NBA Monday

0-1 last selection YTD 81-49-2 +50.48 units

I'm going to blame US financial market for disrupting my focus on NBA. It's all good though I was one of the few who came out of 2007 market smelling like roses with no credit exposure and gains on commodities futures. I need to turn in some paper work and get back to the games. It's all about staying ahead of the curve.

Dallas is not playing well. They've had 2 consecutive flat games on the road. Seattle game where Dallas won by 20 points, +11 points ATS, is misleading because Mavs had no offense and it was a case of Dallas winning with a bad game. At Clippers without Josh Howard they trailed most of that game and a lucky 3 pointer by Stack at the buzzard to win by 1 point is definitely not impressive. Here we go today into the jaws of Arco as the heavy road favorites with 75% wagering consensus on Dallas. Yes, Howard is back and Kings have been short handed, but you know these guys bring their game in one of the most advantageous home arena in the league.
In addition Howard's mysterious departure from Los Angeles for personal reason is something to read into. It usually relates to critical family issue we'll see if his head is in the game.
The play is on line watch, but it will be a play.

KINGS +6 at +102 for 1 unit(W)

Speaking of Seattle losing to bad Dallas. Lakers are coming and we have a reverse line movement with wagering public heavy on Lakers yet line has dropped from SEA+8 to +5.5 and Lakers are without Bynum. I'm not chasing line, but as I said it before SU win no cover is a precursor to a loss. Letting Memphis back in the game at Staples and squeezing out a win. Now a road favorite on back to back against a Sonics squad coming off a loss to a bad playing team, even if they were Dallas. No play for us, but we will advise to stay off the Lakers.

Told ya!

Adding Portland at New Jersey.
Blazers double OT did not end their way, but it's too early to start doubting this team on the road. Truely a team which has bought into Nate McMillian's system.

PORTLAND +5 at -106 for 1 unit(W)

2-0 +2.02 units