Looking to bounce back from a dismal loss. YTD 13-13-1 +2.02 units
Houston Rockets proving themselves road worthy team running 7-3 road ATS. Rockets coming off a great shooting and defensive game against their South West rival San Antonio at home bring their balanced game to Pepsi center where they will meet 5-2 at home Nuggets who are very good when scoring above +99 which they have done 4 out of last 4 games and 3 out of last 3 home games, winning 5-2, but 50% ATS. What you have here is two teams on Over tread 4-1 and in both cases showing signs of tapering score with this spot being a decline game. Yes the books have given a very temping number to hit the Over, but this one goes Under..
HOUSTON/DENVER UNDER 193.5 at +101 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Sunday, November 30, 2008
Saturday, November 29, 2008
NBA Saturday
YTD 13-12-1 +3.02 units
Dallas covers the spread with run built in the 1st half, but Lakers push in the 2nd half was too much to hold the lead. Tonight on Mav's second of road back to back they make the short skip to Sacramento visiting the Kings at Arco a much shorter than trip from Salt Lake. Arco Arena doesn't mean much lately as Kings dropped against visiting NJ in OT (11/26), got killed by Blazers (11/21), Spurs by a basket (11/16), Suns by a basket in OT (11/14)*Last ATS win by a point, Detroit was close 0.5 point ATS loser and the last game they won at home? Golden State 115-98 covering -3 (11/09). Matter of fact Kings have only won 2 games since that span 11/09 till now however Kings are 50% ATS for the same duration and coming off a ass kicking at Utah after 2 good effort games. Dallas broke a string of 5 straight winners, but covered ATS keeping their stocks up. Public still loving Mavericks numbers are 77%+ on Dallas ATS with Spread at -4.5 which seems misleading to me. Rolling the dice on Kings tonight to make this interesting.
KINGS +4.5 at +100 for 1 unit(L)
That was great pick, NOT.
0-1 -1.00 unit
Dallas covers the spread with run built in the 1st half, but Lakers push in the 2nd half was too much to hold the lead. Tonight on Mav's second of road back to back they make the short skip to Sacramento visiting the Kings at Arco a much shorter than trip from Salt Lake. Arco Arena doesn't mean much lately as Kings dropped against visiting NJ in OT (11/26), got killed by Blazers (11/21), Spurs by a basket (11/16), Suns by a basket in OT (11/14)*Last ATS win by a point, Detroit was close 0.5 point ATS loser and the last game they won at home? Golden State 115-98 covering -3 (11/09). Matter of fact Kings have only won 2 games since that span 11/09 till now however Kings are 50% ATS for the same duration and coming off a ass kicking at Utah after 2 good effort games. Dallas broke a string of 5 straight winners, but covered ATS keeping their stocks up. Public still loving Mavericks numbers are 77%+ on Dallas ATS with Spread at -4.5 which seems misleading to me. Rolling the dice on Kings tonight to make this interesting.
KINGS +4.5 at +100 for 1 unit(L)
That was great pick, NOT.
0-1 -1.00 unit
Friday, November 28, 2008
NBA Friday
YTD 12-11-1 +3.02 units
Dallas at Lakers is getting +10.5 points. I have not seen double digit spread since 2006 between these two teams. Dallas covered -10 at home back in 2/07/2006. Mavericks are playing well lately stringing 5 straight SU wins, but this run looks like running out of steam. Last game against Indiana was a ATS loss no cover. They will most likely not win at Staples and although the spread looks hefty I will chance covering this number for the deepest team in NBA. Lakers improving win after a over Triple digit scoring 60-46 over 3 years is running 6-1 current season and books are still positioning double digit spread which was Lakers weakness in the past. Mavs will have their hands full and they have trouble with offensive oriented teams.
LAKERS -10.5 at +105 for 1 unit(L)
Dallas Mavericks playing excellent 1st half, but books are holding double digit spread in the second.
