Coming off a Total win last night. YTD 8-5-1 +5.03 units
Reflecting on games last night, there are two still going on in the west PHO at SAC & DET at LAL, I like to focus on tightly played games. They are PHL at IND (94-92), ORL at DAL (102-100), HOU at SAN (75-77). Secondary group within 5 point differential POR at NOL (82-87) and MIL at MEN (101-96 OT). These 2 sets of groups will look at the fundamental aspects of energy exerted in each respective battle. Low scoring games and OT games definitely stand out in this area.
Now comes to tonight's match up NOL at HOU both on heels of back to back games, coming off low scoring and gets a U182 Total. Respective overall numbers, home and away numbers gives me 186~187 Total. This Total represents 2nd lowest number in Hornets games and 4th lowest in Houston game and purely from a average stand point both teams should improve off such a low scoring offense, but games leading to this match up gives an interesting back drop.
Houston comes home from 9 days 5 games road trip out west going 2-3 with 2 sets of 3 games in 4 days. First set from 11/04~11/07 with final game against Clippers posting 181.5 Total going Under with 175 combined score. Second set from 11/12~11/15 includes a brawl in Phoenix, a game Rockets won SU as underdog, and last night's loss to short handed Spurs after winning first 3 quarters only to collapse in the 4th ending 75-77 (152) going Under the lowest Total for this season 173.5 by 21.5 points.
New Orleans Hornets also played similar sets 11/05~11/08 only winning Miami SU, push ATS, going 0-2-1 & 11/12~11/15 no ATS cover so far, but defense has sustained 5 Unders in a row. Hornets have the schedule advantage, but they are lacking points going into Toyota Center.
NOH/HOU UNDER 182 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
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