Wednesday, February 27, 2013

NBA Wednesday

30-19-1   10,580

Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks
This game is poised to go below the set Total. The number has been on slow decline since opening with line up uncertain. The faltering N.Y. defense returned against the 76er's and the Warriors fell below 100 points for the first time in six games. Last time 6 triple digit scoring was broken the scoring continue to free fall and that happened on the road. Looking for tough scoring today.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS at NEW YORK KNICKS
Game Total UNDER 205 for -102 for 1 unit(L)

Monday, February 25, 2013

NBA Monday

Washington Wizards at Toronto Raptors
This game maybe a game between two losing teams, Toronto 4th in Atlantic playing .411 ball and Washington 3rd in Southeast playing .315 ball. Both teams coming off wins and showing impressive improvement in last 10 games. What most will notice in this match up is how poor the Wizards have played on the road at 4-22 so Toronto 15-14 at home is enough to bite on -4.5 ATS. Toronto 15-9 ATS against losing teams and 8-2 against Southeast opponents. As easy of a choice as this may seem Washington is the top ATS team in all of NBA. That 4-22 away record melts away into the black 16-9-1 on the road 16-5 following a non conference game and 14-1 revenging a home loss. There are indications from their recent meet this spread will widen and the first half differential should hold the bigger edge, Washington 1st half offense has improved while Toronto's have declined. The second angle comes on situation for both team scoring to decline. Which is showing a low 189, but there are rising pressure to push this number higher.
We'll look to make a play on these angles. Washington First Half ATS taking points and looking to take Game Total UNDER the rising number.

WASHINGTON WIZARDS First Half +3 at -115 for 1 unit(W)
WASHINGTON WIZARDS First Half Money LINE +145 for 0.5 units(W)

WASHINGTON WIZARDS at TORONTO RAPTORS
Game Total UNDER 190.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Boom! 3-0

Thursday, February 21, 2013

NBA Thursday

Short card today., but good games though. From the looks of it  public take is on Miami as a small road favorite. They are riding strong performance and Chicago has been beaten at home by too many foes. It's been Chicago defense that's been keeping them around, but it's not exactly going under with the Total in low numbers. I think the case is true today with Total 186 being too low. The game does show Miami in point increase position and Chicago on point decline, but realistic number is low 190's. Miami is on scoring terror with 6 consecutive triple digit games tied in with LBJ surging. Chicago had that 69 point loser, but otherwise on their high end of scoring spectrum in their 90's in last 6 and even cracking triple digits at Indy. This is likely to hit 185.5 so you may want to watch the boards.

MIAMI HEAT at CHICAGO BULLS 
Game Total OVER 186 at -101 for 1 unit(L)

Tuesday, February 19, 2013

NBA Tuesday

Coming into the second half NBA.

Charlotte Bobcats at Orlando Magic.
Going with low ranking teams. The Magic is anything but magical and the fact is 2 or 3 possession differential point spread favorite is a misleading proposition. The last time Orlando won as a favorite was early season game 2 and 11 which was a single possession favorite the rest are all losers. Yes the Magic coming off -30 points loss against Atlanta is a likely bounce back spot, but this situation has only brought smaller margin of loss and giving up points is not a good idea. The Cats are dismal themselves 3-7 last 10 and also coming off an blow out by the hands of Indiana. Despite their trouble the Cats managed a SU win in Orlando the last meet and the sequence of games leading up to this Orlando games looks very similar to the last time they met. The call is too many points given up by Orlando.

CHARLOTTE BOBCATS +5 at -108 for 1 unit(W)

Monday, February 11, 2013

NBA Monday

29-19-1   9,580

Los Angeles Clippers at Philadelphia 76'ers
What's going on with 76'ers games?  Besides their last 10 ATS being 7-3, they were blown out by Indy in one of those loss, but as ATS indicates Sixers are playing well. Their Total is hitting extremely low numbers. Last game  163 under by  28, before that 157 under by  23,  you get the picture. This game has been 185, but downward pressure is coming. Go against the grain the game is going Over as the scores will come via L.A. Clippers and pace will dictate Over.  Despite the low scoring games Phillies total has risen from their last game and Over situation for Clippers after returning to full strength.

