NBA Monday

Coming off a nice win on ML dog & ATS 2-0 YTD 73-44-2 +44.89 units

We are rolling tonight with a game on target, but not yet ready for release. Most likely will take the selection within the next two hours. Similar to yesterday the target is a dog on the road.

Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets
Taking the Warriors on a up tick catching no T-Mac Rockets. Also taking the ML to steal this in Houston.

GSW +3 at +110 for 2 units(W)
GSW ML +151 for 1 unit(W)

You guys have a good New Year!
2-0 +3.71 units

NBA Sunday

2-1 last selection YTD 71-44-2 +42.37 units
Sunday Basketball is a good one.

Boston Celtics at Los Angeles Lakers
With most of the world thinking West is stronger than East combined with travel schedule Celtics have endured so far how can anyone not like the Lakers in this spot? The last game of Boston road trip 4th game in 5 days and second of back to back is a situation odds makers are very familiar with. You might be surprised to find road teams cover this situation more times than not.
Lakers are red hot and brimming with confidence, but battle tested experience team with core players able to hang around this one or if Lakers show young errors Boston will lead this game.
Lakers are very good right now, but not without faults.

BOS +3 at +107 for 1 unit(W)
BOS ML +145 for 1 unit(W)

2-0 +2.52 units

NBA Saturday

1-0 last selection YTD 69-43-2 +40.37 units

Making a late post.
Taking Atlanta on the road against Dallas.

ATL +8.5 at +102 for 1 unit(L)

It got close as 6 in 4th quarter, but Mav's day in Dallas and Under run continues.

Adding.
Detroit Pistons at Indiana Pacers
Detroit is still the team to beat. Look for this one to be closer to double digits.

DET 4.5 at -102 for 2 units(W)

Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Hornets
It's never easy to explain my Total plays, but in most simple terms these two teams have much better defensive ranking than offense. The number today is pretty strong with even division and little movement. Still going Under the fairly low number.

CLE/NOH UNDER 186 at +100 for 1 unit(W)

2-1 +2.00 units

NBA Friday

0-1 yesterday YTD 68-43-2 +39.37 units

Houston Rockets at Memphis Grizzlies
I understand Grizz are the sharp play and you just play it on ML hosting Houston minus T-Mac.
Normally the first game without leading scorer you take that team with supporting cast stepping up, but Rockets are two pronged where Yao can carry the load and it really doesn't fit the normal mode. When Yao leads the team it's usually just shy of closing the deal and they are on the road as a small favorite. I will take the by product of what this game will bring.

HOU/MEM UNDER 195 at -102 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Thursday

3-1 last selection YTD 68-42-2 +40.37 units

Cleveland Cavaliers at Dallas Mavericks
Mavs coming off a sub-par performance at Utah and this is the 2nd of back to back where they are 50% ATS. I don't think Cavs will contain Dallas tonight. Cleveland has been tough to gauge, but leading into this match up they have logged 3 Under's in a row while scoring into the mid 90's. Dallas too logged 3 consecutive Under's with declining scores in each game. It just seems to set up the Over in Dallas, although this season situations does not match, records reflect Dallas home O/U 10-5 and Cleveland road O/U 9-6. Down side is teams match up trends Under with average score of about 190, but can't have everything. Prediction for this one to land between 193 ~197 with Dallas attacking the paint as they were outscored inside at Utah 28 to 44. Cleveland on revenge games are Over 7-4 and 9-5 against good offensive teams.

CLE/DAL OVER 193.5 at +106 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

NBA Wednesday

0-1 giving back double units yesterday don't want to do that again YTD 65-41-2 +37.11 units

Washington Wizards at Charlotte Bobcats
As indicated by the low total factoring the injuries this game will be on the down low.

WAS/CHA UNDER 190 at +112 for 1 unit(L)

Detroit Pistons at New Jersey Nets
Seeing over reaction towards Nets here and line has been pushed down to Detroit's favor for late takers.

