to drop and Lakers Defense holding opponents to 39.2% in last 5 games to keep pacers below -99 points while LA fails to reach above +99 points. I understand Lakers recent matches strung series of depleted teams, but this number still looks too high.
Cast this line at Matchbook you'll probably catch higher, but I'll be on the look out for 208.
LAKERS/PACERS UNDER 207 at +110 for 1 unit(L)
LAKERS/PACERS UNDER 208 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
I know I should leave it alone, but going with Kings at Arco arena. Suns in full strength is no joke, but we will be getting +8 point at one of NBA's strongest home court.
KINGS +8 at 100 for 2 units(W)
Damage held to minimum
1-2 -0.07 units
Enough of this mediocrity one play for me tomorrow and if the line improves I'll hit it again.
Los Angeles Lakers at Indiana Pacers
I don't care about how impressive the bench was it's about the score and I will take the Under with the posted number. Now the Lakers look good I do admit, but it's the first of the East coast trip and home team is coming off 57.9% shooting, that's best this season for Pacers, that competitive momentum might carry over. I prefer to chance the shooting percentage to drop and Lakers Defense holding opponents to 39.2% in last 5 games to keep pacers below -99 points while LA fails to reach above +99 points. I understand Lakers recent matches strung series of depleted teams, but this number still looks too high.
Cast this line at Matchbook you'll probably catch higher, but I'll be on the look out for 208.
LAKERS/PACERS UNDER 207 at +110 for 1 unit(L)
LAKERS/PACERS UNDER 208 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
I know I should leave it alone, but going with Kings at Arco arena. Suns in full strength is no joke, but we will be getting +8 point at one of NBA's strongest home court.
KINGS +8 at 100 for 2 units(W)
Damage held to minimum
1-2 -0.07 units
NBA Monday
2-2 last selection YTD 35-19 +22.14 units
2nd Half Plays in effect.
SEA/MEM 2nd Half UNDER 106 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
NO 2nd Half -3 at -103 for 1 unit(Push)
Why did I even bother?
0-1-1 -1.10 units
2nd Half Plays in effect.
SEA/MEM 2nd Half UNDER 106 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
NO 2nd Half -3 at -103 for 1 unit(Push)
Why did I even bother?
0-1-1 -1.10 units
Saturday, November 17, 2007
NBA Sunday
8-0 yesterday with double digit take. YTD 33-17 +22.24 units Still celebrating a bit, but I will take a short break and place a advisory notice for Toronto Raptors -1.5 First Quarter when it comes out. It's 10am Pacific game so I'm pretty sure I won't be back in time to publish in the morning.
Catch it early. *Play is (L)
Smart to lay off the game, but not smart enough to take down the pick.
Detroit Pistons at Sacramento Kings
Pistons west coast swing has been brutal, 3 out of 4 ATS losses, also broke string of 3 Over's although allowing +99 in all 4 games. They continue with depleted line up and will be giving up -5 points at Arco. Kings 3-6 are 4-5 ATS, but 5 losses all come away and they have not lost ATS at home. With over 70% consensus on Detroit and Total climbing Over by better than 2 points I will go against the grain on both ends.
KINGS +5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
UNDER 196 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
SAC 2ND HALF +1 for -110 for 1 unit(W)
Counting the 1st quarter play on Raps as a loss.
2-2 -0.10 units
Catch it early. *Play is (L)
Smart to lay off the game, but not smart enough to take down the pick.
Detroit Pistons at Sacramento Kings
Pistons west coast swing has been brutal, 3 out of 4 ATS losses, also broke string of 3 Over's although allowing +99 in all 4 games. They continue with depleted line up and will be giving up -5 points at Arco. Kings 3-6 are 4-5 ATS, but 5 losses all come away and they have not lost ATS at home. With over 70% consensus on Detroit and Total climbing Over by better than 2 points I will go against the grain on both ends.
KINGS +5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
UNDER 196 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
SAC 2ND HALF +1 for -110 for 1 unit(W)
Counting the 1st quarter play on Raps as a loss.
2-2 -0.10 units
Friday, November 16, 2007
NBA Saturday
1-2 last selection with a OT loss on NYK/SAC Under that was in the bag! YTD 23-17 +12.24
Moving on...
