Sunday, January 11, 2009

NBA Sunday

YTD 16-20-1 -0.10 units

Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers
Clippers are sliding, but I'm not here to advise a fade or a home dog play.
Playing the TOTAL points also known as OVER/UNDER.
Current number as of this writing stands at 201.5 dropping from opening 202.
Relatively low number from Suns perspective and high for short handed Clippers.
These two matched up 1/02/2009 at Phoenix with 199 Total which was eclipsed 106-98, that was the second game of 6 consecutive OVERS for LAC.
Not that consecutive Overs have much weight considering the odds makers have not been far off, but Clippers are capable of scoring in the 70s with opponent dropping triple digits and still going Under anytime. So I'm looking at the line with latter scenario to to drive down the number a bit more. This angle gauging the high and low range of scoring rates Suns coming off a peak scoring. I think Suns are likely not going to exceed what they scored last game, 128, but good chance to hit into triple digits and Clips coming off close or at bottom scoring is likely to improve from 80 points. Will it be enough? That's the question. I think the key is Clippers scoring and their 2 past clunker games they just ran out of gas. Look for recharged Clips and jubilant Suns to push this score Over

OVER 201.5 at -105 for 2 units (W)

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