LAKERS 2nd Half -9.5 at -104 for 1 unit(W)
1-1 +0.00 units
Dallas at Lakers is getting +10.5 points. I have not seen double digit spread since 2006 between these two teams. Dallas covered -10 at home back in 2/07/2006. Mavericks are playing well lately stringing 5 straight SU wins, but this run looks like running out of steam. Last game against Indiana was a ATS loss no cover. They will most likely not win at Staples and although the spread looks hefty I will chance covering this number for the deepest team in NBA. Lakers improving win after a over Triple digit scoring 60-46 over 3 years is running 6-1 current season and books are still positioning double digit spread which was Lakers weakness in the past. Mavs will have their hands full and they have trouble with offensive oriented teams.
LAKERS -10.5 at +105 for 1 unit(L)
Dallas Mavericks playing excellent 1st half, but books are holding double digit spread in the second.
LAKERS 2nd Half -9.5 at -104 for 1 unit(W)
1-1 +0.00 units
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
NBA Tuesday
YTD 11-10-1 +3.02 units
Coming out of play lapses. It doesn't mean anything just holidays coming up and things are busy, but I've been honing my plays on NCAA Basketball so not to worry about rust coming off rest.
Staying true to my game, contrarian with plus on money, for the last NBA game on board. Underdog Nets have been showing signs as a road warrior and they're spread has grown to 13.5 points. Lakers no doubt are deep and killed me last time I crossed them, but I will pull the trigger against LA in historically poor situation of double digit favorite with Total set +205 or higher.
Lakers coming off ATS loss to depleted Kings and Koby expressed his thoughts on lack of defense allowing Kings to come within inches even though Sacramento were blown away during the stretch. May see focus from Lakers in protecting their basket, but Nets looking to bring their "A" game.
NETS +13.5 at +104 for 1 unit(L)
This game is not shaping up the way I was thinking. Lakers allowing too many points and unexpected Lopez, a rookie, getting hot in the first half. I see Lakers defense coming down hard in the Second Half.
LAKERS SECOND HALF -7.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
1-1 -0.01 unit
Coming out of play lapses. It doesn't mean anything just holidays coming up and things are busy, but I've been honing my plays on NCAA Basketball so not to worry about rust coming off rest.
Staying true to my game, contrarian with plus on money, for the last NBA game on board. Underdog Nets have been showing signs as a road warrior and they're spread has grown to 13.5 points. Lakers no doubt are deep and killed me last time I crossed them, but I will pull the trigger against LA in historically poor situation of double digit favorite with Total set +205 or higher.
Lakers coming off ATS loss to depleted Kings and Koby expressed his thoughts on lack of defense allowing Kings to come within inches even though Sacramento were blown away during the stretch. May see focus from Lakers in protecting their basket, but Nets looking to bring their "A" game.
NETS +13.5 at +104 for 1 unit(L)
This game is not shaping up the way I was thinking. Lakers allowing too many points and unexpected Lopez, a rookie, getting hot in the first half. I see Lakers defense coming down hard in the Second Half.
LAKERS SECOND HALF -7.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
1-1 -0.01 unit
Friday, November 21, 2008
NBA Friday
Split last picks with no gain no loss. YTD 11-9-1 +4.07 units
Lakers took care of business in methodical fashion in their last game, 1st of road home back to back, in Phoenix. In that game ATS swung strongly for the Lakers. I thought it was too much points and Suns would push a run on their home court for second half, it never came.
Denver Nuggets also rolling 8-3 ATS beating Spurs, wounded Spur on the road, in their last game and Nuggets are much more deliberate with Billups. This match up first took place back in early November with Nuggets just covering. Last year Lakers were terrible playing the second of back to back, but this year they are arguably the deepest team in NBA. Prior to losing ATS against Denver in last match up Lakers had covered 8 games against Nuggets and now against Denver at home Lakers give -8.5 the exact same number they gave Nuggets at home in Denver. The implication for Lakers to blow out is there, but key to Nuggets ATS gauged on ability to cover away tonight is the rematch situation coupled with Lakers B2B night and Phoenix wire to wire games all giving too much weight (point spred) to Los Angeles Lakers.