Seattle at Charlotte
Cats to cool Supersonic offense
SEA/CHA UNDER 196.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
add
SEA/CHA UNDER 199 at -102 for 2 units(W)
Portland at Washington
Like Wizards to have a strong showing. Giving -6 points
WAS -6 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Memphis at Dallas Total 210
Just score baby.
OVER 210 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Phoenix at Houston
Suns in full strength Rockets are not.
SUNS -5.5 at -110 for 2 units(W)
Saturday morning and 3 out of 4 lines have moved to my favor. The one game, SEA/CHA U196.5 is now 197, was a game I did consider waiting, but with unpredictable mornings I didn't want to chance not being able to update the selection and 197 at -110 is just a bookie mind-play you could still sell -0.5 points and the price for 196.5 is -106 (Pinny lines) I think the number (total) is pretty strong, but scoring trajectory above the total today is significantly low.
This is what I think about these two teams.
SEA
Playing 4th game in 5 day on road, coming off OT win in Atlanta recording second straight up win back to back. Excluding @ORL 11/11 blow out loss this young squad is 4-1 last 5 ATS. Offense has produced +99 points 5 out of 10 games exceeding Over total in 4 out of 5 situations. Defense has allowed +99 points 9 out of 10 games exceeding Over total in 4 out of 9 situations.
Current Odds Total average is 208.85 and game Total average is 209.
(SA=shot attempted made% PITP=Points in the Paint)
10/31 96 SA 41.7% 28 PITP 52 Boards 103-120 road loss Nuggets
11/01 99 SA 41.4% 46 PITP 50 Boards 106-99 home loss Suns
11/04 93 SA 47.0% 40 PITP 47 Boards 101-115 road loss Clippers
11/06 79 SA 48.1% 30 PITP 42 Boards 98-104 road loss Kings
11/07 85 SA 45.9% 52 PITP 45 Boards 105-98 home loss Grizzlies
11/09 85 SA 47.1% 66 PITP 38 Boards 101-103 home loss Jazz
11/11 86 SA 43.0% 46 PITP 47 Boards 103-107 home loss Pistons
11/13 96 SA 34.4% 46 PITP 44 Boards 103-76 road loss Magic
11/14 75 SA 49.3% 38 PITP 52 Boards 104-95 road win Heat
11/16 99 SA 47.5% 50 PITP 43 Boards 126-123 OT road win Hawks (107-107 regulation)
CHA
Last played on 11/14, @ATL loss in high pace game which was 2nd of back to back where Hawks played aggressive out of the gate and took the game in the 1st quarter. Before losing that last game Cats recorded 3 straight ATS home wins. Offense has produced +99 points 2 out of 8 games both of those situation exceeded Over total. Defense has allowed +99 points 2 out of 8 games exceeding Over total in 1 of 2 situations.
Current odds Total average is 190.81 and game Total average is 184.65
11/02 76 SA 48.7% 54 PITP 44 Boards 102-99 home win Bucks
11/04 69 SA 46.4% 34 PITP 40 Boards 90-88 road win Heat
11/06 82 SA 35.6% 38 PITP 51 Boards 115-83 home loss Suns
11/07 75 SA 30.7% 28 PITP 46 Boards 63-94 road loss 76ers
11/09 71 SA 45.1% 26 PITP 52 Boards 96-87 home win Pacers
11/11 78 SA 39.7% 32 PITP 34 Boards 82-85 home loss Rockets
11/13 79 SA 43.0% 34 PITP 47 Boards 76-91 home win Heat
11/14 83 SA 49.4% 44 PITP 29 Boards 117-109 road loss Hawks
Sonics will surely feel their legs in this match, but these guys are playing with abandonment. Cats will certainly look to contain the pace and methodically attack one of the weakest defense in the Association.
True to line differential Cats are 1-4 O/U at home. The lesson they have fresh on their mind is 59.7% shooting allowed and whopping 62 PITP. That rebounding number was dismal too and all should improve on defense.
*This total has moved 2.5 points better and that is a added play*
I like to get into the others, but again I am out of time. Couple of First Quarter add on's
WAS -1.5 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(W)
SUN -1.5 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(W)
Received interesting angle on Memphis and I will add this play.
MEM +14.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Good day and good luck!
