Sunday, February 26, 2006

Don't forget Monday home dog plays are on.
Keep your eyes on the line and watch the movement to your favor.

CLE +3
ALT +2
*HOU PK

Out of the three I like the Hawks the best.

Cleveland 2nd of B2B in comparison to Detroit 2nd of B2B just doesn't measure up. Though Cavs have exceptional scoring up swing on game preceding under -80 points scored, taking the Over 3-1 in those situation this season. These two teams match up Under with strong trend to back that up.
Still Cavs 20-8 very dangerous to with points at home and Pistons 5-5 ATS is not all that scary. The books have shaded the Cavs as they could of easily set this at DET -5, I will watch the movement O/U moved quickly from 184 to 182.5 Looking to buck this trend with Over might be a ballsy play.

Houston at home is gearing up for a big revenge match and the line is pick'em.
If you've read the post game on that lop sided loss, even Suns coach Mike D'Antoni couldn't believe how the Suns had their way against the Rockets.
Nash sure didn't look like he was hurting.

The Hawks are my most likely play with Nets coming into town and Carter might be out for this one. Hawks lost by -10 to the Buck, but they shot better from the field and beyond the arc, they gave up the boards and most importantly missed the free throws. It was the Free Throws that lost it for the Hawks ATS backers. Nets broke the home court win streak and lose Carter with hammy cramp in the 1st quarter. It's still just a sore hammy and he could be in the game.
Carter is in this game, but todays system play counted him in. We get 0.5 point shade to home teams advantage and I bought it up some more.
This play went in at the last second.

ATL +3.5 -124 for 1 unit *with 1 point buy(W)
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Oh I will take one early dog on the over night with Bobcats getting +10 points.
Cats are getting stronger, better and took the 1st half SU against the Suns, almost winning ATS. I think that was a sign of things to come.
When you are considering to back the Clippers you must ask yourself, is the glass half full or empty as the Clippers have not won consecutive games since a four-game winning streak from February 1-7.
L.A. will be without center Chris Kaman (sprained left ankle),
Quinton Ross (sore lower back)
Bobcats leads the NBA in steals, turnovers forced and points off turnovers. Charlotte's also found it's offensive roll in the midst of a six game Western swing, averaging 115.5ppg on 50% shooting the past two contests.
Dribble penetration will be Cats order today.

CHA +10 -106 for 2 units(W)

On last 10 games samplings Clippers opponents hang around or top LAC in the first half.

CHA +5.5 1st Half -105 for 1 unit(L)
I might add to this if the line moves my way.

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I'm back, the opening dogs have not moved much, but not to worry as the nature of these dogs to move closer to game time.

The Warriors are finally back home after getting their butts kicked on the road trip and all these recent losses are impacted by the loss of Baron Davis.
Take a look at the recent 5 games Davis sat out, Warriors are struggling to put up points. Lacking offensive threats GSW have to play a slower tempo and that should be fine with Utah. The Jazz have given up 100+ points at home, as of late, but on the road they clamp down little more.

Buying +1.5 points to 183

UTA/GSW UNDER 183 -117 for 1 unit(L)
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Working the reverse angle on Totals at Dallas.
The trend in breakdown of two components, 1st & 2nd half, the 2nd half held strong Under tendencies which now I see swinging to the other side.
That is the 1st Half Over as teams are adjusting and missing lanky Josh Howard sure is helping the early scores.

PHL/DAL 1st Half Over 103 -110 for 2 units(L)

Not a good day. Cats 1st half meltdown after keeping it close.
The 1st Half Over at Dallas looked good after the 1st quarter, but failed.
UTA/GSW was just a bad call and had no chance.
The two win came on Cats ATS and Hawks ATS.
2-3 -1.42 units

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