On the New Years Eve of 2005. Looking at today's card I feel many of these games will go Under.
PHO/CHI
GSW/HOU
SAC/DEN
BOS/LAC

Clippers are without their small forwards, Quinton Ross joins Corey Maggette on the sidelines, and today's game the Clippers are expected to show more zone defense.
I am bias on 2nd game of back to back to play Over, but more so when the opponent is an offensive team. Clippers back court has not been threatening and Brand will be the force. This game to stay under 200.

BOS/LAC UNDER 204 -118 for 2 units(W)

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Spurs at Nuggets is shaded Over, but I think it's a spot for Spurs scoring to drop. Nuggets production is mostly in the paint and that ties into their 100+ scoring output. On the rare occasion when they do not get 40+ points in the paint the score drops Under and I expect Spurs to take away the paint. Nuggets out manned in the front court.
I see this UNDER may move to my favor.

Over 193 is getting the money, at -123 about 45 min. to go, I'll sit on this and hit it before game time.

Over 193 price moved to-130, but did not move the line. Linemakers are going to hold. I was hoping for improved line.

SAS/DEN UNDER 194.5 Even Money for 1 unit(W)


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The Warriors and Rockets. I do like the Under, but I will watch the line and take the Warriors ATS in the 1 st Half.

GSW 1st Half +1.5 for -105 for 3 units(W)
GSW 1st Half ML +125 for 1 unit(W)
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Suns in Chicago playing back to back. I think Bull defense will set the tone, but I liked it at 205 (could of bought it) 1st Half Total is showing 102.5 with money on Over. I'll look to play Under if the 1st half breaks over 100.

....Score dropped off in 2nd quarter. I'll pass the 2nd Half. Now 202 looks like gold.

.....Wow, OT sends this game Over 202. I got lucky on this pass.
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That's the way to close out 2005.
4-0 +7.25 units

Today Miami at Washington after a hard fought loss against the NBA's finest, Detroit Pistons, Heat was in that game all the way and covered ATS with Shaq's dunk at the end of regulation making the difference 5 points.
Wizards also coming off a loss against Phoenix, Washington was also in that game until Suns slipped away in the end.
Wizards have been dominated by the Heat and they will need to work extra hard in the low post. I think this Total has moved up too high, it would not be surprising to see this game end below 200 points.

MIA/WAS UNDER 207 -120 for 1 unit(L)
Went against my own rules on this loser.
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ATL/NJN 2nd Half UNDER 100.5 -108 for 2 units(W)
Beat this one by the hook.

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PHO/CHA 2nd Half OVER 99.5 -105 for 1 unit(W)
Cats ran out of gas at the end, but Suns just enough to push this over.

Finally.
2-1 +1.80 units

I need to get some last minute stuff done and head out to the airport today.
Before I go, my play today is on HOU/NOH. I got burned fading Houston in the early rounds (1st quarter & half), but I think Rockets are still worth the fade. I also think this game will play out to the low score billing.
Houston is just single demensional and opponents are shutting down T-Mac with double and triple D's. Hornets have not played since 12/23, might be flat out of the gate, but I think their defense will contain the B2B Rockets.

NOH -2.5 -118 for 1 unit(L)
HOU/NOH UNDER 175 -123 for 2 units(L)

Got moosed by the hook and 55 point 2nd quarter take this game clear over.
I could of thrown darts and hit better percentage. Need to step up my game, bad luck is the residue from lack of effort. Looking too much on the surface without depth.
0-2 -3.64 units

Having second thoughts on Heats early. They're giving pretty good numbers and Bucks after 15 point loss to Magic might have extra fight even on second leg of back to back road, but short trip and they had plenty of rest.
I think this game with start off fast and settle.

MIL/MIA 1st Quarter Over 50.5 -105 for 1 unit(W)

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Atlanta on the rise and Bobcats have depleted front court. Look for the Hawks to pound the inside.

