Wednesday, December 31, 2008

NBA New Years Eve

YTD 15-19-1 -1.06 units

Happy New Years!
On the eve of 2009 excitement is building, but the fact is I'm looking forward to a smaller gathering. Already got my digital new years greetings set to blast and that's about it. I guess 2008 has been tough on many, including myself, and it'll be good to start a new.




76ers at Clippers


Sixers got blasted in Utah last game, 3rd game where they allowed over 105 points. They have dropped first 3 out 6 game road trip bringing their total to 5-10 on the road, 1-2 ATS on this road trip 6-9 ATS on road, Prized acquisition forward, former Clippers product, Elton Brand inactive since dislocating right shoulder in 3rd quarter against Milwaukee on 12./17 missing 5 games so far and expected out for a month. But Clippers are the Underdog here without Zach Randolph, bruised knees and Baron Davis battling back problems is only scoring less than 12 points. The likely scenario for tonight's match up is Clippers by nature and missing offense coupled with Sixers will to play bit more defense will keep tonight's total low.

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS AT LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS UNDER 187 at -104(L)

0-1 -1.04 units

Saturday, December 27, 2008

NBA Sunday

YTD 15-17-1 +1.04 units

New York Knicks hosting Denver Nuggets in day time match up. Knickerbockers have now allowed over 100 points in 5 straight games. Knicks also lose 5 in a row, 3 in a row ATS. Disappointing to say the least considering they swept ATS on recent 5 game road trip. The last two games, 12/21 loss at Boston 104-124 was 2nd most allowed in regulation and 12/26 loss at home to Minnesota 107-120 giving up 3rd most in regulation, both are bit out of the norm, but reinforcing this season's Knicks "play no Defense" mix that with Nuggets team loaded with offensive talent and get yourself a 0/U 220. Lofty number 3rd highest in NY games, 12/15 @Suns 226 & 11/29 Warriors 223.5 , road game went Under home game went Over. It's also Denver's 3rd highest O/U with other top two being, yep 12/20 @Suns 222 & 11/05 Golden State 229.5 and both of these went Under. Nuggets have the talent to score at will if given no defense and it makes sense to tie in offense defense to Totals, but they really have not been scoring not to mention they have dropped 5 out of last 6 ATS. They're offense drop a bit on the road too. These teams given scoring potential gives us this number, but they are not the true Over team that can blast this type of number.

UNDER 220 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

Plan B for the day is a play on Hornets.
Hornets at Indy. I know the Pacers can keep it close at home, but after Hornets showing against Houston. New Orleans to make a run.

HORNETS -4.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

0-2 -2.10 units

Monday, December 15, 2008

NBA Monday

YTD 15-16-1 +2.06 units

On this dog day Monday we are backing a bottom rung Warriors against one of the NBA elite Magic. Orlando is without Howard, but there seems to be little doubt of slow down against Golden State.

WARRIORS +3.5 at -102 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.02 units

Sunday, December 07, 2008

NBA Sunday

YTD 14-14-1 +2.02 units

Lakers road trip did not look good and it's reflecting their road ATS. Bucks on improve and they are nearing full strength. Buck have a losing record in Los Angeles, but the margin of loss is narrowing under 5 points. However double digit ATS is misleading line towards the Bucks given tonight's situation. I think this Total seems reachable and better spot than the sides with 1st half push. Look for Lakers to show focus back at Staples and likely scoring push will take this game Over the Total.

LAKERS/BUCKS OVER 1st Half 106 at -107 for 1 unit(L)
LAKERS/BUCKS OVER 208.5 at -103 for 1 unit(L)

This game ain't going Over these two teams are putting up High School numbers!

Well, the game is always about swinging from one side to the other and the Books are still holding plus triple digit number.

LAKERS/BUCKS OVER 2nd Half 103.5 at +107 for 2 units(W)

1-2 +0.04 units

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

NBA Tuesday

YTD 13-14-1 +1.02 units

Jazz at Kings.
Satco maybe due, but few feel that way. Jazz short handed, as well as Kings, and Arco games are just not going their way. Is it a short sighted play? The line suggests resistance and there's always the contrarian play not to mention Kings home record beating Utah. I think Sacramento will lose this by more than a basket.

Jazz -1.5 at -115 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit