Tuesday, November 11, 2008

NBA Veteransday Tuesday

YTD 5-3-1 +4.03 units
San Antonio Spurs are off to a worst start since pre-Duncan era. Though losing Parker in last game against Miami will be a step up situation at home this Spurs team is also missing another key piece in Manu. Combine this down turn in a match up with New York Knicks, a team that's settling into D'Antoni's system. Looking closer at Spurs past few games starting with Miami. Spurs took higher than average shot attempts hitting low 37.6%, way too many 3 attempts hitting another low 31.4% and went to the line only 13 times to Heats 22. Had the ball stolen 11 times and that's the bulk of the story. Before Miami was Minnesota road game. Spurs squeaked by in OT and biggest lead they held throughout was 7 in a no cover game. It was not impressive losing contest in the paint and again opposition held better shooting percentage. Three games back, Dallas at home. This one Spurs were knocked out in the 1st quarter and pretty much down for the count by 1st half. Mavs never looked back in the 2nd half to cover by 21.5 points. What does these past three games tell us about this game? Knicks will have the edge, but they do make mistakes and NYK at Philadelphia was a good example of how situation can get away.
Road trip into Texas basketball heartland against the wounded Spurs are definitely dangerous situation, however the money line value is too good and worth a shot.

NEW YORK KNICKS MONEY LINE +167(L)

Spurs did step up, but had to take a shot.
0-1 -1.00 unit

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