Orlando catching da Bulls on the 2nd of back to back. Bulls will be coming off a tough match up against Miami Heat. Orlando looking to take the edge.
ORL -3 at +100 for 1 unit(W)
--------------------------------------------
Toronto looks balanced much better. The top ATS winning team from last season opening on the road getting +5.5 Lets see if they can hang with the Nets.
TOR +5.5 at +100 for 1 unit(L)
-------------------------------------------
Waiting on Warriors line to come out. They will play the Lakers on second of back to back and this Warriors team will be too much for the Lakers after battling the Suns. Ofcourse I'll consider where the spread lands.
Decided to go with the shrot game.
GSW -2 First Quarter -105 for 1 unit(L)
LAL +5 Second Half +100 for 1 unit(W)
Adding:
TOR +7 +100 for 1 unit(L)
ORL ML +116 for 1 unit(W)
Leaving Olrando ATS as is with -3
------------------------------------------------
Nothing has changed my view of Suns play, inside is weak and 2nd halfs drop, they are not helping the Over.
LAC/PHO Under 213.5 -119 for 1 unit(L)
LAC/PHO Second Half OVER 101.5 -121 for 2 units(W)
PHO Second Half -4 -110 for 1 unit(W)
------------------------------------------------
So much for keeping the games light. I still like Washington ATS +6, Utah ATS +1 or Money Line, Pacer/Cats U194....Enough!
Sit back chill and watch the games.
Losing focus and my mind is wondering. Not good need to sharpen the picks down to one good one and let most of these games play out.
Thought I caught the middle of LAC/PHO total for sure. General rule to keep in mind is play the big swings on 1st to 2nd half's ATS or Totals and look for big differentials from the original game line. Consider keeping tabs on 1st & 2nd half's team performance. Last season Phoenix was a greater 1st quarter & 1st half team. Today's performance was just the opposite of what they've been doing, surging in the 2nd half, but Clips made some bonehead plays and gave up the low post.
5-4 +1.76 units
Monday, October 30, 2006
Opening with....
Please take a moment for Red Auerbach, RIP.
I'll take the light approach in the early going. It may not be a very clever pick, but go with the Suns in Los Angeles. Lakers will be 70% at best with Kobe maybe better off without him. He should let this go as his knees are still sore, doesn't have the speed and this could backfire with him getting hurt.
As much as Kobe may want to be in the game Jackson should have a short leash. Now the Suns have played 2 below average games against the Lakers in preseason, without Kobe, and Lakers dogged the Suns high scoring game.
Phoenix needs to restore order and have a impact game, quick drive to the inside and kick out beyond the arc for the swish.
Suns 112 - Lakers 94 type game and yes look for the Total number to go up
and hit the Under at 208 or better.
PHO -3.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
Adding:
PHO 1st Quarter -1 at -104 for 1 unit(W)
Still have my trigger with Total now at 208.5 Think there's a chance for 210.
This line moved above 210 with the buy and I got greedy looking for 212 or 212.5 then the Tricket Treaters started and before I knew it the window was closed....what stroke of luck. I would of never guessed Lakers running up the score like that. I'm making adjustments on Orlando and Toronto for tomorrow and oh yeah, Warriors too.
1-1 -0.10 units
I'll take the light approach in the early going. It may not be a very clever pick, but go with the Suns in Los Angeles. Lakers will be 70% at best with Kobe maybe better off without him. He should let this go as his knees are still sore, doesn't have the speed and this could backfire with him getting hurt.
As much as Kobe may want to be in the game Jackson should have a short leash. Now the Suns have played 2 below average games against the Lakers in preseason, without Kobe, and Lakers dogged the Suns high scoring game.
Phoenix needs to restore order and have a impact game, quick drive to the inside and kick out beyond the arc for the swish.
Suns 112 - Lakers 94 type game and yes look for the Total number to go up
and hit the Under at 208 or better.
PHO -3.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
Adding:
PHO 1st Quarter -1 at -104 for 1 unit(W)
Still have my trigger with Total now at 208.5 Think there's a chance for 210.
This line moved above 210 with the buy and I got greedy looking for 212 or 212.5 then the Tricket Treaters started and before I knew it the window was closed....what stroke of luck. I would of never guessed Lakers running up the score like that. I'm making adjustments on Orlando and Toronto for tomorrow and oh yeah, Warriors too.
1-1 -0.10 units
Tuesday, October 24, 2006
NBA Preseason Oct. 24th
Let's go with Pistons at home coming off a embarrassing loss to Denver.
