Mavs have beat Kings and Raptors by double digits cruising to both wins and ATS cover. Wizards were embarrassed by Bulls in Chicago and last match (11/21 at Dallas 107-80) was schooled by Mavs. Most recent blow out combined with revenge factor on home court and getting points. On the early wagerline 74% consensus is on Dallas and this line should move at least to -4.5, but at Pinny the money is still on Washington +3.5 at -107.
It's the Monday Dog play and I'm just waiting to get more points.
Another good play here might be Gilbert Arenas to score above his average (25.4 points per game) as he is coming off 10 pints in 21:41 minutes at Chicago. Prop Play is O/U 27 points, I'll pass.
Line is still holding Washington +3.5 at -102 (+4 at -110 & +4.5 at -118) showing signs or sharp line movement where majority is on the Fav and line moves the other way. I may have to take this soon or wait just before game in the mean time hitting the short Overs.
DAL/WAS First Quarter 51.5 at -105 for 2 units(W)
DAL/WAS First Half 102.5 at -105 for 3 units (L)
WTF, game Totals dropped and ATS is not moving!
WAS +4.5 at -116 for 3 units(W) (1 point buy, missed -114)
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If your looking at ATS winners Golden State should be on that list. Nelly has this team purring and their losses have been very tight (L10 games 5 SU losses,
12/2 110-115 MIL by 5, 11/29 106-108 IND by 2, 11/24 129-140 @DEN by 11, 11/22 112-115 DEN and 11/20 110-113 PHO by 3) San Antonio is not covering at home and although this is a revenge situation I see Warriors playing tenacious ball keeping this within 5 points differential.
GSW +8.5 at -108 for 2 units(L)
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Indiana is scoring points 4-1 Over L5 since starting their road trip. So are the Lakers going 4-1 Over L5. This is a game that looks Over on the surface, but Lakers Overs are tied into Koby scoring above his average of 26.4 points when he falls below average Lakers fall short of 100 points. Now in his last game against the Clips Koby scored 29 and team fell short of 100 points. Lakers totals run in streaks 5 Overs just ended with Clips 97-88 (185 with Total at 200) I also think Koby's score will fall to his average or below.
The Pacers have been crashing Overs on the road and I'm suspecting this may have peaked at 12/2 @DEN 101-121 (2nd leg of back to back on road) Indy is not winning by outscoring opponents they are allowing too many points. They have allowed 85+ shot attempts in all 5 of their current road trip when they have held Cleveland 11/24 to 68 and @Orlando 11/22 to 69. Defense returns for the battle at Staples.
IND/LAL UNDER 203.5 at -105 for 2units(W)
3-2 +2.31 units
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