ATL 1st Half -2.5 -110 for 1 unit(L)

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Houston on fade.
UTA 1st Half +3.5 -107 for 2 units(L)
UTA 1st Half +187 for 1 unit(L)
UTA 1st Quarter +2 -108 for 1 unit(L)

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PHL/DEN 2nd Half UNDER 102.5 -105 for 1 unit(L)
PHL 2nd Half +3 -105 for 2 units(W)

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Clippers -8.5 -108 for 2 units(L)
SAC/LAC UNDER 195.5 -118 for 2 units(L)

Ugly day again. Well, my vacation is almost over maybe things will return to norm.
7-2 -5.74 units

Monday at the hoops.
Time is ticking and I have a light play for NJN/NYK.
Knicks have been trending Over. 6 straight, 8 out of last 10. The strength of this trend is combined with Knicks timely point surge and porous defense allowing points in the paint and giving open looks.
The return of Eddy Curry will make the difference in taking this game UNDER. The 2 Under games out of the last 10 was also due to the difference of Curry. This guy is the Knicks low post that's a factor for Under.

NJN/NYK UNDER 194 -119 for 1 unit(L)

Knicks Over keeps rolling. I'll take another Under and again going against the public. 1 unit each.

POR/SAC 1ST Quarter Under 48.5 +110(L)
POR/SAC 1st Half Under 98 -129(L)
POR/SAC Under 191.5 -106(L)

Off target on all marks. I really liked Blazers to take the game Under too.
I'll look to take Miami ATS for the early round (1st quarter and half) when the line comes out.
0-4 -4.54 units

Happy Holidays and Best Wishes.

BetCrimes, Batis and to all the cappers.
May we all cover ATS and hit the Totals.

I think this line will move up so I'll go ahead and take the early line.
The game is GSW/DET, Warriors have been on the road since 12/13 (give or take with the quick return and back on the road schedule) They have been porous, but always seem to start the second half on a rally.
I would say this play is trend bias, similar to NYK playing Over, maybe not as obvious. Pistons are consistantly hitting 100+ at home. I think even with Pistons defense getting it done the porous nature of Warriors game would remain and score will reach the Over mark.

GSW/DET OVER 199 -123 for 2 units

I guessed wrong. Moved the opposite direction. I still feel this game has a good chance to go over 200+
I'll add.
GWS/DET OVER 196.5 -115 for 1 unit

Kings’ guard Bonzi Wells is expected to miss approximately three to four weeks of action due to a partial tear in his right groin. Kings’ forward Peja Stojakovic is expected to miss a minimum of one week due to a protruding disc in his lower back. I do think Mavs will win, but ATS has been moving strong towards Dallas. My play today will be on the O/U, I think Sacramento attack will get shut down today and Kings will have to put a body on every Mavs to keep them from dominating the board.

DAL/SAC UNDER 202.5 -120 for 2 units(W)

Nice work by Dirk down the stretch.
1-0 +2.00 units

Today I will make the play on Clippers at Pacers. LAC is playing second leg of back to back road game. The first leg they met with hot Nets and Clips helps their cause by turning over the ball in generous dose. I feel Clips were surprised and failed to collect themselves.
Pacers have their own internal problems, but are holding it together.
Don't let all the recent W's fool you, since their last home loss to Dallas (12/6) they have had soft schedule at home to help.
Clips should be a tough customer tonight and look for them to play strong in the low post. Now this is a back to back for the Clips and their back court could wear down.

LAC 1st Quarter +1.5 -108 for 1 unit(L)
LAC 1st Half +2.5 -109 for 2 units(L)

Adding.
SAS 1st Quarter -1.5 -110 for 2 units(W)

Adding.
DEN 1st Quarter -2.5 +101 for 1 unit(L)
TOR 1st Quarter +2 -107 for 2 units(W)

Last Addition.
WAS/DEN 2nd Half OVER 100.5 -105 for 2 units(W)

I couldn't give any reasoning for my added plays as I was taking them with the windows closing. Not my style to rapid fire the board, but I'll take the gain.
3-3 + 1.74 units

I will take a small position in this situational play.
DET/POR with Pistons on second leg of road back to back playing double OT and edging a win, losing ATS. Piston starters all played hard and long minutes. I'll take the Blazers upset win, sometimes the play calls for the long shot.

POR +1050 for 1 unit(L)
POR +12 +107 for 2 units(W)
Blazers were right there for the SU win and could not close the deal.
At least I backed it with ATS.
1-1 +1.14 units

Got too cocky last night.
Today I look to Toronto at Orlando.
Raptors, are we not men?, just turn over the ball and give up on the 2nd half? At home court? What an embarrassment against the 76ers.
Here we go to 2nd leg of back to back, on the road against the Magic.
Orlando quickly healing, looking balanced and flexing their muscle.
They will be eager to put on a show at home.

