Friday, December 07, 2007

NBA Saturday

1-1 yesterday YTD 49-34-1 +23.49 units

What's the read on Boston at Chicago? Bulls are riding high knocking out Pistons at the Palace while Celtics crushed Toronto without Bosh and Bargnani at home while resting all starters in the 4th quarter. C's are dominating at home and formidable on the road, but if there is a weakness to exploit, it's on the road giving away points. They've been lucky in relatively close travel, furthest away was Florida, catching good number of sub .500 teams.

There are two sequences leading to C's SU losses, Starting at 11/14 NJ at home easy winner 91-69 while the big three, Garnett, Pierce and Allen had poor showing and the supporting cast took over. NJ was not playing well picking up their 3rd straight loss with no V.C.
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Next, 11/16 Miami comes to town Dwayne's first game back and Heat almost steals one in the 4th quarter. Dwayne's 5 missed free throws loom large (92-91). ATS loss followed by SU loss at Orlando where Magic was strong in first half and held on in the 2nd (102-104). Proceeded by strong bounce back game at home (11/21 GSW 105-82 Warrior leaders fell below their level) followed by bit weaker effort win (11/23 LAL 107-94) 2nd sequence 11/24 ATS loss at Charlotte 96-95 followed by 11/27 SU loss to the King & Cavalier at Cleveland (109-104).

The 3rd sequence may look different because of alternating home and road games, but considering 76ers was able to push +10 ATS in last road game this might be the spot for 3rd loss.
Take into account how Chicago is growing in strength brimming with confidence returning to United Center facing the premier Atlantic division team should make this a tight match up.
Another food for thought is how Garnett has been a beast on the board, but Bulls are strong low post team with Big Ben and Deng to contend with. I'm just rambling and this is not a play yet, but if ATS grows bigger - I will bite.

I was looking for +8 or at least +7.5, but that wouldn't of mattered as Boston played strong.
Never pulled the trigger opting for Minny at home, but that didn't make the deadline.

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