San Antonio Spurs at Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers are in a pinch. Coming off a gutsy performance against Golden State losing Koby in that game. Can they will this game against the mighty Spurs? Lakers hold their own destiny. The Spurs will return Tony Parker, but no Diaw or Ginobilli and Stephen Jackson was waived on Friday. On this match up our angle will look for Lakers to step up without their superstar. Lakers have matched up well against San Antonio this season with two games finishing very close, within 2 and 3. The Lakers 7 wins out of last 10. Spurs lost 4 in a row ATS and have not covered the spread 8 out of last 10. also dropped last 4 road games, all 4 of those teams had home winning record.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +2 First Half at -110 for 1 unit(W)
43-43 tie at the Half
Lakers playing tough and the 2nd Half line is Lakers +2.5 Strap your seat belts it's coming down to the wire. Lakers big men are playing with intensity and the score is starting to grind. Take the Lakers to win this on SU, take the points too.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS ML +135 for 1 unit(W)
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +2.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Another close one 91-88 Lakers ! Spurs lose on the road.
Sunday, April 14, 2013
Friday, April 12, 2013
NBA Friday
Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors
The Bulls stop the streaking NY Knicks winning streak. That's two impressive stop against Miami and Knicks, both teams were steam rolling opponents before facing the Bulls. However Chicago is not exactly an surging team at 3-2 in last 5 and 6-4 in last 10. The Bulls are coming off a OT win against NY at home playing the second leg of home & road back to back making this a tough spot. Toronto sub .500 team, but better ATS team than Chicago and plays much better at home. The Raptors just beat Chicago SU as a +3.5 Underdog and they will be receiving points here again. The situation seems to point toward Chicago let down, but this late in season Toronto's motivation is fading. I wouldn't say Toronto's going to "mail it in", but the Bulls may "will" this game despite the draining OT against the Knicks. NY on revenge games are not that good at 11-17, but as a short road underdog they are 6-3 and winning against Atlantic division teams 12-5 with good road ATS record of 22-15. Toronto 10-13 as favorites, 2-8 with two days rest, 14-20 against winning teams. 6-12 against winning teams in second half. Home games against above ,500 teams have disappointed.
CHICAGO BULLS +2.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
The Bulls stop the streaking NY Knicks winning streak. That's two impressive stop against Miami and Knicks, both teams were steam rolling opponents before facing the Bulls. However Chicago is not exactly an surging team at 3-2 in last 5 and 6-4 in last 10. The Bulls are coming off a OT win against NY at home playing the second leg of home & road back to back making this a tough spot. Toronto sub .500 team, but better ATS team than Chicago and plays much better at home. The Raptors just beat Chicago SU as a +3.5 Underdog and they will be receiving points here again. The situation seems to point toward Chicago let down, but this late in season Toronto's motivation is fading. I wouldn't say Toronto's going to "mail it in", but the Bulls may "will" this game despite the draining OT against the Knicks. NY on revenge games are not that good at 11-17, but as a short road underdog they are 6-3 and winning against Atlantic division teams 12-5 with good road ATS record of 22-15. Toronto 10-13 as favorites, 2-8 with two days rest, 14-20 against winning teams. 6-12 against winning teams in second half. Home games against above ,500 teams have disappointed.
CHICAGO BULLS +2.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Wednesday, April 10, 2013
NBA Wednesday
Got a big match up tonight.
San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets
The Spurs come to the mile high city as a 3 point underdog and why not? San Antonio is not firing on all cylinders. The Spurs are 2-3 in last 5 games and on the road, they have dropped 4 straight. Denver at home is at it's best and they are taking out contending teams. Denver, 12-4 ATS against Southwest division, 14-5 against winning teams in second half, 18-7 against good offensive teams and that gets better to 9-2 in second half against good offensive teams. The Spurs on the other hand are terrible against good offensive teams logging 8-17 against high octane teams. Against Northwest division rivals 6-9. They are not covering overall in second half at 12-17. Taking Denver laying the points.
DENVER NUGGETS -3 at -103 for 1 unit(W)
86-96 Denver wins!