TOR/ORL OVER 188 -125 for 2 units(L)
Got it last night, but was too upset to publish the pick.
I think this game will go over 191.
Thinking of taking Raptors with points.

Got beat again.
0-1 -2.50 units

Sunday at the Association.
Hold tight, we might get what we're after.
Look for the MIN/DAL game to go UNDER the number.
I see some Over bias, but seems to be a sharp line with little movement.
As always take it at highest number possible.
Currently I see 184 ~ 183.5 so buy 185 UNDER.
Take UNDER 185 or better.

MIN/DAL UNDER 185 -122 for 3 units(L)

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WAS/POR Game. The Blazers are the bottom team that's in need of more than motivation. I'm fading them in the early going.
WAS 1st Quarter -1.5 -105 for 2 units(L)

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Here is a rare Prop Play from me.
Team Performance: DALLAS UNDER 108.5 -108 for 3 units(L)
This was a stupid prop. I ended up giving up 15 points with Dallas win.
I'll never play that crap again.

Got killed today.
0-3 -8.00 units

Friday game coming up. Good size card with nice match ups.
Maybe look for GSW/TOR to be a high scoring game or MIA/PHL or MIL/BOS.
I kind of like MIA/PHL Over 200.5 and looks like this will be a public play.
I'll think about that one, but will take one early line.
The game is ORL/DAL. Orlando's coming up, they are hitting from the field and scores is also on the rise. Dallas took care of the Suns at home and held the Suns below the century mark, but maybe that was because of Suns more than Mavs defense. Suns of late has not been the high flier failing to reach 100+ for the past 4 games so let's not give Dallas defense so much credit and Dallas allowed the most points to the Suns out of their last 4 games. I do like the Mavs offense at home scoring above 100+ in all of their home game since 12/10. Also the offensive looks balanced with Dirk taking charge and lots of guys in double figures. Orlando has been a under trending team, but this total may have dropped little too low.

ORL/DAL OVER 185 -101 for 2 units(W) *Wow, I just looked and the price has moved to -122 for this over. (sorry the price I took was -101 not +101)

This game goes Over in regulation, but late takers will sigh in relief.
OT game and the Over will cash hard.
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Adding GSW at TOR for high energy start to take the 1st quarter OVER.
I think Raps came out a bit flat in their last game after the long off time and Warriors, 18 points 1st quarter against Houston in last game need to be aggressive out of the gate.
GSW/TOR 1st Quarter OVER 51.5 -105 for 1 unit(L)
That should of gone over. That missed FT towards the end of quarter was the difference by the hook.

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Never take back to back game too lightly. But if you must keep in mind that fatigue factor is magnified in the second half.
SEA 1st Half -1.5 -115 for 2 units(W)
This was a laugher.
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I really like Seattle in the early game. I'm adding this one too
SEA 1st Quarter -1 -105 for 2 units(W)
This was a laugher. (is there an echo?)

I told Batis I'd stay off the board, but couldn't help myself.
3-1 +4.95 units

Hope all the Players are doing well. I'm still chillin', no work, no schedule, which is nice, but I'm a creature of habit when it comes to capping games.
I have my routine and trusty computer to crunch some data and go through at least a dozen metropolitan newspapers. I haven't done any of that.
Some capers are gun slinger taking lots of shots on the board looking to take down 60%~70%+, I consider myself a sniper with narrow target and I want to take my best shot, though I am known to hit more than a few.
So with this explanation I will tread lightly today.

Bulls travel to Air Canada Center on their second of back to back after a hard fought loss to rejuvenated Heat with presence of Shaq in the middle and Riley on the sideline. Riley activated Shaq's offense mode and just like that he scores 30 points. Bulls only scored 16 points in the paint compared to 42 points for Miami, but you know what? Bulls covered +4 ATS and I think they could of taken that one straight up if they turned the 4th quarter into a grinder instead of a shoot out. Now today's match up against the Raptors hungry for a win at home and this is where I normally talk about Raps trying to out run and out gun the tired Bulls, but I think the excited young Raptors will not penetrate the Bulls with their high pace style. Toronto has not played since 12/10, 111-103 win against the Cats. In that game Raps dominated the board and scoring in the paint and 3rd quarter was impressive. Well rested and prepared after so many losses to the Bulls. I feel Toronto with points will prevail, but Chicago will try to impose the tempo of this game early. If the Bulls are successful in slowing this game it should carry the Under for the full game.

