Tuesday, December 23, 2014

NBA Tuesday

6-5-1 +780

Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers
One of the golden angle we have been playing for years. As the star player is out for the game the team as a unit performs at higher level.  Tonight's line is inflated as with most games involving top and bottom ranked teams, but the absence of Koby will catch the Warriors off guard. Take the hungry home dog to make a statement.

LOS ANGELES LAKERS +11 at -102 for 1 unit(W)

Friday, December 19, 2014

NBA Friday

5-5 -220

Minnesota Timberwolves at Boston Celtics
Here we have two losing teams, the Wolves 5-19 standing 5th place in North West and the Celtics 9-14 3rd in Atlantic, and Boston traded Rondo to the Mavs. These two teams trend Over and they have matched up Over playing in Boston, but 213? Even down to 212 looks bit much. I don't think the scheme will click to the tune of triple digits 210 plus. Minnesota is porous on the road, but they will recede here and Boston is going to keep it simple and try to take the advantage on the glass. We like the Under

The Wolves at Celtics UNDER 212 at -105 for 1 unit(Push)

Oklahoma Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers
We're going with the same angle we played last night. Plus no Kevin Durant.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 210 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
This line dropped to 204.5 and we were on both sides to middle this total.

Thursday, December 18, 2014

NBA Thursday

3-4 -1150

Hey fellas and ladies. Hope everyone is doing well. We are on line watch and our thoughts are on Golden State at home taking on the visiting Oklahoma Thunders. It should be a good one with both teams capable of explosive offense. At least most people will expect to see high pace high scoring match up here. OKC is scoring average better than 108 in last 5 games while Golden State is better than 107 in last 5 games, better than 109 average at home. So what we got?

Oklahoma Thunder at Golden State Warriors
Not our under the radar type of game, but we do like the Total here. The perception here is tonight's game will easily sail Over the total, sitting at 210.5 not moving much since the over night, and the fact is these Total exceeding 210+ are falling short. Both of these teams trend Under OKC at O/U  6-19 and GSW 9-15. Two of tonight's three ref's are also trending Under, Fitzgerald  7-12 and Richardson 6-12, setting a stage for defense. Both of these teams exceeds triple digit scoring with regularity, but they are also holding opposition under triple digits. We are playing this game to fall short.

OKC at GSW UNDER 212 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

Wow, 72 points in first quarter, this Under is looking ugly. But keep in mind this pace will calm down and likely to come down for the second half. Watch the pace to slow and also consider the Warriors to win and cover at home. Golden State got right back into this game in the 2nd quarter and the Thunders are starting to look worn out on this road trip.

2nd HALF GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -2 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
2nd HALF GAME UNDER 105 at -110 for 1 unit(W)


Friday, December 12, 2014

NBA Friday

3-3 -150

Portland Trailblazers at Chicago Bulls
The Blazers played a flat game against one of the NBA bottom feeders and they looked bad doing it. On the other side Chicago was fantastic in their home win against Brooklyn. The Bulls are hurting, but they have scored in triple digits for 7 straight games winning 4 and covering the spread. The Blazers have racked up wins with 5 out of last 7, 8 out of last 10 and 14 out of last 16, but the recent ATS record is dismal 1-6 last 7, 2 out of last 10. Will Chicago take this game and cover too? We feel the Blazers will come to play in Chicago and they will be receiving points tonight against the front court depleted Bulls team. The Blazers 3-0 as Underdogs this season, 8-3 against teams scoring and allowing triple digits. The Bulls are 2-6 ATS, 1-7 ATS  in non conference games, 1-3 after win by 10 points or more. Take the road dog on the rebound.

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS +2.5 at -108 for 1 unit(L)

Monday, December 08, 2014

NBA Monday

3-2 +900

The T-Wolves are playing tough stretch. The Rockets loss in OT followed by blow out loss to the Spurs this schedule is draining these young Wolves. The Warriors are just rolling like an unstoppable force and tonight the line continues to like the Warriors. It's the top team bottom team match up with too much love for the top team giving up double digit points. Yes, the Timberwolves are capable of losing double digit, but I think they will be relentless regardless of what this game looks like on paper. We take the home dog to play in range.

Minnesota Timberwolves +14.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)


Sunday, November 23, 2014

NBA Sunday

2-2 -100

PORTLAND Trailblazers at BOSTON Celtics
We have Portland rolling, but the spread is shrinking. The Blazers are winner of 8 out of last a10 coming off a blow out win at home against Chicago while Boston took a beating at the hands of  Memphis on the road. As this match unfolds Boston will likely turn a better performance and there is a chance for a let down from the Blazes.  However Boston this season has been very porous, especially at home and Portland has been notching up a bit on the road.  Portland
 8-2 against the spread in November.  7-0 against offensive teams scoring +99 points. 5-0 against teams allowing +99 points.  Fade Boston after allowing +105 points. Laying the soft number.

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS -5 at -102 for1 unit(W)

Monday, November 17, 2014

NBA Monday

2-1 +950

Phoenix Suns at Boston Celtics
We have two good offensive teams with challenged defense going at it tonight and both of these teams dominate Over the Total. To top it off the Suns away game and the Celtics home game bring their Total to perfect Over 8-0. This total is on the rise and it opened as the highest posted total for both of theses teams. Both of these teams are coming off high scoring games, losing games giving up more than 120 points and shooting over their average. We feel the scoring is going to come down here. Compared to their respective last game 215 is much lower, but with both defense improvement and shooting percentage decline tonight's game will fail to reach this climbing Total.

SUNS at CELTICS TOTAL UNDER 216 -105 for 1 unit(L)

Saturday, November 15, 2014

NBA Saturday

1-1 -50

New Jersey Nets at Portland Trailblazers
We have a short spread at the Rose Garden and if you know your stats theses lines have been trouble for the Blazers. Portland definitely looking square, but the Nets on their third road game playing 3 games in 4 nights against an opponent playing well and tough against Atlantic division. We're going to lay the short favorite to cover here.

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS -2.5 at -102 for 1 unit(W)

Thursday, November 13, 2014

NBA Thursday

0-1 -1050 units

Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies
This game gets split consensus on which team will win. The Grizz are playing well 7-1 and 3-0 at home, but in November games Memphis spread is proving to be too much. Sacramento is covering their spread and they are coming off a no cover at Dallas missing that one by the hook. The Kings are playing resilient basketball. We like them here getting better then 3 baskets.

SACRAMENTO KINGS +6.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

Friday, October 31, 2014

Friday NBA

Can you dig it? NBA is back and we have some different looks. I'm fashionably late so let's  get this party started!

Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers
We have the Pacers rebounding from last season's poor finish. Indiana is a good team on the season's first half.  Memphis comes to this season with higher expectation. They took care of Minnesota in the home opener. Both of these teams are coming off Over their total, matter of fact crushing the Over,  But this game the Total should hold Under as controlling the paint will not be easy. Looking for scoring to crawl. The Pacers are O/U 5-15 against southwest and Memphis 8-12 against central. Let's get some defensive tone to cash the Under.

GAME TOTAL UNDER 185,5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Heartbreaker!

Saturday, May 24, 2014

NBA Saturday

Indiana at Miami
Since the opening of this line Pacers +7 stood firm. I'm sure this number looked bit much even with Miami at home in a spot to win. As the talk has been over done, but Indiana being built to beat the Heat is a good means to explain the slumping Indiana teams win against the post season ready Heat. I don't think the sharp money is riding Indiana. There's a line watch here and could be a no play on the sides without any last minute indicators moving. The thought here is to take the Heat if public money moves the line toward the Pacers and indeed that is the case

MIAMI HEAT -6 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

Sunday, April 27, 2014

NBA Sunday

Houston Rockets at Portland Trailblazers
These two teams have matched very well as 2 games in this series have gone to OT, three if you count the last game of regular season, and they have matched up Over.  The Over tendencies are so strong regardless of home court. The posted Total opened at high 217 and declined from there. The shaded Total corrected to adjusted 214, this is a fair number. Portland is Over 14-5 after 3 or more consecutive Over's, 16-5 against SouthWest and  28-12 in revenge situation. Houston is Over 16-5 against NorthWest, 10-3 in April games and stronger 24-17 away from Toyota Center than at home. Riding the reduced number Over.

