Friday, May 05, 2006

This is what stands out today.

Under is 3-0-0 in Spurs last 3 playoff games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 4-1-0 in Spurs last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 15-6-1 in Spurs last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-0-0 in Kings last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 4-1-0 in Kings last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Under is 7-2-0 in Kings last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 7-3-0 in Kings last 10 home games.
Under is 7-3-0 in Kings last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 11-5-0 in Kings last 16 playoff games as an underdog.
Under is 5-1-0 in the last 6 meetings in Sacramento.

Yes there are countering Over trends, but elimination threat for Kings after double digit loss they will defend the paint, no easy baskets and put backs, Kings will probably not let Ginobilli dive to the basket on his drives as easily as he did Tuesday, instead giving him the outside shot.
Spurs will match up defensively and will not give either bringing this game to grinding tempo. I'm still watching the lines, but will hit this at opportune time.

SAS/SAC UNDER 190.5 at -131 for 2 units(W)
Money ball!
1-0 +2.00 units

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