Wow, wow, wow! Big day perfect in every way!!!
8-0 +10.00 units
Moving on...
Seattle at Charlotte
Cats to cool Supersonic offense
SEA/CHA UNDER 196.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
add
SEA/CHA UNDER 199 at -102 for 2 units(W)
Portland at Washington
Like Wizards to have a strong showing. Giving -6 points
WAS -6 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Memphis at Dallas Total 210
Just score baby.
OVER 210 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Phoenix at Houston
Suns in full strength Rockets are not.
SUNS -5.5 at -110 for 2 units(W)
Saturday morning and 3 out of 4 lines have moved to my favor. The one game, SEA/CHA U196.5 is now 197, was a game I did consider waiting, but with unpredictable mornings I didn't want to chance not being able to update the selection and 197 at -110 is just a bookie mind-play you could still sell -0.5 points and the price for 196.5 is -106 (Pinny lines) I think the number (total) is pretty strong, but scoring trajectory above the total today is significantly low.
This is what I think about these two teams.
SEA
Playing 4th game in 5 day on road, coming off OT win in Atlanta recording second straight up win back to back. Excluding @ORL 11/11 blow out loss this young squad is 4-1 last 5 ATS. Offense has produced +99 points 5 out of 10 games exceeding Over total in 4 out of 5 situations. Defense has allowed +99 points 9 out of 10 games exceeding Over total in 4 out of 9 situations.
Current Odds Total average is 208.85 and game Total average is 209.
(SA=shot attempted made% PITP=Points in the Paint)
10/31 96 SA 41.7% 28 PITP 52 Boards 103-120 road loss Nuggets
11/01 99 SA 41.4% 46 PITP 50 Boards 106-99 home loss Suns
11/04 93 SA 47.0% 40 PITP 47 Boards 101-115 road loss Clippers
11/06 79 SA 48.1% 30 PITP 42 Boards 98-104 road loss Kings
11/07 85 SA 45.9% 52 PITP 45 Boards 105-98 home loss Grizzlies
11/09 85 SA 47.1% 66 PITP 38 Boards 101-103 home loss Jazz
11/11 86 SA 43.0% 46 PITP 47 Boards 103-107 home loss Pistons
11/13 96 SA 34.4% 46 PITP 44 Boards 103-76 road loss Magic
11/14 75 SA 49.3% 38 PITP 52 Boards 104-95 road win Heat
11/16 99 SA 47.5% 50 PITP 43 Boards 126-123 OT road win Hawks (107-107 regulation)
CHA
Last played on 11/14, @ATL loss in high pace game which was 2nd of back to back where Hawks played aggressive out of the gate and took the game in the 1st quarter. Before losing that last game Cats recorded 3 straight ATS home wins. Offense has produced +99 points 2 out of 8 games both of those situation exceeded Over total. Defense has allowed +99 points 2 out of 8 games exceeding Over total in 1 of 2 situations.
Current odds Total average is 190.81 and game Total average is 184.65
11/02 76 SA 48.7% 54 PITP 44 Boards 102-99 home win Bucks
11/04 69 SA 46.4% 34 PITP 40 Boards 90-88 road win Heat
11/06 82 SA 35.6% 38 PITP 51 Boards 115-83 home loss Suns
11/07 75 SA 30.7% 28 PITP 46 Boards 63-94 road loss 76ers
11/09 71 SA 45.1% 26 PITP 52 Boards 96-87 home win Pacers
11/11 78 SA 39.7% 32 PITP 34 Boards 82-85 home loss Rockets
11/13 79 SA 43.0% 34 PITP 47 Boards 76-91 home win Heat
11/14 83 SA 49.4% 44 PITP 29 Boards 117-109 road loss Hawks
Sonics will surely feel their legs in this match, but these guys are playing with abandonment. Cats will certainly look to contain the pace and methodically attack one of the weakest defense in the Association.
True to line differential Cats are 1-4 O/U at home. The lesson they have fresh on their mind is 59.7% shooting allowed and whopping 62 PITP. That rebounding number was dismal too and all should improve on defense.
*This total has moved 2.5 points better and that is a added play*
I like to get into the others, but again I am out of time. Couple of First Quarter add on's
WAS -1.5 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(W)
SUN -1.5 1st Quarter -105 for 1 unit(W)
Received interesting angle on Memphis and I will add this play.