DET -5 at +103 for 1 unit(W)

New Orleans Hornet at Memphis Grizzlies
I like this one to go Over the total. Again going against the grain.

NO/MEM OVER 201 at +107 for 2 units(W)

Chicago Bulls at San Antonio Spurs
Fading the Bulls and giving near 10 points. Not really my style, but no value with can't win Bulls.
SAS -9.5 at +109 for 1 unit(W)

3-1 +3.26 units

Merry Christmas

Pushed last selection 65-40-2 +39.11 units

Best wishes to all players.

Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers
Both of these teams have been tough to gauge, but my argument is for the Heat to take this match getting points. Miami since winning SU 12/17 Minnesota (no cover ATS) plays 2 OT games to follow, although losing both, before winning their last game against Utah. They are playing competitive and narrowing offense/defense scoring differential to 1.5 from 4.5 points. Heats are 9-5 ATS away matching Cavs 4-9 ATS home and I don't recall Cleveland playing well since Indy on 12/11. Cavs are not bouncing back after double digit ATS loss and that's exactly what they were handed in last game as -3 point home favorite against Golden State.

MIAMI +4.5 at +103 for 2 units(L)

That was not very merry. We'll get'em back next time.
0-1 -2.00 units

NBA Sunday

1-0 last selection YTD 65-40-1 +39.11 units

Late game.
Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings
This is a game where Kings at home look to cool the rising Nuggets, but as well as they played at home (9-3 ATS) Kings are 50% against the West. Nuggets coming off loss in Portland, but ATS cover is usually a sign of team about to win SU. Denver as Underdog ATS will be close.
I've notice enticing Over at the opening line and that has been pushed up all the way to 211. At this number I'll chance the Under as interior should be a good battle for both teams to attack, but will not be easy as perceived and if the shots are not falling from outside this will slide Under.

DEN/SAC UNDER 211 at -104 for 1 unit(Push)
Should of gone with Denver they win SU in last possession.

NBA Friday

0-2 yesterday YTD 64-40-1 +38.11 units

Denver Nuggets at Portland Trailblazers
Time is right for Nuggets to rise and take this at hot Blazers home.

DENVER +4.5 at +100 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Thursday

2-0 last selection YTD 64-38-1 +40.19 units

Los Angeles Lakers are coming to life and they are the top money team in the Pacific Division. 6-2 ATS in December two losses are ORL 12/2 at Staples, shot Dec. lowest mark 41.2% and did not clear +99 points, and SAS 12/13 at Staples no cover -7 with no Duncan & Parker Spurs. Low post bias should of placed Bulls in position to take advantage, but did not so Lakers take a give me. Now Lakers coming off a win in Chicago and Cavs blowing it in NY makes Lakers a slight underdog and schedule for Cavs in 2nd back to back in 5 days.
Kobe was way below his average scoring 18 points in Chicago, Andrew is raising his game and LA bench is packing some punch. This Lakers team should be too much for Cavs to handle.

LAKERS -1.5 at -108 for 1 unit(L)

Adding:
New Jersey Nets at Miami Heat
These two team have been scoring points, but keep in mind the Under nature of their plays.

NJN/MIA UNDER 189.5 at +100 for 1 unit(L)