HOUSTON ROCKETS at PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS
GAME TOTAL OVER 214 at 105 for 1 unit(W)

Sunday, April 20, 2014

NBA Sunday

NBA posts have tanked! It's worst run of crappy games to date and we're going to try to salvage it.
Portland Trailblazers at Houston Rockets
The Blazers have been road warriors, but this line has remained steady and likely a close finish. At -5.5 for Houston that's going to be better than 2 possession. Portland are better ATS team on the road making +5.5 with Blazers rolling seem a good proposition, but the line likes Houston at home. The Rockets have matched well in recent games. Well lay the favorite at home.

HOUSTON ROCKETS -5.5 at -108 for 1 unit

Saturday, April 19, 2014

NBA Saturday

We're going to get back on the hard court in Oklahoma City.

Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma Thunder
Looking at this match 190 Total at OKC is the second lowest total for Thunder this season. You know who posted the lowest? Memphis Grizzlies on Feb. 3rd Under 186 when OKC won 86-77, but number in 190's have faired better going Over .

Game Over 190 -108 for 1 unit(L)

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

MLB Wednesday

Back to the Diamonds.

Chicago Cubs at New York Yankees
It's the second half of double header. We'll speculate a split here.

CHICAGO CUBS +145 for 1 unit(L)

Monday, April 14, 2014

NBA Monday

Well it's a dog day Monday.

Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors
This is the second leg of back to back games for both teams. Both teams coming off losses, but the Warriors covered, and Golden State coming into 2nd leg of back to back of double back to back 4th game in 5 days. The Timberwolves are zig zagging since April 5th, coming off a tough loss in need of win, and they are catching the Warriors with low fuel. We'll take the points and the Wolves.

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES +7.5 at -103 for 1 unit(L)

Sunday, April 13, 2014

NBA Sunday

Minnesota Timberwolves at Sacramento Kings
It's reverse line movement and it's a late one. Regardless of the angle on sides this one we look to the Total as it's hit a high note. The trend is Under and the 2 point jump is not the right correction. Going against the grain. Going Under

GAME TOTAL UNDER 207.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Must of pissed off the Basketball gods or something? Useless 3 at the end of this game! WTF?

Saturday, April 12, 2014

NBA Saturday

Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets
Going with the hot home ATS team in Denver Nuggets. We're laying the points tonight.

DENVER NUGGETS -9.5 at -102 for 1 unit(L)

Friday, April 04, 2014

NBA Friday

Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers
We have a high total tonight at Staples Center and it is the determined Dallas team making the late season push. With the Big German leading the charge knocking out the Clippers in last nights game the Mavericks will take floor on the same court.  Dallas trending Over at 43-33 this season, at 210 or more 15-9, after exceeding +105 points 26-19 and against poor defensive teams in second half 14-7. The Lakers are Over 36-25 as a Underdog, 22-17 revenging a loss, 28-20 against poor defensive teams 14-8 in second half.
Baskets baby!

DALLAS at LOS ANGELES GAME OVER 223.5 at -108 for 1 unit(L)

Saturday, March 29, 2014

NBA Saturday

L.A. CLIPPERS at HOUSTON ROCKETS
The Clips are rolling, but if I was to go against them I do it on the road taking on another determined contender.

ROCKETS -1 at -108 at 1 unit(L)

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

NBA Wednesday

Portland at Orlando
We've seen this spot before. The Blazers on a back to back night coming off a loss and cover against Miami. Orlando has been very good this season as a small home dog, but that trend is fading. The Magic against winning teams ATS have gone cold at 4-7 in second half and 1-6 going Under three times or more. The Blazers ATS 11-6 back to back, 22-13 against losing teams, 5-3 against Southeast foes and coming off a cover win. Lay it.

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS -6 at -108 for 1 unit(L)

Tuesday, March 18, 2014

NBA Tuesday

Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks
Another situational spot we are following.

TORONTO RAPTORS -0.5 FIRST QUARTER for 1 unit(W)

Friday, March 14, 2014

NBA Friday

Washington Wizard at Orlando Magic
We have a situational spot for Washington.

WASHINGTON WIZARDS FIRST QUARTER -1.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Tuesday, March 11, 2014

NBA Tuesday

BOSTON at INDIANA
We are backing the Pacers to take the first half with aggression.