CHI/TOR UNDER 203 -113 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit

Weekly Wrap Up. 12/5 to 12/11
Couple of bad calls at the end of this week, but still have great read on all games capped. I'll blame it on vacation distracting my focus and I'm not going to push it next week.

14 - 4 Gain +12.06 units *Robbed of winner on Sunday

SUN.
WAS/MIA UNDER 200 -120 for 3 units (L) -3.60
0-1 -3.60

SAT.
TOR/CHA OVER 197 -114 for 2 units (W) +2.00
PHO/LAC 1st Half UNDER 105 -116 for 2 units (L) -2.32
1-1 -0.32

FRI.
CHA/PHL OVER 197.5 -123 for 2 units (W) +2.00
CHA/PHL 1st Half OVER 100 -118 for 1 unit (W) +1.00
2-0 +3.00

THU.
WAS/IND OVER 189.5 -121 for 1 unit (W) +1.00
WAS/IND OVER 186.5 -118 for 1 unit (W) +1.00
HOU/SAC OVER 185 -128 for 2 units (W) +2.00
3-0 +4.00

WED.
BOS/NOH UNDER 193.5 -126 for 3 units (W) +3.00
BOS/NOH 2nd Half UNDER 95.5 -108 for 2 units (W) +2.00
CHI/ORL OVER 175.5 -124 for 2 units (W) +2.00
CHI/ORL 1st Half OVER 87 -115 for 1 unit (W) +1.00
4-0 +8.00

TUE.
IND 1st Half -1.5 -126 for 2 units (L) -2.52
DAL/IND 2nd Half UNDER 92.5 +105 for 2 units (W) +2.10
MIL 1st Half -2 -120 for 3 units (L) -3.60
TOR/WAS OVER 200.5 -127 for 3 units (W) +3.00
TOR/WAS 1st Qt. OVER 51.5 -113 for 2 units (W) +2.00
3-2 +0.98

MON.
SAS/ORL 1st Half OVER 84.5 -110 for 2 units (W) +2.00
1-0 +2.00

For the Wizards it's been a difficult two days. The loss in Indianapolis, they then got stuck in Indianapolis because of the snow storm, came back home on Saturday night to play the Chicago Bulls where they had a promising start in the 1st quarter, but like the game against the Pacers, a disastrous 2nd quarter, but this time, unlike the game against the Pacers, the Wizards did recover only to lose to the Chicago Bulls 118-111. Of concern, a meltdown in the final 3 minutes. The Wizards had a 111-102 lead with 3:06 to go only to see the Bulls go off on a 16-0 run to close the game. How could that happen? Bullets failed to make crucial stops and they will remember tonight.
O'Neal returned to practice this week and participated in Miami's shootaround Friday. He practiced Saturday and looks like he'll get back in uniform Sunday. It'll be nice to see him playing again, but I expect him to be on the clock. Don't expect 25 point production from the big man, Zo's going to do the heavy lifting and that means defending the inside. What's good about Shaq in this spot is he will clog up the middle and you still need to put couple of guys on him. Shaq will do what he can to make his way back, this is a start.
I look for today's battle below the 2 century mark.

WAS/MIA UNDER 200 -120 for 3 units(L)
Shaq, can't make both or miss both, makes one to send this game into OT.

Saturday hardcourt with the Association. Examine the game at Charlotte Bobcats Arena where the young Cats are 4-1 against Eastern Conference foes.
Primo's still out and playing the second leg of back to back (road/home) game.
I've said this in the past, in given situation with above average scoring teams, offense does not suffer over defense on the second leg of back to back with greater likely hood of rested opponents to try to raise the tempo to combat the wearily team. Cats losing in Philadelphia last night 119-115, the 10th loss in a row on the road, but it wasn't for lack of production from the bench players who combined for 55 points. I like the fact the bench created the surge rather than the starters. Toronto has been full of motivation and let downs. The last one was a let down against the surging Lakers at home. Another spot for the Raptors score to rise on the road and let's hope they are motivated.
I don't expect another 230+ game, but 200+ will do.