Pistons looking bit more offensive, but still tough inside. Wizards are on the 2nd of back to back with strong showing in 1st leg, Arenas scored 29 points in 27:40 min, Jamison played 39:16 min. and Butler 33:55 min. in 110 - 105 high scoring win against the Hawks. The scheme of things may change for Washington whereas Piston look to test their full strength and bench is solid.
DET -4 at -102 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Pistons looking bit more offensive, but still tough inside. Wizards are on the 2nd of back to back with strong showing in 1st leg, Arenas scored 29 points in 27:40 min, Jamison played 39:16 min. and Butler 33:55 min. in 110 - 105 high scoring win against the Hawks. The scheme of things may change for Washington whereas Piston look to test their full strength and bench is solid.
DET -4 at -102 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Sunday, October 22, 2006
Saturday, October 21, 2006
NBA Preseason Oct. 21, 2006
Pinnacle NBA lines are today's link.
Single unit plays.
Orlando Magic -3 at -105(W) against visiting Memphis Grizzlies
Cleveland Cavs -3 at -109(L) against visitng Atlanta Hawks
San Antonio Spurs -2 at -109(W) against visiting Miami Heat
Denver Nuggets +2 at -105(L) visiting Milwaukee Bucks
2-2 -0.14 units
Single unit plays.
Orlando Magic -3 at -105(W) against visiting Memphis Grizzlies
Cleveland Cavs -3 at -109(L) against visitng Atlanta Hawks
San Antonio Spurs -2 at -109(W) against visiting Miami Heat
Denver Nuggets +2 at -105(L) visiting Milwaukee Bucks
2-2 -0.14 units
Thursday, October 19, 2006
Friday NBA Preseason games
Lines are not out yet, but on the early look I like the Bull at home against T-Wolves and Sonics at home against Portland.
Further research and these two will be on my game watch.
Bulls and Sonics both lost as the biggest ATS favorites. Did I miss couple of bullets? I think so these lines were at -4 when I looked and it didn't interest. Went off doing something else and never got back online in time. Cleveland looks strong, but keep in mind it's human nature to pick teams off the top of your head and end up with the day's heavy favorite that's likely going to get hammered by the public which is not a good thing.
Further research and these two will be on my game watch.
Bulls and Sonics both lost as the biggest ATS favorites. Did I miss couple of bullets? I think so these lines were at -4 when I looked and it didn't interest. Went off doing something else and never got back online in time. Cleveland looks strong, but keep in mind it's human nature to pick teams off the top of your head and end up with the day's heavy favorite that's likely going to get hammered by the public which is not a good thing.
Wednesday, October 18, 2006
What a Shot Baby
NBA is almost here and I'll be gunning for the books.
Some development to note on the upcoming NBA Euro with Toronto Raptors against Maccabi Tel-Aviv. This line has moved from Toronto -10 to -13.5 since the opening and if your familiar with basketball lines this is a huge line move.
I'm not aware of any Maccabi injuries or changes in the line up, but I do know Raptors are improved. Do they deserve a bigger spread than the Suns? That remains to be seen. I may or may not have a play here, but watch these Raps they were the top ATS money makers last season.
Maybe Batis will have some thoughts to add.
Raps were lights out 118-84
-----------------------------------------------------------
For Oct. 19th Thursday NBA Pre-Season.
Let's get some warm ups in.
Mavericks at home taking the visiting Milwaukee Bucks. Dallas will play the weak link, practice used my many NBA teams in preseason, no Dirk, Stackhouse, Jason Terry (coaches decision) Dampier (sore hip) Harris (hammy) Bucks will have a line up much closer to their regulars, but coming in here on second of back to back after getting spanked by the Rockets.
Look for lower than average scoring here. Totals are not out yet.
Also players are not under heavy minutes in preseason games and back to back impact is not the same as in regular season. Bucks getting +2.5 against Mavs B-team is very good and money line is worth a shot.
MIL +2.5 at +102 for 1 unit(L)
MIL ML at +127 for 1 unit(L)
Bucks scored only 4 points in 3rd quarter, WTF.
Under was money, but did not get a chance to post.
---------------------------------------------------------
Like Clippers to take out the Lakers in pregame -2 points. Current Lakers does not scare anyone.
LAC -2 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
Oh 91-90 Clippers
0-3 -3.10 units
Some development to note on the upcoming NBA Euro with Toronto Raptors against Maccabi Tel-Aviv. This line has moved from Toronto -10 to -13.5 since the opening and if your familiar with basketball lines this is a huge line move.