MEM +14.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Good day and good luck!
Wow, wow, wow! Big day perfect in every way!!!
8-0 +10.00 units
Thursday, November 15, 2007
NBA Friday
2-1 last selection YTD 22-15 +13.37 units
Selection on the overnight line.
Be back later.
New Orleans Hornets at Memphis Grizzlies
Game Total Over 203 at -105(W)
New York Knicks at Sacramento Kings
Game Total Under 199 at -105 (L)
Time is slipping through my fingers. I didn't have a chance to get back for break down, but hope you guys were able to use it as a guide.
Adding a late game with Detroit at Lakers, can we say OVER in First Half? Yes we can!
PISTONS/LAKERS FIRST HALF OVER 101 at -108 for 1 unit(L)
1-2 -1.13 units
Selection on the overnight line.
Be back later.
New Orleans Hornets at Memphis Grizzlies
Game Total Over 203 at -105(W)
New York Knicks at Sacramento Kings
Game Total Under 199 at -105 (L)
Time is slipping through my fingers. I didn't have a chance to get back for break down, but hope you guys were able to use it as a guide.
Adding a late game with Detroit at Lakers, can we say OVER in First Half? Yes we can!
PISTONS/LAKERS FIRST HALF OVER 101 at -108 for 1 unit(L)
1-2 -1.13 units
Wednesday, November 14, 2007
NBA Thursday
3-1 last selection YTD 20-14 +11.44 units
San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks
Great match up in Texas. The road to NBA Championship will travel through Texas. Taking on Mark Cuban's beloved Mavs at home, which may sound fatal, but Spurs getting +2.5 is just about +0.5 difference to push me over the edge.
Pinnacle Sports offering.
SPURS +2.5 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
Getting killed in First Half, but San Antonio to make a Second Half rally.
SPURS -4 at -117 for 2 units(W)
How about Suns coming out of the gate?
SUN -3 First Quarter at -106 for 1 unit(W)
2-1 +1.93 units
San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks
Great match up in Texas. The road to NBA Championship will travel through Texas. Taking on Mark Cuban's beloved Mavs at home, which may sound fatal, but Spurs getting +2.5 is just about +0.5 difference to push me over the edge.
Pinnacle Sports offering.
SPURS +2.5 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
Getting killed in First Half, but San Antonio to make a Second Half rally.
SPURS -4 at -117 for 2 units(W)
How about Suns coming out of the gate?
SUN -3 First Quarter at -106 for 1 unit(W)
2-1 +1.93 units
Tuesday, November 13, 2007
NBA Wednesday
Coming off a large win yesterday and we are back to the normal single unit wager for Wednesday. YTD 17-13 +9.49 units
Not much in mood to write about basketball analysis, but I do have some early plays in position.
Having a busy morning, it's already noon, keeping plays in order has been tough. Good to see all positions are in favor with the line, Hawks trading at -5.5, Hornets trading at -8.5 and Over is now 202.
Charlotte Bobcats at Atlanta Hawks
Maybe I'm a bit high on Hawks this season, but I like them coming off a home defeat as favorites and that loss against Washington, a struggling team determined to stop their slide, should mirror Hawks focus to win games they are supposed to win at home. Bobcats is another team that should jell this year and showing it on home court. Exclude that clunker at Philly most will give a pass for loss to Phoenix and Houston (ATS win). However Cats on the road is suspect, clunker did come on the road, and a spot for a let down after beating Miami 91-76 at home (11/13). Hawks have displayed SU wins against Dallas and Phoenix on home court as Underdogs.
Hawks -5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Philadelphia 76'ers at New Orleans Hornets
76'ers have to show me something their shooting percentage is on the decline since opening and Hornets on 11/11 handed 76er's the worst loss of their young season. Hornets went on to win SU & ATS on second of back to back road game against the Nets. I don't see the revenge coming into play Hornets look too strong and Peja's rainbows are hitting from downtown.
Hornets -8 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards
Pacers started nicely, but have now dropped 4 and have become porous. Their scoring has been on bit of zig zag with sub 40% shooting in last game they are poised to put up more points. Wizards may not be scoring, but they are porous too. Not only that they have finally broken above 40% shooting, which was rising since start of November, they are looking to get their first home win.