TOR/CHA OVER 197 -114 for 2 units(W)

Next pick is at Staples Center. Suns playing second leg of back to back (home/road) game with starters logging at least 36 min. playing their fourth game in five days on the heels of last night's 85-81 struggle of a triumph over New York. This a spot for Suns to fall, but I will stay on the O/U with Clippers
playing without Corey Maggette for a second straight game. In his absence, Walter McCarty, rookie James Singleton, and swingman Quinton Ross figure to get more minutes. LA will look to control the games tempo to keep from entering a track meet with Steve Nash's club while taking quality shots, protecting the ball effectively, getting to the free throw line, and attacking the offensive glass.

I like the extra points in
PHO/LAC 1st Half UNDER 105 -116 for 2 units(L)
(*waited little too long)

Fatal error in reading the PHO/LAC. Even with the back to back they stormed out of the gate, Clips trade baskets to charge up the 1st quarter to
70 points. The game slowed from that point, but too much for the 1st Half.
1-1 -0.32 units

I see something I like for Friday. It's not ripe yet.

I'm starting my vacation tomorrow and planning on leaving town after the weekend. It might be tough for me to post the picks next week.
The boys will be here doing their usual great job and I will be on email status with some of you.
Be back in the morning to see if the play is ripe for the pickin'

It's nearing game time. I'm still watching the same line, not sure what I'll do here.

I will take a position on Cats at 76ers. Bobcats on the road are for the fifth time in six games. Starting center Primoz Brezec did not make the trip to Philadelphia remaining in Charlotte with flu-like symptoms. Melvin Ely will be in the starting lineup replacing Brezec. Bobcats shooting guard Kareem Rush will also return to the starting lineup. Looks like the Cats will have speed, but today 76ers will be in offensive form.

CATS/76ers OVER 197.5 -123 for 2 units(W)
CATS/76ers OVER 100 1st Half -118 for 1 unit(W)

I blinked and windows closed on all my good leans. I'm not even going to talk about what I wanted to take, I'll just let it go. What's wrong with 2 winners?
In a ZONE 2-0 +3.00 units
I'm on vacation now so I'm not on any fixed schedule, I'll be blogging at my leisure. If you need me email, can't promise quick response.

My early line for Thursday.
Pacers had their lowest scoring game against the Mavs playing back to back and lost. I backed Indiana in that game. The struggling Pacers got some bad news Wednesday when Ron Artest was unable to practice with recurring pain in his right wrist. Jamaal Tinsley also couldn't practice because of a strained quad and groin. Both starters are listed as doubtful for Thursday night's game against Washington. The Pacers have dropped two in a row and three of four overall heading into Thursday night's game. Coach Rick Carlisle indicated he'd strongly consider making some changes. Jermaine O'Neal even broached the possibility of roster moves being necessary if no turnaround is on the way. Many will see this as a nice spot to take Washington +7 (just went to +6.5 at Pinny) as not all Cappers are up to speed with the info.
But I'm thinking Pacers defense will suffer with Artest out. Trends point to Under with Total opening with shaded Under. Numbers dropped quick, but now it's stalling. Guys who can score will create their own shots, but defense is team effort. I'm thinking Wiz attacking the paint will be the order of the day. Pacers scoring should bounce up even with the missing starters.

Take a small position and watch the lines.
WAS/IND OVER 189.5 -121 for 1 unit(W)
Looks like Public loves the UNDER, the Players are on this too.
That's OK, I've been on my own side and I'm not 100% every day, but I still like it. Might even hit it for another unit. Keep in mind the 1st Half line is set at O/U 94 and naturally Under is getting the money.
I could buy this nice looking O down to 188 at a discount at -116, I'm going to check her out for awhile longer.

This game is still going down. Looking like I'll be able to get Over 185.5

Not quite that low, but I'll take it.
WAS/IND OVER 186.5 -118 for 1 unit(W)
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Oh man, HOU/SAC Total is dropping like a rock. Pinny opened 189.
Public is going to get slaughtered. The Kings are not planning to play Houston's game today. Kings want the ball in transition and leave Yao in their dust, that's how Kings are going to try to take this game. Houston will look to convert inside with Yao and T-Mac on the drive/ T-Mac from the field, get couple of guys hitting their range and boom, Score goes OVER.

HOU/SAC OVER 185 -128 for 2 units(W)

Public got slaughtered, but if your rolling with the Clutch we slammed the Books. May not be 100% everyday, but we are again today.

3-0 +4.00 units

My early line for Wednesday. I be back with the write ups in the morning.

It's morning and I sit in front of my computer........
This is why it's important to write your thought down right away, I know I had more angles on this game last night than I have now.
Anyway, it's a bounce back spot for the points and the line makers over anticipated the number in my opinion. Both teams only scored in the 70's and we all know it's not going to end in 160's but, 190's ?

BOS/NOH UNDER 193.5 -126 for 3 units(W)
Where's the Defense?
BOS/NOH 2nd Half UNDER 95.5 -108 for 2 units(W)

This one is a Under trending game at TD Waterhouse Center (I hate all these commercial names) The Bull will visit the reeling Orlando Magic.
I watched that last game Magic lost against San Antonio and you know it was a blow out, but I liked the way Magic kept things in control for the first half (Magic covered ATS 1st Half) and Spurs were in a zone for the 2nd Half in champion form a healthy Magic playing their top game would of lost, you have to look at two clubs in different levels and consider everything that took place.
Magic practice Tuesday the team worked on offensive execution and on various defensive schemes. Coach Brian Hill didn't run the team as hard, Spurs game was their third in four days.
Steve Francis practiced expect to see him suit up.
Bulls also played good ball in their loss to Dallas. Dirk took out Kirk and Deng with his elbow, Kirk left the game and Deng lost his tooth (Kirk's not scratched on tonight's probable, Huh he's not with the team, that solves that) and in the end it was the give away baskets...Where's the "D"? OK, they might be working on that, but they have tough time executing defense on the road. Good thing they have an active bench.
I think this match up will be a good one. I'm looking for high 80's to low 90's type game.

CHI/ORL 1st Half OVER 87 -115 for 1 unit(W)
CHI/ORL OVER 175.5 -124 for 2 units(W)

Cha-ching! Clutch plays money ball. Nothing but W"s
4-0 +8.00 units

Today let's start with the game at Conseco Fieldhouse where the Dallas will play 2nd leg of back to back. Cappers looked at Chicago to stop Mavs in their 1st leg, they were wrong, Dallas stepped up to pull away in the 2nd half. Mavs played well all around it was a typical Dallas display, what you expect against the Bulls. This game will differ as Mavs put so much into each game the back to back's are an handicap. Jason Terry will be a game time decision.
Indiana's loss in Seattle also snapped my O/U streak losing my Under as the Sonics set the high tempo. Pacers led in the paint, fast breaks, shooting percentage, but lost the boards and the difference was they failed to play their game.

I'll take PACERS -1.5 1st Half -126 for 2 units(L)
I will consider 2nd Half total.
DAL/IND 2nd Half UNDER 92.5 +105 for 2 units(W)


Moving on to Bradley Center. Western Conference have dominated the Bucks and Lakers have owned them, but today the line is set against the trend and rightly so. Lakers are not built for the road and this will not be a contest. Getting lucky against the Cats at home is not at all impressive.
Bucks showed no mercy against Magic and I like to see them jump on this game in front of the home crowd.

MIL -2 1st Half -120 for 3 units(L)
Wow, I can't hit any sides. That's 2 craps on ATS.

Nearing game time. I'm looking for a shoot out at MCI Center.
Wizards talk about no chemistry and playing defense, let's just fight fire with fire. Broke the century mark against Bucks in a loss last game. Raps growing confidence with the young guns will come ready to attack.
I look for the tone to be set in the 1st quarter, settle and resume a high tempo to break 200+ for the game.

TOR/WIZ 1st Quarter OVER 51.5 -113 for 2 units(W)
TOR/WIZ OVER 200.5 -127 for 3 units(W)

Totals staying hot, but ATS really needs work.
3-2 +0.98 units

Monday light card. I see players are on Chicago Bulls today, my good friend Batis may agree on that home dog, but such a small spread and Dallas likely public play why did so many cappers jump on Bulls +1 or +1.5 ? Why not wait, it's +2.5 at most books now and might go higher. ML price should improve too.
That's just silly hitting a line when it's improving to your favor.
I'm going to stay off this one, it might buck the trend or Mavs win by a basket.