DENVER +8.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.05 units
Lakers took care of business in methodical fashion in their last game, 1st of road home back to back, in Phoenix. In that game ATS swung strongly for the Lakers. I thought it was too much points and Suns would push a run on their home court for second half, it never came.
Denver Nuggets also rolling 8-3 ATS beating Spurs, wounded Spur on the road, in their last game and Nuggets are much more deliberate with Billups. This match up first took place back in early November with Nuggets just covering. Last year Lakers were terrible playing the second of back to back, but this year they are arguably the deepest team in NBA. Prior to losing ATS against Denver in last match up Lakers had covered 8 games against Nuggets and now against Denver at home Lakers give -8.5 the exact same number they gave Nuggets at home in Denver. The implication for Lakers to blow out is there, but key to Nuggets ATS gauged on ability to cover away tonight is the rematch situation coupled with Lakers B2B night and Phoenix wire to wire games all giving too much weight (point spred) to Los Angeles Lakers.
DENVER +8.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.05 units
Thursday, November 20, 2008
NBA Thursday
YTD 10-8-1 +4.07 units
There are two types of vertigo: subjective and objective. There is a subjective vertigo when a person has a false sensation of movement. In the case of objective vertigo, the surroundings appear to move past a person's field of vision.
Vertigo can also occur after long handicapping of games where the mind gets used to turbulence, resulting in a person's feeling as if he is moving up and down. This usually subsides after a few days.
Lakers at Suns. Phoenix takes out Detroit after Detroit wins Lakers, but Suns were handled by Utah in their last game. Lakers since losing their first game this season bounced back nicely and had the second highest scoring output against Chicago, but it was a no cover ATS loss. 2 ATS losses in a row and allowed highest score to opponent making 2 triple digit scoring by opponent. Going against the public on Lakers and Over.
SUNS +5 at -102 for 1 unit(L)
LAL/PHO UNDER 206 at +102 for 1 unit(W)
Split.
1-1 +0.00 units
There are two types of vertigo: subjective and objective. There is a subjective vertigo when a person has a false sensation of movement. In the case of objective vertigo, the surroundings appear to move past a person's field of vision.
Vertigo can also occur after long handicapping of games where the mind gets used to turbulence, resulting in a person's feeling as if he is moving up and down. This usually subsides after a few days.
Lakers at Suns. Phoenix takes out Detroit after Detroit wins Lakers, but Suns were handled by Utah in their last game. Lakers since losing their first game this season bounced back nicely and had the second highest scoring output against Chicago, but it was a no cover ATS loss. 2 ATS losses in a row and allowed highest score to opponent making 2 triple digit scoring by opponent. Going against the public on Lakers and Over.
SUNS +5 at -102 for 1 unit(L)
LAL/PHO UNDER 206 at +102 for 1 unit(W)
Split.
1-1 +0.00 units
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
NBA Wednesday
YTD 9-8-1 +2.99 units
Philadelphia 76ers at Minnesota Timberwolves.76ers blew out Oaklahoma 110-85 last game. That makes 3 in a row, two of them double digit ATS win. Yes they look good, but Wolves with 8 straight losses have taken last 3 out of 4 ATS. Looking for the T-Wolves to break out.
MIN +3.5 at +108 for 1 unit(W)
Yes, SU dog winner.
1-0 +1.08 units
Philadelphia 76ers at Minnesota Timberwolves.76ers blew out Oaklahoma 110-85 last game. That makes 3 in a row, two of them double digit ATS win. Yes they look good, but Wolves with 8 straight losses have taken last 3 out of 4 ATS. Looking for the T-Wolves to break out.
MIN +3.5 at +108 for 1 unit(W)
Yes, SU dog winner.
1-0 +1.08 units
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
NBA Tuesday
YTD 9-7-1 +3.99 units
Coming off a disappointing loss, clippers home game against the San Antonio spurs. Clippers could not muster enough offense to take out the tired San Antonio Spurs as they lost on the home court by a three pointer before the final buzzer. The losses on first half and the second half making it a 0-2 day.
