Thursday, December 08, 2005

My early line for Thursday.
Pacers had their lowest scoring game against the Mavs playing back to back and lost. I backed Indiana in that game. The struggling Pacers got some bad news Wednesday when Ron Artest was unable to practice with recurring pain in his right wrist. Jamaal Tinsley also couldn't practice because of a strained quad and groin. Both starters are listed as doubtful for Thursday night's game against Washington. The Pacers have dropped two in a row and three of four overall heading into Thursday night's game. Coach Rick Carlisle indicated he'd strongly consider making some changes. Jermaine O'Neal even broached the possibility of roster moves being necessary if no turnaround is on the way. Many will see this as a nice spot to take Washington +7 (just went to +6.5 at Pinny) as not all Cappers are up to speed with the info.
But I'm thinking Pacers defense will suffer with Artest out. Trends point to Under with Total opening with shaded Under. Numbers dropped quick, but now it's stalling. Guys who can score will create their own shots, but defense is team effort. I'm thinking Wiz attacking the paint will be the order of the day. Pacers scoring should bounce up even with the missing starters.

Take a small position and watch the lines.
WAS/IND OVER 189.5 -121 for 1 unit(W)
Looks like Public loves the UNDER, the Players are on this too.
That's OK, I've been on my own side and I'm not 100% every day, but I still like it. Might even hit it for another unit. Keep in mind the 1st Half line is set at O/U 94 and naturally Under is getting the money.
I could buy this nice looking O down to 188 at a discount at -116, I'm going to check her out for awhile longer.

This game is still going down. Looking like I'll be able to get Over 185.5

Not quite that low, but I'll take it.
WAS/IND OVER 186.5 -118 for 1 unit(W)
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Oh man, HOU/SAC Total is dropping like a rock. Pinny opened 189.
Public is going to get slaughtered. The Kings are not planning to play Houston's game today. Kings want the ball in transition and leave Yao in their dust, that's how Kings are going to try to take this game. Houston will look to convert inside with Yao and T-Mac on the drive/ T-Mac from the field, get couple of guys hitting their range and boom, Score goes OVER.

HOU/SAC OVER 185 -128 for 2 units(W)

Public got slaughtered, but if your rolling with the Clutch we slammed the Books. May not be 100% everyday, but we are again today.

3-0 +4.00 units





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