NBA Wednesday

2-0 last selection YTD 75-44-2 +48.60 units

New Jersey Nets at Orlando Magic
How do we slice this game? Let's start with public consensus being heavy on Magic, above the 75% threshold. Orlando Magic winners 4 game in a row 4-1 in last 5 compared to 2-3 in prior 5, looks like things are turning around for Orlando, or is it? Could it of been simple scheduling? ATS record for past 10 games are 6-4 with first 5 games going 3-2 and latter 5 games going 3-2 so more they seem to change it stays the same. I like the fact Magic is coming off a SU win no cover ATS loss which is a precursor to a weak game especially giving up higher points. Besides Orlando at home is not a sweet place with meager 7-6 ATS record. Nets are getting better, but blow out ATS losses Nets took against Wizards, Clippers, Knicks and Kings really lowered their stock. Since then they have gone 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS, no cover to Washington was by 1 point margin, and suffered a big defeat to Detroit but that's excusable. Books may have been wrong, but Nets were getting +5.5 against Pistons and now they're getting +6.5 against Orlando who failed to cover -2.5 / -3 against Chicago. Magic is the stronger team, but line is inflated with chance to go higher and look to pull the trigger above +7 ATS New Jersey.
Nets better on the road 7-5 and when they get +6.5~9 points 13-4 three seasons running.

NO PLAY ON NETS
It has fallen below 75% consensus and line is holding or dropping.

Tracking another target for publishing.
Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks
Warriors are on a fast track, but Dallas is a very imposing Under team(O/U 1-9 L10) and I am a big fan of Warriors Under on the road(O/U 6-11 Overall). Because of perceived high scoring which mentally sticks, remember 115-120 Mav's win 11/08 at Oracle arena? When was the last time Warriors failed to score over 100 points against Mavericks?(O/U 7-1 Last 8 in Dallas), makes the current number looks easily reachable. But Dallas in last 10 games have shown tightening defense compensating lower scoring. Since the Orlando game 12/17 111-108 number has steadily dropped. The last game was their best showing of balanced offense and defense never trailing the entire game. The key for Dallas tonight will be defusing Warriors high octane offense and they can do it.

GSW/DAL UNDER 213.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

Taking a situational total in 2nd Half: Hornets at Clippers

2nd Half TOTAL OVER 90 at +107 for 1 unit(W)

Threw away a perfect play in Nets to take a losing Total. Should of known Dallas was going to be coming after the Warriors.
1-1 +0.02 units