Tonight we move on to Los Angeles. Lakers had that humiliating loss against the Detroit pistons playing on the back that night and dominated the Lakers at home wire to wire. Lakers could not find their rhythm as Detroit scored at will. Tonight Lakers are 13 points favorite against the Bulls making their annual thrashing road trip as the circus hits town. Look at this Total 202, it's too high and it's been rising since opening. Lakers should be concerned with allowed points and Bulls will not help pushing the Over.
Bulls have played 5 home games from 11/7 ~ 11/15 going 3-2, O/U 3-2. Scoring improved in their home stand scoring +99 points 3 times and lowest scoring was 97. But prior to their home stand Bulls recorded 93 points twice and 80 points at Boston, all on the road. Bulls defensive side also improved in their home stand wins allowing 91 points twice and 83 points against Phoenix. Lakers are coming off their first SU loss and first game allowing 106 points. I think the points they gave up looms big tonight
CHI/LAL UNDER 202 at +107 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Coming off a disappointing loss, clippers home game against the San Antonio spurs. Clippers could not muster enough offense to take out the tired San Antonio Spurs as they lost on the home court by a three pointer before the final buzzer. The losses on first half and the second half making it a 0-2 day.
Tonight we move on to Los Angeles. Lakers had that humiliating loss against the Detroit pistons playing on the back that night and dominated the Lakers at home wire to wire. Lakers could not find their rhythm as Detroit scored at will. Tonight Lakers are 13 points favorite against the Bulls making their annual thrashing road trip as the circus hits town. Look at this Total 202, it's too high and it's been rising since opening. Lakers should be concerned with allowed points and Bulls will not help pushing the Over.
Bulls have played 5 home games from 11/7 ~ 11/15 going 3-2, O/U 3-2. Scoring improved in their home stand scoring +99 points 3 times and lowest scoring was 97. But prior to their home stand Bulls recorded 93 points twice and 80 points at Boston, all on the road. Bulls defensive side also improved in their home stand wins allowing 91 points twice and 83 points against Phoenix. Lakers are coming off their first SU loss and first game allowing 106 points. I think the points they gave up looms big tonight
CHI/LAL UNDER 202 at +107 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Monday, November 17, 2008
NBA Monday Late Game
This line may seem strange to many, but reverse line movement favors the unpopular pick. You know San Antonio is the better team they are ex-champions with much of their core intact, well two of their key players are out tonight, but it's not about that, it's about tonight's game where all the wear and tear is expected to catch up with Spurs. At the same time Clippers are to experience a night of clarity where they will look nothing like the practice dummies they have been. At least that what I'm looking for.
CLIPPERS -2.5 at -104 for 1 unit(L)
Down by 5 at the Half, but don't get discouraged there's plenty of game left and this Spurs team arrived to their hotel at 1:00 am in the morning. Yes Clippers could let this get away, but Duncan will have to carry San Antonio the rest of the way.
CLIPPERS -3 SECOND HALF at +106 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.04 units
CLIPPERS -2.5 at -104 for 1 unit(L)
Down by 5 at the Half, but don't get discouraged there's plenty of game left and this Spurs team arrived to their hotel at 1:00 am in the morning. Yes Clippers could let this get away, but Duncan will have to carry San Antonio the rest of the way.
CLIPPERS -3 SECOND HALF at +106 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.04 units
NBA Thinking ahead on Monday
Coming off another Total win. 9-5-1 +6.03 units
keep in mind some of stuff I wrote. These games are continuous event moving to different venues with multiple variables and if you went through all the stats, schedule, venue, news, refs, girlfriends, wives.....you would waste your time and have no clue where the advantage lies. The advantage occurs when games result beyond or below the norm and those numbers should stand out above the rest. Consider what changed and that is the key.
I could of made a good point if Detroit Pistons at L.A. Lakers giving up double digits was used for example. You know Pistons are making their Western swing and they fully controlled the Lakers, the elite of NBA, on a back to back road game! Won that game SU away, shooting lights out!
Doesn't that stand out? Was it so surprising to see the same Detroit team fail in Phoenix in following game? Man, I wished I posted that one. Will it be surprising when Lakers dismantle their next opponent? Just thinking ahead.