bad call and bad luck puts me back.
0-2 -2.08 units

NBA Wednesday

2-0 yesterday YTD 62-38-1 +36.62 units

Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks
Easy game? Cavs get 80.75% consensus backing them and line opened at minimal 2 possession spread of -3.5 that's nudged to -4 against the lowly Knicks (7-17). Knicks are getting humiliated in NY, Coach Isiah Thomas suffered a 119-92 loss to the Indiana Pacers on Monday, Thomas stepped up to the microphone and blasted the players. "I mean, as a coach, you bring certain things to the table," he said. "But our collective energy, our collective heart, our collective toughness, we say the right things but we don't gut it out for 48 minutes.
"There are a lot of things that can be said about me, and the teams I've coached and the way I've played, but I've never been accused of not having heart or (not) competing. Tonight was very discouraging to me because we didn't collectively play with heart and compete like I know I do."
We all see and hear Knicks woes much louder than Cavs, but Cleveland dropping 3 ATS in a row with shooting percentage dropping with each game is not all that encouraging to lay points on the road. Also Knicks in their limited wins seem to play certain teams well, beat Nets twice SU home and away, beat Bulls twice ATS home and away and guess what NY beat Cavs ATS in early Nov.
Look at similar ATS numbers and not much for LBJ & gang to get excited about in tonight's match up they might even look ahead with Lakers coming up at home.
Let's go with NY at home to steal this one also take it SU.

NYK +4 at +101 for 2 unit(W)
NYK ML +155 for 1 unit(W)

Rocking in LA!
2-0 +3.57 units

NBA Tuesday

Sacramento Kings at New Jersey Nets
Kings good home (8-4) weak road (1-10) team. True to form has dropped 2 out of first 3 road games that started in @BOS 12/12, but keep in mind those same games were ATS wins 2 out of 3 with SU underdog winner in @PHL 12/14 and the lone loss was 2nd leg of b2b, 3rd game in 4 days. Kings have improved in December (5-3 ATS) covering all but one game when receiving points. Kings have been winning dog in December with only bad beat in @LAC 12/07.
Nets are bad home (5-9) team. They are horrific ATS home (3-10-1) only covering once in December as favorites and that's way early 12/04 @CLE giving a small -1.5 points. They did take out CLE again at home 12/14 AS +3 dog, but everybody else beat them ATS, won 76ers SU 12/01 in OT but did not cover. Overall games Kings are below .500 and margin of difference is loss by -3.5 points, on the road is -10 points and in recent form is -3 points. Nets playing below .500 with overall differnce of -6 points, at home is -6 points and in recent form is -6 points. So you have pretty good chance of dog winning SU or dog covering +5.

SACRAMENTO +5 at +100 for 2 units(W)

Some stuff I've been checking out that may lead clue to tonight's total:
Lawrence Frank will insert Josh Boone and Sean Williams as starters tonight at home against Sacramento in place of Jason Collins at center and Malik Allen at power forward.
"I just sensed that a different combination, a different dynamic, might help us execute our game plan up front better," Frank said. "These players are two bigs who can run the floor, create tempo and give us both energy at the offensive end of the floor and deterrence at the defensive end."
Boone, a 2006 first-round draft choice (No. 23 overall) has averaged 9.5 points and nine rebounds over the past four games. Williams is shooting well from the field (.566), leads the team with 36 blocks and had eight points on 4-of-7 shooting with five rebounds and two blocks in only 18 minutes against the Knicks.
"We're just going to play our game and we're both going to take advantage of the opportunity that's been given to us," said Williams, the Nets' 2007 first-round pick out of Boston College (17th overall). "I think we are both athletic and we can make a difference offensively and defensively.
Marcus Williams should be available for his first action of the season tonight off the bench after going through his second full practice without any problems Monday.

Nets side seems hard pressed to push their scoring or at least their tempo which would make the dropping total some what exposed.

SAC/NJN OVER 187 at -103 for 2 units(W)

2-0 +4.00 units

NBA Monday

1-0 last night YTD 60-38-1 +32.62 units

Orlando Magic at Dallas Mavericks
Hiya fellas! Boys in Dallas are alright, getting better, stronger and Magic's lost that loving feeling. Be back later with more angles on this game, stay tuned.

My fault, never got back in time to give ORL/DAL OVER 202. Water under the bridge we'll take care of business tomorrow.

NBA Sunday

1-0 yesterday YTD 59-38-1 +31.50 units

Some random thoughts I want to put down tonight.

