Tuesday, March 12, 2013

NBA Tuesday

33-22-1  10,430

Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers
Got a reverse line movement on this game with -1 point spread opening with Cleveland is now -1 Wizards. Washington had a nice run 2/02 to 2/25 for span of 10 games going 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS. 6 games since they are 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS. Cleveland also had a run of 6 straight ATS wins 2/13 to 2/27 and now tapered a bit  going  2-3 ATS in last 5 games. Maybe Washington's win with the largest ATS -10.5 cover and offense breaking over 100 points will carry over to this game. But that was the Bobcats and the Wizards have struggled to score in other recent games. Good thing their defense is not allowing much points. Rather than to tangle with the short line that's reversed the Total looks poised to go UNDER. Washington's 104 point scoring in last game against the Bobcats likely to come down on the road. Cleveland has allowed 5 straight games of triple digit points, longest 100+ points allowed, but that number too is likely decline. Washington on the road O/U 6-23, 2nd half of season 4-13, after 10+ points win 1-6, against Central 1-11, against sub .500 teams 7-20, in 2nd half 1-8. Cleveland doesn't trend Under as well as Washington, but Kyle Irving out of the line up to make it little harder on Cavalier's offense. The points will come at a premium today. Go with the UNDER.

WASHINGTON WIZARDS at CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Game Total UNDER 191 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

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