For Monday I'm looking at Oklahoma at home against Houston. Ex-Sonics are getting good points at home today. Also Clippers at home with reverse line movement getting Spurs on back to back.
Spurs gritty come from behind win in first of back to back facing seemingly helpless Clips.
Both very interesting consideration, but I'm still doing some work to finish today's play.
keep in mind some of stuff I wrote. These games are continuous event moving to different venues with multiple variables and if you went through all the stats, schedule, venue, news, refs, girlfriends, wives.....you would waste your time and have no clue where the advantage lies. The advantage occurs when games result beyond or below the norm and those numbers should stand out above the rest. Consider what changed and that is the key.
I could of made a good point if Detroit Pistons at L.A. Lakers giving up double digits was used for example. You know Pistons are making their Western swing and they fully controlled the Lakers, the elite of NBA, on a back to back road game! Won that game SU away, shooting lights out!
Doesn't that stand out? Was it so surprising to see the same Detroit team fail in Phoenix in following game? Man, I wished I posted that one. Will it be surprising when Lakers dismantle their next opponent? Just thinking ahead.
For Monday I'm looking at Oklahoma at home against Houston. Ex-Sonics are getting good points at home today. Also Clippers at home with reverse line movement getting Spurs on back to back.
Spurs gritty come from behind win in first of back to back facing seemingly helpless Clips.
Both very interesting consideration, but I'm still doing some work to finish today's play.
Friday, November 14, 2008
NBA Saturday
Coming off a Total win last night. YTD 8-5-1 +5.03 units
Reflecting on games last night, there are two still going on in the west PHO at SAC & DET at LAL, I like to focus on tightly played games. They are PHL at IND (94-92), ORL at DAL (102-100), HOU at SAN (75-77). Secondary group within 5 point differential POR at NOL (82-87) and MIL at MEN (101-96 OT). These 2 sets of groups will look at the fundamental aspects of energy exerted in each respective battle. Low scoring games and OT games definitely stand out in this area.
Now comes to tonight's match up NOL at HOU both on heels of back to back games, coming off low scoring and gets a U182 Total. Respective overall numbers, home and away numbers gives me 186~187 Total. This Total represents 2nd lowest number in Hornets games and 4th lowest in Houston game and purely from a average stand point both teams should improve off such a low scoring offense, but games leading to this match up gives an interesting back drop.
Houston comes home from 9 days 5 games road trip out west going 2-3 with 2 sets of 3 games in 4 days. First set from 11/04~11/07 with final game against Clippers posting 181.5 Total going Under with 175 combined score. Second set from 11/12~11/15 includes a brawl in Phoenix, a game Rockets won SU as underdog, and last night's loss to short handed Spurs after winning first 3 quarters only to collapse in the 4th ending 75-77 (152) going Under the lowest Total for this season 173.5 by 21.5 points.
New Orleans Hornets also played similar sets 11/05~11/08 only winning Miami SU, push ATS, going 0-2-1 & 11/12~11/15 no ATS cover so far, but defense has sustained 5 Unders in a row. Hornets have the schedule advantage, but they are lacking points going into Toyota Center.
NOH/HOU UNDER 182 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Reflecting on games last night, there are two still going on in the west PHO at SAC & DET at LAL, I like to focus on tightly played games. They are PHL at IND (94-92), ORL at DAL (102-100), HOU at SAN (75-77). Secondary group within 5 point differential POR at NOL (82-87) and MIL at MEN (101-96 OT). These 2 sets of groups will look at the fundamental aspects of energy exerted in each respective battle. Low scoring games and OT games definitely stand out in this area.
Now comes to tonight's match up NOL at HOU both on heels of back to back games, coming off low scoring and gets a U182 Total. Respective overall numbers, home and away numbers gives me 186~187 Total. This Total represents 2nd lowest number in Hornets games and 4th lowest in Houston game and purely from a average stand point both teams should improve off such a low scoring offense, but games leading to this match up gives an interesting back drop.
