Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers
Low Total for this match up at 181.5, which is at it's lowest since opening at 183, does give expectation to high caliber team playing championship level defense. That and the strong UNDER trend both teams are racking up, but 2 UNDER's don't always add up to more UNDER. The value comes on the OVER at this level and it was already shaded UNDER at the Opening.
Dallas at Los Angeles OVER 181.5
Monday, January 16, 2012
Sunday, January 15, 2012
NBA Monday
Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia
The Total 189 looks like easily reachable number as recent Sixers games have sailed over the centry mark 3 out of last 4 and recent Bucks games have given up over 100 points in 3 out of last 4 so if Milwaukee cracks mid 80's game goes Over. This would be the common perception, but if the ATS theory holds true I feel the points will come at preimium and revert to low scoring game sinking this Total UNDER. The number has dropped to 187.5, but this game still goes UNDER.
Bucks at 76ers UNDER 187.5(W)
The Total 189 looks like easily reachable number as recent Sixers games have sailed over the centry mark 3 out of last 4 and recent Bucks games have given up over 100 points in 3 out of last 4 so if Milwaukee cracks mid 80's game goes Over. This would be the common perception, but if the ATS theory holds true I feel the points will come at preimium and revert to low scoring game sinking this Total UNDER. The number has dropped to 187.5, but this game still goes UNDER.
Bucks at 76ers UNDER 187.5(W)
Thursday, January 12, 2012
NBA Thursday
Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors
This game with plenty of UNDER implications gets a low number, 187.5, to raise few eyebrows for OVER play. But in this relatively young season Warriors required a OT to break the OVER at home the first of this season. Orlando comes to Oracle with 2 OVER's in a row also first of this season. Both teams coming off a OVER rarity and this game looks to return to narmality. This number is on the low end of trade coming to close and that is something you should be aware of before jumping in.
UNDER 187.5
This game with plenty of UNDER implications gets a low number, 187.5, to raise few eyebrows for OVER play. But in this relatively young season Warriors required a OT to break the OVER at home the first of this season. Orlando comes to Oracle with 2 OVER's in a row also first of this season. Both teams coming off a OVER rarity and this game looks to return to narmality. This number is on the low end of trade coming to close and that is something you should be aware of before jumping in.
UNDER 187.5
Thursday, January 05, 2012
NBA Thursday
Milwaukee Bucks at Sacramento Kings
Bucks will try to get a break once again as they catch the Kings on the 3rd game in 3 days sequence, as they did with Denver and ATS was about what line you got. Milwaukee has issues, but needs take advantage of schedule disparity. Bucks to cover.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS -2.5(L)
Bucks will try to get a break once again as they catch the Kings on the 3rd game in 3 days sequence, as they did with Denver and ATS was about what line you got. Milwaukee has issues, but needs take advantage of schedule disparity. Bucks to cover.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS -2.5(L)
Wednesday, January 04, 2012
NBA Wednesday
Washington Wizards at Orlando Magic
Magic back at home after running out of gas in Palace at Auburn Hills losing the game SU by 11 point margin while pegged as -5 road favorite. At least they got a break and many are eyeing the big bounce back against the lowly Wizards. The problem is Orlando bounce back games after losing as a favorite and playing as a double digit favorite. Magic has dropped 8 out of 9 in this situation from last season.
Washington was much improved playing in Boston, keeping up most of the way, and covering ATS.
Look to be a opposing direction game.
WASHINGTON WIZARDS +13
Magic back at home after running out of gas in Palace at Auburn Hills losing the game SU by 11 point margin while pegged as -5 road favorite. At least they got a break and many are eyeing the big bounce back against the lowly Wizards. The problem is Orlando bounce back games after losing as a favorite and playing as a double digit favorite. Magic has dropped 8 out of 9 in this situation from last season.
Washington was much improved playing in Boston, keeping up most of the way, and covering ATS.
Look to be a opposing direction game.
WASHINGTON WIZARDS +13
Tuesday, January 03, 2012
NBA Tuesday
Portland Trailblazers at Oklahoma Thunder
Oklahoma dropped their first game this season at Dallas as a -2.5 road favorites, line actually moved -0.5 favoring Thunder before game time, still at 5-1, 30-11 home record and solid bounce back after a loss record from last season there will be plenty of takers for Oklahoma City. This Thunder team is one tough nut to crack, but I feel the schedule advantage should of narrowed the line closer to 3.5 as these two teams in most recent meetings have played it close to the average tune of 4 point differential in 4 meeting last season. Blazers games ATS is coming in very close so far this season. Portland is also coming off a loss at L.A. Clipper on New Year day late game, that ATS was very close in the end. Portland will catch OKC here on home, rest, away, home, 4 day 3 game schedule with 5 points, as of my writing, well rested road dog and Thunder has not been hitting ATS.
