Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics.
The Bulls crushed Pistons at home 1/11 120-87 easily covering -5.5 and this was step up game after SU win & -8.5 cover over Minnesota, again at home, but 2 losses away also covered getting 4 points at Milwaukee and 6.5 points at Charlotte. Making the ATS 4 wins in a row, 8-1 ATS last 9 and Chicago Bulls stock are suddenly hot item.
Boston last faced Chicago 12/12 106-80 Celtics win & cover -9.5 in United Center.
Celtics went wire to wire did not give up any quarter while holding the Bulls to under 33% shooting from the field and miserable 1 for 9 beyond the arc.
Despite the fact of embarrassing loss, recent surging Bulls play and K. Garnette & B. Wallace missing from line up. Bulls are poised to break their winning streak and lose ATS. They are very poor revenge team at 1-5, against Atlantic division teams 1-7 and coming off a peak game. This is also a spot to avenge a rare home loss Celtics suffered last home game. 1/11 Atlanta was a turn around blow losing 2 to the Hawks in 3 days. It must of left a bad taste for the C's because they went to NJ and killed the Nets.
Boston are not a good home cover team 11-5 SU has only covered 6-10 and they are alternating high score win than a loss however Chicago upside is limited where as Boston is under estimated at home. Take Boston give the points.
BOSTON CELTICS -6.5
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Monday, January 11, 2010
NBA Monday
Miami Heat at Utah Jazz
These two teams last met on December 23rd. Remember that game in Miami? It held some offensive promise, but the game unfolded in snails pace with decisive 3rd quarter by home team Miami ending in 70-80. That was the 5th and final road game for Jazz where D. Williams blamed the loss to their defensive laps. Whatever it was Miami took down Utah for the 4th time in a row.
Miami is the nemesis to Utah winning 11 out of 12 meets. Today Miami Heat are the road team and they have lost 5 out of last 7 games. The last game against Clippers at L.A. 94-84 loss Heat shot below 40% and could not recover from early deficit. Wade sat out the last 8 min. 21 sec. in a look-ahead move for second of back to back.
The Jazz men last played 1/09 @DAL where they caught the Mavs on second of back to back after the incredible rally at San Antonio. Jazz winning in Dallas 111-93 up to that point they were struggling with 4 losses out of 5 and forced to play Williams who was nursing a injured wrist. Jazz are tough at home 13-6 SU & 12-7 ATS and coming off high scoring games are 10-3.
I'm looking for higher production from Miami today and maybe Jazz score doesn't reach 111, but Miami has allowed +100 points in 4 out of last 6 games. Catching the declining Total and taking this Over.
OVER 194(W)
Sweet and Easy.
These two teams last met on December 23rd. Remember that game in Miami? It held some offensive promise, but the game unfolded in snails pace with decisive 3rd quarter by home team Miami ending in 70-80. That was the 5th and final road game for Jazz where D. Williams blamed the loss to their defensive laps. Whatever it was Miami took down Utah for the 4th time in a row.
Miami is the nemesis to Utah winning 11 out of 12 meets. Today Miami Heat are the road team and they have lost 5 out of last 7 games. The last game against Clippers at L.A. 94-84 loss Heat shot below 40% and could not recover from early deficit. Wade sat out the last 8 min. 21 sec. in a look-ahead move for second of back to back.
The Jazz men last played 1/09 @DAL where they caught the Mavs on second of back to back after the incredible rally at San Antonio. Jazz winning in Dallas 111-93 up to that point they were struggling with 4 losses out of 5 and forced to play Williams who was nursing a injured wrist. Jazz are tough at home 13-6 SU & 12-7 ATS and coming off high scoring games are 10-3.
I'm looking for higher production from Miami today and maybe Jazz score doesn't reach 111, but Miami has allowed +100 points in 4 out of last 6 games. Catching the declining Total and taking this Over.
OVER 194(W)
Sweet and Easy.
Sunday, January 10, 2010
NBA Sunday
New Jersey Nets at San Antonio Spurs.
Nets got a ATS cover on the road at New Orleans. That game Nets got off to a usual slow start, but dropped in 27 points in last 3 quarters and kept it close enough to easily cover with 9.5 points exceeding their offensive average by 10 points. Considering road games points allowed, 1/06 @ATL 119 points, 12/18 @TOR 118 points, 12/13 @ATL 130 and so on counting from late November road games Nets allowing +99 points is 10 out of 11. Last game effort not seen since 12/15 @Cleveland and it was also their best offensive effort getting to 99 points. Nets have exceeded +99 points on the road 3 out of 15. So in New Jersey standard a very good game. Which to me spells regression at San Antonio. Spurs lose to Dallas at home in a game where Spurs held advantage for 3 quarters and than gave up 42 points to Dallas in the 4th, whopping 50 points allowed in the paint at home. What do you think will happen to the next team stepping into AT&T Center? Enter Nets getting 14 points. NJN 2-9 as dogs with +10 points, 6-11 ATS after a OVER win, 5-13 against teams above .500 and that's my take.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS -13.5(L)
New Jersey cover by 1.5 points.
Late Game in the West.