I'm not aware of any Maccabi injuries or changes in the line up, but I do know Raptors are improved. Do they deserve a bigger spread than the Suns? That remains to be seen. I may or may not have a play here, but watch these Raps they were the top ATS money makers last season.
Maybe Batis will have some thoughts to add.
Raps were lights out 118-84
-----------------------------------------------------------
For Oct. 19th Thursday NBA Pre-Season.
Let's get some warm ups in.
Mavericks at home taking the visiting Milwaukee Bucks. Dallas will play the weak link, practice used my many NBA teams in preseason, no Dirk, Stackhouse, Jason Terry (coaches decision) Dampier (sore hip) Harris (hammy) Bucks will have a line up much closer to their regulars, but coming in here on second of back to back after getting spanked by the Rockets.
Look for lower than average scoring here. Totals are not out yet.
Also players are not under heavy minutes in preseason games and back to back impact is not the same as in regular season. Bucks getting +2.5 against Mavs B-team is very good and money line is worth a shot.
MIL +2.5 at +102 for 1 unit(L)
MIL ML at +127 for 1 unit(L)
Bucks scored only 4 points in 3rd quarter, WTF.
Under was money, but did not get a chance to post.
---------------------------------------------------------
Like Clippers to take out the Lakers in pregame -2 points. Current Lakers does not scare anyone.
LAC -2 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
Oh 91-90 Clippers
0-3 -3.10 units
Monday, October 09, 2006
NBA Euro Suns vs 76ers
What do we have going on with this game in Cologne? Line move to 76ers +5.5 from +6.5 with money still moving to 76er's at -114? This is worth an investigation...OK I see the line discrepancy with Greek at +4 points to 76ers.
Total currently at 214.5 (-105 at Pinny) is something you should watch with eyes and ears wide open D'Antoni said he still isn't sure which rules NBA, FIBA or a combination of the two will be used in the Suns-76ers game. "I've asked three times and gotten three different answers," he said. "I guess we'll figure it out before we throw it up."
How high is the motivation level for Philadelphia? I'd say not as high as the media makes it out to be, but Iverson and Nash should both improve from their respective last games.
Be back for this one.
I don't feel comfortable with the Suns now, but I did take the score to fall Under. There's too many x-factor players being looked at by the Suns, although I did notice 11 for 31 three pointers. Sixers are looking at different schemes too and I don't think Suns will get that many good looks.
Suns are burning it up 8 for 18 three pointer already at the half. Matrix is already at 20 points and Barbosa 11 points off the bench with only 5:24 minutes. Suns getting too many shot attempts and hitting at 51% clip.
This Under is going to need lots of help.
Check out the stroke of Phoenix Suns 5 guys in double digit and 5 minutes left in 3rd quarter 11 for 24 three pointers wow!
Suns melt down in the 4th! Sixers caught them at 91-91 tie just outside 5 minutes to go.
Sixer win, Sixer win, come from behind in the 4th quarter and the game is
UNDER!
SUNS/SIXERS UNDER 214.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Total currently at 214.5 (-105 at Pinny) is something you should watch with eyes and ears wide open D'Antoni said he still isn't sure which rules NBA, FIBA or a combination of the two will be used in the Suns-76ers game. "I've asked three times and gotten three different answers," he said. "I guess we'll figure it out before we throw it up."
How high is the motivation level for Philadelphia? I'd say not as high as the media makes it out to be, but Iverson and Nash should both improve from their respective last games.
Be back for this one.
I don't feel comfortable with the Suns now, but I did take the score to fall Under. There's too many x-factor players being looked at by the Suns, although I did notice 11 for 31 three pointers. Sixers are looking at different schemes too and I don't think Suns will get that many good looks.
Suns are burning it up 8 for 18 three pointer already at the half. Matrix is already at 20 points and Barbosa 11 points off the bench with only 5:24 minutes. Suns getting too many shot attempts and hitting at 51% clip.
This Under is going to need lots of help.
Check out the stroke of Phoenix Suns 5 guys in double digit and 5 minutes left in 3rd quarter 11 for 24 three pointers wow!
Suns melt down in the 4th! Sixers caught them at 91-91 tie just outside 5 minutes to go.
Sixer win, Sixer win, come from behind in the 4th quarter and the game is
UNDER!
SUNS/SIXERS UNDER 214.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Anything but a Friendly Match
Monday Night Football in mile high snowing Denver, but I'm working on a basketball game far, far away. I'd rather look for a edge in game with little fan fare in North America as long as I have the advantage. Your locals will not have a line for this so you better have a off shore.