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS at PHILADELPHIA 76'ers
Game Total OVER 184.5 at -103 for 1 unit(W)

Saturday, February 09, 2013

NBA Saturday

28-19-1  8,580

Denver Nuggets at Cleveland Cavaliers
Looking at this match. We won easily with Denver in their last game, whupping of Chicago at home, but now they are on the road facing 16-34 Cavaliers. It's about 60% public money on Denver and line movement has been quiet. Denver is winning 8 games straight, 7-1 ATS, crushed three opponents by double digits last game was 26 point margin winner ATS and over 30 point margin straight up. As well as Nuggets are playing Cleveland's got a streak of their own, 3 SU & ATS at home, one of those win coming against NBA contender OKC and the Cavs have logged triple digit scoring in all three games. That makes 4 wins out of last 5 home games all wins with triple digit scoring. Cleveland is playing their best ball so far this season at home. It looks like a match up I don't want to give up points, but again Denver is pretty hot. Rather then sides the high scoring out look is a bit too much. Denver's defense is under rated and Cavaliers tighten defense after allowing triple digit scoring. Both of these teams are coming off offensive scoring off the charts and this game will reverse course. Going Under in Cleveland.

DENVER NUGGETS at CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Game Total UNDER 216 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
How did you like that!

Friday, February 08, 2013

NBA Friday

28-18-1  9,680

Chicago Bulls at Utah Jazz
Planning to have a twist to this game. The Bulls getting schooled in Denver should be looking to redeem some respectability so we're going to hit the 2nd half  Utah. What we don't want is the Jazz to come storming out of the gate putting up double digit lead. That may negate this play, but as long as the difference is within 10 I will hit it.  Follow along...

The game is Chicago 58 Utah 50 at the Half.(L)
The line is Utah -4.5 at -110 (It opened -5) Bulls are playing well! But look for defense to step up for the Jazz.

Utah could not finish. That missed 3 point shot would of covered 2nd half ATS!

Thursday, February 07, 2013

NBA Thursday

27-18-1   8,680

As the season progresses certain patterns takes shape and similar to recent seasons one home court is proving to be one of the toughest, Pepsi Center in the Mile High city.  Here in Denver where the visiting team need to adjust to 5,280 feet altitude, regardless of those who say it doesn't make a difference, is where the Nuggets hold 21-3 record.

Chicago Bulls at Denver Nuggets
The Bulls at 29-19 is a team stalking the top teams and they will be better if they can just hang around and get healthy. They hold a winning record at home and away which is always a good indication of a contending team. They will be getting some points at Denver and the Nuggets are rolling winners, 7 straight to be exact, and last time I saw something like this game I got killed playing across the board. Yet again short handed Bulls meet white hot Nuggets. Got to go with Denver.

DENVER NUGGETS -5.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
That's how it's supposed to be. Should of gone across the board.

Sunday, February 03, 2013

NBA Sunday

26-18-1  7,680

Despite the ugly game I did finish Saturday with a profit. Send me a email for additional plays and info.

Los Angeles Lakers at Detroit Pistons
The day game today will feature Howard-less Lakers at Detroit. Short home dog always dangerous and indeed the Pistons hold 13-12 home record. The Pistons come in off a fresh win against Cleveland making 3 wins out of last 4 home game, 3 of them scoring triple digits.  Laker record against sub .500 teams is 5-9, 2-5 away from L.A. Although Lakers are moving the ball much better and have won 4 out of last 5, Lakers also scored triple digits in 4 out of last 5. I think this game goes below the Total with scoring indicators reaching a high point. 117 for Detroit and 111 for L.A. is about as high as it gets and this one goes nowhere close to their previous score. Today's Total did reach 202 for a short period, but 201.5 is most common.
We have low scoring refs on the floor and this match up looks to fall short of this number.

LOS ANGELES LAKERS at DETROIT PISTONS
Game Total UNDER 201.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

You guys enjoy the Super Bowl!

Saturday, February 02, 2013

NBA Saturday

26-16-1  9,860

Chicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks
If your not up to date in NBA you'd better check out this match up. It'll be extremely short handed Bulls low on gas on the road.  Atlanta here on revenge mode and well rested.  This game holds promise of wire to wire performance by Atlanta.
We take this game across the board.

ATLANTA HAWKS -2 1st quarter at -110 for 0.5 units(L)
ATLANTA HAWKS -4 1st half at -110 for 0.5 units(L)

ATLANTA HAWKS -7 at -108 for 1 unit(L)
That was ugly.

Friday, February 01, 2013

NBA Friday

26-15-1   10,940

Chicago Bulls at Brooklyn Nets
In this game we predict the nature of the beast will show the defensive side of match up. Chicago coming off a rare triple digit scoring while maintaining the low points allowed, 7 straight games holding opponents in the 80's, and in this spot Bulls scoring will come down. The Nets coming off a loss could not defend in it's last game. This match Brooklyn is not going to allow easy baskets. The situation looks right for a grind out game. Backing the Under tonight.

CHICAGO BULLS at BROOKLYN NETS 
Game Total UNDER 181.5 at -108 for 1 unit(L)
Close, but no cigar.