Saturday, January 31, 2009

NBA Saturday

YTD 18-26-1 -3.27 units

Somethings got to give with this continuing run of losers.
Utah Jazz at Portland Trailblazer.
I'm sure Blazers -9.5 suggests Jazz as the play for cover and normally I would invert the suggestions, but there has been too many of these.

UTAH JAZZ +9.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

This game total looks too high, but it's deceiving
NYK/IND OVER 226 at +107 for 1 unit(W)

1-1 +0.02 units

Friday, January 30, 2009

NBA Friday

YTD 18-25-1 -2.27 units

Last game on board tonight. I know Kings at Arco doesn't come close to the fortress it once was and Bulls are licking their chops to take the Kings down on their home court. Very likely scenario to break Bulls out of their norm and that's the public play. The line has reversed since opening which is always a precursor to a upset.

SACRAMENTO KINGS ML +100 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

Thursday, January 29, 2009

NBA Thursday

YTD 18-24-1 -1.22 units

San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns.

In the valley of the Suns Spurs roll in on the Rodeo road trip. You know the story of this annual bonding event for the San Antonio group, but taking out the Jazz and coming here on second of back to back Spurs are a marked team.

SUNS -1.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.05 units

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

NBA Wednesday

YTD 18-23-1 -0.22 units

Bulls at Clippers Second Half.

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS +0.5 at +100 for 1 unit(L)

Not feeling it.
0-1 -1.00 unit

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

NBA Tuesday

YTD 18-21-1 +1.83 units

Charlotte Bobcats at Los Angeles Lakers.Look for Lakers out of the gate. Not much for motavation, but L.A. to set the tone early.

L.A. LAKERS FIRST HALF -6.5 at +100 for 1 unit(L)

Taking more of the same.

L.A. LAKERS SECOND HALF -7.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

0-2 -2.05 units

Sunday, January 25, 2009

NBA Monday

YTD 18-20-1 +2.90 units

New Jersey Nets at Oklahoma Thunder.
Nets end their 5 game losing skid at Grizzlies expense and comes to Oklahoma to meet up with the bottom dweller Thunder. First thought with these Nets taking the road on Jan. 21 played 3 games in 4 days, improving 3 games, than takes a breather and back on on Monday. Looking like a downer on Monday against the Thunder? Could happen, Oakies are playing much better as of late. Odds makers think so too with home team favored -3.5 points, but Thunders decline is immanent. It maybe already happening coming into this game. I'm taking the points.

NETS +3.5 at -107 for 1 unit(L)

Got in early before the line move, but it was still the wrong side.

0-1 -1.07 units

NBA Sunday

YTD 17-20-1 +1.90 units

Dallas at Boston.
Times have changed and so have these two teams, Dallas owns 16-6 record with 7-4 in Boston against the C's running far back to 96'. This season does not reflect that track record Boston back on track and Mavs are still searching to make a run. Dallas dropped the last 5 out of 6 meetings against Cs, but they were 6 points or less differential in 4 out of last 5 meet within range of generous +9.5 in any body's house. However this game looks to expose the growth of gap between these two teams. Boston Celtics double digit wins goes back 5 games in a row and this game should have higher offensive number than last one against Orlando.

BOSTON -9 at -106 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

Sunday, January 11, 2009

NBA Sunday

YTD 16-20-1 -0.10 units

Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers
Clippers are sliding, but I'm not here to advise a fade or a home dog play.
Playing the TOTAL points also known as OVER/UNDER.
Current number as of this writing stands at 201.5 dropping from opening 202.
Relatively low number from Suns perspective and high for short handed Clippers.
These two matched up 1/02/2009 at Phoenix with 199 Total which was eclipsed 106-98, that was the second game of 6 consecutive OVERS for LAC.
Not that consecutive Overs have much weight considering the odds makers have not been far off, but Clippers are capable of scoring in the 70s with opponent dropping triple digits and still going Under anytime. So I'm looking at the line with latter scenario to to drive down the number a bit more. This angle gauging the high and low range of scoring rates Suns coming off a peak scoring. I think Suns are likely not going to exceed what they scored last game, 128, but good chance to hit into triple digits and Clips coming off close or at bottom scoring is likely to improve from 80 points. Will it be enough? That's the question. I think the key is Clippers scoring and their 2 past clunker games they just ran out of gas. Look for recharged Clips and jubilant Suns to push this score Over

OVER 201.5 at -105 for 2 units (W)

Thursday, January 08, 2009

NBA Thursday

YTD 15-20-1 -2.10 units

To say Clippers are raising their level of play may sound sarcastic with 8-26 record, but 16-18 ATS puts them on equal footing with 16-17-1 ATS San Antonio Spurs. Clippers recent 4-1 last 5 comes in with 3 road ATS wins while Spurs with 8-2 last 10 SU are 2-3 last 5 ATS and giving double digit point spread at home has failed last 2 tries, 3 times if you count -9.5 to 76ers, last 4 situations is 2-1-1 so Clippers playing tight may not be such a fantasy. However you have to feel something out of norm when Eric Gordon is putting in 32 points followed by Al Thornton's 25 against Dallas at home, Gordon's second 30 plus point game in a row with 31 against Pistons, playing well beyond expectation with most of their main players hurt. This game looks to expose how hurt this Clippers team really is.

SAN ANTONIO SPURS -12.5 at -105 for 2 units(W)