NBA Tuesday

Do not be alarmed. Published plays have failed 3 straight and it's sending back bad vibes. I'm not going to preach money management or advise something like Lakers ML laying the money. It doesn't work like that. The games fit certain criteria and wagers call for more specifics to come together. Many times the nature of the game is hiding in plain sight.

0-1 last play. 0-3 YTD

Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers

Here is a tight line where ATS & ML difference is 1 slight edge toward the visiting Nuggets playing second leg of back to back. Pacers have motivation as the last home loss was a game which Pacers held the lead going into the 4th quarter and losing by 2points. The game before that was a blow out loss at Philadelphia by 26 points which provided the wake up call. Can Pacers break out against the tired Nuggets? I'm going to say NO. Denver has played very well in the second leg so far this season and I expect the trend to stay it's course. Nuggets coming off a ATS Win (Push if you got +2) playing against poor offensive team with weaker scoring number at home this season.

DENVER -1 at -103 for 1 unit(L)

I have a rare second game with Detroit Pistons at Portland Trailblazers
Detroit looks like a team making progress and Blazer with Roy getting shut down in last game at Lakers. This line would seem just too big, but Blazer will redeem themselves at the Rose Garden where Pistons have done very little.

PORTLAND -10 at 103 for 2 units(W)

Stop loss at 0-4, but Nuggets pick sucked big time.
1-1 +1.03 units

NBA Sunday

0-1 last play 0-2 YTD -2.02 units

Moving to Staple Center in Los Angeles were the defending champions will take on the visiting Portland Trailblazers. Lakers are undefeated, deep and looking stronger than last season. However understanding the strength is to know the pit falls. Play against the Lakers coming off a double digit home favorite loss playing a division opponent with winning record.

PORTLAND +7.5 at -103 for 1 unit(L)

Got killed on this play. Blazers decided not to show up!

NBA Saturday

Toronto at Portland

Looking at this game in Portland, Rose Garden most will see Blazers redeeming their home loss to a opponent, Oklahoma. Who come into the Garden on a back to back night, after they were annihilated by the Lakers, and clawed back at the end to tie at regulation and snuffed out the Blazers in OT. That game was a SU loss as -5.5 home favorite and here is another team playing second leg of back to back. Again coming off a loss to the Lakers, though ATS cover, and getting big time numbers. If your first instinct was the Blazers, but hesitated with the spread it has moved down. Maybe it's got your attention? The number is still too big and it may swing back, but the take is on the Raptors second leg of back to back ATS. Blazers backers might have a better chance in the First Half, but see a back door cover. Take Raptors off a first leg ATS cover against a top contending team then playing a team with winning home record getting double digit points.

TORONTO RAPTORS +12 priced at -103 Matchbook.com(L)

Looked like it was on it's way, but close does not count!