Bucks at Lakers
Similar scenario as with Nets@Spurs. Lakers with 2 disappointing games and Bucks with Win no cover at home. That ATS loss comes in closing minutes as Bulls closed the gap. This game will take Sides and Total. Lakers playing cold, but defense is still active. The Total has risen all day and we will go against the inflated number. I see L.A. hungry for a big win. Can we cover this big number? Again the number tells me to look for Lakers to come back at Staples Center.
LAKERS -9.5(W)
UNDER 196(W)
L.O got the points, but watch out Koby's finger is definately bothering him and he is dead cold. Michael Redd buckled his knee making their road trip much tougher.
Nets got a ATS cover on the road at New Orleans. That game Nets got off to a usual slow start, but dropped in 27 points in last 3 quarters and kept it close enough to easily cover with 9.5 points exceeding their offensive average by 10 points. Considering road games points allowed, 1/06 @ATL 119 points, 12/18 @TOR 118 points, 12/13 @ATL 130 and so on counting from late November road games Nets allowing +99 points is 10 out of 11. Last game effort not seen since 12/15 @Cleveland and it was also their best offensive effort getting to 99 points. Nets have exceeded +99 points on the road 3 out of 15. So in New Jersey standard a very good game. Which to me spells regression at San Antonio. Spurs lose to Dallas at home in a game where Spurs held advantage for 3 quarters and than gave up 42 points to Dallas in the 4th, whopping 50 points allowed in the paint at home. What do you think will happen to the next team stepping into AT&T Center? Enter Nets getting 14 points. NJN 2-9 as dogs with +10 points, 6-11 ATS after a OVER win, 5-13 against teams above .500 and that's my take.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS -13.5(L)
New Jersey cover by 1.5 points.
Late Game in the West.
Bucks at Lakers
Similar scenario as with Nets@Spurs. Lakers with 2 disappointing games and Bucks with Win no cover at home. That ATS loss comes in closing minutes as Bulls closed the gap. This game will take Sides and Total. Lakers playing cold, but defense is still active. The Total has risen all day and we will go against the inflated number. I see L.A. hungry for a big win. Can we cover this big number? Again the number tells me to look for Lakers to come back at Staples Center.
LAKERS -9.5(W)
UNDER 196(W)
L.O got the points, but watch out Koby's finger is definately bothering him and he is dead cold. Michael Redd buckled his knee making their road trip much tougher.
Saturday, January 09, 2010
NBA Saturday
Minnesota Grizzlies at Chicago Bulls.
Bulls are giving -8.5 at home and that is a big number. Chicago on recent 6-1 ATS run made a huge rally to cover yesterday at Milwaukee making it 2 covers in a row away. Bulls stock maybe on the rise, but they are 6 games below .500 and of the 11 times they have been favored the record is 4-7, out of the 11 games they gave -6.5 or higher 4 times resulting in 1-3. Coming into 2nd leg of back to back Bulls are 1-6 making today's road dog a popular take. Minnesota 9-8 ATS away and 5-4 ATS back to back is not exactly a slam dunk. Even with the thought of Bulls giving too much I feel Grizzlies are coming off a peak game, 116-109 SU & ATS cover, similar to match 12/18 home win against Kings 112-96 where they promptly lost the following game at Boston getting 13.5 points. This ATS is holding steady and I'm fading Minnesota to buck the Chicago trend.
CHICAGO BULLS -8.5 at -103(W)
Right on money!
Bulls are giving -8.5 at home and that is a big number. Chicago on recent 6-1 ATS run made a huge rally to cover yesterday at Milwaukee making it 2 covers in a row away. Bulls stock maybe on the rise, but they are 6 games below .500 and of the 11 times they have been favored the record is 4-7, out of the 11 games they gave -6.5 or higher 4 times resulting in 1-3. Coming into 2nd leg of back to back Bulls are 1-6 making today's road dog a popular take. Minnesota 9-8 ATS away and 5-4 ATS back to back is not exactly a slam dunk. Even with the thought of Bulls giving too much I feel Grizzlies are coming off a peak game, 116-109 SU & ATS cover, similar to match 12/18 home win against Kings 112-96 where they promptly lost the following game at Boston getting 13.5 points. This ATS is holding steady and I'm fading Minnesota to buck the Chicago trend.
CHICAGO BULLS -8.5 at -103(W)
Right on money!
Friday, January 08, 2010
NBA Friday
Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors.
Expectation for high scoring shoot'em up game is high. But I look for expanding ATS to favor the visiting Kings who have disappointed in recent games. Kings loss margin with spread is very close and Warriors win margin has exceeded winning SU as a underdog allowing 2nd fewest points in past 10 games. Look for Kings to play strong in this spot.
SACRAMENTO KINGS +4.5(L)
What a blow! Kings had this in their grasp and let it get away.
Expectation for high scoring shoot'em up game is high. But I look for expanding ATS to favor the visiting Kings who have disappointed in recent games. Kings loss margin with spread is very close and Warriors win margin has exceeded winning SU as a underdog allowing 2nd fewest points in past 10 games. Look for Kings to play strong in this spot.
SACRAMENTO KINGS +4.5(L)
What a blow! Kings had this in their grasp and let it get away.