My first take today will be on San Antonio at Orlando.
Magic is riddled and Spurs are rolling, that's what all the previews are saying,
maybe so, but Spurs defense is little forgiving on the road and Magic is back home which should help the score climb, Hedo Turkoglu will return to the Magic line up and when the media writes them off the team usually steps up. Manu Ginobili was reevaluated at shoot around today, went through the shoot around with no apparent problems and is now listed as probable for tonight.
The Under for today is a luring Under at 173 and it's not getting much bite, matter of fact I don't think there are much takers for this game.

Taking the 1st Half and shave off more points.
SAS/ORL 1st Half OVER 84.5 -110 for 2 units(W)
Walk in the park. Still thinking about late games.

Miami off to a quick start at Staples Center, let's not forget they are on 5th day (oops, 6th day) on the road playing their 4th game, if they take the lead into the Half we may have a good play. Lead is shrinking at the end of 1st Clips down by 7 points.

Before I could type a another word 12-2 Clippers run, caught Miami and passed them....LOL

Clips just covered ATS for 1st Half. I can't see Heat shooting at this pace (51%) for rest of the game, but I wouldn't give +5 points to Miami.
O/U 95 for second half, my lean would be Under, but Walker and Payton no points yet they could keep the scores going. No play.

Today end with one winner.
1-0 +2.00 units

Check that out, Under 95 comes in.....should of bet that one.

My weekly wrap-up.

Mon. 11/28
DAL/TOR UNDER 202 -120 for 2 units (W)
1-0 +2.00

Tue. 11/29
MIL PK -104 for 3 units (W)
DAL/MIL 1st Half Over 100 +100 for 2 units (W)
DAL/MIL OVER 199 -109 for 2 units (W)
IND -3.5 -105 for 1 unit (W)
IND/UTA OVER 177.5 -105 for 1 unit (L)
4-1 +6.95

Wed. 11/30
SAC/GSW OVER 197.5 -110 for 3 units (W)
IND/PHO OVER 193.5 -114 for 2 units (W)
LAC/CLE OVER 198 -106 for 1 unit (W)
3-0 +6.00

Thu. 12/01
SAS -2 -110 for 5 units (P)
0-0-1

Fri. 12/02
TOR/ATL OVER 192.5 -115 for 2 units (W)
TOR/ATL OVER 191.5 -114 for 2 units (W)
CLE/SEA 1st Half Over 101 -109 for 2 units (W)
3-0 +6.00

Sat. 12/03
TOR/NJN 1st Half Over 95 -115 for 3 units (W)
1-0 +3.00

Sun. 12/04
IND/SEA UNDER 195.5 -123 for 2 units (L)
IND/SEA 1st Half Under 97 -110 for 1 unit (W)
IND/SEA 1st Quarter Under 48.5 +106 for 1 unit (L)
BOS/NYK OVER 195 -120 for 1 unit (W)
CHA/LAL 2nd Half Over 96.5 -111 for 2 units (W)
3-2 +0.54


15(W) - 3 (L) - 1 (P) Total Gain +24.59 units
This is the best weekly gain so far this season, although I wanted to end the week with 1 loss but I collected 2 more losses on Sunday for total of 3 losses.
I'm going to need a perfect week to top this one.

My early line for Sunday. I'll have the write up in the morning.

I'll try to keep my reasoning short and to the point. This match up is coming off of respective scoring peak for both teams, 116 SEA & 98 IND (that's high for Pacers), Even with poor defense I don't see Pacers racking up the score. I think Pacers will be focused on containing Allen & Lewis and I like to see Sonics battle the board on both ends. I feel Indiana will set the defensive tone to this game.
IND/SEA UNDER 195.5 -123 for 2 units(L)
(sorry CLE was a mistake, but the line and price is correct from last night)

Adding modified plays.
IND/SEA 1st Half UNDER 97 -110 for 1 unit(W)
IND/SEA 1st Quarter UNDER 48.5 +106 for 1 unit(L)
Very sharp lines.