For those who view the play write up, but may have missed the comment by Batis on my last selection, let me tell you this is going to be a game Moscow and Tel-Aviv has been waiting for and these two teams have battled very close match ups. So why the -8 points opening line for CSKA? Isn't that too much? The line has come down to -7.5 with slight money to Maccabi at -106 as of my writing. But I think the Book has it right with good chance of CSKA taking this game with easy ATS cover. CSKA is a stronger team this season with Maccabi having a different look I feel it's a rebuilding year.
I'm sure Batis and his friends will be rooting for the home town CSKA.
I hoping the public will bite the seeming big spread +7.5 Maccabi there's still time so I'll watch the line, but I will take CSKA ATS 9:00 Pacific Standard time for the morning match-up here in the States.
Link is the last match of Maccabi vs CSKA download.
CSKA -7.5 +104 for 1 unit(W)
Cover on the final 2 pointer by CSKA no back door trap on this one.
Now Batis can get on with his studies.
For those who view the play write up, but may have missed the comment by Batis on my last selection, let me tell you this is going to be a game Moscow and Tel-Aviv has been waiting for and these two teams have battled very close match ups. So why the -8 points opening line for CSKA? Isn't that too much? The line has come down to -7.5 with slight money to Maccabi at -106 as of my writing. But I think the Book has it right with good chance of CSKA taking this game with easy ATS cover. CSKA is a stronger team this season with Maccabi having a different look I feel it's a rebuilding year.
I'm sure Batis and his friends will be rooting for the home town CSKA.
I hoping the public will bite the seeming big spread +7.5 Maccabi there's still time so I'll watch the line, but I will take CSKA ATS 9:00 Pacific Standard time for the morning match-up here in the States.
Link is the last match of Maccabi vs CSKA download.
CSKA -7.5 +104 for 1 unit(W)
Cover on the final 2 pointer by CSKA no back door trap on this one.
Now Batis can get on with his studies.
Saturday, October 07, 2006
San Antonio Spurs in Lyon, France
Another good match up and with Manu Ginobili sitting out the money has shifted strong to Maccabi Tel-Aviv +11 at -130 to Spurs +120 this line opened at +10 with early Spurs money pushing the line to +11. The tell tale signs of each teams previous matches, both teams crushed their opponents, and the ease of which they were able to score also pushed the Total from 190.5 to 191 with decent money build up on the Over at 191. But when I view their respective last games I see that defense was the key in domination especially for the Maccabi Tel-Aviv win. Spurs worked on their half court set for their last practice and my thoughts are Pops will play the basic Spurs solid "D" and patented half court game to win. Not sure about ATS, but no easy points today.
Maccabi Tel-Aviv/San Antonio
Under 191 at +106 for 2 units(W)
The Over money pushed the Total to 193! That was not Sharp money as the wager limit was too low for the Pro's.
1-0 +2.12 units
Maccabi Tel-Aviv/San Antonio
Under 191 at +106 for 2 units(W)
The Over money pushed the Total to 193! That was not Sharp money as the wager limit was too low for the Pro's.
1-0 +2.12 units
Friday, October 06, 2006
NBA Euro Tour
Ladies and gentlemen Basketball season is around the corner. NBA teams are getting ready for the season in Europe and Los Angeles Clippers are visiting Moscow.
Khimiki did not threaten the Clippers with all starters in double figures, but final score was 98-91 late charge came within 5 points. Cassell, Tim Thomas and Aaron Williams rested and they'll look for some play time against CSKA and I'm sure Dunleavy's thoughts are not primarily winning, but to observe different schemes, individual skills and to bring NBA entertainment as ambassadors it's still preseason. On the other side CSKA is a powerhouse local team with point guard Theodoros Papaloukas who shined in FIBA and can definitely give preseason Clippers a run for the money.
CSKA +2.5 at -109 for 1 unit(W)
The mark is on the money CSKA win SU.
1-0 +1.00 unit
Khimiki did not threaten the Clippers with all starters in double figures, but final score was 98-91 late charge came within 5 points. Cassell, Tim Thomas and Aaron Williams rested and they'll look for some play time against CSKA and I'm sure Dunleavy's thoughts are not primarily winning, but to observe different schemes, individual skills and to bring NBA entertainment as ambassadors it's still preseason. On the other side CSKA is a powerhouse local team with point guard Theodoros Papaloukas who shined in FIBA and can definitely give preseason Clippers a run for the money.
CSKA +2.5 at -109 for 1 unit(W)
The mark is on the money CSKA win SU.
1-0 +1.00 unit
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