INDIANA PACERS -7 FIRST HALF at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Tuesday, March 04, 2014

NBA Tuesday

It's pay day Tuesday.

Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers
The Warriors are on midst of their 6 games 9 days road trip. Golden State are one of the 13 teams in the league to sport a winning record on the road and among those teams they are ranked 8th. Also good in revenge spot 7-2 ATS, but they do sputter after 3 road games. Tonight we'll look at the fundamental side to this game. Indiana after 3 no cover wins this team is ripe to make a statement. The Pacers will not be second billing to Miami. 3-1 ATS as short favorites, 6-3 against Pacific and the Pacers have owned this series.

INDIANA PACERS -5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
INDIANA PACERS -2.5 at -115 for 1 unitL)

Friday, February 21, 2014

NBA Friday

It's a bit busier than usual. Got some Olympic interests and keeping my eyes on Spring Training camp. MLB is right around the corner.  All's good.

New Orleans at Charlotte
The Cats are 5 out of 6 ATS and coming off 116-98 high scoring win against Detroit. That's two home games scoring 114 and 116 beating opponents by double digit margin. Does not look good for New Orleans 2 out of last 5, but 1-4-1 ATS. Well if you like the Cats the spread is in your favor it's come down from the opening, but Pelicans 8-2 in last 10 match ups and pretty tough 5-1 ATS after a ATS loss. We will back the Under here as the number has edged up a bit, Charlotte coming off a high scoring game and they are UNDER 11-4 in this spot.

NEW ORLEANS PELICANS at CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
GAME TOTAL UNDER 192 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

Thursday, February 20, 2014

NBA Thursday

Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors
The line has reversed on this game, but I don't think the differential is going to make a difference. The Warriors 7-18 after ATS win, 0-7 after SU win.

HOUSTON ROCKETS -1.5 at -102 for 1 unit(L)
Should of ended in regulation winner, but Curry had to tie it with 6 seconds left.

Wednesday, February 12, 2014

NBA Wednesday

Portland Trailblazers at Los Angeles Clippers
Just about game time. I think the Clippers stock has risen a little too high. That last game crushing Philadelphia combined with return of CP3 has pushed the L.A. outlook. Looking for a drawback to reality. Portland has come down a bit, but the team has not changed. Taking the points and small piece of money line.

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS +9.5 at -108 for 1 unit(W)
PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS ML +420(L)

PORTLAND FIRST HALF +5.5 at-115(W)
PORTLAND FIRST QUARTER +3 at -105(W)

Tuesday, February 11, 2014

NBA Tuesday

Sacramento Kings at Cleveland Cavaliers
We have two losing teams going at it tonight and the Total is holding above 204. It's been as high as 205.5, but bad teams getting high score is not a good idea. Kings O/U 0-4-2 last 6 road games. 0-5-1 following SU loss. Cleveland O/U 1-9 at home, 1-7 against road losing teams. Last 5 meetings have gone Under. We even have Under bias Curtis Blair reffing the floor.

KINGS at CAVALIERS UNDER 205 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

Wednesday, January 15, 2014

NBA Wednesday

Toronto Raptors at Boston Celtics
Toronto is an ATS beast right now and have 4 double digit cover out of 10 straight ATS cover. Boston have historically schooled Toronto, but don't let that record fool you tonight. The line has moved to Toronto -4 as the road favorite. Take the Raptors across the board on 1st Quarter, 1st Half and Full Game.

TORONTO FIRST QUARTER  -0.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
TORONTO FIRST HALF -1.5 at -115 for 1 unit(L)
TORONTO -4 at -103 for 1 unit(L)

Tuesday, January 14, 2014

NBA Tuesday

Sacramento Kings at Indiana Pacers
We have Sacramento on offensive surge with last two games improving their defensive side. As the hot Kings travel to Indiana with two of last games scoring over 120 points and only failing to score in triple digits once the posted total at 196 should give some indication to the defensive nature of this match up. The games between these two teams are trending Over, but the baskets will come at a premium tonight. Backing the Under.

SACRAMENTO KINGS at INDIANA PACERS
GAME TOTAL UNDER 196 at -110 for 1 unit(L)