Monday, November 12, 2007

NBA Monday

Hornets at Nets
I wouldn't weigh too much into Carter being out for ATS and total 185 has that factored in. You know it was off the board until no Carter was confirmed. Hornets are playing good ball and timing looks great with Carter out, but Hornets game proceeding a win where they out score their opponent by +10 points (11/11 93-72 W @Philly) Second of back to back road game matching Nets who took it on their chin against Boston in last outing. I'll take the points with Vince-less Nets to cool the Hornets.

On the Total I like the Under, but keep in mind 185 is lowest point total given to Hornets this season and second lowest for Nets. I do like the fact shooting percentage was on the high side for both teams in last game with young season trending under.

This game is a bookies nightmare where point spread swung from Nets -2 to Nets +1.5 so now there's a lot of money parked in the middle with a one point game on either side looking to broadside the Books. Don't you love it!

NETS +1.5 at +104 for 2 units(L)
NO/NJN UNDER 185 at +100 for 2 units(W)

Sacramento at Utah
Jazz has the fire power to push the score beyond 100 points on any given night and Sacramento plays on the cusp of triple digits, but tonight's number seems too high and defensive numbers are improving on both sides.

SAC/UTA UNDER 208 at +103 for 2 units(L)

Cleveland at Denver
Cavs are not there yet and they will collapse in Denver. Unless Cavs are hitting from outside, and I don't feel that threat, Denver by double digits.

DEN -7 at -108 for 2 units(W)
CLE/DEN OVER 207 at -105 for 2 units(W)

3-2 +2.00 units

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