NBA Friday

Split last picks with no gain no loss. YTD 11-9-1 +4.07 units

Lakers took care of business in methodical fashion in their last game, 1st of road home back to back, in Phoenix. In that game ATS swung strongly for the Lakers. I thought it was too much points and Suns would push a run on their home court for second half, it never came.
Denver Nuggets also rolling 8-3 ATS beating Spurs, wounded Spur on the road, in their last game and Nuggets are much more deliberate with Billups. This match up first took place back in early November with Nuggets just covering. Last year Lakers were terrible playing the second of back to back, but this year they are arguably the deepest team in NBA. Prior to losing ATS against Denver in last match up Lakers had covered 8 games against Nuggets and now against Denver at home Lakers give -8.5 the exact same number they gave Nuggets at home in Denver. The implication for Lakers to blow out is there, but key to Nuggets ATS gauged on ability to cover away tonight is the rematch situation coupled with Lakers B2B night and Phoenix wire to wire games all giving too much weight (point spred) to Los Angeles Lakers.

DENVER +8.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.05 units