IND/WAS OVER 201.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
New York Knicks at Los Angeles Clippers
LAC have a different look without EB in the line up. Clips will look to turn things around after dropping to Cavs and hosting New York. Injury riddled Knicks are not fooling anyone, but getting +8 points here should make it interesting.
Going with the score to fall below 199.5 Clips play tight and stingy.
NYK/LAC UNDER 199.5 at -101 for 1 unit(W)
3-1 +1.95 units
Not much in mood to write about basketball analysis, but I do have some early plays in position.
Having a busy morning, it's already noon, keeping plays in order has been tough. Good to see all positions are in favor with the line, Hawks trading at -5.5, Hornets trading at -8.5 and Over is now 202.
Charlotte Bobcats at Atlanta Hawks
Maybe I'm a bit high on Hawks this season, but I like them coming off a home defeat as favorites and that loss against Washington, a struggling team determined to stop their slide, should mirror Hawks focus to win games they are supposed to win at home. Bobcats is another team that should jell this year and showing it on home court. Exclude that clunker at Philly most will give a pass for loss to Phoenix and Houston (ATS win). However Cats on the road is suspect, clunker did come on the road, and a spot for a let down after beating Miami 91-76 at home (11/13). Hawks have displayed SU wins against Dallas and Phoenix on home court as Underdogs.
Hawks -5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Philadelphia 76'ers at New Orleans Hornets
76'ers have to show me something their shooting percentage is on the decline since opening and Hornets on 11/11 handed 76er's the worst loss of their young season. Hornets went on to win SU & ATS on second of back to back road game against the Nets. I don't see the revenge coming into play Hornets look too strong and Peja's rainbows are hitting from downtown.
Hornets -8 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards
Pacers started nicely, but have now dropped 4 and have become porous. Their scoring has been on bit of zig zag with sub 40% shooting in last game they are poised to put up more points. Wizards may not be scoring, but they are porous too. Not only that they have finally broken above 40% shooting, which was rising since start of November, they are looking to get their first home win.
IND/WAS OVER 201.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
New York Knicks at Los Angeles Clippers
LAC have a different look without EB in the line up. Clips will look to turn things around after dropping to Cavs and hosting New York. Injury riddled Knicks are not fooling anyone, but getting +8 points here should make it interesting.
Going with the score to fall below 199.5 Clips play tight and stingy.
NYK/LAC UNDER 199.5 at -101 for 1 unit(W)
3-1 +1.95 units
Monday, November 12, 2007
NBA Tuesday
Climbing up YTD 16-13 +6.49 units
Hope all is well. I hope everyone is getting a good read on NBA so far. Today the selections are better and I'm taking this selection a little bigger.
Houston Rockets at Memphis Grizzlies
OVER 198.5 at -105 for 3 units(W)
1-0 +3.00 units
Hope all is well. I hope everyone is getting a good read on NBA so far. Today the selections are better and I'm taking this selection a little bigger.
Houston Rockets at Memphis Grizzlies
OVER 198.5 at -105 for 3 units(W)
1-0 +3.00 units
NBA Monday
Hornets at Nets
I wouldn't weigh too much into Carter being out for ATS and total 185 has that factored in. You know it was off the board until no Carter was confirmed. Hornets are playing good ball and timing looks great with Carter out, but Hornets game proceeding a win where they out score their opponent by +10 points (11/11 93-72 W @Philly) Second of back to back road game matching Nets who took it on their chin against Boston in last outing. I'll take the points with Vince-less Nets to cool the Hornets.
On the Total I like the Under, but keep in mind 185 is lowest point total given to Hornets this season and second lowest for Nets. I do like the fact shooting percentage was on the high side for both teams in last game with young season trending under.
This game is a bookies nightmare where point spread swung from Nets -2 to Nets +1.5 so now there's a lot of money parked in the middle with a one point game on either side looking to broadside the Books. Don't you love it!
NETS +1.5 at +104 for 2 units(L)
NO/NJN UNDER 185 at +100 for 2 units(W)
Sacramento at Utah
Jazz has the fire power to push the score beyond 100 points on any given night and Sacramento plays on the cusp of triple digits, but tonight's number seems too high and defensive numbers are improving on both sides.