Taking the points with the visiting Blazers to keep this tight.
PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS +5(W)
Oklahoma dropped their first game this season at Dallas as a -2.5 road favorites, line actually moved -0.5 favoring Thunder before game time, still at 5-1, 30-11 home record and solid bounce back after a loss record from last season there will be plenty of takers for Oklahoma City. This Thunder team is one tough nut to crack, but I feel the schedule advantage should of narrowed the line closer to 3.5 as these two teams in most recent meetings have played it close to the average tune of 4 point differential in 4 meeting last season. Blazers games ATS is coming in very close so far this season. Portland is also coming off a loss at L.A. Clipper on New Year day late game, that ATS was very close in the end. Portland will catch OKC here on home, rest, away, home, 4 day 3 game schedule with 5 points, as of my writing, well rested road dog and Thunder has not been hitting ATS.
Taking the points with the visiting Blazers to keep this tight.
PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS +5(W)
Monday, January 02, 2012
NBA Monday
Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets
Nuggets take out the Lakers at home covering -5.5 with an strong finish, splitting the back to back road home with Lakers winning ATS, coming to their final leg of road, home, home, triple straight game. Denver is killing it ATS and Pepsi Center, one of the toughest in NBA, will not be easy for the Bucks even on this night. Although Milwaukee was dismal on the road season ago this team looks improved and poised to keep the Total Under.
Milwaukee shot Over 53% against Washington which will most likely come down and as the Lakers have already dampened the high scoring Denver offense for two games I like this game to go UNDER.
BUCKS/NUGGETS UNDER 200(W)
Nuggets take out the Lakers at home covering -5.5 with an strong finish, splitting the back to back road home with Lakers winning ATS, coming to their final leg of road, home, home, triple straight game. Denver is killing it ATS and Pepsi Center, one of the toughest in NBA, will not be easy for the Bucks even on this night. Although Milwaukee was dismal on the road season ago this team looks improved and poised to keep the Total Under.
Milwaukee shot Over 53% against Washington which will most likely come down and as the Lakers have already dampened the high scoring Denver offense for two games I like this game to go UNDER.
BUCKS/NUGGETS UNDER 200(W)
Sunday, January 01, 2012
NBA on New Year Day
Dallas at Minnesota
This match up, despite the NBA champions playing the bottom of NBA Northwest, gets a small spread of -3 for the Mavs. In this young season both of these teams are at the bottom of their respective division, but -3 for the Champs will sure to have many takers. However this line is suspect. On the home court Timberwolves are well rested dangerous dogs and have covered all games ATS. Mavs have been on an grueling schedule starting back to back, Heat & Nuggets, and now alternating Road, Home, rest and Road sequence. Dallas managed to win and cover their last game at home against Toronto making them 1-3, but look at that game and see the shooting percentage, 3 point shooting, rebounding, points in the paint, fast break points, all the key stats, except for whopping 38 FT the Raptors gave away Mavs cashed in 28, did not excel over Toronto. In fact Mavs performance have not been impressive.
Minnesota are just the opposite and are keeping up with NBA elite teams. Wolves last game against the contending Heat was impressive, out shooting from 3 points, out boarding and getting to the FT line more then the Heat only to lose by a basket in closing 5 seconds. I look for hungry Minnesota Timberwolves eyeing for their first home victory to take it SU & Cover.
MINNESOTA +3(W)
This match up, despite the NBA champions playing the bottom of NBA Northwest, gets a small spread of -3 for the Mavs. In this young season both of these teams are at the bottom of their respective division, but -3 for the Champs will sure to have many takers. However this line is suspect. On the home court Timberwolves are well rested dangerous dogs and have covered all games ATS. Mavs have been on an grueling schedule starting back to back, Heat & Nuggets, and now alternating Road, Home, rest and Road sequence. Dallas managed to win and cover their last game at home against Toronto making them 1-3, but look at that game and see the shooting percentage, 3 point shooting, rebounding, points in the paint, fast break points, all the key stats, except for whopping 38 FT the Raptors gave away Mavs cashed in 28, did not excel over Toronto. In fact Mavs performance have not been impressive.
Minnesota are just the opposite and are keeping up with NBA elite teams. Wolves last game against the contending Heat was impressive, out shooting from 3 points, out boarding and getting to the FT line more then the Heat only to lose by a basket in closing 5 seconds. I look for hungry Minnesota Timberwolves eyeing for their first home victory to take it SU & Cover.
MINNESOTA +3(W)
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