Wednesday, December 23, 2009

NBA Wednesday

Cleveland Cavaliers at Sacramento Kings.
When looking at this match up most players know Cavs play well away and Kings play well at home. The other standout trend is Cavs play Over away and so does the Kings at home. So when comparing these two trends doesn't it make better sense to take the Over than choosing sides? Simplicity is sometimes bliss, but considering the Over, which is a pretty popular take, the number has climbed quite a bit since opening at 202. There should be a second take on this number which all indicator pointed to being too low. The schedule sequence makes this a tough spot to score with Cavs playing 3 sets of back to back in last 10 games, Kings played 4 sets. Cavs last game scoring 109 ties highest score in last 10 games which calls for a drop down spot in score. Kings last game scoring 102 is on the high side for away game and may not translate to lower scoring at home, but Cavs holding opposition to 93 or so is good enough to buck the rising number.

UNDER 204.5 at -103

Shot myself thinking too much

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