SAC/UTA UNDER 208 at +103 for 2 units(L)
Cleveland at Denver
Cavs are not there yet and they will collapse in Denver. Unless Cavs are hitting from outside, and I don't feel that threat, Denver by double digits.
DEN -7 at -108 for 2 units(W)
CLE/DEN OVER 207 at -105 for 2 units(W)
3-2 +2.00 units
I wouldn't weigh too much into Carter being out for ATS and total 185 has that factored in. You know it was off the board until no Carter was confirmed. Hornets are playing good ball and timing looks great with Carter out, but Hornets game proceeding a win where they out score their opponent by +10 points (11/11 93-72 W @Philly) Second of back to back road game matching Nets who took it on their chin against Boston in last outing. I'll take the points with Vince-less Nets to cool the Hornets.
On the Total I like the Under, but keep in mind 185 is lowest point total given to Hornets this season and second lowest for Nets. I do like the fact shooting percentage was on the high side for both teams in last game with young season trending under.
This game is a bookies nightmare where point spread swung from Nets -2 to Nets +1.5 so now there's a lot of money parked in the middle with a one point game on either side looking to broadside the Books. Don't you love it!
NETS +1.5 at +104 for 2 units(L)
NO/NJN UNDER 185 at +100 for 2 units(W)
Sacramento at Utah
Jazz has the fire power to push the score beyond 100 points on any given night and Sacramento plays on the cusp of triple digits, but tonight's number seems too high and defensive numbers are improving on both sides.
SAC/UTA UNDER 208 at +103 for 2 units(L)
Cleveland at Denver
Cavs are not there yet and they will collapse in Denver. Unless Cavs are hitting from outside, and I don't feel that threat, Denver by double digits.
DEN -7 at -108 for 2 units(W)
CLE/DEN OVER 207 at -105 for 2 units(W)
3-2 +2.00 units
Sunday, November 11, 2007
No Game Sunday
1-1 took the bigger play YTD 13-11 +4.49 units
Games are going on, but it's been tough to get to a terminal. I think there is something about daylight saving time change.
It's still early in NBA season, but you must be impressed with Boston big three just be careful as the line will adjust. I'm also bullish on Toronto and New Orleans. Indy I'm watching for a short position.
Let's not forget the important component of NBA speculation which is the Total where I have Over bias on Seattle, Houston, New Orleans and Golden State. Under bias on Portland, Miami, Sacramento and New York. Actual position will vary on situation.
Catch you guys on the flip side.
Games are going on, but it's been tough to get to a terminal. I think there is something about daylight saving time change.
It's still early in NBA season, but you must be impressed with Boston big three just be careful as the line will adjust. I'm also bullish on Toronto and New Orleans. Indy I'm watching for a short position.
Let's not forget the important component of NBA speculation which is the Total where I have Over bias on Seattle, Houston, New Orleans and Golden State. Under bias on Portland, Miami, Sacramento and New York. Actual position will vary on situation.
Catch you guys on the flip side.
Thursday, November 08, 2007
NBA Friday
Slammed the books 3-0 with +4.00 unit gain. Back in black YTD 12-10 +3.59 units
Raptors +1 to roll at Philly is the play I like early. Taking this on the over night line and be back in the morning for some insight.
TOR +1 at -105 for 2 units(W)
This total has been falling since the open as high as 194 and at first glance the Under looked likely, but both teams are producing and giving triple digits in their respective last 2 games. The scenerio here will probably produce lower scoring, but given the amount of points allowed and total number declining I will back the Over.
CLE/SAC OVER 191 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
1-1 +0.90 units
Raptors +1 to roll at Philly is the play I like early. Taking this on the over night line and be back in the morning for some insight.
TOR +1 at -105 for 2 units(W)
This total has been falling since the open as high as 194 and at first glance the Under looked likely, but both teams are producing and giving triple digits in their respective last 2 games. The scenerio here will probably produce lower scoring, but given the amount of points allowed and total number declining I will back the Over.
CLE/SAC OVER 191 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
1-1 +0.90 units
NBA Thursday
4-3 with small win last time. Chipping away at the deficit YTD 9-10 -0.41 units
Looking at today's card, which is a light card, one game stands out. Pistons at Bulls with Chicago getting +1 at home. Market price is swinging towards Bulls +1 at -113 and Moneyline at -107.