San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets
The Spurs come to the mile high city as a 3 point underdog and why not? San Antonio is not firing on all cylinders. The Spurs are 2-3 in last 5 games and on the road, they have dropped 4 straight. Denver at home is at it's best and they are taking out contending teams. Denver, 12-4 ATS against Southwest division, 14-5 against winning teams in second half, 18-7 against good offensive teams and that gets better to 9-2 in second half against good offensive teams. The Spurs on the other hand are terrible against good offensive teams logging 8-17 against high octane teams. Against Northwest division rivals 6-9. They are not covering overall in second half at 12-17. Taking Denver laying the points.
DENVER NUGGETS -3 at -103 for 1 unit(W)
86-96 Denver wins!
Tuesday, April 09, 2013
NBA Tuesday
Toronto Raptors at Chicago Bulls
We have a very Under looking match up, but I think I gave this angle while back. Both teams strung series of Under's and in their last game scoring 85 points or less. This game goes Over and the match up trends Over.
The number is a low 185 and short handed Bulls are missing some defensive pieces. Back the Over
TORONTO RAPTORS at CHICAGO BULLS
Game Total OVER 185 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Got taken yesterday on a non-NBA game, but we're right back at ya!
We have a very Under looking match up, but I think I gave this angle while back. Both teams strung series of Under's and in their last game scoring 85 points or less. This game goes Over and the match up trends Over.
The number is a low 185 and short handed Bulls are missing some defensive pieces. Back the Over
TORONTO RAPTORS at CHICAGO BULLS
Game Total OVER 185 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Got taken yesterday on a non-NBA game, but we're right back at ya!
Monday, April 08, 2013
NCAA National Championship
There are no games scheduled in the NBA, but we do have the title game coming up and that's where our focus will be. Let's head out to Atlanta, GA. to the Georgia dome. It's Michigan Wolverines 31-7 against Louisville Cardinals 34-5 for all the marbles. This match up with No#1 Louisville Cardinals expected to take this game by 4 points and the final total to land around 138 points so the division is Cardinals 73 Wolverines 65. If you go back 10 games for Louisville the Cards have exceeded 73 in 7 out 10 and gone Over 9 out of 10. The Wolverines have exceeded 65 points in 8 out of last 10, but their games are O/U 5-5 and only twice have their opponents score over 73 points. What we see here is Michigan output increase and Louisville decline which is likely, but what most will see is the production from both teams playing under the average. From the average perspective the Total is low and it has been driven up by 2 points, holding steady at 138, still making it Over bias. However our projection is closer to 136 Under bias something like 67-69 Louisville SU Michigan +4 cover and game Total Under. The play we like is Under with the number getting pushed up. Backing the Under in this Over bias game.
MICHIGAN WOLVERINES vs LOUISVILLE CARDINALS
Game Total UNDER 138.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
MICHIGAN WOLVERINES vs LOUISVILLE CARDINALS
Game Total UNDER 138.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
Thursday, April 04, 2013
NBA Thursday
Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets
Dallas needs this game, but it's taking place at Pepsi Center in mile high city. Can the Mavs hang? Last time they visited, last year on March 19th, Dallas stole one here as a +4.5 dog won it outright 95-112, but not the same teams here tonight. Dallas was desperate when they were in L.A. and got steam rolled. Underdog spot of 22-16, after a loss of 10 points or more 10-6, against poor defense team 9-3 looks all good for Dallas. However Denver home trend is much stronger 25-11, 6-1 with current Total, 11-3 against Southwest opponents, 17-7 after a win by 10 points or more, 17-7 against poor defensive teams and 10-5 on back to backs. Going with Denver laying the points.
DENVER NUGGETS -7 at -101 for 1 unit(L)
94-95 Denver no cover.
Dallas needs this game, but it's taking place at Pepsi Center in mile high city. Can the Mavs hang? Last time they visited, last year on March 19th, Dallas stole one here as a +4.5 dog won it outright 95-112, but not the same teams here tonight. Dallas was desperate when they were in L.A. and got steam rolled. Underdog spot of 22-16, after a loss of 10 points or more 10-6, against poor defense team 9-3 looks all good for Dallas. However Denver home trend is much stronger 25-11, 6-1 with current Total, 11-3 against Southwest opponents, 17-7 after a win by 10 points or more, 17-7 against poor defensive teams and 10-5 on back to backs. Going with Denver laying the points.