Portland Trailblazers- These young blazers are excelling fast to say the least. Top ATS in North West division earning 56.5%, 6 out of last 6 SU & ATS winners only dropping the first Dec. game to SA Spurs away as +13.5 underdog. The last win against Utah gives Blazers a exclamation point, even though it was a Jazz team in a funk, and opening spread of +9 points might get some looks. Portland is poor on the road (2-9 SU & 5-6 ATS) but dangerous as a underdog (11-7). Blazer is also playing 60.9% Under, but 54.5% away. Shooting percentage has hit second low of this month at 44.1%(40% shot on 12/2 at San Antonio) and they have been deadly on FT% in Dec. At the same time defense has held opponents in last 3 games to 39.4%, 40.2% and 38.2% in best three game sets since start of their season.
Denver ran into a buzz saw in healing Spurs at home in first leg of back to back, but the writing was on the wall with 2 ATS losses coming into this game. The Nuggets were without starter Kenyon Martin, who was suspended for one game after he was assessed a flagrant foul in the Nuggets' win Wednesday over New Orleans. More so it was the misses and turn over that did in the Nuggets. They are on top of North West with 14-9 Denver shines at home 10-3, but covering ATS is another story (7-6). Nuggets are contrary of run and gun team 54.5% Under and 61.5% Under at home. Against Western Conference 69.2% Under and 75% Under against North West Division. They have also breached below 100 points in San Antonio while allowing 48% shooting string 3 consecutive Unders. Nuggets have not allowed more than 3 straight Unders this season and 66.7% Over on B2B, 75% Over after SU loss.

I think 9 points might be too much in Nuggets 2nd of back to back game, but will look deeper in the morning.

It's dropped 0.5 but faithful are out with Nuggets at Pepsi. Taking Portland.

BLAZERS +8.5 at +112 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.12 units

NBA Saturday

2-1 yesterday YTD 58-38-1 +29.50 units

Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets
Lost going against Mavs, although it was close, on first leg of back to back heading to Houston and love the MAVS getting points after home favorite cover. Houston is a force at Toyota Center (6-3), but ATS is 50% (4-4). They have also dropped 2 out of last 3 in double digit margin and last game, SU home win ATS Push, was against a tired Detroit team on last leg of their road trip. Rockets are struggling offensively as scoring in last 3 games were 80, 88 and 80.
Dallas did lay an egg in Toronto, but that may have been the bottom promptly coming back to cover -8.5 against the Hornets. Mavs are coming together and their best games are yet to come.

DALLAS +3.5 at -105 for 2 units(W)

Mavs blow out Rockets.
1-0 +2.00 units

NBA Friday

1-0 yesterday YTD 56-37-1 +27.42 units

NO Hornets at Dallas Mavericks
We are rolling with the Hornets visiting Dallas. Mavs aren't kicking these guys around any more and lost SU in last meeting. Still no respect from the public we back it up with hard money.

NOH +8.5 at +100 for 1 units(L)

2nd Half situational play:

NYK +6 2nd Half at Chicago Bulls. -110 for 1 units(W)

Utah Jazz at Portland Trailblazers
It's understandable to like the Jazz they are playing way below their game level, but at the same time Blazers are surging above their level. Somewhere this level will balance off, but why not roll with the punches.

BLAZERS +6 at +108 for 1 unit(W)

2-1 +2.08 units

NBA Thursday

Coming off a 4-1 night YTD 55-37-1 +26.42 units

Washington Wizards at Miami Heat
Keeping this short and sweet. Heat with strong showing to end the West Coast road trip will have a hangover tonight and expect a strong effort from Wizards. Wade's not stepping up tonight and supporting cast will not make their stand.

WIZARDS +5.5 at -101 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Wednesday

0-1 bad beat yesterday YTD 51-36-1 +23.42 units

Playing mixed bag of selections today. Nothing in a way of killer POD, but looks pretty strong.

