Friday, April 14, 2006

Little rest to clear my mind. Set my MLB plays on the early lines to avoid cross-over thinking.

This is what I came up with for NBA.
Nets are not closing out the regular season strong like they had hoped, 3 losses out of last 5 and 5 losses of last 8. To coincide with their ATS losses are the numbers going Over 5 out of last 6 and Nets defense giving up +99 points 4 out of last 5. Keep in mind NJN will focus on this very point and their defensive scheme gives them the winning chance.
Boston alternating O/U with last game against the Pacers going 112-117 (SU loss/ATS win & Over 188.5) blow out over by margin of 40.5 points.
This is a spot for the score to drop and I would calculate in the mid 190's, but given the situation for Nets to notch up their defense and Boston's last game lacking so much on the board (out rebounded 25-42) this should be a game where the scores will not come easy.

Buy the 1.5 on current exchange. 193 looks Under and this would be my normal 2 unit play, but just getting back.

NJN/BOS UNDER 194.5 -123 for 1 unit(W)
Solid Under at 153. How do you like them apples.
1-0 +1.00 unit

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