NBA Sunday

New Jersey Nets at San Antonio Spurs.

Nets got a ATS cover on the road at New Orleans. That game Nets got off to a usual slow start, but dropped in 27 points in last 3 quarters and kept it close enough to easily cover with 9.5 points exceeding their offensive average by 10 points. Considering road games points allowed, 1/06 @ATL 119 points, 12/18 @TOR 118 points, 12/13 @ATL 130 and so on counting from late November road games Nets allowing +99 points is 10 out of 11. Last game effort not seen since 12/15 @Cleveland and it was also their best offensive effort getting to 99 points. Nets have exceeded +99 points on the road 3 out of 15. So in New Jersey standard a very good game. Which to me spells regression at San Antonio. Spurs lose to Dallas at home in a game where Spurs held advantage for 3 quarters and than gave up 42 points to Dallas in the 4th, whopping 50 points allowed in the paint at home. What do you think will happen to the next team stepping into AT&T Center? Enter Nets getting 14 points. NJN 2-9 as dogs with +10 points, 6-11 ATS after a OVER win, 5-13 against teams above .500 and that's my take.

SAN ANTONIO SPURS -13.5(L)

New Jersey cover by 1.5 points.

Late Game in the West.
Bucks at Lakers
Similar scenario as with Nets@Spurs. Lakers with 2 disappointing games and Bucks with Win no cover at home. That ATS loss comes in closing minutes as Bulls closed the gap. This game will take Sides and Total. Lakers playing cold, but defense is still active. The Total has risen all day and we will go against the inflated number. I see L.A. hungry for a big win. Can we cover this big number? Again the number tells me to look for Lakers to come back at Staples Center.

LAKERS -9.5(W)
UNDER 196(W)

L.O got the points, but watch out Koby's finger is definately bothering him and he is dead cold. Michael Redd buckled his knee making their road trip much tougher.