Houston comes home from 9 days 5 games road trip out west going 2-3 with 2 sets of 3 games in 4 days. First set from 11/04~11/07 with final game against Clippers posting 181.5 Total going Under with 175 combined score. Second set from 11/12~11/15 includes a brawl in Phoenix, a game Rockets won SU as underdog, and last night's loss to short handed Spurs after winning first 3 quarters only to collapse in the 4th ending 75-77 (152) going Under the lowest Total for this season 173.5 by 21.5 points.
New Orleans Hornets also played similar sets 11/05~11/08 only winning Miami SU, push ATS, going 0-2-1 & 11/12~11/15 no ATS cover so far, but defense has sustained 5 Unders in a row. Hornets have the schedule advantage, but they are lacking points going into Toyota Center.
NOH/HOU UNDER 182 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
NBA Friday
YTD 7-5-1 +4.03 units
Split last night so nothing to show for effort. Some might say better than losing, but product of effort should have payoff. Simply the game is the market and everything offered is yours to choose. Always the best bet is the one you do not lose. I've touched on this in the past, but if you treat the book as a market you can take position and get out before game start or take position on both sides with positive money. If your interested in capturing gain techniques you'll have to email me otherwise I'll move on.
Wizards at Heat O/U 196.5 is a low looking number isn't it? It should home / away numbers for these teams indicate this total to be at the low end. It opened 197 and came down, but as usual still mixed. Wiz are coming off their first SU win in low scoring game against Utah. What a contrast to that NYK game where Wiz attempted 89 shots and allowed 90, Wiz shot 71 to Jazz 76 and the deliberate pace is likely again. Miami coming off a home loss to Portland allowed 104 points which is most given up at home this season. There should be stronger defensive effort tonight.
WIZ/HEAT UNDER 196.5 +101 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.01 units
Split last night so nothing to show for effort. Some might say better than losing, but product of effort should have payoff. Simply the game is the market and everything offered is yours to choose. Always the best bet is the one you do not lose. I've touched on this in the past, but if you treat the book as a market you can take position and get out before game start or take position on both sides with positive money. If your interested in capturing gain techniques you'll have to email me otherwise I'll move on.
Wizards at Heat O/U 196.5 is a low looking number isn't it? It should home / away numbers for these teams indicate this total to be at the low end. It opened 197 and came down, but as usual still mixed. Wiz are coming off their first SU win in low scoring game against Utah. What a contrast to that NYK game where Wiz attempted 89 shots and allowed 90, Wiz shot 71 to Jazz 76 and the deliberate pace is likely again. Miami coming off a home loss to Portland allowed 104 points which is most given up at home this season. There should be stronger defensive effort tonight.
WIZ/HEAT UNDER 196.5 +101 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.01 units
Thursday, November 13, 2008
NBA Thursday
YTD 6-4-1 +4.03 units
Nice win yesterday. Not much to go with today's light card, but Denver has been tough on Cleveland for quite awhile. The names may have changed, but the game remains the same.
Cavs coming off a no cover home win which is a good sequence to play against. Denver loves points 6-1 ATS so far to start.
DENVER +7 at +104 for 1 unit(L)
Second Half Detroit at Golden State.
Warriors controlling the tempo and it is getting a bit faster. Let's look for 2nd half to go Over the number.
2ND HALF OVER 100 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
1-1 +0.00 unit
Nice win yesterday. Not much to go with today's light card, but Denver has been tough on Cleveland for quite awhile. The names may have changed, but the game remains the same.
Cavs coming off a no cover home win which is a good sequence to play against. Denver loves points 6-1 ATS so far to start.
DENVER +7 at +104 for 1 unit(L)
Second Half Detroit at Golden State.
Warriors controlling the tempo and it is getting a bit faster. Let's look for 2nd half to go Over the number.
2ND HALF OVER 100 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
1-1 +0.00 unit
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
NBA Wednesday
YTD 5-4-1 +3.03 units
Knicks faded in the second half or more like Spurs finally took control. Knicks on back to back road game will take +4.5 points and this line is worth watching. Though NY got their ass kicked in 1st of back to back at San Antonio that game should not reflect the second sequence as Memphis coming back from their 5 day 4 game road trip with very good effort ATS cover in last game against Phoenix. Taking Knicks on 2nd sequence with points.