DENVER NUGGETS -7 at -101 for 1 unit(L)
94-95 Denver no cover.
Tuesday, April 02, 2013
NBA Tuesday
39-28 10,100
Chicago Bulls at Washington Wizards
OK this is no news, the players know it and the books know it, this match up trends Under like no other game. Chicago has been scoring points in recent games, but it's gradually declining, 9 points in 4 games all Over's, looks ripe to fall Under. The Wiz coming off a 109-92 win and Over, a triple digit scoring Over, also a isolated Over which is Washington prerequisite to tonight's Under. Chicago O/U against Southeast opponents 3-10. Washington O/U against Central opponents 2-12, after a win with 10 points or more 2-9, after triple digit scoring 3-11. All games between these two teams for the past 3 seasons have gone Under.
I know it's a bit obvious, but better to go with the flow. We also have 2 Under Refs out of 3, Sean Corbin O/U 22-30 with Total between 185-194.5 O/U 6-13 and Joe Crawford O/U 22-32 with Total between 185-194.5 O/U 7-15. Backing the Under.
CHICAGO BULLS at WASHINGTON WIZARDS
Game Total UNDER 186 at -103 for 1 unit(W)
This line got pushed up to 187.5 and all that money pushing it got burned.
Chicago Bulls at Washington Wizards
OK this is no news, the players know it and the books know it, this match up trends Under like no other game. Chicago has been scoring points in recent games, but it's gradually declining, 9 points in 4 games all Over's, looks ripe to fall Under. The Wiz coming off a 109-92 win and Over, a triple digit scoring Over, also a isolated Over which is Washington prerequisite to tonight's Under. Chicago O/U against Southeast opponents 3-10. Washington O/U against Central opponents 2-12, after a win with 10 points or more 2-9, after triple digit scoring 3-11. All games between these two teams for the past 3 seasons have gone Under.
I know it's a bit obvious, but better to go with the flow. We also have 2 Under Refs out of 3, Sean Corbin O/U 22-30 with Total between 185-194.5 O/U 6-13 and Joe Crawford O/U 22-32 with Total between 185-194.5 O/U 7-15. Backing the Under.
CHICAGO BULLS at WASHINGTON WIZARDS
Game Total UNDER 186 at -103 for 1 unit(W)
This line got pushed up to 187.5 and all that money pushing it got burned.
Monday, April 01, 2013
NBA Monday
38-28 9,100
Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Clippers
Got a good match tonight Indy 47-27 visiting the Clippers 49-25. The Pacers getting good spread at +5.5 to +6, but Indiana as a dog has not been good, 11-15, except when they get this many points, 6-3. The Pacers does come to Staples winning 4 in a row. On the other side the home team Clippers have dropped two in a row and 3 out of last 4. I do like Indiana, but like the OVER better. Pacers offense has been clicking on the road and the Clippers are in a spot to increase their output. The Clippers are O/U 12-5 after a upset loss, 7-4 after a double digit loss, 4-0 as a home favorite 3.5 to 6 points and 3-1 after scoring under 85 points. Indiana O/U 21-16 against winning teams, 11-6 against winning teams in 2nd half and 6-3 against Pacific division. This one goes OVER.
INDIANA PACERS at LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Game Total OVER 188 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Good day. 109-106 Pacers easy Over.
Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Clippers
Got a good match tonight Indy 47-27 visiting the Clippers 49-25. The Pacers getting good spread at +5.5 to +6, but Indiana as a dog has not been good, 11-15, except when they get this many points, 6-3. The Pacers does come to Staples winning 4 in a row. On the other side the home team Clippers have dropped two in a row and 3 out of last 4. I do like Indiana, but like the OVER better. Pacers offense has been clicking on the road and the Clippers are in a spot to increase their output. The Clippers are O/U 12-5 after a upset loss, 7-4 after a double digit loss, 4-0 as a home favorite 3.5 to 6 points and 3-1 after scoring under 85 points. Indiana O/U 21-16 against winning teams, 11-6 against winning teams in 2nd half and 6-3 against Pacific division. This one goes OVER.
INDIANA PACERS at LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Game Total OVER 188 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Good day. 109-106 Pacers easy Over.
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