Sunday, January 15, 2006

NYK/TOR game is finished. I'm not much on post game talk, but I will admit NYK games OVER trend is one hot ticket. Books know it, Sharps know it and Public rides it. Although the line is almost always shaded you can see the battle at the opening lines. Books shade the Total Over and as that number reaches ever higher the Sharps are ready to pound the Under. Maybe the players are looking for scoring drought to reverse this trend, Balanced game to come just under the number, whatever it is that was not the case today.
Knicks are doing it on both sides of the floor, They're scoring or giving up the score. I thought about buying it lower and taking the Over, but blinked. I'm old school and respect the Linemakers to balance the numbers over the season, but definitely Over Team.
If you have been playing NYK games Over.....Nice gain!

I understand the Sharp money is often exceeding Public money on some games. So who knows what the books are plotting..... LOL
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Turn back the date to Dec. 26, 2005.
Portland has started to play better, after losing 1st quarter they took the rest sending Kings to their 5th straight loss. After the game Sacramento Kings are on the shuttle to Los Angeles for 2nd leg of back to back game, news breaks Shareef broke his jaw, sending the lines scrambling....off the top of my head,
I think it was Clips -5 moved to Clips -8.5 and what happened? Mike Bibby went insane put up 38 points and Kings cashed as big time road dog.

Back to Jan. 6, 2006.
Clips revenge game back at Arco. But Voodoo is still working.
Clips come into this game with ATS -1,
Linemakers should say "we don't know who will win".
Again Mike Bibby surging in the 4th taking the game and ATS.
Why did I bring this up? To illustrate strengths of match up trends?
Clips have not beat the Kings in last 100 years. But when does trend exceed logic? When they start to give up too many points in face of weak depth combined with losses, like Bobcats & Rockets, Kings fit that mold.

Orlando comes to Arco tonight. Magic has not won in Sacramento in 12 years and they have not won on the road in 2006. But wait the first 3 game road trip this year they are 2-1 ATS. This 3 game road trip will end tonight with last game pushing ATS and Magic was in that game all the way into the 4th quarter.
Magic has their load of baggage, but I think they are much better unit without Francis. Dooiling loss hurts a bit, still the unit is better than what Kings have right now.
Break the curse or not. ATS looks pretty strong. I'm watching the line.

I'll be back before the game.

I am in at.....
ORL +6 -123 for 1 unit(W)

I'd like to thank Jameer Nelson for the effort in a losing game,
but covering ATS.
Hell of a game for the point guard.
1-0 +1.00 unit

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