Sunday, December 23, 2012

NBA Sunday

11-12-1   -1,910 

Philadelphia Seventy Sixers at Brooklyn Nets

Despite the Sixers going way Over the Total in their last 2 road trips. The two games that's gone Over, both in Texas at Dallas and at Houston, unusual in back to back situation allowed and scored triple digits. Last time that happened was 11/24, 11/25 Oklahoma City and Phoenix back to back, but it doesn't happen often and Philadelphia plays Under on the Road. Brooklyn Nets also plays Under better on the road, but they play Under overall and team offense defense points stat very similar to Philadelphia. This line has been trending tight, but finally broke above 187 for the second time. Taking the hook with the Under.

PHILADELPHIA at BROOKLYN
Game Total UNDER 187.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

Sunday, December 16, 2012

NBA Sunday

11-10-1  120

L.A. Lakers at Philadelphia 76ers
There's a strange relation between the Lakers backers to continuously look for reasons to take the Lakers. Coming off a road win, ATS Push, at Washington was good, but not inspiring especially how close they cut it in the 4th quarter. Maybe the feeling is Lakers are climbing, they held a opponent under 100 points, only happened 3 times in last 10 games, and the Sixers seem to be declining dropping 2 in a row unable to score 90 points in both games. That puts Philadelphia 11-12 ATS, 6-8 Home ATS, Sixers stock is falling. However Lakers ATS at 9-14, 3-7-1 away (3-8 if you had the hook in Washington), has been a money team to play AGAINST. Philadelphia bounce back game after 2 losses this season 4 out of 4. 6-3 playing a losing team, 8-2 against poor defensive teams allowing more than 99 points. 4-1 after a loss by 10 points or more. Lakers are 1-6 in non conference games, 0-2 against Atlantic division and just not good on the road.
Take Philadelphia +3.5 and Take Philadelphia Money Line.

PHILADELPHIA +3.5 at -103 for 1 unit(L)
PHILADELPHIA ML +145 for 1 unit(L)

Friday, December 14, 2012

NBA Friday

10-10-1  -880

Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets
Memphis is a forward progressing team. This mix of talent plays very well as a unit scoring just above 97 points on average and holding opponents to just below 91 points the winning differential is a excellent 6.5 points. That's a mark of a good defensive minded team. 14-4 and ATS 12-5-1 record making the Grizz a usual suspect to play on any given night. The host Denver Nuggets is a middle of the pack, 11-12 and ATS 13-10, team not living up to the expectations, but the Nuggets were on the road quite a bit, 6 at home 17 on the road, and they're forte is at the Pepsi Center not on the road. Denver 5-1 at the mile high city coming off a ATS cover at Minnesota. The Grizzlies have not covered in past 4 games and struggling to score. Coming to Denver will not be easy to make the turn around. Going with Denver

DENVER NUGGETS -1 at -103 for 1 unit(W)

Thursday, December 13, 2012

NBA Thursday

10-8-1  1,280

Charlotte Bobcats at Atlanta Hawks

Two teams headed to a different direction, is what the reviews will tell you. Yes the Hawks are winning games 10 out of last 12, 7-2 at home, and one tough team to crack. Charlotte is on the other extreme where as hard as they may try the win just slips through their finger. As easy as the wins have been coming for Atlanta that's not always the case for covering the spread. The Atlanta Hawks are one of the top teams to record one of the worst ATS record and the Bobcats kept it close enough to cover the last meet. It very much seems the case today with the Cats getting +10.5 points coming off a ATS cover against the streaking Clippers and the Hawks just covering the spread against Orlando just as easily could of been a no cover. Although Charlotte with hefty points is a angle good enough for a play the Total to sink Under 194 with Charlotte on the road making this a grind out game and Atlanta scoring Total on the decline is the top play. Atlanta Total set between 192 to 195 have yet to go Over.