Tuesday, January 05, 2010
NBA Tuesday
Detroit Pistons at Dallas Mavericks
Mavs are one of those teams I advise as a over estimated team. They very much are a poor cover team that should be looked at carefully. On this day Dallas return from L.A. where they were schooled by the Lakers to face the woeful Pistons. Detroit where the long drought has failed to produce winning sign will receive one of the hefty spread on board tonight. +9 is a number you'll need to search through Dallas calender to see this margin win. Yet it'll be a public spot to back the Mavs and they may get this one. I'll take the early round on First Half.
DALLAS MAVERICKS FIRST HALF -5(L)
2nd Play:
Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings.
Kings have lost 3 in a row and Suns come to Arco with impressive record against the Kings. Suns 8-10 SU and .500 ATS is not a good bet on the road. They are giving up score to opponent at alarming rate and though they are winning against division foes they are failing to cover. Kings are very good 12-5 against poor defensive teams, 6-2 with 2 days rest and Total above 210 is 6-3. Kings are covering 3-1 at Arco and that's late night play.
SACRAMENTO KINGS +3(L)
Mavs are one of those teams I advise as a over estimated team. They very much are a poor cover team that should be looked at carefully. On this day Dallas return from L.A. where they were schooled by the Lakers to face the woeful Pistons. Detroit where the long drought has failed to produce winning sign will receive one of the hefty spread on board tonight. +9 is a number you'll need to search through Dallas calender to see this margin win. Yet it'll be a public spot to back the Mavs and they may get this one. I'll take the early round on First Half.
DALLAS MAVERICKS FIRST HALF -5(L)
2nd Play:
Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings.
Kings have lost 3 in a row and Suns come to Arco with impressive record against the Kings. Suns 8-10 SU and .500 ATS is not a good bet on the road. They are giving up score to opponent at alarming rate and though they are winning against division foes they are failing to cover. Kings are very good 12-5 against poor defensive teams, 6-2 with 2 days rest and Total above 210 is 6-3. Kings are covering 3-1 at Arco and that's late night play.
SACRAMENTO KINGS +3(L)
Monday, January 04, 2010
NBA Monday
Oklahoma City Thunder at Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are playing good ball with Rose leading the way. There's also some dominance by Bulls 5-1 over past 6 match ups. Bulls also on a roll 4 wins in a row and last game SU win against a top contender Orlando Magic. I think they disappoint against Thunder playing very competitive ball yet going under the radar. Not only are they above .500 they exceed with better ATS record. Thunder was rolling too with 5 wins in a row only to drop the OT game. I still see love for the Bulls and this game might be worth waiting on.
Oklahoma +2.5(W)
Oklahoma +2.5(W)
Sunday, January 03, 2010
NBA Sunday
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks
Pacers comes to MSG as a +9.5 underdog playing double back to back with 2 days off in between. They have exceeded the century mark twice in a row, 12/30 losing to Memphis and 1/02 winning against Minnesota. Counting 6 games back Indiana defense has allowed +99 points climbing through 12/30 giving 121 points and on 1/02 dropped back 10 points, but scored 122 points. Combined occurance of defensive score allowed with 2 recent high scoring games have raised the Total, but scoring is likely to drop here. NYK went Over 2 games in a row after stringing 8 Unders and last game at Atlanta was regulation Under that went Over due to OT.
This game similar to my last pick trends Under for both teams away and home.
UNDER 208(L)
Knicks had too much fire power!
Pacers comes to MSG as a +9.5 underdog playing double back to back with 2 days off in between. They have exceeded the century mark twice in a row, 12/30 losing to Memphis and 1/02 winning against Minnesota. Counting 6 games back Indiana defense has allowed +99 points climbing through 12/30 giving 121 points and on 1/02 dropped back 10 points, but scored 122 points. Combined occurance of defensive score allowed with 2 recent high scoring games have raised the Total, but scoring is likely to drop here. NYK went Over 2 games in a row after stringing 8 Unders and last game at Atlanta was regulation Under that went Over due to OT.
This game similar to my last pick trends Under for both teams away and home.
UNDER 208(L)
Knicks had too much fire power!
Saturday, January 02, 2010
NBA Saturday
Orlando Magic at Chicago Bulls.
Let's go to the United Center and get the hell out of the cold. I'm sure Bulls are feeling little cozy reeling off 3 wins in a row, but Orlando has dominated the Bulls to the tune of 8-1 going back to 2007. Magic on first set of double back to back coming off declining scoring looking for this one to stay low. Bulls also playing above their average scoring. Home and away O/U are also extremely Under. That's what I'll play.
UNDER 194(PUSH)
Hope you guys got 194 and not below.
Let's go to the United Center and get the hell out of the cold. I'm sure Bulls are feeling little cozy reeling off 3 wins in a row, but Orlando has dominated the Bulls to the tune of 8-1 going back to 2007. Magic on first set of double back to back coming off declining scoring looking for this one to stay low. Bulls also playing above their average scoring. Home and away O/U are also extremely Under. That's what I'll play.
UNDER 194(PUSH)
Hope you guys got 194 and not below.
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