If you like Chicago your a minority in a good spot, but Detroit will not be easy.
Pistons fought back to steal the win away from jaws of Atlanta at Palace of Auburn Hills and though it was a great 4th quarter win it was not an impressive game. Pistons were beaten in 2nd quarter and flat in 3rd. Offensive scoring might of been in Piston's range, but defense was lacking.
Chicago is losing by double digit figure ATS in November, but they are highly viewed by the odds makers. Their strength can be found in the paint and weakness in shooting. Chicago will look to break out of their losses and take down a contender at the same time that's all easier said than done, but I do feel a battle coming on and scoring will not be easy, but not this low.
CHI -1 at -110 for 2 units(W)
DET/CHI OVER 182.5 at +100 for 1 unit(W)
Washington at New Jersey
This match seems to go Over. The teams are playing low scoring games thus far, but most of my recent recollection between these two teams are Nets soaring over triple digits.
Agent Zero has been hurting with knee troubles and Wizards are taking bad shot attempts yet this is an offense featuring team that will not win scoring in the 80's or low 90's and after two games with score in the 80's too bad there is no indication for triple scoring here.
WAS/NJN UNDER 191 at -103 for 1 unit(W)
3-0 +4.00 units
Looking at today's card, which is a light card, one game stands out. Pistons at Bulls with Chicago getting +1 at home. Market price is swinging towards Bulls +1 at -113 and Moneyline at -107.
If you like Chicago your a minority in a good spot, but Detroit will not be easy.
Pistons fought back to steal the win away from jaws of Atlanta at Palace of Auburn Hills and though it was a great 4th quarter win it was not an impressive game. Pistons were beaten in 2nd quarter and flat in 3rd. Offensive scoring might of been in Piston's range, but defense was lacking.
Chicago is losing by double digit figure ATS in November, but they are highly viewed by the odds makers. Their strength can be found in the paint and weakness in shooting. Chicago will look to break out of their losses and take down a contender at the same time that's all easier said than done, but I do feel a battle coming on and scoring will not be easy, but not this low.
CHI -1 at -110 for 2 units(W)
DET/CHI OVER 182.5 at +100 for 1 unit(W)
Washington at New Jersey
This match seems to go Over. The teams are playing low scoring games thus far, but most of my recent recollection between these two teams are Nets soaring over triple digits.
Agent Zero has been hurting with knee troubles and Wizards are taking bad shot attempts yet this is an offense featuring team that will not win scoring in the 80's or low 90's and after two games with score in the 80's too bad there is no indication for triple scoring here.
WAS/NJN UNDER 191 at -103 for 1 unit(W)
3-0 +4.00 units
Tuesday, November 06, 2007
NBA Tuesday
1-0 last selection YTD 5-7 -1.21 units
Sorry fellas I didn't like the way odds posting looks. Should of made edits before publishing but I was in bit of a rush. These are the highlighted selections in early format.
This is the way today is shaping up:
PHO/CHA OVER 209 +100(L)
DEN -3 -110(L)
ORL -6.5 -107(W)
TOR/MIL OVER 191 +100(W)
LAC/CHI UNDER 195 +100(W)
SEA/SAC UNDER 207.5 -102(W)
GSW -1.5 -110(L)
4-3 +0.80 units
Sorry fellas I didn't like the way odds posting looks. Should of made edits before publishing but I was in bit of a rush. These are the highlighted selections in early format.
This is the way today is shaping up:
PHO/CHA OVER 209 +100(L)
DEN -3 -110(L)
ORL -6.5 -107(W)
TOR/MIL OVER 191 +100(W)
LAC/CHI UNDER 195 +100(W)
SEA/SAC UNDER 207.5 -102(W)
GSW -1.5 -110(L)
4-3 +0.80 units
Monday, November 05, 2007
NBA Monday
This is current Pinnacle line.
Compare Matchbook line.
I can go on with odds, but notice the 0.5 point difference in sides which can be huge here as this looks to be close. I would go with Rockets getting 5 points rather than 4.5 points and Totals show BookMaker at 189.5 I would watch that number and take the Over with declining total or lay off if it stays at 190. I think the Under trend brakes here, but it should be close around 191~193 so 189 is ideal, but still risky.