KNICKS +4.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Did not need any points in 132-103 Knicks furious bounce back game.
1-0 +1.00 unit
Knicks faded in the second half or more like Spurs finally took control. Knicks on back to back road game will take +4.5 points and this line is worth watching. Though NY got their ass kicked in 1st of back to back at San Antonio that game should not reflect the second sequence as Memphis coming back from their 5 day 4 game road trip with very good effort ATS cover in last game against Phoenix. Taking Knicks on 2nd sequence with points.
KNICKS +4.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Did not need any points in 132-103 Knicks furious bounce back game.
1-0 +1.00 unit
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
NBA Veteransday Tuesday
YTD 5-3-1 +4.03 units
San Antonio Spurs are off to a worst start since pre-Duncan era. Though losing Parker in last game against Miami will be a step up situation at home this Spurs team is also missing another key piece in Manu. Combine this down turn in a match up with New York Knicks, a team that's settling into D'Antoni's system. Looking closer at Spurs past few games starting with Miami. Spurs took higher than average shot attempts hitting low 37.6%, way too many 3 attempts hitting another low 31.4% and went to the line only 13 times to Heats 22. Had the ball stolen 11 times and that's the bulk of the story. Before Miami was Minnesota road game. Spurs squeaked by in OT and biggest lead they held throughout was 7 in a no cover game. It was not impressive losing contest in the paint and again opposition held better shooting percentage. Three games back, Dallas at home. This one Spurs were knocked out in the 1st quarter and pretty much down for the count by 1st half. Mavs never looked back in the 2nd half to cover by 21.5 points. What does these past three games tell us about this game? Knicks will have the edge, but they do make mistakes and NYK at Philadelphia was a good example of how situation can get away.
Road trip into Texas basketball heartland against the wounded Spurs are definitely dangerous situation, however the money line value is too good and worth a shot.
NEW YORK KNICKS MONEY LINE +167(L)
Spurs did step up, but had to take a shot.
0-1 -1.00 unit
San Antonio Spurs are off to a worst start since pre-Duncan era. Though losing Parker in last game against Miami will be a step up situation at home this Spurs team is also missing another key piece in Manu. Combine this down turn in a match up with New York Knicks, a team that's settling into D'Antoni's system. Looking closer at Spurs past few games starting with Miami. Spurs took higher than average shot attempts hitting low 37.6%, way too many 3 attempts hitting another low 31.4% and went to the line only 13 times to Heats 22. Had the ball stolen 11 times and that's the bulk of the story. Before Miami was Minnesota road game. Spurs squeaked by in OT and biggest lead they held throughout was 7 in a no cover game. It was not impressive losing contest in the paint and again opposition held better shooting percentage. Three games back, Dallas at home. This one Spurs were knocked out in the 1st quarter and pretty much down for the count by 1st half. Mavs never looked back in the 2nd half to cover by 21.5 points. What does these past three games tell us about this game? Knicks will have the edge, but they do make mistakes and NYK at Philadelphia was a good example of how situation can get away.
Road trip into Texas basketball heartland against the wounded Spurs are definitely dangerous situation, however the money line value is too good and worth a shot.
NEW YORK KNICKS MONEY LINE +167(L)
Spurs did step up, but had to take a shot.
0-1 -1.00 unit
Monday, November 10, 2008
NBA Monday
YTD 4-2-1 +3.03 units
It's one of those Dog day monday, as my Russian friend would say, and Grizzlies looking very interesting at +12 on one of those let down home court return for the Suns. Matter of fact Griz seems to be a popular service pick pushed by the touts. I'll look for poor shooting.
MEN/PHO UNDER 197 ar +105 for 1 unit(L)
Here's one for Batis on the 2nd Half.
GRIZZLIES +7.5 SECOND HALF at -101 for 2 units(W)
1-1 +1.00 unit
It's one of those Dog day monday, as my Russian friend would say, and Grizzlies looking very interesting at +12 on one of those let down home court return for the Suns. Matter of fact Griz seems to be a popular service pick pushed by the touts. I'll look for poor shooting.
