Wednesday, December 05, 2007

NBA Wednesday

1-1 even money last night YTD 46-33-1 +21.53 units

Couple of squares on coffee break talking about betting NFL, NCAA Foot & Baskets, I pause, but don't say a word and walk away. I'm thinking, we need these guys to feed on, don't know how many fair weather betters are out there, but these guys are swimming with sharks. I can't see anyone having an edge if your not studying these games or have some understanding to opening odds and reasoning behind those numbers. I do know a pure "feel" handicapper who does not crunch numbers, but watches and follows the games on regular basis. You may get lucky, but wagering on the fly will kill you on the long run. One of the reason we put this out for anyone to read is to hone our skills, network with our kind and to publish sports wager selections. The data on wagering needs to be an substantial number and this is just a part of that collection.

Chicago Bulls at Charlotte Bobcats
We were already positioned on Bulls with +2.5 points, but we took profit on the premium. Wager option is something I want to talk about more. We have a working model which buys early or opening line position speculating the direction of money flow leading up to game time and offloading them before expiration. It is showing impressive gain using multiple offshore accounts. Someone remind me later about the spread sheet.

Moving on...
Back on Bull for tonight's match up. They are 4-11 and dismal 1-7 on the road, but out of those lonely 4 wins 2 was in last 3 games and the loss to Dallas in last game, respectable -1.5 margin difference. Cats are slumping and this maybe a spot to stop the skid back home, their last strong game was at home against Boston losing by 1 and ATS cover, but that game was Cats coming off a fairly close ATS loss (-3.5 margin with 9.5 points) to powerful Orlando as visitors.
This time around all three road losses were by huge margins (including -9 margin with 7 points to Chicago) and last game against short handed Toronto by -15 getting 4 points.
Taking Chicago on the road.

BULLS +1 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

No comments: