Monday, March 06, 2006

OK boys and girls my plays may have gone through ups and downs, my play methods have swung too many times and things have to change around here. My purpose is not a diary, I need to put up winners.

What do we know about the occurrence on Mondays in the Association?
Yes, it's the Home Dog Plays.

Here are the selections:
PHO/NOK+5 *Isn't this interesting? Public thought here is pound the Suns.
MIA/CHA+7.5 *Another strong public candidate.
SAS/LAL+4 *And another

Now it's not fail proof, but very good trend paying dividends courtesy of Batis. Let's watch the line gyration shall we.

I'm back looking at these games and I must say, not much moves.
I think the sharps are on to these games and so are the books. From the looks of things I'd say sharps have the bigger stakes and squares scratch their heads thinking "Why is the money going the other way?"

Phoenix is on B2B coming off an upset win against the power house Dallas and I was thinking they might relax, but Suns are tough on back to backs as they are a collective that plays on momentum and Hornets coming off their worst 2nd half beating showed how young team can collapse. Still Sharp plays are on 1st Half with Hornets getting +2.5 points.

Miami Heat against the Cats at home might be the better home dog choice.
Wade may not get into gear right away and I think this game has a better chance of Heat underestimating their opponent.

CATS +4 1st Half -117 for 1 unit(W)

I'm going to work on Lakers game a bit more.
Oh what the hell, home dogs are coming out of the gates. Contender teams are slow to start. Double or nothing.

LAKERS ML 1st Quarter +121 for 1 unit(W)

Love the Cats! Hornets doing it too in the 1st Half.
I still can't make up my mind with Laker and Spurs.
This record may change by the end of the day.

Lakers take the 1st quarter with balance.

2-0 +2.21 units

5 comments:

Batis84 said...

I usually prefer to look after the first two home underdogs and if they fail, will take the last.
Lakers versus Spurs? wow! looks interesting.. however, I don't like those Mondays when more than one HomeDog are showed.

If I follow NBA, maybe I'll take the right decision as lately.. But I've lost my focus on it. I'm just relying on MS (NHL, MLB is expecting)

Batis84 said...

Agree with BetCrimes on Charlotte Monday Dog.
1.) Consensus is 73% with Miami. 2.) Charlotte have a much better "slump" - +2-8 last 10
3.) My sportsbook as usual has fired up the line on Dog from 1.93 to 1.96 to cover the spread.
I think, the same linemovement is observed and at Pinnacle.

Also I like to take one more pick after the First Half, when Bobcats may have a bit wider ATS than at the start.

Bobcats +7.5 1.96

Clutch said...

Hey guys Dogs are biting so far.
Nice call BetCrimes (so far so good, don't want to jinx it)
Any thoughts on Spurs vs Lakers?

I'm also back on MLB Plays.
Hit San Diego win against KC.

Clutch said...

Batis, nice to see your keeping your eyes on the games.
2nd half is looking good.

Batis84 said...

And I should thanks BetCrimes. He has opened my look on Dog in addition some game qualities were equaled for the HD (Consensus and wrong linemovement).