Saturday, December 27, 2008

NBA Sunday

YTD 15-17-1 +1.04 units

New York Knicks hosting Denver Nuggets in day time match up. Knickerbockers have now allowed over 100 points in 5 straight games. Knicks also lose 5 in a row, 3 in a row ATS. Disappointing to say the least considering they swept ATS on recent 5 game road trip. The last two games, 12/21 loss at Boston 104-124 was 2nd most allowed in regulation and 12/26 loss at home to Minnesota 107-120 giving up 3rd most in regulation, both are bit out of the norm, but reinforcing this season's Knicks "play no Defense" mix that with Nuggets team loaded with offensive talent and get yourself a 0/U 220. Lofty number 3rd highest in NY games, 12/15 @Suns 226 & 11/29 Warriors 223.5 , road game went Under home game went Over. It's also Denver's 3rd highest O/U with other top two being, yep 12/20 @Suns 222 & 11/05 Golden State 229.5 and both of these went Under. Nuggets have the talent to score at will if given no defense and it makes sense to tie in offense defense to Totals, but they really have not been scoring not to mention they have dropped 5 out of last 6 ATS. They're offense drop a bit on the road too. These teams given scoring potential gives us this number, but they are not the true Over team that can blast this type of number.

UNDER 220 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

Plan B for the day is a play on Hornets.
Hornets at Indy. I know the Pacers can keep it close at home, but after Hornets showing against Houston. New Orleans to make a run.

HORNETS -4.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

0-2 -2.10 units

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