Dallas Mavericks at Toronto Raptors
Short handed Raps will need to fight tooth and nails to stay in striking range. They will not want to get in a shoot out with Dallas.
Game Total UNDER 198 at -108(W)

Detroit Pistons at Houston Rockets
Another short handed game.
Game Total UNDER 186 at -109(W)

Los Angeles Clippers at Charlotte Bobcats
Clips better on the road and who are the Cats to lay points.
Clippers +6.5 at +101(W)

Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks
Took the opening line, but I think they'll cover double digits.
Magic -5.5 -103(L)

Sacramento Kings at Boston Celtics
Only my second time going against C's , but there's a good chance Boston will put it in auto pilot after a big run. Not much to bring their "A" game against 0-7 road team while Kings have everything to gain by hanging tough. Back door this baby.
Kings +15 at +102(W)

That's all for today and taking Princeton +13 in NCAA Hoops.

Wow, Magic melt down. How much did Bucks ML pay? Next best to being perfect.
4-1 +3.00 units

NBA Tuesday

1-1 last selection YTD 51-35-1 +24.52 units

Seattle Supersonics at Chicago Bulls
Bulls last 10 offense numbers
Highest scoring 111
Exceeds 2nd highest scoring by 13 points (12/01 W @CHA 111-95 = 206 O183 by 23)

second highest 98
(12/07 W @DET 98-91 = 189 O184.5 by 4.5 & 12/03 L DAL 98-103 = 201 O188.5 BY 12.5)

Third highest 91
*twice (12/05 W @CHA 91-82 = 183 U187 by 4 & 11/20 L @DEN 91-112=203 O201.5 BY 1.5)

Fourth and below 90 (11/25 ATL 90-78) 81 (12/08 BOS 81-92) and three 78 all logged in mid to late November

Highest allowed 112
Second highest 106
Both occurred in Nov (11/18 @LAL 78-106) (11/20 @DEN 91-112) and first two of this 10 game chart which is furthest away from current form.
The next 7 games Bulls 3rd highest points allowed 103 (12/03 DAL 98-103) and did not give more than 95 (12/01 CHA 111-95) for the remaining 6 games.

Book's opening line was dictating outcome of 90-98/91-98 type scoring and Over money has
pushed it up 91-100/92-99. Looking over the last 10 games production is dropping with score reaching +99 becoming far and few in between.

Seattle has played Under the indicated 90 or 91 points 1 out of last 10, which was yesterday, and today on 2nd of back to back looks likely to score better than 88, but not by much and Chicago playing their current form will play below 95.

SEA/CHI UNDER 192 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

What a bad call. See ya guys tomorrow.
0-1 -1.10 units

NBA Monday

1-0 last selection. 50-34-1 +24.49 units

It's my nature to look at dogs in any given match up and ask myself "can they cover?", and it's always interesting how game may differ from how it looks on the surface. But raw numbers will tell you home favorites win SU 70.68% and with the spread book makers are able to reduce the number to 52.11% impressive trim. Still the number indicates how tough it is to crack the home favorites. Take for instance - Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic.
Hawks visiting Magic will be +9.5 underdog and that big of a number should catch your attention, but Hawks are one of those teams well read by the Odds makers, playing poor when given points and strong when favored, with 4 ATS wins out of last 8 games only 1 of those ATS win was a Underdog. Orlando is not without issues there had more than few miss ques at GSW (12/03 123-117 OT win) followed by more turnovers at home IND (12/07 109-115 loss), but bounce back is more than likely and they are the superior team.

ORL -9.5 at +101 for 1 unit(L)

Milwaukee Bucks at Sacramento Kings
Backing the Under in this late night game at Arco. Brick city will prevail some where in this game to sink it Under.

MIL/SAC Under 198 at +103 for 1 unit(W)

1-1 +0.03 units

NBA Sunday

No play yesterday. Line didn't move high enough to take the Bulls, thank god.
YTD 49-34-1 +23.49 units

New Jersey Nets at Washington Wizards
Don't back team with issues and rumors are unconfirmed fact. The fact is Nets are not playing well and Wizards should enter this contest with focus and mission.

WASHINGTON -2.5 at -111 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Saturday

1-1 yesterday YTD 49-34-1 +23.49 units

What's the read on Boston at Chicago? Bulls are riding high knocking out Pistons at the Palace while Celtics crushed Toronto without Bosh and Bargnani at home while resting all starters in the 4th quarter. C's are dominating at home and formidable on the road, but if there is a weakness to exploit, it's on the road giving away points. They've been lucky in relatively close travel, furthest away was Florida, catching good number of sub .500 teams.

There are two sequences leading to C's SU losses, Starting at 11/14 NJ at home easy winner 91-69 while the big three, Garnett, Pierce and Allen had poor showing and the supporting cast took over. NJ was not playing well picking up their 3rd straight loss with no V.C.

Next, 11/16 Miami comes to town Dwayne's first game back and Heat almost steals one in the 4th quarter. Dwayne's 5 missed free throws loom large (92-91). ATS loss followed by SU loss at Orlando where Magic was strong in first half and held on in the 2nd (102-104). Proceeded by strong bounce back game at home (11/21 GSW 105-82 Warrior leaders fell below their level) followed by bit weaker effort win (11/23 LAL 107-94) 2nd sequence 11/24 ATS loss at Charlotte 96-95 followed by 11/27 SU loss to the King & Cavalier at Cleveland (109-104).

The 3rd sequence may look different because of alternating home and road games, but considering 76ers was able to push +10 ATS in last road game this might be the spot for 3rd loss.
Take into account how Chicago is growing in strength brimming with confidence returning to United Center facing the premier Atlantic division team should make this a tight match up.
Another food for thought is how Garnett has been a beast on the board, but Bulls are strong low post team with Big Ben and Deng to contend with. I'm just rambling and this is not a play yet, but if ATS grows bigger - I will bite.

I was looking for +8 or at least +7.5, but that wouldn't of mattered as Boston played strong.
Never pulled the trigger opting for Minny at home, but that didn't make the deadline.

NBA Friday

1-0 last selection YTD 48-33-1 +23.53 units

Phoenix Suns at Washington Wizards
I was at the 2004-05 opening game in Phoenix, wasn't it America West Arena back then?, U.S. Airways Center the year Suns core members were put under D'Antoni's program. I remember thinking how agile of a big man Amare was, long reach leaper Matrix was, but most of all how smart Nash was. I didn't know how Raja and Leandro would do, but Joe Johnson was still there sharp shooter from downtown and promptly took them to take the Pacific.
This is a team that plays best in high gear and when they start putting teams away on the road you know they are cooking. Washington minus Agent Zero, Butler is not a day in day out go to guy, but more of a step up guy. He could bring it on again, but huge disadvantage in guard positions. Beating up on Cavs without the King don't earn enough with me.

PHO -6.5 at -102 for 1 unit(W)

Chicago Bulls at Detroit Pistons
Bulls are starting to get some backing and ATS has moved from 8.5 to 8, but this is the Palace with 5 in a row 2 back to back in 5 days Pistons. Now 5th game in 7 days, but no reason to falter Bulls will not come back if they trail in 4th, but I do think Bulls defense will play big time while failing to score for themselves.
Bulls away O/U 3-6. Pistons home O/U 2-5.

BULLS/PISTONS UNDER 184 at -104 for 1 unit(L)

Total selection has been lacking. Maybe forcing the issue, but thought I had a good one. We'll getem next time.
1-1 -0.04 units

NBA Thursday

1-0 last selection YTD 47-33-1 +22.53 units

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks
Ask anyone who knows me and they'll tell you I'm big on Dallas, I mean I like the team, the way they play, the way team is run, but not is all well in Dallas and they are still getting too much love.
Sure they are contenders in the association and will turn their game around, but recent sampling of their performance would of ate up your bankroll. Denver don't look good either and they are bad away from home, but they are not getting any creditability. This match up is two teams underachieving their performance level where I don't see much difference besides the Mav's home court advantage. Dallas may take this game, but cover ATS. I'm betting NOT.

DENVER 8.5 at +100 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Wednesday

1-1 even money last night YTD 46-33-1 +21.53 units

Couple of squares on coffee break talking about betting NFL, NCAA Foot & Baskets, I pause, but don't say a word and walk away. I'm thinking, we need these guys to feed on, don't know how many fair weather betters are out there, but these guys are swimming with sharks. I can't see anyone having an edge if your not studying these games or have some understanding to opening odds and reasoning behind those numbers. I do know a pure "feel" handicapper who does not crunch numbers, but watches and follows the games on regular basis. You may get lucky, but wagering on the fly will kill you on the long run. One of the reason we put this out for anyone to read is to hone our skills, network with our kind and to publish sports wager selections. The data on wagering needs to be an substantial number and this is just a part of that collection.

Chicago Bulls at Charlotte Bobcats
We were already positioned on Bulls with +2.5 points, but we took profit on the premium. Wager option is something I want to talk about more. We have a working model which buys early or opening line position speculating the direction of money flow leading up to game time and offloading them before expiration. It is showing impressive gain using multiple offshore accounts. Someone remind me later about the spread sheet.

Moving on...
Back on Bull for tonight's match up. They are 4-11 and dismal 1-7 on the road, but out of those lonely 4 wins 2 was in last 3 games and the loss to Dallas in last game, respectable -1.5 margin difference. Cats are slumping and this maybe a spot to stop the skid back home, their last strong game was at home against Boston losing by 1 and ATS cover, but that game was Cats coming off a fairly close ATS loss (-3.5 margin with 9.5 points) to powerful Orlando as visitors.
This time around all three road losses were by huge margins (including -9 margin with 7 points to Chicago) and last game against short handed Toronto by -15 getting 4 points.
Taking Chicago on the road.

BULLS +1 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

NBA Tuesday

Last selection 1-0 YTD 45-32-1 +21.53 units

I like December it's Christmas and New Years Eve, the key is Eve, and it brings two huge annual holidays into a single month. Food will be abundant, drinks will flow like a river, kids will laugh and work will slow to a gradual halt. I already see some empty desks all clean and neat.
Making most of my extra time on this beautiful Tuesday. Shall we play a game?

Utah Jazz at Sacramento Kings.
Jazz since losing at Indy (11/17 Pacers 117-97) They have gone 6-1 with one loss recorded against NY (11/26 109-113 *second of road back to back) In last game Jazz held off Miami at home, but they did not cover. Today they enter Arco as road favorites in back to back situation. Kings maybe 6-10, but they continue to receive points with sparkling home ATS 8-1.
Jazz have also logged O/U 6-1 shooting above 50% since 11/24, 5 Over's have come in a row. Utah O/U 6-3 on the road with oppositions shooting % on the rise. Kings are not exactly clamping it down and they have allowed +99 points 4 out of last 5, 8 out of last 10. Books are aware and this number is shaded Over. The Total range is 203 to 205.5 which actual game may come in below this number

KINGS +4 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
JAZZ/KINGS UNDER 207.5 at +109 for 1 unit(L)

My Totals are screwed! Line climbed to 209 before the game and sailed Over in 4th quarter. Forcing the numbers does not work it's like picking the point of tide change, although I do see a Under in Jazz's future.

1-1 zip, zippo (Even)

NBA Monday

1-0 last selection YTD 44-32-1 +20.45 units

Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia 76ers.
Off my cuff, these two teams have matched up for high scoring games despite the low total assignments. In last season 3 out of 4 games reached Over with all 3 Over being in mid 180's.
This season the average offense & defense numbers show the range of 177 to 184 total, but recent game numbers have dropped the bottom range 173.

ATL/PHL UNDER 180 at +108 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.08 units

NBA Sunday

0-1 last selection YTD 43-32-1 +19.45 units

Having some connectivity issues and speed is very slow???

That's another matter, but I'm not going to do a write up.

ORL +1 at -102 for 1 unit(W)

Not sure what happened with my computer, but seems OK now and Magic cashes.
1-0 +1.00 unit