NBA Basketball - Mon 11/5 | ||||||
| Game | Spread | Money Line | Total Points | More | ||
| Mon 11/5 | 501 | Houston Rockets | +4.5 -111 | +170 | OVER 190 -101 | |
| 05:35 PM | 502 | Dallas Mavericks | -4.5 +101 | -180 | UNDER 190 -109 | |
Compare Matchbook line.
| Houston at Dallas | Nov 05 8:35 pm |
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Sunday, November 04, 2007
NBA Sunday
1-1 but lost the bigger play YTD 4-7 -3.21 units
Phoenix giving 7.5 points.
Take this at double units as Suns will burn Cleveland in Arizona. No doubt Phoenix with mission tonight.
SUNS -7.5 at -110 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units
Phoenix giving 7.5 points.
Take this at double units as Suns will burn Cleveland in Arizona. No doubt Phoenix with mission tonight.
SUNS -7.5 at -110 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units
Saturday, November 03, 2007
NBA Saturday
Plays sucked yesterday 0-4 YTD 3-6 -2.12 units
Looking to rebound.
Orlando at Washington.
Give me Magic and 2.5 points they will give Wizards run for their money.
ORL +2 at EVEN for 1 unit(W)
Taking the bigger play on Chicago at Milwaukee. Bulls are not executing and I look for them to become sharper today.
CHI -2.5 at -109 for 2 units(L)
1-1 -1.09 units
Looking to rebound.
Orlando at Washington.
Give me Magic and 2.5 points they will give Wizards run for their money.
ORL +2 at EVEN for 1 unit(W)
Taking the bigger play on Chicago at Milwaukee. Bulls are not executing and I look for them to become sharper today.
CHI -2.5 at -109 for 2 units(L)
1-1 -1.09 units
Friday, November 02, 2007
NBA Friday
3-2 +1.98 units
Denver at Minnesota
Denver stock is moving up early, -8 is now -8.5, and I think this is still a buy. Make a offer at +115 Nugs giving -8.5 points. There is a good chance Denver will put on a clinic here and I will back that thought.
DEN -8.5 at +115 for 1 unit(L)
DEN HALF GAME -4.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
DEN 1st QUARTER -2.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
adding
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS ML +120 for 1 unit(L)
0-4 -4.10 units
Denver at Minnesota
Denver stock is moving up early, -8 is now -8.5, and I think this is still a buy. Make a offer at +115 Nugs giving -8.5 points. There is a good chance Denver will put on a clinic here and I will back that thought.
DEN -8.5 at +115 for 1 unit(L)
DEN HALF GAME -4.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
DEN 1st QUARTER -2.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
adding
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS ML +120 for 1 unit(L)
0-4 -4.10 units
Thursday, November 01, 2007
NBA Thursday
2-1 last selection to open the season.
Tonight on the hard court, Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz.
Rockets come in as a out of town 2 basket underdog and total rising from opening.
Though the number seems low keep in mind both of these teams faced opponents content in speeding up the tempo. Both teams are facing far better opponent in this match up and production number should go down as suggested by the odds makers. Total has been on the move since the open to Over climbing to 193 at -105 at Pinny.
Take the Under and look for the post to be tighter. No easy penetration tonight.
HOU/UTA UNDER 193 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Phoenix Suns at Seattle Supersonics. This high total is not deserving at this point. Under estimated Sonics defense and over estimated Suns offense.
PHO/SEA UNDER 223.5 at -107 for 2 units(W)
1-1 +0.95 units
Tonight on the hard court, Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz.
Rockets come in as a out of town 2 basket underdog and total rising from opening.
Though the number seems low keep in mind both of these teams faced opponents content in speeding up the tempo. Both teams are facing far better opponent in this match up and production number should go down as suggested by the odds makers. Total has been on the move since the open to Over climbing to 193 at -105 at Pinny.
Take the Under and look for the post to be tighter. No easy penetration tonight.
HOU/UTA UNDER 193 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Phoenix Suns at Seattle Supersonics. This high total is not deserving at this point. Under estimated Sonics defense and over estimated Suns offense.
PHO/SEA UNDER 223.5 at -107 for 2 units(W)
1-1 +0.95 units
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