This game is under way. I like the offensive activity on both sides, in the paint and fast break, with recent games. I like these two teams to match up close today and OVER trend to continue.
I wanted to take 1st Half OVER, but missed it.
BOS/NYK OVER 195 -120 for 1 unit(W)
Not only are my O/U are hitting dead on I'm getting lucky and missing the losers. 2nd half surge was right on time.

2nd Half late game.
CHA/LAL 2nd Half OVER 96.5 -111 for 2 units(W)
I know it looked like a late chase, but I really did like this 2nd Half and there was no time to do any write ups. It's hard to gauge which Lakers will show up on any given game I thought I had a good read on Over after watching the first half.

3-2 gain +0.54 units
*I took the NHL winner posted by Batis so not really that bad at all.
Any time you edge out a gain is OK by me.

I'm still watching the lines.
The game I like is moving in my favor.
I'll be looking for a good spot to pull the trigger, stay tuned.

My first take today.
I've watched this since the opening at 197 did not take long to go 196.5 than gradual move down to 195 and now it's taking a small bounce back as the Under price has moved from -115 to -110. What game?
TOR at NJN.
TOR on 2nd of back to back road game. I wouldn't say Nets are a offensive force that would out run and out gun the Raptors, but what I do like is the looming 1000th win combined with very active Nets in the paint also making good fast breaks in their loss to the Pistons.
Again the Pistons were solid and despite the Nets good effort Detroit stopped their outside game holding them to 40% shooting. Pistons also did a good job shutting down Kidd.
Toronto's catching momentum, 100+ scoring against ATL is also good indicator. True to Raptors pattern they are once again starting to run up the score on the road. What stands out from their last match up in early season (11/04) is Raptors miserable 1st half with a forgettable 9 points scored in the 2nd quarter. I'm sure they remember. Nets will have a easier time establishing their inside outside game. Let's run up the score in the early going.

TOR/NJN 1st Half OVER 95 -115 for 3 units(W)
*waited little too long.

Sorry everybody I just couldn't get on line to make additional plays.
Let's call it a day with a win.
Please come back and check out my plays for Sunday.
1-0 +3.00 units

This is my early pick. I will return in the morning to add some insight.

Now it's Friday morning (09:45 PST) This early pick opened yesterday at 197 and I watched it drop. I thought there might be some rebound but it just kept moving down.
This is a good spot for scoring to climb up. Neither of these team could not find their shot in both of their last games, TOR scored 66 points on 34.7% shooting, ATL scored 74 points on 40% shooting.
Before those games TOR played Under hosting DAL, remember that was my situational Under after giving up too many easy baskets, but look beyond that and you'll see Raptors are very productive on the road.
ATL before MEM played Under oriented teams HOU, POR, IND, which contributed to the Under run. I think the scoring returns tonight.

TOR/ATL OVER 192.5 -115 for 2 units(W)
Adding.
TOR/ATL OVER 191.5 -114 for 2 units(W)

This play which flashed a high opening of 205, that was just to get your attention, quickly moved down 204.5, 204 and now 203.
I'm talking about Cleveland Cavaliers visiting Seattle Supersonics at Key Arena.
My friend in Seattle tells me they had their first snow yesterday and it has been very cold all week, all relative to where your at I guess, but I expect things to heat up inside the Key.
When Sonics surge it's the nucleus of Allen & Lewis, when these two click Sonics roll. It was wire to wire win against the Cats in last game.
Cavs last home stand against LA Clippers was LAC most of the way. I'm sure Cavs was not happy with opponents stopping their attacks, this might be the right opponent to make adjustments and attack.
Sonics have porous defense, but can fight fire with fire and they have revenge on their mind.

CLE/SEA 1st Half OVER 101 -109 for 2 units(W)

Just like a clock I tick and tock, time to pay me.
3-0 +6.00 units

My over night selection will be a popular early pick.
Mavs come home and they were running out of gas towards the end of that road trip. Now the rematch, more likely a revenge match.
Dallas might still be jet-lagged. San Antonio will show no mercy if the Mavs are step behind.

SAS -2 -110 for 5 units(P)
I contemplated buying 0.5 for SAS -1.5 at -125 or SAS ML at -135 before pulling the trigger on this one. Should of, would of, could of....
0-0-1 no loss, no gain.

I have a busy schedule ahead with my vacation coming up. I need to get some work out of the way and clear my desk.
This will be my only play.
Good luck to all.