CHARLOTTE BOBCATS at ATLANTA HAWAKS
Game Total Score UNDER 194 at -109 for 2 units(L)

CHARLOTTE BOBCATS +10.5 at -107 for 1 unit(L)

Sunday, December 09, 2012

NBA Monday

10-7-1  2,380

Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 11-9, 7-5 at home holding a winning record and they will be hosting Detroit Pistons coming in at 7-15, 2-10 on the road, trying stay out of the NBA Central basement. Going into NBA Atlantic is a tough task for any team with only Toronto having a home losing record. The Sixers will look to regain the home edge and get back a win after splitting home win road loss on back to back games against Boston. The last game was not only a loss for the Sixers but their third lowest scoring game at 79 so there should be some offensive effort here. Most betters will side with the Sixers and they will count on Philadelphia to take care of business knocking out a weak road team like Detroit...  However you must keep in mind it was the Wells Fargo Center where the Pistons ended their 8 games straight losing streak to open their season. Since that win Detroit is playing .500 ball and they seem to be a spoiler for certain teams, like Oklahoma City beat them twice ATS, Cleveland twice SU & ATS and Philly round two? Detroit offensive scoring has risen in 5 straight games coming off a rare road win, even if it was against weak Cleveland team it was a step up for the Pistons. The 76ers very prone to dropping consecutive games as they have only bounced back from a single loss once against the spread and have yet to do so straight up. Going with the Pistons being a thorn to the Sixers.



DETROIT PISTONS +6.5 at -110(L)
Just missed

Monday, December 03, 2012

NBA Monday

10-6-1  3,480

Portland Trailblazers at Charlotte Bobcats
Another rare Bobcats game being favored at home. First was 11/13 Washington 92-76 win cover -2 U191 the Wizards biggest ATS margin loss -14 then 11/21 Toronto 98-97 win No cover O192.5, the second game was against a team that was playing the second set of back to back 4 games in 5 days. Portland has been a small road dog 4 times 11/13 @Sacramento 103-86 win cover 2.5 U197.5 next was 11/21 @Phoenix 87-114 loss no cover 2 just O200.5 then 11/26 @Detroit 101-108 loss no cover 1 O193 and their last game 12/01 @Cleveland 118-117 double OT win cover 1.5 O193, but was headed Under in regulation. This particular match looks to go UNDER 194 as this is a rising Total following both teams playing Over (Portland was O193 and Charlotte was O188 with this game set at 194) Portland trending UNDER away 6-4, after allowing +105 points UNDER is 2-5 historically 25-13 and scoring +105 is UNDER 23-15. The Bobcats and the Trailblazers have been allowing triple digits to their respective opponents, but neither of these team rarely break 100. Struggling defense may give up the Over, but lacking offense will only eat up the clock.

PORTLAND at CHARLOTTE UNDER 194 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

Sunday, December 02, 2012

NBA Sunday

9-6-1  2,480

Orlando Magic at L.A. Lakers
Magic is on the slide and they might not Jameer Nelson, he's game time decision, but Lakers put on a clink against Denver Nuggets 122-103 win and Magic starters may not be any concern. There's a fat chance Orlando take this game in L.A. 14-32 all time, 4-18 in L.A., however has won 6 of last 9 meetings splitting the last 4 meetings. The Lakers are playing off a young season high I feel their game to drop off a bit maybe not enough decline to lose this game, but giving up this many points may come back to bite their backers in the 4th quarter. My take on the Magic is they last peaked on 11/23 beating Cleveland SU then 1 point margin ATS loss against Boston further declining to San Antonio blow out loss by -13.5 ATS margin. From there Brooklyn game although a loss was a bounce back game just about even at the half and ATS loss margin was -7.  The Lakers +19 point win against Denver, like the blow out win against Dallas, the follow up game has been disappointing. Sure the Lakers have the talent and fire power to blow away the Magic, but will looks for Orlando to hang around for the late cover.

ORLANDO MAGIC +13.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)