Monday, February 04, 2008

NBA Super Tuesday

2-0 last selection with extra bonus +0.15 units. YTD 92-60-2 +51.19 units

Watch out for that Lakers in Jersey getting heavy consensus with opening line visitors -4.5 and now holding -5.5 , but at this rate it should go to 6. Keep in mind boys and girls the musical chair is winding down and someone's going to miss out on getting a seat. Lakers have strung 3 or more consecutive ATS wins 6 times this season with losses after 3 wins happening 3 times and have yet to string 5 consecutive ATS's which may not be any concern considering Lakers play in comparison to Nets (6-16 home ATS & 4-13 ATS against winning teams), but Nets did beat out the Lakers in early season. Nets have concluded their long road trip in Minnesota dropping that game, but definitely improved on the road, single basket differential at Golden State cover 1/24, tight loss 3 points at Memphis 1/27, bucked the one day back between road trip fade spot as -6 point fav against the Bucks 1/29 and beat the reeling Heat as a short road favs 2/01 so dropping ATS on the last road game to Atlanta by 2 possessions might be forgivable. Lakers winning by double digit seems much too common and continuing this degree of performance on the road is tough to conceive. Lakers streaks were all broken as single digit fav except one. Gasol in the mix might add value to over looked Nets at home. (early write up.)

The early line has pulled away now sitting at 7 which is huge. Keep your eyes and ears open.

Lakers -7 hitting resistance, but inflating line was right on time with Pacific time zone. I'm buying 0.5 points and taking position. Don't you love it when media makes Lakers a done deal and not even bring up what? New Jersey? Lakers reaching better than +76% consensus, just shy of Spurs, with huge line swing. Shaping up to be a classic blood bath.

NEW JERSEY NETS +7.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

(12:45 PST)
Resistance at Lakers -7 has broken through -7.5 and looking to add in closing hour Nets +8 or better. I think middle money will start coming in at this point.

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Washington Wizards at Philadelphia 76ers
Wizards dropping 3 in a row is not a bad thing. Coming off a double digit loss to Lakers at home should be a wake up call. Wizards 10-3 ATS against division rivals, 10-6 ATS against losing teams and 7-3 ATS after double digit loss. 76ers are inconsistent at home and questionable as short favorite.

WASHINGTON -1.5 at -103 for 1 unit(L)

0-2 -2.13 units

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