MEN/PHO UNDER 197 ar +105 for 1 unit(L)
Here's one for Batis on the 2nd Half.
GRIZZLIES +7.5 SECOND HALF at -101 for 2 units(W)
1-1 +1.00 unit
Sunday, November 09, 2008
NBA Sunday
Took a beat yesterday YTD 4-2 +1.96 units.
Today we're back on Atlanta at Oklahoma City. Looking to stay strong even without Josh Smith Oklahoma will have their hand full tonight.
HAWKS -4 at +103 for 1 unit(Push)
Rockets at Lakers 2nd Half. T-Mac twisted his ankle and Yao is a no show. Lakers climb back from 16 point back to take the lead. Going with the home team in 2nd half.
LAKERS -4.5 2ND HALF at +107 for 1 unit(W)
1-0-1 +1.07 units
Today we're back on Atlanta at Oklahoma City. Looking to stay strong even without Josh Smith Oklahoma will have their hand full tonight.
HAWKS -4 at +103 for 1 unit(Push)
Rockets at Lakers 2nd Half. T-Mac twisted his ankle and Yao is a no show. Lakers climb back from 16 point back to take the lead. Going with the home team in 2nd half.
LAKERS -4.5 2ND HALF at +107 for 1 unit(W)
1-0-1 +1.07 units
Saturday, November 08, 2008
NBA Saturday
YTD 4-1 +3.01 units
I'm still here. No need to ignore me I've given you winners. So Football's got you all tied up? NBA a crap shoot? Well allow me to roll the dice. NBA line movement no#4. Playing the Total on First Half O/U 99 Suns at Bucks. This Total comes on the heels of Bucks missing their star player Redd from tonight's line up. A situation where home team will come out to rise above their level. Declined Total at 196 and 2 point differential 99 at Half predicting a pace which will shift slower as this game moves along. Do not underestimate Bucks, but Suns are coming off a decisive loss.
PHO/MIL FIRST HALF OVER 99 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Can't get'em all. Be back.
0-1 -1.05 units
I'm still here. No need to ignore me I've given you winners. So Football's got you all tied up? NBA a crap shoot? Well allow me to roll the dice. NBA line movement no#4. Playing the Total on First Half O/U 99 Suns at Bucks. This Total comes on the heels of Bucks missing their star player Redd from tonight's line up. A situation where home team will come out to rise above their level. Declined Total at 196 and 2 point differential 99 at Half predicting a pace which will shift slower as this game moves along. Do not underestimate Bucks, but Suns are coming off a decisive loss.
PHO/MIL FIRST HALF OVER 99 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
Can't get'em all. Be back.
0-1 -1.05 units
Wednesday, November 05, 2008
NBA Wednesday
won last selection. YTD 3-1 +2.01 units
Sorry for lack of enthusiasm starting up in the Association. It's not lack of will I love speculating on NBA with knack for taking down Totals better than Sides, but I'll wager quarters, halves, second halves whatever the game offers. It's just been busy and it's not my nature to force wins, it usually back fires.
On this Wednesday I'll back one of the strongest home court in Utah Jazz. I know many are waiting for teams like Blazers to start mixing it up, but Jazz are knocking out unlikely Western contenders. Looking for surge to continue with maybe stronger defense.
UTAH -6.5 at -101 for 1 unit(W)
Well earned win with home court edge.
1-0 +1.00 unit
Sorry for lack of enthusiasm starting up in the Association. It's not lack of will I love speculating on NBA with knack for taking down Totals better than Sides, but I'll wager quarters, halves, second halves whatever the game offers. It's just been busy and it's not my nature to force wins, it usually back fires.
On this Wednesday I'll back one of the strongest home court in Utah Jazz. I know many are waiting for teams like Blazers to start mixing it up, but Jazz are knocking out unlikely Western contenders. Looking for surge to continue with maybe stronger defense.
UTAH -6.5 at -101 for 1 unit(W)
Well earned win with home court edge.
1-0 +1.00 unit
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