Thursday, November 30, 2006

NBA Thursday

We have two games today with broadcast on TNT.

Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat.
These two teams trend Under and that trend should jump out. But when trends appear so obvious buyer beware.
Piston Under 11-2 last 13 road games, Under 12-3 last 15 against SE, Heat Under 6-2 last 8 home games. Under 8-0 head to head.
I looked at that and threw it out the window, this is the first meeting this season. Shaq is out, Big Ben is no longer a Piston then look at the current scoring. Pistons offensive score and defensive allowed has been surging last 4 games. Miami has scored 100+ or allowed 100+ last 5 out of 5 games with one of the game (Loss 104-107 home 11/24 ORL) both teams in triple digits.
Pistons are rested arrived Miami yesterday I look for them to be on the attack.
Miami will key in on driving the lane and Dwayne will be behind the wheel.

DET/MIA Over 191 at -118 for 2 units(L) (buy -1 point)
DET/MIA OVER 95 First Half -105 for 1 unit(L)
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Second game Jazz at Lakers.
Lakers are coming off an embarrassing loss to Michael Redd and the Bucks. Redd has his way that night and you know Koby was on his watch. Koby down played it, but good bounce back spot at home against very good Jazz. Utah is playing solid ball on a tight schedule and Spurs are likely to give them a bit of hangover on this second of back to back.

LAL -4 at -109 for 2 units(W)
1-2 -1.41 units

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